National and regional type I and II input—output multipliers: Analysis of calculation methods

2021 ◽  
pp. 32-57
Author(s):  
A. V. Cherniavsky ◽  
A. A. Chepel

The main application of input—output models is the analysis and forecasting of impact that changes in the final consumption volume and composition have on the production structure. The paper presents results of type I and II multipliers calculation for national and regional (evidence from Moscow) economies based on the input—output tables for 2016 for aggregated economic activities. The attention is devoted first of all to structural aspects of multiplicative effects and to the analysis of the variability of regional multipliers calculation results depending on the approaches. To derive regional multipliers we apply location quotient-based approaches. We show that national type II (including induced effects) and regional multipliers estimations may be highly sensitive to the estimation technique choice. Results from such calculations should be interpreted with consideration to differences of the used techniques and their tendencies to under- or overestimate effects of the final consumption structural changes.

2018 ◽  
Vol 69 (1) ◽  
pp. 20-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
Neven Ivandić ◽  
Ivan Šutalo

In order to understand the contribution of tourism to the economy and the effects of possible structural changes during the tourism boom that Croatia is currently facing, the article focuses on the place and role of tourism in the Croatian economy and its impact on the output of the most relevant industries. The aim of the paper is to estimate the contribution of tourism to the gross domestic product of Croatia and to measure the multiplicative effects of tourism consumption on the different industries of the economy during a nine year period, based on a specific methodological framework, which integrates tourism satellite and input-output models in three different years. The analysis has provided an approximation of the total tourist industry contribution to the national economy, ranging from 14.2 to 16.3 percent of the gross value added of the whole of the economy. It concludes that tourism consumption has a positive effect on both tourism and non-tourism products and activities. Improvement of the quality of the research within the input-output framework requires the process of the fractionalization of input-output tables but also a more precise extraction of activities characteristic of tourism than there has previously been.


2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 47-60 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aleksandra Mihnenoka ◽  
Maija Senfelde

Abstract Structural changes taking place in national and regional economy may vary across nations and regions, causing socio-economic differentiation. This research is focused on analysis of the employment structure, its changes and influence on the level of social welfare, and its deepening of economic disparities between Latvian regions. We apply a comparative statistical analysis based on two tools: the Location Quotient and shift-share analysis, using official Latvian statistical data on employment and income with a breakdown by ten groups of economic activities for the period from 2008 to 2016. The obtained results indicate that the changes in the employment structure during the studied period had a noticeable impact on regional differentiation in Latvia. The authors have discovered that although employment concentration varies across Latvian regions, it remains remarkably stable over time, with occasional re-employment shifts occurring not always in the direction of industries providing higher income, which causes further regional socio-economic differentiation in Latvia.


1986 ◽  
Vol 18 (9) ◽  
pp. 1189-1207
Author(s):  
B Ó Huallacháin

The conventional approach to assessing structural change in regional input – output tables is to measure the impact of coefficient change on the estimation of outputs and multipliers. The methods developed and tested in this paper focus exclusively on the coefficients. Univariate and multivariate statistical analyses can be used to identify and measure various types of changes ranging from coefficient instability to changes in interindustry relationships as a system. A distinction is made between structural changes in input relationships and those in output relationships. The methods are tested by using Washington State data for the years 1963 and 1967. The results are compared with previous analyses of change in these data.


2010 ◽  
Vol 5 (9) ◽  
pp. 1934578X1000500
Author(s):  
Iris Stappen ◽  
Joris Höfinghoff ◽  
Gerhard Buchbauer ◽  
Peter Wolschann

Structural modifications of natural (-)-( Z)-β-santalol have shown that the sandalwood odor impression is highly sensitive, even to small structural changes. Particularly, the substitution of the quaternary carbon is of great influence on the scent. Epi-compounds with side chains in the endo-position possess sandalwood odor in only a few derivatives, whereas modifications at this side chain, as well as modification at the bicyclic ring systems mostly lead to a complete loss of sandalwood fragrance.


Neurosurgery ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 81 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-44 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jörg Klekamp

Abstract BACKGROUND: The clinical significance of pathologies of the spinal dura is often unclear and their management controversial. OBJECTIVE: To classify spinal dural pathologies analogous to vascular aneurysms, present their symptoms and surgical results. METHODS: Among 1519 patients with spinal space-occupying lesions, 66 patients demonstrated dural pathologies. Neuroradiological and surgical features were reviewed and clinical data analyzed. RESULTS: Saccular dural diverticula (type I, n = 28) caused by defects of both dural layers, dissections between dural layers (type II, n = 29) due to defects of the inner layer, and dural ectasias (type III, n = 9) related to structural changes of the dura were distinguished. For all types, symptoms consisted of local pain followed by signs of radiculopathy or myelopathy, while one patient with dural ectasia presented a low-pressure syndrome and 10 patients with dural dissections additional spinal cord herniation. Type I and type II pathologies required occlusion of their dural defects via extradural (type I) or intradural (type II) approaches. For type III pathologies of the dural sac no surgery was recommended. Favorable results were obtained in all 14 patients with type I and 13 of 15 patients with type II pathologies undergoing surgery. CONCLUSION: The majority of dural pathologies involving root sleeves remain asymptomatic, while those of the dural sac commonly lead to pain and neurological symptoms. Type I and type II pathologies were treated with good long-term results occluding their dural defects, while ectasias of the dural sac (type III) were managed conservatively.


1974 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 321-338 ◽  
Author(s):  
A Rose

A two-component model is presented for the analysis of the economic impact of pollution abatement. The primary component is a dynamic input-output system in which the structure of the economy is related to the level of environmental control as well as to time. A submodel, which consists of the various abatement activities within each industry, is used to explore the underlying nature of structural changes which take place as a result of changes in environmental regulations. The usefulness of the overall model for policy and planning purposes is illustrated by an example in which the submodel is transformed into a linear-programming format.


2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 194-211 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongqi Feng ◽  
Tianshu Zhang

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to provide a better understanding of the driving forces and structural changes of China as a market provider for Korea. This paper gives the answers for the following questions: How do China’s final demands trigger the growth of its imports from Korea? And what’s the impact of China’s final demands on the import in different industries? Design/methodology/approach Based on the Multi-Regional Input-Output model and World Input-Output Table database, this paper constructs the non-competitive imports input-output (IO) table of China to Korea. According to this table, we can calculate the induced imports coefficient and comprehensive induced import coefficients of China’s four final demands for imports from Korea in the 56 industries in China. Findings Among the four driving forces, the strongest one is changes in inventories and valuables. The impact of final consumption expenditure and fixed capital formation is much lower than that of changes in inventories and valuables, but they have a broader impact for the 56 industries. This paper finds out the China’s import induction of the final demands to Korea peaked in 2005 and 2010 and decreased greatly in 2014, so the position of China as market provider for Korea will no longer rise substantially, contrarily it will be in a steady state. Originality/value First, this paper constructs the non-competitive IO table to analyze the market provider issues between two countries and provides practical ways and methods for studies on the issues of imports and market provider. Second, this paper investigates the different roles of four final demands on driving force of China as market provider for Korea and the structural changes of China as a market provider for Korea among 56 industries from 2000 to 2014.


2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 167 ◽  
Author(s):  
Truong Hong Trinh

Industry cluster is frequently mentioned in the literature of the regional economic development, but there are a few studies about identifying competitive clusters in the region. For this reason, the paper approaches cluster analysis for identifying competitive clusters in Central Vietnam. From location quotient and shift-share analysis, the result reveals that tourism cluster is a competitive cluster for the regional economic development. Then, the study develops the tourism cluster in central Vietnam that includes tourism cluster profile, tourism production network, and tourism value chain. Moreover, the study result provides a basic framework for industry cluster analysis that help policy makers and economic developers to understand economic activities, characteristics of competitive cluster and supranational characters in the regional economy, then deliver strategy and policies for tourism cluster development of Central Vietnam.


2017 ◽  
Vol 17(32) (1) ◽  
pp. 206-215
Author(s):  
Piotr Szajner

Economic activities are featured with certain cycles. The cycles can concern the whole economy as well as particular sectors. The dairy industry is one of the branches that are of high importance in Polish and the world as regards food sector. Polish dairy industry faced deep structural changes and modernisation. After the accession to the EU domestic market is strongly linked to both the EU and the world markets. The production in Poland exceeds consumption by ca 20%. The surplus is exported, which ties up the situation on the domestic market with the situation on international markets. Conducted analysis of the domestic and the world markets of milk skimmed powder showed parallel fluctuations. Domestic prices and the prices on the world markets are strongly correlated. The knowledge on the characteristics of those fluctuations allows stakeholders for a proper risk management as well as elaboration of suitable policy options by government administration.


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