scholarly journals Estimation of the anthropogenic aerosol emission effect on the rate of summer warming in Europe

2021 ◽  
Vol 65 (6) ◽  
pp. 734-741
Author(s):  
S. A. Lysenko ◽  
V. F. Loginov
Keyword(s):  
Dominant Role ◽  
Satellite Observation ◽  
Radiation Balance ◽  
Observation Data ◽  
Regression Equations ◽  
Total Change ◽  
Anthropogenic Aerosol ◽  
Radiation Emission ◽  
Aerosol Emission ◽  
Summer Warming

A relationship between aerosol air pollutions and summer air temperatures in Europe was studied. High correlation coefficients between the latitudinal distributions of the zone-averaged trends of the mentioned parameters were found. The potential effects of decrease in the aerosol emission on the cloud optical depth, in the air temperature, and the amount of precipitation in the territory of Europe were estimated on the basis of the obtained regression equations. It was shown that due to the aerosol emission decrease, the average summer temperature in Europe in 2000–2020 could increase by 0.53 °С, which is ~73 % of total summer warming in the region. The empirical estimates obtained in the work were confirmed by the satellite observation data and the numerical calculations of changes in radiation balance components at the top of the atmosphere. It was shown that the radiation emission decrease in the territory of Europe could increase the average radiation balance in Europe in summer months by 2.27 W/m², which is ~65 % of its total change. The increase in the carbon dioxide content in the atmosphere during the same period contributed much less to the observed change in the radiation balance (17.5 %), which supports the hypothesis about the dominant role of aerosols in summer warming in Europe.

scholarly journals Comparison of ISS–CATS and CALIPSO–CALIOP Characterization of High Clouds in the Tropics

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (23) ◽  
pp. 3946
Author(s):  
Pasquale Sellitto ◽  
Silvia Bucci ◽  
Bernard Legras
Keyword(s):  
Optical Properties ◽  
Space Station ◽  
Satellite Observation ◽  
Observation Data ◽  
Upper Troposphere ◽  
Cloud Properties ◽  
Synchronous Orbit ◽  
The Tropics ◽  
High Clouds

Clouds in the tropics have an important role in the energy budget, atmospheric circulation, humidity, and composition of the tropical-to-global upper-troposphere–lower-stratosphere. Due to its non-sun-synchronous orbit, the Cloud–Aerosol Transport System (CATS) onboard the International Space Station (ISS) provided novel information on clouds from space in terms of overpass time in the period of 2015–2017. In this paper, we provide a seasonally resolved comparison of CATS characterization of high clouds (between 13 and 18 km altitude) in the tropics with well-established CALIPSO (Cloud–Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observation) data, both in terms of clouds’ occurrence and cloud optical properties (optical depth). Despite the fact that cloud statistics for CATS and CALIOP are generated using intrinsically different local overpass times, the characterization of high clouds occurrence and optical properties in the tropics with the two instruments is very similar. Observations from CATS underestimate clouds occurrence (up to 80%, at 18 km) and overestimate the occurrence of very thick clouds (up to 100% for optically very thick clouds, at 18 km) at higher altitudes. Thus, the description of stratospheric overshoots with CATS and CALIOP might be different. While this study hints at the consistency of CATS and CALIOP clouds characterizaton, the small differences highlighted in this work should be taken into account when using CATS for estimating cloud properties and their variability in the tropics.

scholarly journals Roles of anthropogenic forcings in the observed trend of decreasing late-summer precipitation over the East Asian transitional climate zone

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Zhao ◽  
Wen Chen ◽  
Shangfeng Chen ◽  
Hainan Gong ◽  
Tianjiao Ma
Keyword(s):  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Dominant Role ◽  
East Asian ◽  
Eastern China ◽  
Summer Precipitation ◽  
Late Summer ◽  
Water Vapor Transport ◽  
Anthropogenic Aerosol ◽  
Climate Zone ◽  
Drying Trend

AbstractObservations indicate that late-summer precipitation over the East Asian transitional climate zone (TCZ) showed a pronounced decreasing trend during 1951–2005. This study examines the relative contributions of anthropogenic [including anthropogenic aerosol (AA) and greenhouse gas (GHG)] and natural forcings to the drying trend of the East Asian TCZ based on simulations from CMIP5. The results indicate that AA forcing plays a dominant role in contributing to the drying trend of the TCZ. AA forcing weakens the East Asian summer monsoon via reducing the land-sea thermal contrast, which induces strong low-level northerly anomalies over eastern China, suppresses water vapor transport from southern oceans and results in drier conditions over the TCZ. In contrast, GHG forcing leads to a wetting trend in the TCZ by inducing southerly wind anomalies, thereby offsetting the effect of the AA forcing. Natural forcing has a weak impact on the drying trend of the TCZ due to the weak response of atmospheric anomalies.

Simulation of runoff for the Black Volta Basin using satellite observation data

2012 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 245-254 ◽  
Author(s):  
Salamatu Shaibu ◽  
Samuel Nii Odai ◽  
Kwaku Amaning Adjei ◽  
Edward Matthew Osei ◽  
Frank Ohene Annor
Keyword(s):  
Satellite Observation ◽  
Observation Data ◽  
Volta Basin

Variational assimilation of observation data in the mathematical model of the Baltic Sea dynamics

2015 ◽  
Vol 30 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Valeriy I. Agoshkov ◽  
Eugene I. Parmuzin ◽  
Vladimir B. Zalesny ◽  
Victor P. Shutyaev ◽  
Natalia B. Zakharova ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mathematical Model ◽  
Heat Flux ◽  
Baltic Sea ◽  
Satellite Observation ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Observation Data ◽  
The Baltic Sea ◽  
Variational Assimilation ◽  
The Baltic ◽  
The Mathematical Model

AbstractA mathematical model of the dynamics of the Baltic Sea is considered. A problem of variational assimilation of sea surface temperature (SST) data is formulated and studied. Based on variational assimilation of satellite observation data, an algorithm solving the inverse problem of heat flux restoration on the interface of two media is proposed. The results of numerical experiments reconstructing the heat flux functions in the problem of variational assimilation of SST observation data are presented. The influence of SST assimilation on other hydrodynamic parameters of the model is considered.

The local and remote atmospheric impacts of Africa’s 21st century aerosol emission trajectory

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chris Wells ◽  
Apostolos Voulgarakis
Keyword(s):  
Regional Climate ◽  
Emission Region ◽  
Anthropogenic Aerosol ◽  
Remote Locations ◽  
Aerosol Emission ◽  
Radiation Fluxes ◽  
The World ◽  
Aerosol Emissions ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Lower Biomass

<p>Aerosols are a major climate forcer, but their historical effect has the largest uncertainty of any forcing; their mechanisms and impacts are not well understood. Due to their short lifetime, aerosols have large impacts near their emission region, but they also have effects on the climate in remote locations. In recent years, studies have investigated the influences of regional aerosols on global and regional climate, and the mechanisms that lead to remote responses to their inhomogeneous forcing. Using the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway scenarios (SSPs), transient future experiments were performed in UKESM1, testing the effect of African emissions following the SSP3-RCP7.0 scenario as the rest of the world follows SSP1-RCP1.9, relative to a global SSP1-RCP1.9 control. SSP3 sees higher direct anthropogenic aerosol emissions, but lower biomass burning emissions, over Africa. Experiments were performed changing each of these sets of emissions, and both. A further set of experiments additionally accounted for changing future CO<sub>2</sub> concentrations, to investigate the impact of CO<sub>2</sub> on the responses to aerosol perturbations. Impacts on radiation fluxes, temperature, circulation and precipitation are investigated, both over the emission region (Africa), where microphysical effects dominate, and remotely, where dynamical influences become more relevant. </p>

scholarly journals Effect of anthropogenic aerosol emissions on precipitation in warm conveyor belts in the western North Pacific in winter – a model study with ECHAM6-HAM

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hanna Joos ◽  
Erica Madonna ◽  
Kasja Witlox ◽  
Sylvaine Ferrachat ◽  
Heini Wernli ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
Aerosol Particles ◽  
Conveyor Belt ◽  
Radiation Balance ◽  
Anthropogenic Aerosol ◽  
Model Study ◽  
Conveyor Belts ◽  
Winter Time ◽  
Warm Conveyor Belts ◽  
Aerosol Emissions

Abstract. While there is a clear impact of aerosol particles on the radiation balance, whether and how aerosol particles influence precipitation is controversial. Here we use the ECHAM6-HAM global cli- mate model coupled to an aerosol module to analyse whether an impact of anthropogenic aerosol particles on the timing and the amount of precipitation from warm conveyor belts in low pressure systems in the winter time North Pacific can be detected. We conclude that while polluted warm con- veyor belt trajectories start with 5–10 times higher black carbon concentrations, the overall amount of precipitation is comparable in pre-industrial and present-day conditions. Precipitation formation is however supressed in the most polluted warm conveyor belt trajectories.

scholarly journals Bias in CMIP6 models as compared to observed regional dimming and brightening

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (24) ◽  
pp. 16023-16040
Author(s):  
Kine Onsum Moseid ◽  
Michael Schulz ◽  
Trude Storelvmo ◽  
Ingeborg Rian Julsrud ◽  
Dirk Olivié ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sulfur Dioxide ◽  
Surface Energy ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Shortwave Radiation ◽  
Anthropogenic Aerosol ◽  
Surface Energy Fluxes ◽  
Aerosol Emission ◽  
Wrong Reason ◽  
The Right ◽  
Aerosol Emissions

Abstract. Anthropogenic aerosol emissions have increased considerably over the last century, but climate effects and quantification of the emissions are highly uncertain as one goes back in time. This uncertainty is partly due to a lack of observations in the pre-satellite era, making the observations we do have before 1990 additionally valuable. Aerosols suspended in the atmosphere scatter and absorb incoming solar radiation and thereby alter the Earth's surface energy balance. Previous studies show that Earth system models (ESMs) do not adequately represent surface energy fluxes over the historical era. We investigated global and regional aerosol effects over the time period 1961–2014 by looking at surface downwelling shortwave radiation (SDSR). We used observations from ground stations as well as multiple experiments from eight ESMs participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Version 6 (CMIP6). Our results show that this subset of models reproduces the observed transient SDSR well in Europe but poorly in China. We suggest that this may be attributed to missing emissions of sulfur dioxide in China, sulfur dioxide being a precursor to sulfate, which is a highly reflective aerosol and responsible for more reflective clouds. The emissions of sulfur dioxide used in the models do not show a temporal pattern that could explain observed SDSR evolution over China. The results from various aerosol emission perturbation experiments from DAMIP, RFMIP and AerChemMIP show that only simulations containing anthropogenic aerosol emissions show dimming, even if the dimming is underestimated. Simulated clear-sky and all-sky SDSR do not differ greatly, suggesting that cloud cover changes are not a dominant cause of the biased SDSR evolution in the simulations. Therefore we suggest that the discrepancy between modeled and observed SDSR evolution is partly caused by erroneous aerosol and aerosol precursor emission inventories. This is an important finding as it may help interpret whether ESMs reproduce the historical climate evolution for the right or wrong reason.

scholarly journals Improving the simulation of global aerosol with size-segregated anthropogenic number emissions

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Filippo Xausa ◽  
Pauli Paasonen ◽  
Risto Makkonen ◽  
Mikhail Arshinov ◽  
Aijun Ding ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Particle Number ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Dominant Role ◽  
Particle Diameter ◽  
Radiation Budget ◽  
Size Distributions ◽  
Anthropogenic Aerosol ◽  
Accumulation Mode ◽  
Climate Interactions

Abstract. Climate models are important tools that are used for generating climate change projections, in which aerosol-climate interactions are one of the main sources of uncertainties. In order to quantify aerosol-radiation and aerosol-cloud interactions, detailed input of anthropogenic aerosol number emissions is necessary. However, the anthropogenic aerosol number emissions are usually converted from the corresponding mass emissions in precompiled emission inventories through a very simplistic method depending uniquely on chemical composition, particle size and density, which are defined for a few very wide main source sectors. In this work, the anthropogenic particle number emissions converted from the AeroCom mass in the ECHAM-HAM climate model were replaced with the recently-formulated number emissions from the Greenhouse Gas and Air Pollution Interactions and Synergies (GAINS)-model, where the emission number size distributions vary, for example, with respect to the fuel and technology. A special attention in our analysis was put on accumulation mode particles (particle diameter dp > 100 nm) because of (i) their capability of acting as cloud condensation nuclei (CCN), thus forming cloud droplets and affecting Earth's radiation budget, and (ii) their dominant role in forming the coagulation sink and thus limiting the concentration of sub-100 nanometers particles. In addition, the estimates of anthropogenic CCN formation, and thus the forcing from aerosol-climate interactions are expected to be affected. Analysis of global particle number concentrations and size distributions reveal that GAINS implementation increases CCN concentration compared with AeroCom, with regional enhancement factors reaching values as high as 10. A comparison between modeled and observed concentrations shows that the increase in number concentration for accumulation mode particle agrees well with measurements, but it leads to a consistent underestimation of both nucleation mode and Aitken mode (dp > 100 nm) particle number concentrations. This suggests that revisions are needed in the new particle formation and growth schemes currently applied in global modeling frameworks.

scholarly journals Primary anthropogenic aerosol emission trends for China, 1990–2005

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 931-954 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Lei ◽  
Q. Zhang ◽  
K. B. He ◽  
D. G. Streets
Keyword(s):  
Emission Factors ◽  
Cement Industry ◽  
Anthropogenic Aerosol ◽  
Residential Sector ◽  
Aerosol Emission ◽  
Metallic Mineral ◽  
Aerosol Emissions ◽  
Industry Sectors ◽  
Mineral Product ◽  
Activity Information

Abstract. An inventory of anthropogenic primary aerosol emissions in China was developed for 1990–2005 using a technology-based approach. Taking into account changes in the technology penetration within industry sectors and improvements in emission controls driven by stricter emission standards, a dynamic methodology was derived and implemented to estimate inter-annual emission factors. Emission factors of PM2.5 decreased by 7%–69% from 1990 to 2005 in different industry sectors of China, and emission factors of TSP decreased by 18%–80% as well, with the measures of controlling PM emissions implemented. As a result, emissions of PM2.5 and TSP in 2005 were 11.0 Tg and 29.7 Tg, respectively, less than what they would have been without the adoption of these measures. Emissions of PM2.5, PM10 and TSP presented similar trends: they increased in the first six years of 1990s and decreased until 2000, then increased again in the following years. Emissions of TSP peaked (35.5 Tg) in 1996, while the peak of PM10 (18.8 Tg) and PM2.5 (12.7 Tg) emissions occurred in 2005. Although various emission trends were identified across sectors, the cement industry and biofuel combustion in the residential sector were consistently the largest sources of PM2.5 emissions, accounting for 53%–62% of emissions over the study period. The non-metallic mineral product industry, including the cement, lime and brick industries, accounted for 54%–63% of national TSP emissions. There were no significant trends of BC and OC emissions until 2000, but the increase after 2000 brought the peaks of BC (1.51 Tg) and OC (3.19 Tg) emissions in 2005. Although significant improvements in the estimation of primary aerosols are presented here, there still exist large uncertainties. More accurate and detailed activity information and emission factors based on local tests are essential to further improve emission estimates, this especially being so for the brick and coke industries, as well as for coal-burning stoves and biofuel usage in the residential sector.

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