scholarly journals Predictive Value of Measures of Vascular Calcification Burden and Progression for Risk of Death in Incident to Dialysis Patients

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 376
Author(s):  
Antonio Bellasi ◽  
Luca Di Lullo ◽  
Domenico Russo ◽  
Roberto Ciarcia ◽  
Michele Magnocavallo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Vascular Calcification ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Independent Study ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
Framingham Risk ◽  
Increase Risk ◽  
Cv Disease ◽  
Post Hoc

Background: Vascular calcification (VC) is a marker of cardiovascular (CV) disease and various methods allow for presence and extension assessment in different arterial districts. Nevertheless, it is currently unclear which one of these methods for VC evaluation best predict outcome and if this piece of information adds to the predictive value of traditional CV risk factors in patients receiving hemodialysis (HD). Methods: data of 184 of the 466 patients followed in the Independent study (NCT00710788) were post hoc examined to assess the association three concurrent measures of vascular calcification and all-cause survival. Specifically, coronary artery calcification (CAC) was determined by the Agatston and the volume score while abdominal aorta calcification was determined by plain X-ray of the lumbar spine (Kauppila score (KS)). Survival and regression models as well as metrics of risk recalculation were used to test the association of VC and outcome beyond the Framingham risk score. Results: Middle-age (62.6(15.8) years) men (51%) and women (49%) starting HD were analyzed. Over 36 (median 36; interquartile range: 8–36) months of follow-up 69 patients expired. Each measure of VC (CAC or KS) predicted all-cause mortality independently factors commonly associated with all-cause survival (p < 0.001). Far more importantly, each measurement of VC significantly improved risk prediction and patient reclassification (p < 0.001) beyond traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Conclusions: Overall, presence and extension of VC, irrespective of the arterial site, predict risk of all-cause of death in patients starting hemodialysis. Of note, both CAC and KS increase risk stratification beyond traditional CV risk factors. However, future efforts are needed to assess whether a risk-based approach encompassing VC screening to guide HD patient management improves survival.

FC 108BASELINE AND CORONARY ARTERY CALCIFICATION PROGRESSION MODULATES THE RISK OF DEATH  IN INCIDENT TO DIALYSIS PATIENTS

2021 ◽  
Vol 36 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Antonio Bellasi ◽  
Luca Di Lullo ◽  
Domenico Russo ◽  
Carlo Ratti ◽  
Mario Gennaro Cozzolino ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Coronary Artery ◽  
Coronary Artery Calcification ◽  
Independent Study ◽  
Phosphate Binders ◽  
Study Cohort ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Background and Aims It is estimated that Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) accounts for 5 to 10 million deaths annually, mainly due to cardiovascular (CV) diseases. Although traditional CV risk factors are prevalent, other non-traditional CV risk factors such as vascular calcification (VC) are believed to contribute to this disproportionate CV risk burden in CKD subjects. We sought to investigate the association of Coronary Artery Calcification (CAC) progression with all-cause mortality in a cohort of patients new to hemodialysis (HD). Method This is a post hoc analysis of the Independent study (NCT00710788) originally designed to test the impact of 2 different phosphate binder regimens on various hard as well as surrogate endpoint in HD subjects. A total of 412 (88.4% of the Independent study cohort) underwent repeated CAC quantification according to the Agatston methods at study inception as well as after 12 months of follow-up. The square root method was used to assess CAC progression (CACP) and survival analyses were used to check the association of CACP and all-cause mortality. Results 412 middle age (65 years) men and women (51.2%) were considered. Detectable CAC was present in about 2 out 3 patients (68.2%) at study inception. At 12 months of follow-up completion, about 1 out of 3 subjects (33.1%) experience a significant CACP. CACP was associated with older age and use of calcium-based phosphate binders. At study completion (median follow-up: 36 months) 106 patients expired of all-cause. Age, diabetes mellitus, atherosclerotic CV events, baseline CAC extension were predictors of unfavorable outcome. Multivariable adjusted analysis confirmed an independent association of both baseline CAC (Hazard Ratio 1.29; 95% Confidence Interval: 1.17-1.44) and CACP (HR: 5.16; 95%CI: 2.61-10.21) with all-cause mortality. However, CACP diminished the risk associated with baseline CAC (p for interaction term 0.002) and use of calcium-free phosphate binders significantly weakened the link between CACP (HR. 1.95; 95%CI: 0.92-4.16) and mortality Conclusion Baseline CAC as well as CACP predict mortality in incident to HD individuals. Nevertheless, CACP mitigates the risk associated with baseline CAC and calcium-free phosphate binders attenuates the association of CACP and mortality, suggesting that CACP modulation may impact survival in this population

scholarly journals Prognostic Value of D-dimer in patients with acute coronary syndrome treated by percutaneous coronary intervention: a retrospective cohort study

2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Runzhen Chen ◽  
Chen Liu ◽  
Peng Zhou ◽  
Yu Tan ◽  
Zhaoxue Sheng ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Percutaneous Coronary Intervention ◽  
Prognostic Value ◽  
Coronary Intervention ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
Clinical Risk ◽  
Percutaneous Coronary ◽  
D Dimer

Abstract Background Associations between D-dimer and outcomes of patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS) remain controversial. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of D-dimer in ACS patients treated by percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Methods In this observational study, 3972 consecutive patients with ACS treated by PCI were retrospectively recruited. The X-tile program was used to determine the optimal D-dimer thresholds for risk stratifications. Cox regression with multiple adjustments was used for outcome analysis. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis was performed to assess the dose-response association between D-dimer and outcomes. The C-index was calculated to evaluate the additional prognostic value of D-dimer when added to clinical risk factors and commonly used clinical risk scores, with internal validations using bootstrapping methods. The primary outcome was all-cause death. Results During a median follow-up of 720 days, 225 deaths occurred. Based on the thresholds generated by X-tile, ACS-PCI patients with median (420–1150 ng/mL, hazard ratio [HR]: 1.58, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.14–2.20, P = 0.007) and high (≥ 1150 ng/mL, HR: 1.98, 95 % CI: 1.36–2.89, P < 0.001) levels of D-dimer showed substantially higher risk of death compared to those with low D-dimer (< 420 ng/mL). RCS analysis depicted a constant relation between D-dimer and various outcomes. The addition of D-dimer levels significantly improved risk predictions for all-cause death when combined with the fully adjusted models (C-index: 0.853 vs. 0.845, P difference = 0.021), the GRACE score (C-index: 0.826 vs. 0.814, P difference = 0.027), and the TIMI score (C-index: 0.804 vs. 0.776, P difference < 0.001). The predicted mortality at the median follow-up (two years) was 1.7 %, 5.2 %, and 10.9 % for patients with low, median, and high D-dimer, respectively, which was well matched with the observed mortality (low D-dimer group: 1.2 %, median D-dimer group: 5.2 %, and high D-dimer group: 12.6 %). Conclusions For ACS patients treated by PCI, D-dimer level was an independent predictor for adverse outcomes, and provided additional prognostic value when combined with clinical risk factors and risk scores. Risk stratifications based on D-dimer was plausible to differentiate ACS-PCI patients with higher risk of death.

Relationship between country income, socioeconomic factors and control of cardiovascular disease risk factors in patients with type 2 Diabetes: insights from the global DISCOVER registry

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
A Malik ◽  
H Chen ◽  
A Cooper ◽  
M Gomes ◽  
V Hejjaji ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Type 2 Diabetes ◽  
Optimal Control ◽  
Risk Factor ◽  
Socioeconomic Factors ◽  
Funding Source ◽  
Risk Factor Control ◽  
Cv Disease

Abstract Background In patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D), optimal management of cardiovascular (CV) risk factors is critical for primary prevention of CV disease. Purpose To describe the association of country income and patient socioeconomic factors with risk factor control in patients with T2D. Methods DISCOVER is a 37-country, prospective, observational study of 15,983 patients with T2D enrolled between January 2016 and December 2018 at initiation of 2nd-line glucose-lowering therapy and followed for 3 years. In patients without known CV disease with sub-optimally controlled risk factors at baseline, we examined achievement of risk factor control (HbA1c &lt;7%, BP &lt;140/90 mmHg, appropriate statin) at the 3 year follow-up. Countries were stratified by gross national income (GNI)/capita, per World Bank report. We explored variability across countries in risk factor control achievement using hierarchical logistic regression models and examined the association of country- and patient-level economic factors with risk factor control. Results Among 9,613 patients with T2D but without CV disease (mean age 57.2 years, 47.9% women), 83.1%, 37.5%, and 66.3% did not have optimal control of glucose, BP, and statins, respectively, at baseline. Of these, 40.8%, 55.5%, and 28.6% achieved optimal control at 3 years of follow-up. There was substantial variability in achievement of risk factor control across countries (Figure) but no association of country GNI/capita on achievement of risk factor control (Table). Insurance status, which differed substantially by GNI group, was strongly associated with glycemic control, with no insurance and public insurance associated with lower odds of patients achieving HbA1c &lt;7%. Conclusions In a global cohort of patients with T2D, a substantial proportion do not achieve risk factor control even after 3 years of follow-up. The variability across countries in risk factor control is not explained by the GNI/capita of the country. Proportion of patients at goal Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Private company. Main funding source(s): The DISCOVER study is funded by AstraZeneca

Assessment of microalbuminuria and ankle-brachial index in outpatients with schizophrenia treated with antipsychotics - a possible predictors of cardiovascular disease

2011 ◽  
Vol 26 (S2) ◽  
pp. 1436-1436
Author(s):  
R. Malý ◽  
D. Kalnická ◽  
J. Masopust ◽  
K. Minářová ◽  
M. Vašatová ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Ankle Brachial Index ◽  
Systolic Pressure ◽  
Framingham Risk ◽  
Excess Morbidity ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Artery Disease ◽  
Glucose Tolerance Status ◽  
Cv Disease ◽  
Obesity Hypertension

Schizophrenia and related psychoses are associated with excess morbidity and mortality from cardiovascular (CV) disease. Microalbuminuria (MA) is associated with an increased risk of CV disease and mortality. This association is independent of other known CV risk factors such as hypertension, dyslipidemia, obesity, smoking, and impaired renal function. The ankle brachial index (ABI), which is the ratio of systolic pressure at the ankle to that in the arm, is quick and easy to measure and has been used to confirm the diagnosis and assess the severity of peripheral artery disease. Low ABI has been related to an increased incidence of total and CV mortality and CV events. The objective of prospective pilot study was to determine MA and ABI as well as the prevalence of CV risk factors (glucose tolerance status, lipids levels, obesity, hypertension, smoking) and assessment of Framingham risk score in patients with schizophrenia treated with antipsychotic drugs. The study included thirty-three outpatient subjects (female, n = 16), aged 21–66 years. The exclusion criteria included urinary infection and presence of diabetes mellitus. Three patients (7,7%) has abnormal (>26 mg/d) levels of MA, non of ABI.In conclusion, stratification by MA can help identify a high-risk subset of nondiabetic patients with schizophrenia in risk of CV events.

COVID-19 and hematologic diseases: Risk factors and long-term follow-up of CHRONOS19 Registry.

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e18715-e18715
Author(s):  
Kristina Zakurdaeva ◽  
Olga A. Gavrilina ◽  
Anastasia N. Vasileva ◽  
Sergei Dubov ◽  
Vitaly S. Dubov ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Mechanical Ventilation ◽  
Disease Progression ◽  
Primary Endpoint ◽  
Acute Leukemias ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Long Term Follow Up

e18715 Background: Pts with hem diseases are at high risk of COVID-19 severe course and mortality. Emerging data on risk factors and outcomes in this patient population is of great value for developing strategies of medical care. Methods: CHRONOS19 is an ongoing nationwide observational cohort study of adult (≥18 y) pts with hem disease (both malignant and non-malignant) and lab-confirmed or suspected (clinical symptoms and/or CT) COVID-19. Primary objective was to evaluate treatment outcomes. Primary endpoint was 30-day all-cause mortality. Long-term follow-up was performed at 90 and 180 days. Data from 14 centers was collected on a web platform and managed in a deidentified manner. Results: As of data cutoff on January 27, 2021, 575 pts were included in the registry, 486 of them eligible for primary endpoint assessment, n(%): M/F 243(50%)/243(50%), median age 56 [18-90], malignant disease in 452(93%) pts, induction phase/R/R/remission 160(33%)/120(25%)/206(42%). MTA in 93(19%) pts, 158(33%) were transfusion dependent, comorbidities in 278(57%) pts. Complications in 335(69%) pts: pneumonia (67%), CRS (8%), ARDS (7%), sepsis (6%). One-third of pts had severe COVID-19, 25% were admitted to ICU, 20% required mechanical ventilation. All-cause mortality at 30 days – 17%; 80% due to COVID-19 complications. At 90 days, there were 14 new deaths: 6 (43%) due to hem disease progression. Risk factors significantly associated with OS are listed in Tab 1. In multivariate analysis – ICU+mechanical ventilation, HR, 53.3 (29.1-97.8). Acute leukemias were associated with higher risk of death, HR, 2.40 (1.28-4.51), less aggressive diseases (CML, CLL, MM, non-malignant) – with lower risk of death, HR, 0.54 (0.37-0.80). No association between time of COVID-19 diagnosis (Apr-Aug vs. Sep-Jan) and risk of death. COVID-19 affected treatment of hem disease in 65% of pts, 58% experienced treatment delay for a median of 4[1-10] weeks. Relapse rate on Day 30 and 90 – 4%, disease progression on Day 90 detected in 13(7%) pts; 180-day data was not mature at the time of analysis. Several cases of COVID-19 re-infection were described. Conclusions: Thirty-day all-cause mortality in pts with hem disease was higher than in general population with COVID-19. Longer-term follow-up (180 days) for hem disease outcomes and OS will be presented. [Table: see text]

Predictive value of classical risk factors and their control in coronary patients: a follow-up of the EUROASPIRE I cohort

2003 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 289-295 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dirk De Bacquer ◽  
Guy De Backer ◽  
Erika ??st??r ◽  
Jaroslav Simon ◽  
Kalevi Py??r??l??
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Coronary Patients

Essential Thrombocythaemia in Young Adults: Clinical Characteristics and Outcomes – a Single Center Experience

Blood ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 120 (21) ◽  
pp. 5060-5060
Author(s):  
Grace Kam ◽  
Richard Yiu ◽  
Ai Leen Ang ◽  
Yvonne SM Loh ◽  
Yeh Ching Linn ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Disease Progression ◽  
Young Patients ◽  
Medical Attention ◽  
Thrombotic Risk ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Thrombosis Rate

Abstract Abstract 5060 Less than 20% of patients with essential thrombocythemia (ET) are diagnosed below the age of 60. Patients with ET have increased risk of thrombosis and bleeding and potential for progression to myelofibrosis (MF) or acute myeloid leukaemia (AML). In limited studies of young patients, the clinical course has been relatively benign with low rates of transformation to AML or MF. Thrombohemorrhagic events are generally few, but higher than that of the general population. This study aims to characterize of a group ET patients diagnosed at age ≤40, their thrombotic and hemorrhagic events, disease progression and treatment given. Patients were identified through a single institution MPN registry. This is an IRB approved registry that captures comprehensive information about patients with ET. Data on patient demographics, treatment, and disease-related events were obtained. Patients were diagnosed from 1975–2011, using either WHO or PVSG criteria depending on date of diagnosis. Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analysis. 59 patients were diagnosed with ET at age ≤40. Median age of diagnosis was 31. 5years (range 16–40), with a median follow up of 7. 7years (0. 4–33. 8). All were of Asian descent: 81. 4% Chinese, 11. 9% Malay, 3. 4% Indian and 3. 4% Filipino. 40. 7% were male. JAK2 V617F mutation was screened for in 61%. Of these patients, 11 were positive, 25 negative for the mutation. Mean presenting counts were: WBC 10. 7 × 109/L (5. 9–21. 3), Hb 13. 6g/dL (9. 7–16. 4), platelets 957 × 109/L (449–2377). Splenomegaly was noted in 3 patients. 20. 3% had underlying hypertension, 16. 9% hyperlipidemia and 5. 1% diabetes mellitus. One patient had a prior stroke. Another had prior portal vein thrombosis. At diagnosis, 23. 7% were symptomatic, with microvascular symptoms of headache (11. 9%) and giddiness (6. 8%) being most common. The remainder were diagnosed incidentally, on health screening or when seeking medical attention for unrelated conditions. One patient presented with a myocardial infarction at diagnosis, while another had a significant bleeding post hemorrhoidectomy with drop in Hb by >2g/dL (platelet 2457 × 109/L). Based on a history of prior thrombosis, 3 patients were defined as high risk for thrombotic events. 67. 8% of patients had cytoreduction, indications being platelets ≥1500 × 109/L (n=16), presence of risk factors for atherosclerotic disease (n=11) and history/onset of thrombosis (n=5). In 8, the reason for cytoreduction could not be ascertained. Hydroxyurea was most commonly used (62. 7%), followed by anagrelide in 52. 5% and interferon 25. 4%. 5. 1% received busulphan, and 1. 7% 32P. Use of antiplatelet therapy was noted in 83. 8%, most frequently aspirin (76. 5%) and ticlopidine (11. 9%). On follow up, 2 arterial thromboses occurred (stroke, TIA), giving a thrombosis rate of 0. 39%/patients/year. Neither was a recurrent thrombosis. No venous thrombosis or major bleeds occurred. 20. 4% had minor mucocutaneous bleeding; 5 had platelets ≥1500 × 109/L at that time. 3. 4% had disease progression due to MF and another 3. 4% had AML. 3. 4% of patients died due to AML. Median survival was 33. 8years (95% confidence interval 30. 3–35. 5). Initial blood counts, presence of JAK2 and high risk disease status did not correlate with thrombotic risk, risk of death or disease progression. Use of antiplatelet agents and a platelet count ≥1500 × 109/L did not correlate with bleeding risk. Few studies have looked exclusively at young patients with ET. In this group, most patients were asymptomatic and well, ET being diagnosed incidentally. They were predominantly at low risk for thrombosis and other ET-related complications. The period of follow up was comparable to that of other studies and during that time, the rate of complications and risk of disease progression was low. The thrombosis rate of 0. 39% per patient year was less than that reported by other groups (2. 2–2. 6 thromboses/100patients/year) (Leukaemia 2007;21:1218–1223, Clin Appl Thrombosis/Hemostasis 2000;6(1):31–35) but similar to the 0. 74%/patient year reported by Barbui (Blood. Epub. June 13 2012). Overall findings generally complemented those reported by other groups. No risk factors were found to influence the occurrence of complications, but the number of events was small. Follow up of this group of patients over time is essential to see if their disease course remains benign or if complications will increase with time. Soli Deo Gloria Disclosures: Kam: Shire Pharmaceuticals: Consultancy, grant to support the MPN registry Other.

Second Malignancies After Autologous Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation (AHCT) for Multiple Myeloma (MM): A Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research (CIBMTR) Analysis

Blood ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 120 (21) ◽  
pp. 591-591
Author(s):  
Girindra Raval ◽  
Anuj Mahindra ◽  
Xiaobo Zhong ◽  
Ruta Brazauskas ◽  
Robert Peter Gale ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
At Risk ◽  
Multivariate Analysis ◽  
General Population ◽  
Cumulative Incidence ◽  
Incidence Rates ◽  
High Dose ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
Age And Sex

Abstract Abstract 591 Background: Survival of patients with MM has improved over the past two decades, in part due to the use of AHCT. Increasingly, second primary malignancies (SPMs) are observed in MM survivors. Determining the baseline incidence and risk factors associated with SPMs after AHCT is important to assess risk and to evaluate the risk-benefit ratio of newer therapies. Methods: We analyzed the incidence of SPMs in 3784 MM patients receiving (“upfront”) AHCT for MM within 18 months of diagnosis between 1990 and 2010 and reported to the CIBMTR. Cumulative incidence rates of SPMs were estimated taking into account the competing risk of death. For each transplant recipient, the number of person-years at risk was calculated from the date of transplantation until date of last contact, death, or diagnosis of SPM, whichever occurred first. Incidence rates for all invasive cancers in the general population were obtained from the SEER database. Age-, sex-, and race- specific incidence rates for overall SPMs and particular anatomical sites were applied to the appropriate person-years at risk to compute the expected numbers of cancers. Observed–to –expected (O/E) ratios were calculated, and Poisson distribution 99% confidence intervals (CIs) were generated. Poisson regression model was used to analyze risk factors for overall SPMs and AML/MDS. Results: Pre-transplant therapy included novel agents in 56% including thalidomide (35%), lenalidomide (9%), bortezomib (16%) or their combinations (11%). Majority (80%) received high dose melphalan conditioning. Post-transplant maintenance therapy included thalidomide (16%), lenalidomide (8%), bortezomib (9%) and interferon (6%). Median follow-up of survivors was 52 months (range 3 to 192 months).With 12707 person years of follow up, 153 new malignancies were reported with a crude rate of 1.2 SPM per 100 person years of follow up. Observed/Expected [O/E] ratio for all SPMs was 0.99 (99% CI, 0.80–1.22). Cumulative incidence of SPM overall was 2.48% (95% CI, 1.96–3.05) at 3 years and 6.0% (95% CI, 4.96–7.10) at 7 years [Figure 1]. Individual SPMs observed significantly more frequently than expected are summarized in Table 1. The cumulative incidence of MDS/AML was 0.5% (95% CI, 0.28–0.78) at 3 years and 1.3 (95% CI, 0.85– 1.9%) at 7 years. Majority had MM progression prior to diagnosis of SPM (65 of 102 patients overall and 15 of 23 patients for MDS/AML). In multivariate analysis, significant risk factors for development of SPMs included: obesity [Hazard ratio = HR 1.89(95%CI, 1.21–2.93), p=0.0047 for BMI>30 vs. BMI<25], older age: [HR10.53 (95%CI, 1.46–75.82), p=0.0195] for 60–69 year olds and HR14.4 (95%CI, 1.89–109.75), p=0.01 for 70+ year olds compared to the 18–39 year old group. Specific conditioning regimens did not correlate with the risk of SPM. The low number of MDS/AML (33 events out of 3784 cases) limited the power of multivariate analysis. Increasing age was significantly associated with development of MDS (HR10.77, (95%CI,92.09–55.51), p=0.004 for 70+ year old vs. 40–49 year olds). Conclusion: In this large cohort of AHCT recipients for MM, the incidence of MDS/AML, melanoma and other skin cancers was significantly higher compared to age and sex matched general population. However the overall risk of SPM was similar to that expected for age and sex matched population. It was also similar to the placebo arms of recent reports by McCarthy Pl et al and Attal M et al (N Engl J Med. 10; 366(19):1770–91). Lenalidomide (8%) or thalidomide maintenance (16%) used in a small subset of patients with comparatively short follow up, was not associated with risk of SPM in the analysis of the overall cohort. Disclosures: Gale: Celgene: Employment. Brandenburg:Celgene: Employment, Equity Ownership. Lonial:Millennium, Celgene, Novartis, BMS, Onyx, Merck all Consultancy. Krishnan:Celgene and Millennium: Consultancy, Speakers Bureau. Dispenzieri:Celgene and Millennium: Research Funding. Hari:Celgene: Consultancy, Honoraria.

scholarly journals Risk assessment in interstitial lung disease: the incremental prognostic value of cardiopulmonary ultrasound

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei-wei Zhu ◽  
Hong Li ◽  
Yi-dan Li ◽  
Lanlan Sun ◽  
Lingyun Kong ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Interstitial Lung Disease ◽  
Lung Disease ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Hazard Ratio ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
Base Dimension ◽  
Incremental Prognostic Value ◽  
Ultrasound Parameters ◽  
Rv Function

Abstract Background The mortality risk of chronic interstitial lung disease (ILD) is currently assessed using the ILD-GAP score. The present study evaluates whether the addition of cardiopulmonary ultrasound parameters to the ILD-GAP score can further improve the predictive value of ILD-GAP. Methods Medical records from 91 patients with ILD hospitalized from June 2015 to March 2016 were retrospectively examined. The Lung ultrasound (LUS) score, right ventricular (RV) function, and mechanics were obtained from the cardiopulmonary ultrasound. The ILD-GAP score was calculated from demographic characteristics and pulmonary function parameters. Patients were followed up with until May 2020. The primary endpoint was all-cause death. Results After exclusions, 74 patients with ILD were included in the analysis. During the follow-up period, 36 patients with ILD survived (ILDs), and 38 patients died (ILDd). Compared to ILDs, the ILDd cases exhibited a higher number of B-lines, LUS score, and RV end-diastolic base dimension (RVD), but lower RV function. In multivariate analysis, the ILD-GAP score (hazard ratio, 2.88; 95% CI 1.38–5.99, P = 0.005), LUS score (hazard ratio 1.13; 95% CI 1.04–1.24, P = 0.006), and RVD (hazard ratio 1.09, 95% CI 1.03–1.16, P = 0.004) were significantly related to the risk of death. Adding the LUS score and RVD to the ILD-GAP score significantly improved the predictive value compared to the ILD-GAP score alone (C statistics 0.90 vs 0.76, P = 0.018). Conclusion We investigated the utility of a new prognostic model for ILD that includes both cardiopulmonary ultrasound parameters (LUS score and RVD) and the ILD-GAP score. This model better reflects the severity of pulmonary fibrosis and cardiac involvement, and has incremental predictive value over the ILD-GAP score alone.

Predictors of mortality and heart transplantation in patients with Chagas’ cardiomyopathy and ventricular tachycardia treated with implantable cardioverter-defibrillators

EP Europace ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (7) ◽  
pp. 1070-1078 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wagner L Gali ◽  
Alvaro V Sarabanda ◽  
José M Baggio ◽  
Eduardo F Silva ◽  
Gustavo G Gomes ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Secondary Prevention ◽  
Heart Transplantation ◽  
Primary Outcome ◽  
Left Ventricular ◽  
Left Ventricular Ejection ◽  
Ventricular Ejection Fraction ◽  
Risk Of Death

Aims Data on long-term follow-up of patients with Chagas’ heart disease (ChHD) receiving a secondary prevention implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) are limited and its benefit is controversial. The aim of this study was to evaluate the long-term outcomes of ChHD patients who received a secondary prevention ICD. Methods and results We assessed the outcomes of consecutive ChHD patients referred to our Institution from 2006 to 2014 for a secondary prevention ICD [89 patients; 58 men; mean age 56 ± 11 years; left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), 42 ± 12%]. The primary outcome included a composite of death from any cause or heart transplantation. After a mean follow-up of 59 ± 27 months, the primary outcome occurred in 23 patients (5.3% per year). Multivariate analysis showed that LVEF < 35% [hazard ratio (HR) 4.64; P < 0.01] and age ≥ 65 years (HR 3.19; P < 0.01) were independent predictors of the primary outcome. Using these two risk factors, a risk score was developed, and lower- (no risk factors), intermediate- (one risk factor), and higher-risk (two risk factors) groups were recognized with an annual rate of primary outcome of 1.4%, 7.4%, and 20.4%, respectively. A high burden of appropriate ICD therapies (16% per year) and electrical storms were documented, however, ICD interventions did not impact on the primary outcome. Conclusion Among ChHD patients receiving a secondary prevention ICD, older age (≥65 years) and left ventricular dysfunction (LVEF < 35%) portend a poor outcome and were associated with increased risk of death or heart transplantation. Most patients received appropriate ICD therapies, however, ICD interventions did not impact on the primary outcome.

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