scholarly journals Economic Factors Affecting Rice Price Fluctuation in North Sumatera

Author(s):  
Mariana Eva Yanti ◽  
Octasella Ainani As’ad ◽  
Faiz Ahmad Sibuea

The research approach method is a qualitative approach. The method of data collection is secondary data, secondary data needed is obtained from relevant agencies, namely from the Central Bureau of Statistics and the Department of Agriculture as well as other literature related to research. The analytical method used is descriptive analysis and analysis of Vector Auto Regression (VAR). The results showed that: 1) The dominant factors affecting rice prices in North Sumatra are 2, the first is 60% production because the higher the production of rice, the price of rice will decline and the lower the production, the price of rice will increase and the second factor is 38% inflation because if the price of rice continues to increase there will be inflation, but it is different from the fact that rice prices fluctuate due to the stability of rice prices. 2) Factors that affect rice prices in North Sumatra in the short term are significant, namely inflation and in the long term there are five significant factors, namely production (prod), harvest area (field), income (inc), consumption (cons) ) and inflation (inf). 3) From Impulse Response Function Analysis, it can be seen that the factors that influence rice prices in North Sumatra can be seen as stability, namely the production variable (Prod) reaches stability in the 25th period, the penen variable (Field) reaches stability in the period 28, the consumption variable (Cons) reaches stability in the 25th period, the income (Inc) variable reaches stability in the 20th period, the inflation variable reaches stability in the 27th period. namely inflation and in the long term there are five significant factors, namely production (prod), harvest area (field), income (inc), consumption (cons) and inflation (inf).

2022 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 99-110
Author(s):  
Amir Fhad Sastranegara Harahap ◽  
Mochammad Munir

North Sumatra Province, where the second-highest oil palm productivity in Indonesia, has successfully reached fresh fruit bunches (FFB) production of 5,775,631.82 tons in 2016. However, the level of oil palm productivity tends to be unstable and low. The purpose of this study was to identify and analyze factors influencing the level of oil palm productivity at the Bah Jambi Plantation PTPN IV, Simalungun Regency, North Sumatra Province. The method used in this study was the qualitative descriptive analysis method by collecting secondary data at research locations at 4 Afdeling Kebun Bah Jambi PT. Nusantara IV Plantation. The results of correlation and regression analysis showed that soil factor such as organic C, soil pH, cation exchange capacity and the availability of soil N, P, K and Mg is the most dominant factors in influencing the amount of oil palm productivity which have determination coefficient (R2) more than 90%. Meanwhile, climate factors such as evapotranspiration, duration of light exposure, wind speed and rainfall have the most role in influencing oil palm productivity which has a coefficient of determination (R2) of 95%, 94%, 88% and 33%.


2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 169-183
Author(s):  
Melia Catherin ◽  
Budi Purwanto

PT X has a regional office in Bangka Belitung Island Province which has been decrease in sales, increase in credit and inventory which may lead to insolvency. The purposes of this research was (1) to analyze the financial performance of PT X to learn factors affecting insolvency possibilities; (2) to analyze company condition that indicate insolvency possibilities; (3) to analyze the added values which could be given by the company in an insolvency possibility; (4) to analyze the relation of added values that had been given by the company with insolvent condition possibility. The primary data were gathered by interview. Secondary data consisted of financial reports, journal literatures, thesis, and related books. The data were processed through descriptive analysis, financial ratio, Z-score Altman model, and EVA method. Based on the descriptive analysis result, PT X was suffering a possibility of bankruptcy that may affect firm value which was also decrease. The financial ratio showed that cash ratio, operational profit margin, inventory cycle, credit cycle ratio, assets cycle ratio were decrease, DER and DAR were decreasing from 2010 until 2012, but it roused significantly in 2013 and turned back to decrease significantly on 2014. The result form Z-Score model showed that the company was in gray area in 2011, the company condition went better in 2012, but it went back to gray area in 2013-2014. The EVA result showed that PT X produced positive and decreased in EVA value from 2010 until 2014.


2022 ◽  
pp. 205-228
Author(s):  
Ferimah Yusufi

Fiscal policies are changing due to the conditions required by the COVID-19 pandemic towards the new world order. Under these circumstances, developed countries use their resources for their citizens, and international financial institutions step in for underdeveloped and developing countries with insufficient public resources of their own or are in debt and offer new credit opportunities to these countries. This study aims to analyze how public expenditures, one of the important policies in economic growth and development, will change during and after the COVID-19 pandemic. In light of the findings obtained from the literature review, the economic effects of the pandemic are explained by making a descriptive analysis of secondary data at the levels of country groups classified according to development and income level. Secondly, factors affecting the changes in the public expenditure of countries due to the pandemic were examined, and evaluations are made on the public expenditures in fiscal policies that will ensure the economic recovery and growth of countries after the pandemic.


2019 ◽  
Vol 77 ◽  
pp. 02006
Author(s):  
Ivanova Irina

The paper presents a short characteristic of an off-grid zone in the eastern regions of the Russian Federation. The main problems of power supply to consumers in this zone are described, and possible options for solving them are provided. A methodological approach and model tools to estimate the efficiency of alternative options of power supply to off-grid consumers are described. The factors affecting the selection of a rational option of power supply in the off-grid zone are classified. We show the interconnection between the main significant factors (availability of grid infrastructure, local fuel resources, complexity of fuel delivery logistics, characteristics of accessible power-generating equipment, and environmental constraints) and their impact on economic indicators of alternative options. Based on the systematized results of long-term studies, we present a scheme designed to select a rational option of power supply to a particular off-grid consumer according to characteristics of the described factors. Keywords: Off-grid consumers, alternative options, impact of factors, economic indicators, methodological approach, simulation models, economic efficiency.


Author(s):  
I Putu Danendra Putra ◽  
I Gede Wardana

Rice is a basic and primary requirement of Balinese people as the main source of carbohydrates. Consumption rice in Bali Province continues to increase every year but not offset by increased rice production. This study aims to determine how the influence of rice prices, the number of residents, the number of visits of domestic tourists and the number of foreign tourists visiting the consumption of rice and bagimana Gross Regional Domestic Product (PDRB) moderate the influence of rice prices and the population of rice consumption. Sources of data used in this study are secondary data obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics Bali Province, Bali Provincial Agriculture Office, Bali Provincial Tourism Office and other related offices. The analysis used in this research is descriptive analysis and associative analysis using multiple linear regeresis analysis, moderating variable analysis. The result of analysis shows the number of population, the number of domestic tourist visit and the number of foreign tourist visit have positive and significant influence to the consumption of rice, while the price of rice have negative but insignificant effect to the consumption of Bali Provincial rice in 1983-2016. GRDP significantly strengthens the influence of rice prices and population on rice consumption of Bali Province in 1983-2016.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 180-189
Author(s):  
Ridwan Fadly ◽  
Yusniar Lubis ◽  
Faoeza Hafiz Saragih

This study aims to determine the potential of districts in North Sumatra Province in an effort to increase rice production in North Sumatra Province. The type of data used in this study is secondary data. The basic method used is descriptive analysis research method. The analytical tool used is Shift Share Analysis (SSA). The results of this study indicate; 1) districts that have potential harvested area in North Sumatra Province are Nias Barat district, Mandailing Natal District, South Tapanuli District, North Padang Lawas Regency, Central Tapanuli Regency, South Nias Regency, Padang Sidempuan Regency, Gunung Sitoli Regency, Tapanuli Regency North, Simalungun Regency, Binjai Regency, Labuhan Batu Regency, Langkat Regency; 2) Districts that have rice production potential in North Sumatra Province are Nias Regency, West Nias Regency, Mandailing Natal Regency, Padang Lawas Utara Regency, South Nias Regency, Padang Sidempuan District Gunung Sitoli, Tapanuli Utara Regency, Toba Samosir Regency, Regency Simalungun, Karo Regency, Batu Bara Regency, Asahan Regency, Binjai Regency; 3) Districts in North Sumatra Province which are the most potential areas, in the harvest area is North Padang Lawas Regency and the most potential area in rice production is Simalungun Regency


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 198-209
Author(s):  
Fitri Rahmawati Nasution ◽  
Moehammed Nawawiy Loebis

This journal is essential for social, economic, and government in the Meat Village. It is about a potentially marine tourism destination, located in Meat Village, Tampahan District, Toba Samosir Regency, North Sumatra Province. As one of the tourism destinations, this village needs to be developed, especially water transportation, which is supported by Lake Toba's natural resources. But it has been replaced by land and air transportation. On the other hand, water transportation has its privilege, namely giving a sense of being united with nature and listening to the gentle sound of water, which cannot be felt if using land or air transportation. Therefore, it requires a passenger port to facilitate tourists in accessing this tourism village through water transportation. This port consists of a passenger terminal that accommodates passengers' departure and arrival. The method used in site selection is done through discussion of primary data, namely data sources that directly provide data to data collectors and secondary data, that is, data that does not directly provide data to researchers, through other people or analyzed documents and concluded. The result of the methodology used is, this passenger terminal needs the Neo Vernacular Architecture approach for the design. Because the village has aspects of the past, such as Batak Toba culture and mythology that need to be preserved and introduced to the present as long-term projections for the future. This is useful to make the building becomes part of the Meat Village community.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 104-117
Author(s):  
Ahmad Yani Nasution

This study is entitled "A Review of Maqashid Al-Shari’ah Against the Protection of Orphans' Mental Life in the North Sumatra Governor Regulation No. 6 of 2017 Regarding Orphan Protection". The purpose of this study is First To find out how the protection of life in the Governor of South Sumatra No. 6 of 2017 concerning Protection of Orphans. Second To find out how Maqashid al-Syari’ah review of life protection in the Governor of South Sumatra No. 6 of 2017 concerning Protection of Orphans. In this study the authors used a descriptive analysis technique, which seeks to describe in general the efforts to protect the lives of orphans in South Sumatra local government regulation no 6 of 2017 concerning orphans, as viewed from Maqashid as-Syari’ah from secondary data in the form of books, scientific work of scholars, research results, articles, journals and documents that support this research. In this way the reader will get the results of research on the protection of the lives of orphans in the summit regulation regarding the protection of orphans. After analyzing the Governor's Regulation No. 6 of 2017 the author finally came to the conclusion that in the Governor's Regulation there is the principal of Maqashid Shari'ah, the Hifz Nafs. (preserving the soul). Abstrak Penelitian ini berjudul “Tinjauan Maqashid Al-Syari'ah Terhadap Perlindungan Jiwa Anak Yatimdalam Pergub Sumsel Nomor 6 Tahun 2017 Tentang Perlindungan Anak Yatim”. Adapun tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah Pertama Untuk mengetahui bagaimana perlindungan jiwa dalam Pergub Sumsel Nomor 6 Tahun 2017 tentang Perlindungan Anak Yatim. Kedua Untuk mengetahui bagaimana tinjauan Maqashid asy-Syri’ah terhadap perlindungan jiwa dalam Pergub Sumsel Nomor 6 Tahun 2017 tentang Perlindungan Anak Yatim. Dalam penelitian ini penulis mengunakan teknik analisis deskriptif, yaitu berusaha mengambarkan secara umum tentang upaya perlindungan jiwa terhadap anak yatim dalam Peraturan pemerintah daerah sumatera selatan no 6 tahun 2017 tentang anak yatim, yang ditinjau dari Maqashid as-Syari’ahdari data sekunder yang berupa buku- buku, hasil karya ilmia para sarjana, hasil-hasil penelitian, artikel, jurnal dan dokumen-dokumen yang mendukung penelitian ini. Dengan cara demikian pembaca akan mendapatkan hasil penelitian tentang perlindungan jiwa anak yatim dalam pergub sumsel tentang perlindungan anak yatim. Setelah menganalisa pergub sumsel nomor 6 tahun 2017 akhirnya penulis mendapat kesimpulan bahwa dalam pergub tersebut terdapat pokok maqashid syari’ah yaitu hifz nafs. (memelihara jiwa).


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Winta Ratna Sari

This study was to analyze the contribution rate (the rupiah against the U.S. dollar), Libor Interest Rate, Inflation and Output Growth (GDP) of the current account balance in Indonesia. The data used in this study secondary data is sourced from Indonesia Financial Statistics. The data used is the data quarterly from the first quarter of 2000 up to 2010 fourth quarter. The results of the estimated Vector Autoregression (VAR) indicates that there is a relationship between the Current Account, Exchange Rate, Libor Interest Rate, Inflation and GDP at lag t-1. Impulse response function of the stability of the first note that all variables are in the long run that is over 5 years and tend to be stable. This means that in the short term variables that are used do not provide a meaningful contribution in the long term but will mutually contribute to each other. Variance Decomposition Based on these results, it is known that all variables contributed to the Current Account, but his greatest contribution is of the variable itself, this means that the current account tends to a variable receiving contributions rather than giving contributions


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 286
Author(s):  
Syaiful Muhyidin ◽  
Achmad Abubakar ◽  
M. Sabir Umar ◽  
Munir Munir

This paper elaborates on the application of the Safinda method in learning the translation of al-Quran for students at IAIN Fattahul Muluk Papua. This type is qualitative research, the research approach is a phenomenological perspective and a descriptive analysis approach, and data sources are primary data and secondary data, data collection techniques through observation, interviews, and documentation. The research instrument, namely, the researcher as a key instrument, observation guide, interview guide and documentation reference, data processing and analysis techniques namely data reduction, data presentation, conclusion and verification, data validity testing, namely triangulation techniques, checking the correctness of the information, discussing and consulting data, and extending research time. The results of the study found that the application of the Safinda method in learning the translation of al-Quran to students at IAIN Fattahul Muluk Papua was carried out by (a) paying attention to class management which included classroom arrangement and student management before entering preliminary activities; (b) in the introductory activity, the lecturer starts learning effectively and pleasantly by providing motivation to students; (c) the core activities are carried out through reading activities, aural-oral activities, and memorizing activities are all carried out classically and individually, namely the lecturer reads word for word followed by students, lecturers and students read word for word, students read word for word, the lecturer interprets it, the students interpret all the verses that have been read together, the students read one by one, then the lecturer gives the opportunity to students who do not understand to ask questions, and finally the lecturer explains all the verses that have been studied together. 


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