scholarly journals CONSIDERING THE STATE OF THE UKRAINIAN ECONOMY IN THE ENTERPRISES FINANCIAL SUSTAINABILITY MODELING

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
pp. 37-47
Author(s):  
Leonid Debunov ◽  
Aleksandr Yakovenko
Keyword(s):  
Financial Management ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Graphical Analysis ◽  
Economic Environment ◽  
Financial Sustainability ◽  
Financial Indicators ◽  
Crisis Period ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
The Difference

Construction of a model for predicting the bankruptcy of the enterprise is an urgent and popular task. Using this model will provide an opportunity to make quick and accurate assessment of financial sustainability, predict possible bankruptcy advance and take the necessary action to avoid it. Obviously, bankruptcy can occur both under the influence of internal factors (in particular, financial management errors) and when the economic environment changes. The inclusion of all possible en-vironmental factors influencing into the model is a difficult task and causes an over-load of such a model with a large number of input signals. A more realistic option is to build a model using internal financial indicators only, but under a relatively con-stant external environment. The subject of the study described in the article is the general homogeneity of the Ukrainian economy over time in the context of the possibility of using companies’ reports for these periods to build a neural network model of financial sustainability of enterprises using only internal financial indicators. To separate stable periods from unstable ones, a review of the dynamics of macroeconomic indicators of Ukraine for the period 2010–2019 is used. Graphical analysis of the dynamics of macroeconomic indicators is used as a methodology. The purpose of this study is to identify periods of Ukraine’s economy, the conditions of which are quite stable to take reports of enterprises of these periods for a dataset formation. The article considers the dynamics of the following indicators of Ukraine’s economy: gross domestic product, hryvnia exchange rate, employment, consumer price index, total net profit (loss) of enterprises by size of enterprises, levels of profitability of operating activities, foreign trade indicators by geographical areas (imports and exports of goods and services) etc. The study pays special attention to the economic crisis of 2014–2015 and to changes in the economic environment, which distinguish the conditions before and after the crisis. The main conclusions of the article are the recognition of the existence of crisis phenomena in the period 2014–2015 and the recognition of the difference between the post-crisis period and the pre-crisis period. In order to build an up-to-date model of financial sustainability, it is recommended to use report data for periods not earlier than 2016.

FINANCIAL CONTROLLING IN THE SYSTEM OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT

2018 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 137-141
Author(s):  
Petya Yordanova – Dinova
Keyword(s):  
Comparative Analysis ◽  
Financial Management ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Business Environment ◽  
Innovative Approach ◽  
Financial Sustainability ◽  
The Common ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Effective Use ◽  
And Control

This paper explores the comparative analysis of the financial controlling, who is a result from the common controlling concept and the financial management. In the specialized literature, financial controlling is seen as an innovative approach to financial management. It is often presented as the most promising instrument of financial diagnostics. Generally speaking, financial controlling is seen as a process of managing the company`s assets which are valued in monetary measures. The difference between the financial management and the financial controlling is that the second covers all functions of management, analysis and control of finances, aiming at maximizing their effective use and increasing the value of the enterprise. Financial controlling is often seen as a function of the common practice of financial management. Its objective is to preserve the financial stability and financial sustainability of enterprises operating in a highly aggressive business environment.

scholarly journals Time Series Modeling and Forecasting of Consumer Price Index in Ghana

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Aabeyir Boniface ◽  
Anokye Martin
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Time Series Model ◽  
Time Series Modeling ◽  
Financial Indicators ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Trend Model ◽  
Modeling And Forecasting ◽  
S Model

The knowledge of economic and financial indicators is the basis of making right decisions and sound judgment with respect to investment and allocation scare of resources. Such important indicators include the consumer price index, which measures the change in the prices paid by households for goods and services consumed. A trigger in the consumer price in Ghana causes inflation which affects the purchasing power of its citizens. Knowledge of the trend of the CPI is crucial in economic planning. The study therefore sought to construct the appropriate time series model for the CPI and then use the model to predict the next nine months CPI. The study further sought to determine the type of trend model that characterizes the CPI. The Box-Jenkins methodology was adopted. The results of analysis showed SARIMA(2, 1, 1)(1, 0, 0)12 as most fitted time series model and was used to predict the consumer price index for the next nine months. The S-model was also found to be the appropriate trend model for the CPI. The SARIMA (2, 1, 1)(1, 0, 0)12 is recommended for forecasting consumer price index in Ghana.

Motivasi dan kepuasan kerja pegawai puskesmas BLUD dan non-BLUD Kabupaten Semarang

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 111
Author(s):  
Aswindar Adhi Gumilang ◽  
Tri Pitara Mahanggoro ◽  
Qurrotul Aini
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Job Satisfaction ◽  
Financial Management ◽  
Work Motivation ◽  
P Value ◽  
The Public ◽  
The Status ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Demand For Health ◽  
Public Demand

The public demand for health service professionalism and transparent financial management made some Puskesmas in Semarang regency changed the status of public health center to BLUD. The implementation of Puskesmas BLUD and non-BLUD requires resources that it can work well in order to meet the expectations of the community. The aim of this study is to know the difference of work motivation and job satisfaction of employees in Puskesmas BLUD and non-BLUD. Method of this research is a comparative descriptive with a quantitative approach. The object of this research are work motivation and job satisfaction of employees in Puskesmas BLUD and non-BLUD Semarang regency. This Research showed that Sig value. (P-value) work motivation variable was 0.019 smaller than α value (0.05). It showed that there was a difference of work motivation of employees in Puskemas BLUD and non-BLUD. Sig value (P-value) variable of job satisfaction was 0.020 smaller than α value (0.05). It showed that there was a difference of job satisfaction of BLUD and non-BLUD. The average of non-BLUD employees motivation were 76.59 smaller than the average of BLUD employees were 78.25. The average of job satisfaction of BLUD employees were 129.20 bigger than the average of non-BLUD employee were 124.26. Job satisfaction of employees in Puskesmas BLUD was higher than non-BLUD employees.

An econometric analysis of retail turnover in Russia

2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (6) ◽  
pp. 1133-1153
Author(s):  
A.T. Kozinova
Keyword(s):  
Household Income ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Import Substitution ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Strong Relationship ◽  
Econometric Analysis ◽  
Retail Trade ◽  
Economic Instability ◽  
Consumer Prices ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators

Subject. The article deals with econometric analysis of retail turnover in Russia and its relationship with macroeconomic indicators, like real disposable household income, consumer prices, etc. Objectives. The purpose is to create effective models to analyze the retail turnover in Russia and its relationship with other macroeconomic indicators, taking into account the existence of periods of economic instability. Methods. I apply correlation and regression methods to analyze statistics. To quantify changes in the retail turnover of Russia during the periods of economic instability, I use dummy variables. Results. The Russia’s retail trade turnover index had a reverse and moderate relationship with the consumer price index, direct and strong relationship with the indices of real disposable household income and imports, direct relationship with the manufacturing index. I offer statistically significant regression models of Russia’s retail turnover with the said macroeconomic indicators. Conclusions. The main advantage of models of retail turnover that are built using a large number of observations is a greater number of simultaneously considered factors. The quantitative assessment of retail turnover elasticity by consumer prices confirms the need for inflation targeting by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation. The higher elasticity of retail turnover in manufacturing as compared with the imports denotes the importance of import substitution policy.

scholarly journals Statement of Cash Flow - Operational Activity versus financial indicators of liquidity in the analysis of financial management

2011 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
José Roberto De Souza Francisco ◽  
Aline Rabelo Assis ◽  
Hudson Fernandes Amaral ◽  
Luiz Alberto Bertucci
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Financial Management ◽  
Financial Indicators ◽  
Operational Activity

Um dos assuntos mais preocupantes para a administração das organizações é a questão da liquidez, na qual está associada ao risco e a rentabilidade do negócio. Neste sentido uma pergunta se coloca: Qual a relação entre o fluxo de caixa operacional e a liquidez da empresa? O objetivo deste artigo é verificar a relação entre a movimentação do fluxo de caixa operacional e os indicadores de liquidez com o intuito de verificar se existe uma maior eficiência na atividade de fluxo de caixa operacional corresponde à eficácia no desempenho dos índices de liquidez da empresas. Sabendo-se que a matéria-prima dos bancos é o recurso financeiro, este artigo procura pesquisar a movimentação do fluxo de caixa operacional em relação aos indicadores de liquidez da empresa. Utilizou-se a correlação entre o fluxo de caixa operacional e os indicadores de liquidez, em seguida a regressão linear para verificar a referência que os índices de liquidez exercem sofre o fluxo de caixa operacional. Conclui-se que existe pouca intensidade de relacionamento entre as variáveis fluxo de caixa operacional e índices de liquidez das instituições financeiras do setor bancos listadas na BOVESPA, constantes da Governança Corporativa, no período de 2008 e 2009.

scholarly journals Esham, the Origin of Sukuk for Facing the Crisis: Historical Experience

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 45
Author(s):  
Khairunnisa Musari
Keyword(s):  
Lower Cost ◽  
Low Cost ◽  
Foreign Debt ◽  
Historical Experience ◽  
The Public ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
The Past ◽  
State Budgets ◽  
The Difference ◽  
The Government

Pandemic brings a crisis. This makes world leaders have to work hard and smartly in managing state budgets. During the heyday of Islam, Muslims also faced crises. Given that time the power of Islam mastered many areas of the world, it can be assumed that the crisis that occurred in the past was a global crisis as it is happening today. The difference is the crisis that occurred at the time because of losing the war. This paper tries to describe the historical experience of the esham, one of the fiscal instruments in the Islamic world that helped the Ottoman Empire overcome the crisis. Esham has mobilized low-cost funds from the public in a relatively concise time. Esham served as a better choice than looking for foreign debt. As the origin of sukuk, esham has simpler structure so that can be used as an alternative to sukuk with a lower cost. To deal with a crisis, esham may intervene in the economy. Esham funds to the real sector in turn will help the government drive the economy as well as control prices in the market for goods and services. Therefore, esham has the potential in facing the crisis.

scholarly journals Unraveling the association between socioeconomic diversity and consumer price index in a tourism country

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan Leng ◽  
Nakash Ali Babwany ◽  
Alex Pentland
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Ethnic Diversity ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Modern Society ◽  
Mobile Phone Data ◽  
Diversity Measures ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
The Relationship

AbstractDiversity has tremendous value in modern society. Economic theories suggest that cultural and ethnic diversity may contribute to economic development and prosperity. To date, however, the correspondence between diversity measures and the economic indicators, such as the Consumer Price Index, has not been quantified. This is primarily due to the difficulty in obtaining data on the micro behaviors and macroeconomic indicators. In this paper, we explore the relationship between diversity measures extracted from large-scale and high-resolution mobile phone data, and the CPIs in different sectors in a tourism country. Interestingly, we show that diversity measures associate strongly with the general and sectoral CPIs, using phone records in Andorra. Based on these strong predictive relationships, we construct daily, and spatial maps to monitor CPI measures at a high resolution to complement existing CPI measures from the statistical office. The case study on Andorra used in this study contributes to two growing literature: linking diversity with economic outcomes, and macro-economic monitoring with large-scale data. Future study is required to examine the relationship between the two measures in other countries.

scholarly journals Törnqvist Formula for Сalculating a Consumer Price Index in Russia: Theory and Practice

2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (5) ◽  
pp. 87-94
Author(s):  
М. A. Kozlova
Keyword(s):  
Price Index ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Theory And Practice ◽  
Consumer Market ◽  
Country Level ◽  
Consumer Prices ◽  
Realistic Description ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Main Consumer

The article reflects the author’s position on the adjustment of the so-called substitution bias, which affects the value of the consumer price index, currently calculated using the Laspeyres formula. The author proposes a solution to the problem of the adequacy of statistical measurements of the dynamics of consumer prices in the case when, as a result of changing cost of the consumer basket, a buyer replaces a relatively expensive product with a relatively cheaper one. This solution is based on the existing index construction methodology (axiomatic, economic and stochastic approaches). The article substantiates the use of the Törnqvist formula, which has better properties in comparison with other formulae used in the construction of superlative indices. The authors calculated the Törnqvist price index for Russia based on Rosstat methodology and data using country-level quarterly group price indices and shares of consumer spending. To evaluate the results of empirical testing Laspeyres price index was compiled using the same quarterly data as the Törnqvist index. The values of the Törnqvist price index in most cases are less than the price dynamics obtained according to the Laspeyres formula. This conclusion is proved both theoretically and empirically, and it is confirmed for Russia as well. However, due to the non-observance of the conditions of smooth trends in consumer prices, the difference between the values of the Törnqvist and Laspeyres indices is significantly larger in certain quarters than that presented in empirical studies in other countries. Consumer price index, calculated using the Törnqvist formula, in the system of indicators of price statistics in Russia can be defined as an indicator that specifies the main consumer price index. Calculation of its value is necessary for a more realistic description of the processes taking place in the consumer market.

scholarly journals THE EFFECTIVENESS OF ENSURING THE FINANCIAL STABILITY OF THE RESTAURANT BUSINESS IN THE CRISIS COVID-19

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liudmyla Batchenko ◽  
◽  
Liliia Honchar ◽  
Andrii Beliak ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Financial Management ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Hospitality Industry ◽  
Business Environment ◽  
Financial Indicators ◽  
Financial Condition ◽  
The Matrix ◽  
A Chain ◽  
Key Indicators ◽  
Enterprise Policy

The study identifies and systematizes key indicators and criteria for ensuring the financial stability of the restaurant business. The complex and thorough analysis of features of maintenance of financial stability of the enterprises of restaurant business on an example of one of restaurants of a chain of the Japanese kitchen of LLC «Sushiya» is carried out. After analyzing the key indicators of financial and economic activity of the restaurant, using the method of complex calculation of the rating of the financial condition of enterprises in the hospitality industry, the level of financial stability of the studied enterprise is determined. Based on the results of practice-oriented analysis, the ranking of financial management goals by the degree of impact on the financial stability of the enterprise. The mechanism of ensuring financial stability of restaurant business enterprises is modeled. The developed and substantiated mechanism is based on a unique methodology, which, unlike existing ones, is adapted to the field of hospitality, is carried out by specific tactical and strategic tools of financial management, based on the chosen type of enterprise policy; takes into account the dynamics of the main financial indicators of the enterprise, which is planned to implement the mechanism and the possible impact of factors of the external changing business environment. With the help of the matrix of financial strategies of J. Franchon and I. Romane, the position of the restaurant «Sushiya-Lavina» is determined and the methodological tools for improving the efficiency of its financial stability are substantiated.

scholarly journals ANALISIS DETERMINASI INFLASI DI INDONESIA

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-96
Author(s):  
Ari Mulianta Ginting
Keyword(s):  
Money Supply ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Community Needs ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Public Consumption ◽  
High Inflation ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
The Government

Inflation is one of the macroeconomic indicators of concern for the government. The high inflation rate could disrupt the economy. This study tried to analyze the factors that cause inflation in Indonesia. This study used a qualitative and quantitative approach using secondary data period 2004-2014. The results of the qualitative analysis showed that in the period 204-2014 inflation rate in Indonesia was fluctuated  While the results of the regression analysis VECM, indicating that the inflation rate in Indonesia is influenced by the variable of  exchange rate, money supply and level of consumption. While the GDP variable has a negative influence on inflation. In order to control the inflation rate the government could use macroeconomic variables such as exchange rates, the money supply well. Besides controlling public consumption at a good level and increase the production of goods and services to meet community needs.   Inflasi merupakan salah satu indikator ekonomi makro perhatian bagi pemerintah. Tingkat inflasi yang tinggi dapat mengganggu perekonomian. Penelitian ini mencoba untuk menganalisis faktor-faktor yang menyebabkan inflasi di Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kualitatif dan kuantitatif dengan menggunakan periode data sekunder 2004-2014. Hasil analisis kualitatif menunjukkan bahwa tingkat inflasi periode 204-2014 di Indonesia berfluktuasi. Sementara hasil VECM menunjukkan bahwa tingkat inflasi di Indonesia dipengaruhi oleh variabel nilai tukar, uang beredar dan tingkat konsumsi. Sementara itu variabel GDP memiliki pengaruh negatif pada inflasi. Untuk mengendalikan tingkat inflasi pemerintah dapat menggunakan variabel ekonomi makro seperti nilai tukar, uang memasok baik. Selain mengendalikan konsumsi masyarakat pada tingkat yang baik dan meningkatkan produksi barang dan jasa untuk memenuhi kebutuhan masyarakat.

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