The Effect of the COVID-19 Vaccine on Daily Cases and Deaths Based on Global Vaccine Data

Background: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), a global pandemic, has caused over 216 million cases and 4.50 million deaths as of 30 August 2021. Vaccines can be regarded as one of the most powerful weapons to eliminate the pandemic, but the impact of vaccines on daily COVID-19 cases and deaths by country is unclear. This study aimed to investigate the correlation between vaccines and daily newly confirmed cases and deaths of COVID-19 in each country worldwide. Methods: Daily data on firstly vaccinated people, fully vaccinated people, new cases and new deaths of COVID-19 were collected from 187 countries. First, we used a generalized additive model (GAM) to analyze the association between daily vaccinated people and daily new cases and deaths of COVID-19. Second, a random effects meta-analysis was conducted to calculate the global pooled results. Results: In total, 187 countries and regions were included in the study. During the study period, 1,011,918,763 doses of vaccine were administered, 540,623,907 people received at least one dose of vaccine, and 230,501,824 people received two doses. For the relationship between vaccination and daily increasing cases of COVID-19, the results showed that daily increasing cases of COVID-19 would be reduced by 24.43% [95% CI: 18.89, 29.59] and 7.50% [95% CI: 6.18, 8.80] with 10,000 fully vaccinated people per day and at least one dose of vaccine, respectively. Daily increasing deaths of COVID-19 would be reduced by 13.32% [95% CI: 3.81, 21.89] and 2.02% [95% CI: 0.18, 4.16] with 10,000 fully vaccinated people per day and at least one dose of vaccine, respectively. Conclusions: These findings showed that vaccination can effectively reduce the new cases and deaths of COVID-19, but vaccines are not distributed fairly worldwide. There is an urgent need to accelerate the speed of vaccination and promote its fair distribution across countries.

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The relationship between time to surgery after neoadjuvant chemotherapy and survival in breast cancer patients:a meta-analysis

10.21203/rs.3.rs-44882/v2 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

YongCheng Su ◽

XiaoGang Zheng

Keyword(s):

Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy ◽

Random Effects ◽

Fixed Effects ◽

Meta Analysis ◽

Disease Free Survival ◽

Significant Heterogeneity ◽

Fixed Effects Model ◽

Free Survival ◽

The Impact ◽

The Relationship

Abstract PURPOSE: This meta-analysis aims to evaluate the impact of delaying surgery in operable breast tumor patients after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) on survival. METHODS:An electronic literature retrieval was conducted on PubMed/Medline and EMBASE((between January 2000 and June 2020).The primary end point was overall survival(OS),secondary end points included disease-free survival (DFS) or recurence-free survival (RFS).The HR with 95% confidence intervals were calculated using a random-effects or fixed-effects model. RESULTS:The combined HR for OS was 1.51 (95% CI:1.30-1.76; P=0.000) by fixed effects model.No statistically significant heterogeneity was found (P=0.168, I 2 =31.3%).The pooled HR for RFS/DFS was 1.59 (95%CI:1.30-1.95,I 2 = 66.0%) by random-effects model,with significant heterogeneity. CONCLUSION:Our meta-analysis revealed a significant adverse association between longer TTS after NAC and more inferior OS and RFS/DFS in patients with breast cancer.Clinicians and patients should minimize surgical delay after NAC as much as possible.

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The relationship between time to surgery(TTS) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC)and survival in breast cancer patients: meta-analysis

10.21203/rs.3.rs-44882/v1 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

YongCheng Su ◽

XiaoGang Zheng

Keyword(s):

Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy ◽

Random Effects ◽

Fixed Effects ◽

Meta Analysis ◽

Disease Free Survival ◽

Significant Heterogeneity ◽

Breast Cancer Patients ◽

Free Survival ◽

The Impact ◽

The Relationship

Abstract PURPOSE: This meta-analysis aims to evaluate the impact of delaying surgery in operable breast tumor patients after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) on survival.METHODS: An electronic literature retrieval was conducted on PubMed/Medline and EMBASE((between January 2000 and June 2020).The primary end point was overall survival(OS),secondary end points included disease-free survival (DFS) or recurrence-free survival (RFS).The HR with 95% confidence intervals were calculated using a random-effects or fixed-effects model.RESULTS: The combined HR for OS was 1.52(95% CI 1.29-1.78; P = 0.000) by fixed-effects model.No statistically significant heterogeneity was found (P=0.114;I2=39.8%).The pooled HR for RFS/DFS was 1.47 (95%CI: 1.27- 1.71,I2=61.9%) by random-effects model, with significant heterogeneity.CONCLUSION: Our meta-analysis revealed a significant adverse association between longer TTS after NAC and more inferior OS and RFS/DFS in patients with breast cancer.Clinicians and patients should minimize surgical delay after NAC as much as possible.

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Association of bisphenol A with puberty timing: a meta-analysis

Reviews on Environmental Health ◽

10.1515/reveh-2020-0091 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 0 (0) ◽

Author(s):

Hui Meng ◽

Yunping Zhou ◽

Yunxia Jiang

Keyword(s):

Bisphenol A ◽

Confidence Intervals ◽

Random Effects ◽

Strong Correlation ◽

Fixed Effects ◽

Meta Analysis ◽

Random Effects Models ◽

Study Heterogeneity ◽

The Relationship ◽

Prevalence Ratios

AbstractObjectivesThe results of existing studies on bisphenol A (BPA) and puberty timing did not reach a consensus. Thereby we performed this meta-analytic study to explore the association between BPA exposure in urine and puberty timing.MethodsMeta-analysis of the pooled odds ratios (OR), prevalence ratios (PR) or hazards ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated and estimated using fixed-effects or random-effects models based on between-study heterogeneity.ResultsA total of 10 studies involving 5621 subjects were finally included. The meta-analysis showed that BPA exposure was weakly associated with thelarche (PR: 0.96, 95% CI: 0.93–0.99), while no association was found between BPA exposure and menarche (HR: 0.99, 95% CI: 0.89–1.12; OR: 1.02, 95% CI: 0.73–1.43), and pubarche (OR: 1.00, 95% CI: 0.79–1.26; PR: 1.00, 95% CI: 0.95–1.05).ConclusionsThere was no strong correlation between BPA exposure and puberty timing. Further studies with large sample sizes are needed to verify the relationship between BPA and puberty timing.

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Coenzyme Q10 supplementation for prophylaxis in adult patients with migraine—a meta-analysis

BMJ Open ◽

10.1136/bmjopen-2020-039358 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 (1) ◽

pp. e039358

Author(s):

Suhairul Sazali ◽

Salziyan Badrin ◽

Mohd Noor Norhayati ◽

Nur Suhaila Idris

Keyword(s):

Random Effects ◽

Coenzyme Q10 ◽

Migraine Headache ◽

Meta Analysis ◽

Adult Patients ◽

Control Group ◽

Cochrane Central Register ◽

Statistical Heterogeneity ◽

Coq10 Supplementation ◽

The Impact

ObjectiveTo determine the effects of coenzyme Q10 (CoQ10) for reduction in the severity, frequency of migraine attacks and duration of headache in adult patients with migraine.DesignSystematic review and meta-analysis.Data sourcesCochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, CENTRAL, MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL) and Psychological Information Database (PsycINFO) from inception till December 2019.Study selectionAll randomised control trials comparing CoQ10 with placebo or used as an adjunct treatment included in this meta-analysis. Cross-over designs and controlled clinical trials were excluded.Data synthesisHeterogeneity at face value by comparing populations, settings, interventions and outcomes were measured and statistical heterogeneity was assessed by means of the I2 statistic. The treatment effect for dichotomous outcomes were using risk ratios and risk difference, and for continuous outcomes, mean differences (MDs) or standardised mean difference; both with 95% CIs were used. Subgroup analyses were carried out for dosage of CoQ10 and if CoQ10 combined with another supplementation. Sensitivity analysis was used to investigate the impact risk of bias for sequence generation and allocation concealment of included studies.ResultsSix studies with a total of 371 participants were included in the meta-analysis. There is no statistically significant reduction in severity of migraine headache with CoQ10 supplementation. CoQ10 supplementation reduced the duration of headache attacks compared with the control group (MD: −0.19; 95% CI: −0.27 to −0.11; random effects; I2 statistic=0%; p<0.00001). CoQ10 usage reduced the frequency of migraine headache compared with the control group (MD: −1.52; 95% CI: −2.40 to −0.65; random effects; I2 statistic=0%; p<0.001).ConclusionCoQ10 appears to have beneficial effects in reducing duration and frequency of migraine attack.PROSPERO registration numberCRD42019126127.

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Appendectomy Does Not Increase the Risk of Future Emergence of Parkinson’s Disease: A Meta-analysis

The American Surgeon ◽

10.1177/0003134821989034 ◽

2021 ◽

pp. 000313482198903

Author(s):

Mitsuru Ishizuka ◽

Norisuke Shibuya ◽

Kazutoshi Takagi ◽

Hiroyuki Hachiya ◽

Kazuma Tago ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Parkinson’S Disease ◽

Parkinson's Disease ◽

Meta Analysis ◽

Cochrane Library ◽

Random Effects Models ◽

Significant Difference ◽

The Cochrane Library ◽

The Impact ◽

The Relationship ◽

Observation Period

Objective To explore the impact of appendectomy history on emergence of Parkinson’s disease (PD). Background Although there are several studies to investigate the relationship between appendectomy history and emergence of PD, the results are still controversial. Methods We performed a comprehensive electronic search of the literature (the Cochrane Library, PubMed, and the Web of Science) up to April 2020 to identify studies that had employed databases allowing comparison of emergence of PD between patients with and those without appendectomy history. To integrate the impact of appendectomy history on emergence of PD, a meta-analysis was performed using random-effects models to calculate the risk ratio (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for the selected studies, and heterogeneity was analyzed using I2 statistics. Results Four studies involving a total of 6 080 710 patients were included in this meta-analysis. Among 1 470 613 patients with appendectomy history, 1845 (.13%) had emergences of PD during the observation period, whereas among 4 610 097 patients without appendectomy history, 6743 (.15%) had emergences of PD during the observation period. These results revealed that patients with appendectomy history and without appendectomy had almost the same emergence of PD (RR, 1.02; 95% CI, .87-1.20; P = .83; I2 = 87%). Conclusion This meta-analysis has demonstrated that there was no significant difference in emergence of PD between patients with and those without appendectomy history.

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Linearity extensions of the market model: a case of the top 10 cryptocurrency prices during the pre-COVID-19 and COVID-19 periods

Financial Innovation ◽

10.1186/s40854-021-00247-z ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 7 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Serdar Neslihanoglu

Keyword(s):

State Space Model ◽

Additive Model ◽

Market Model ◽

Time Varying ◽

Daily Data ◽

Forecasting Performance ◽

Modeling And Forecasting ◽

Crypto Currency ◽

Beta Risk ◽

The Relationship

AbstractThis research investigates the appropriateness of the linear specification of the market model for modeling and forecasting the cryptocurrency prices during the pre-COVID-19 and COVID-19 periods. Two extensions are offered to compare the performance of the linear specification of the market model (LMM), which allows for the measurement of the cryptocurrency price beta risk. The first is the generalized additive model, which permits flexibility in the rigid shape of the linearity of the LMM. The second is the time-varying linearity specification of the LMM (Tv-LMM), which is based on the state space model form via the Kalman filter, allowing for the measurement of the time-varying beta risk of the cryptocurrency price. The analysis is performed using daily data from both time periods on the top 10 cryptocurrencies by adjusted market capitalization, using the Crypto Currency Index 30 (CCI30) as a market proxy and 1-day and 7-day forward predictions. Such a comparison of cryptocurrency prices has yet to be undertaken in the literature. The empirical findings favor the Tv-LMM, which outperforms the others in terms of modeling and forecasting performance. This result suggests that the relationship between each cryptocurrency price and the CCI30 index should be locally instead of globally linear, especially during the COVID-19 period.

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The relationship between migraine and infant colic: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Cephalalgia ◽

10.1177/0333102414534326 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 35 (1) ◽

pp. 63-72 ◽

Cited By ~ 18

Author(s):

Amy A Gelfand ◽

Peter J Goadsby ◽

I Elaine Allen

Keyword(s):

Systematic Review ◽

Random Effects ◽

Odds Ratio ◽

Fixed Effects ◽

Meta Analysis ◽

Random Effects Model ◽

Fixed Effects Model ◽

Primary Analysis ◽

Infant Colic ◽

The Relationship

Context Infant colic is a common and distressing disorder of early infancy. Its etiology is unknown, making treatment challenging. Several articles have suggested a link to migraine. Objective The objective of this article was to perform a systematic review and, if appropriate, a meta-analysis of the studies on the relationship between infant colic and migraine. Data sources Studies were identified by searching PubMed and ScienceDirect and by hand-searching references and conference proceedings. Study selection For the primary analysis, studies specifically designed to measure the association between colic and migraine were included. For the secondary analysis, studies that collected data on colic and migraine but were designed for another primary research question were also included. Data extraction Data were abstracted from the original studies, through communication with study authors, or both. Two authors independently abstracted data. Main outcomes and measures The main outcome measure was the association between infant colic and migraine using both a fixed-effects model and a more conservative random-effects model. Results Three studies were included in the primary analysis; the odds ratio for the association between migraine and infant colic was 6.5 (4.6–8.9, p < 0.001) for the fixed-effects model and 5.6 (3.3–9.5, p = 0.004) for the random-effects model. In a sensitivity analysis wherein the study with the largest effect size was removed, the odds ratio was 3.6 (95% CI 1.7–7.6, p = 0.001) for both the fixed-effects model and random-effects model. Conclusions In this meta-analysis, infant colic was associated with increased odds of migraine. If infant colic is a migrainous disorder, this would have important implications for treatment. The main limitation of this meta-analysis was the relatively small number of studies included.

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Meta-Analysis of the Relationship Between Ethnicity, Obesity, and Type 2 Diabetes of Adults in Urban Populations of Central America

International Journal of Public Health Science (IJPHS) ◽

10.11591/.v5i3.4796 ◽

2016 ◽

Vol 5 (3) ◽

pp. 274

Author(s):

William G Wuenstel ◽

James A. Johnson ◽

James Humphries ◽

Cheryl Samuel

Keyword(s):

Type 2 Diabetes ◽

Relative Risk ◽

Odds Ratio ◽

Meta Analysis ◽

Central American ◽

Significance Level ◽

Study Participants ◽

The Impact ◽

The Relationship

<table width="593" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody><tr><td rowspan="2" valign="top" width="387">The purpose of this meta-analysis was to examine the impact of ethnicity and obesity as it relates to Type-2 Diabetes (T2D) in specific Central American countries. A meta-analysis was conducted to determine the association of ethnicity, obesity, and T2D. Four studies that qualified for inclusion were identified by searching MEDLINE and PubMed databases. The studies on the association of ethnicity and T2D had a combined population resulted in 265,858 study participants. Two studies on the association of obesity and T2D had 197,899 participants. An analysis of the data was conducted utilizing the relative risk ration, odds ratio, and forest plots. The comparison of the relative risk of T2D across ethnic categories by studies range for Blacks was 1.59 to 2.74, Asians was 1.43 to 2.08, and Hispanics .92 to 2.91. The ethnic difference in the prevalence of diabetes was almost two-fold higher in all ethnic groups than among the Caucasians with a significance level of 95%. A comparison of relative risk of T2D across weight categories was significantly higher among those with a diagnosed of diabetes in all reported areas. The odds ratio was very close to the risk ratio in both ethnicity and obesity to the development of T2D. The meta-analysis findings documented that an association does exist between ethnicity and obesity to the development of type 2 diabetes.</td><td width="0" height="85"> </td></tr><tr><td width="0" height="82"> </td></tr></tbody></table>

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Specificity of Future Thinking in Depression: A Meta-Analysis

10.31234/osf.io/y84pu ◽

2018 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Beau Gamble ◽

David Moreau ◽

Lynette J. Tippett ◽

Donna Rose Addis

Keyword(s):

Random Effects ◽

Meta Analysis ◽

Emotional Valence ◽

Effect Sizes ◽

Current Evidence ◽

Future Research ◽

Future Thinking ◽

Moderator Variables ◽

Search Terms ◽

The Relationship

Reduced specificity of autobiographical memory has been well established in depression, but whether this ‘overgenerality’ extends to future thinking has not been the focus of a meta-analysis. Following a preregistered protocol, we searched six electronic databases, Google Scholar, personal libraries, and contacted authors in the field for studies matching search terms related to depression, future thinking, and specificity. We reduced an initial 7,332 results to 46 included studies, with 89 effect sizes and 4,813 total participants. Random effects meta-analytic modelling revealed a small but robust correlation between reduced future specificity and higher levels of depression (r = .13, p < .001). Of the 11 moderator variables examined, the most striking effects related to the emotional valence of future thinking (p < .001) and the sex of participants (p = .025). Namely, depression was linked to reduced specificity for positive (but not negative or neutral) future thinking, and the relationship was stronger in samples with a higher proportion of males. This meta-analysis contributes to our understanding of how prospection is altered in depression and dysphoria and, by revealing areas where current evidence is inconclusive, highlights key avenues for future research.

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P075 Travel or cheers? Examining the drivers and mechanisms of home court advantage in the 2020/2021 NBA regular season

SLEEP Advances ◽

10.1093/sleepadvances/zpab014.119 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 2 (Supplement_1) ◽

pp. A45-A45

Author(s):

J Leota ◽

D Hoffman ◽

L Mascaro ◽

M Czeisler ◽

K Nash ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Random Effects ◽

Mixed Models ◽

Fixed Effects ◽

Natural Experiment ◽

National Basketball Association ◽

Home Team ◽

The Road ◽

On The Road ◽

The Impact ◽

The Relationship

Abstract Introduction Home court advantage (HCA) in the National Basketball Association (NBA) is well-documented, yet the co-occurring drivers responsible for this advantage have proven difficult to examine in isolation. The Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic resulted in the elimination of crowds in ~50% of games during the 2020/2021 NBA season, whereas travel remained unchanged. Using this ‘natural experiment’, we investigated the impact of crowds and travel-related sleep and circadian disruption on NBA HCA. Methods 1080 games from the 2020/2021 NBA regular season were analyzed using mixed models (fixed effects: crowds, travel; random effects: team, opponent). Results In games with crowds, home teams won 58.65% of the time and outrebounded (M=2.28) and outscored (M=2.18) their opponents. In games without crowds, home teams won significantly less (50.60%, p = .01) and were outrebounded (M=-0.41, p < .001) and outscored (M=-0.13, p < .05) by their opponents. Further, the increase in home rebound margin fully mediated the relationship between crowds and home points margin (p < .001). No significant sleep or circadian effects were observed. Discussion Taken together, these results suggest that HCA in the 2020/2021 NBA season was predominately driven by the presence of crowds and their influence on the effort exerted by the home team to rebound the ball. Moreover, we speculate that the strict NBA COVID-19 policies may have mitigated the travel-related sleep and circadian effects on the road team. These findings are of considerable significance to a domain wherein marginal gains can have immense competitive, financial, and even historical consequences.

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