ON THE METHODOLOGY OF FORECASTING THE FUTURE OF THE NATIONAL REPUBLICS OF THE NORTH CAUCASUS

2021 ◽  
pp. 47-53
Author(s):  
М. И. Билалов
Keyword(s):  
Civil Society ◽  
Social Development ◽  
North Caucasus ◽  
The North ◽  
The Future ◽  
The Media ◽  
Soviet Space ◽  
Methodological Guidelines ◽  
Post Soviet Space

На примере публикаций в СМИ критически осмысливаются фактологизм, отсутствие цельной методологии и идеологии прогнозирования будущего республик Северного Кавказа. Автор отвергает скептицизм и пессимизм в оценке перспектив северокавказских народов. Обосновывается неприемлемость либерализма как методологии современного социального развития. Предлагаются основополагающие подходы в виде исторических закономерностей, идеалов и норм евразийства, соответствующие антилиберализму, антиглобализму и альтерглобализму, необходимые как методологические установки для определения перспектив народов постсоветского пространства. Сохранение российской и северокавказской идентичности, единство народов региона в составе России, евразийская цивилизация, гражданское общество с региональными базовыми ценностями и т. п. должны стать альфой и омегой не только общественно-политических и гуманитарных исследований, но и публикаций СМИ, прогнозирующих будущее национальных республик Северного Кавказа. On the example of publications in the media, factology is critically interpreted, the lack of a coherent methodology and ideology for predicting the future of the North Caucasus republics. The author rejects skepticism and pessimism in assessing the prospects of the North Caucasian peoples. The article substantiates the unacceptability of liberalism as a methodology of modern social development. The fundamental approaches in the form of historical laws, ideals and norms of eurasianism, corresponding to anti-liberalism, anti-globalism and alter-globalism, necessary as methodological guidelines for determining the prospects of the peoples of the post-Soviet space, are proposed. The conservation of the Russian and North Caucasian identity, the unity of the peoples of the region within Russia, the Eurasian civilization, civil society with regional basic values, etc. should become the alpha and omega not only of socio-political and humanitarian studies, but also of media publications that predict the future of the national republics of the North Caucasus.

The Ossetian-Ingush Confrontation: Explaining a Horizontal Conflict

2010 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 419-429
Author(s):  
Babak Rezvani
Keyword(s):  
The Other ◽  
Historical Background ◽  
Terrorist Attacks ◽  
Ethnic Conflicts ◽  
North Caucasus ◽  
The North ◽  
Soviet Space ◽  
Former Soviet Republics ◽  
Autonomous Republic ◽  
Post Soviet Space

AbstractTerrorist attacks in the North Caucasus and the eruption of many other ethnic conflicts in the post-Soviet space cause the fear that the old Ossetian-Ingush confrontation may also re-emerge. Ossetians are the only indigenous Christian ethnic group in the predominantly Sunni Muslim North Caucasus. They have fought a war with the Ingush over the Prigorodnyj district, which was part of the Chechen-Ingush Autonomous Republic inhabited mainly by the Ingush before they were deported by Stalin in the early 1940s. After their return, the punished Muslim Ingush have tried in vain to regain their territory, which has ultimately resulted in a bloody war in the early 1990s. Unlike the other wars in the former Soviet republics, this was not a vertical conflict. The present paper tries to analyse the historical background and roots of the antagonism between the two neighbouring North Caucasian peoples.

scholarly journals The Main Problems and Directions of Achieving the Consolidation of Russian Society

2020 ◽  
pp. 24-31
Author(s):  
Tatiana Nikolayevna Samsonova ◽  
Diana Nikolayevna Tsygankova
Keyword(s):  
Civil Society ◽  
National Policy ◽  
Russian Society ◽  
Political Processes ◽  
Imple Mentation ◽  
Soviet Space ◽  
Main Factors ◽  
Sociological Studies ◽  
Post Soviet Space ◽  
Modern Russian

The authors of the paper analyze the main directions of the consolidation of modern Russian society, as well as the problems that hinder the implementation of this process. The main factors explaining the fea-tures of the processes of consolidation of Russian society in the XXI century are considered. The col-lapse of the USSR, the resulting crises, the specifics of socio-political processes in the post-Soviet space, the formation of a national idea to a large extent affect the level of cohesion of the country's citizens. It is concluded that for the effective imple-mentation of the process of consolidation of society in modern Russia, it is necessary to overcome a number of problems. In this regard, it is of supreme importance to eliminate socio-economic inequality, corruption in all spheres of life, and optimize the activities of government bodies. The authors em-phasize that the consolidation of modern Russian society is the most important task of the ongoing national policy and requires targeted efforts on the part of both the state and civil society. The im-portance of further sociological studies of the con-solidation processes of Russian society is noted.

The North Caucasus in Contemporary U.S.-Russia Relations: Key Problems and Implications for the Future

2014 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 153-166
Author(s):  
Maxim A. Suchkov
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Present Article ◽  
The United States ◽  
North Caucasus ◽  
The Caucasus ◽  
Security Issues ◽  
The North ◽  
The Future ◽  
Boston Marathon ◽  
The U.S

The North Caucasus is a most significant but a least understood problem in contemporary U.S.-Russia relations. The United States as one of the prime pace-setters in the region shaped its own attitude towards Russia’s most volatile region. Over more than twenty years, Washington experienced at least three major stages in its “Caucasus strategy”, and each stage had its impact on the North Caucasus. Since the beginning, the two states stuck to conflicting narratives of developments in the region. With time, some of the assessments were re-evaluated, but some continue to impede cooperation on key security issues. The present article explores these phenomena and examines what implications major events like the 9/11 attacks, the Caucasus Emirate enlistment among top terrorist organisations, the Boston marathon bombings, etc. had for the U.S.-Russia joint efforts in fighting terrorism. It also assesses areas of potential disagreement in the North Caucasus between the two countries.

Eurasian Integration and Problems of Civil Society

2020 ◽  
pp. 117-134
Author(s):  
Elena Stetsko
Keyword(s):  
Civil Society ◽  
Political Thought ◽  
Political Integration ◽  
Eurasian Economic Union ◽  
Independent States ◽  
Soviet Space ◽  
Economic Union ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Post Soviet Space ◽  
Discussion Topic

The сhapter studies the relationship between the development of integration processes and the development of civil society in the post-Soviet space and, in particular, in the countries of the Eurasian Economic Union. It consists of five parts. The introduction presents the main trends and vectors of integration processes in the post-Soviet space. The first part considers the concept of “civil society” and its features in Western and Russian political thought. The second part highlights the features of building a civil society in the independent states of the EAEU. General points and differences in the emerging civil societies of the EAEU countries are revealed. Further, in the fourth part, the “Eurasian idea” is considered in terms of its compatibility with the peculiarities of the development of civil society in the post-Soviet space. The final part proposes a discussion topic on the possibility of political integration within the EAEU.

scholarly journals Polish Take on Realism: Poland’s Policy Towards the Former Soviet Countries, 1991–2021

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 132-145
Author(s):  
A. Szeptycki
Keyword(s):  
International Relations ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
The United States ◽  
Realist Theory ◽  
The North ◽  
History Of ◽  
Soviet Space ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
States History ◽  
Post Soviet Space

This article analyzes Poland’s policy towards the former Soviet space (Poland’s Eastern policy) through the assumptions of the realist theory of international relations. The fi rst part of the article examines the realist theory in international relations (IR). The second – deals with the existing literature on Poland’s foreign policy. The third part analyses the determinants and the goals of Poland’s policy towards the post-Soviet states (history of its relations with the region, ideological determinants, security concerns, etc.). The last part inquires about the evolution of Poland’s policy till current times. The Russian Federation is perceived as a signifi cant threat by Poland. In that context, since the early 1990s, Poland has been seeking solutions to strengthen its security. It aimed to join the North Atlantic Alliance and establish a close partnership with the United States (bandwagoning). This strategy brought substantial eff ects – in 1999, Poland joined NATO, and since it has hosted allied troops. Poland also wanted to develop cooperation with Ukraine (to a lesser degree also with its other post-Soviet neighbors) and bring them closer to the Euro-Atlantic structures. This policy was, in particular, at weakening Russia’s infl uence in the region (balancing). The results of this strategy have been somewhat ambiguous, though. Ukraine has rejected Russia’s sponsored reintegration projects in the post-Soviet space. The process of reforms in that country, however, is slow and uncertain. As for other post-Soviet states, Poland has largely proven unable to infl uence the desired changes.

scholarly journals Relative Variability in Signs of Reproductive Fitness of Pigs

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olga L. Tretyakova ◽  
Anna S. Degtyar ◽  
Victoria S. Solonnikova
Keyword(s):  
Multiple Regression ◽  
Objective Assessment ◽  
Reproductive Fitness ◽  
North Caucasus ◽  
The North ◽  
Rostov Region ◽  
The Future ◽  
Breeding Farms ◽  
Relative Variability

Studies of relative variability make it possible to forecast the future. The equations of rectilinear and multiple regression make it possible to determine a productive indicator by indirectly evaluating correlatively related features. We developed mathematical modelson the relative variability in the signs of reproductive fitness of pigs in the breeding factories of the North Caucasus: “Ventsy-Zarya”, “Gulkevichsky”, “Kavkaz” and “Zarya” of the Krasnodar Territory, “Rossiya” of the Stavropol Territory, and “Rossiya” of the Rostov region. We analyzed the correlations of reproductive fitness in these breeding farms to determine a reliable and objective assessment of cause-and-effectdependencies, and the values, nature and direction of their action. Significant differences were established between the nature of relations in various breeding farms; however, their action vectorscoincided. The models we developed take into account all of the processes occurring in the population under the influence of tribal selectionand can be used in the planning of breeding measures. Keywords: pig breeding, relative variability, correlation, regression, breeding index

scholarly journals THE INFLUENCE OF INSTITUTIONS OF A CIVIL SOCIETY ON ETHNOPOLITICAL PROCESSES DURING THE SYSTEMIC TRANSFORMATION OF RUSSIAN SOCIETIES (On the materials of Kabardino-Balkariya and Karachaevo-Circassia)

2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 140-151 ◽  
Author(s):  
A I Tetuev
Keyword(s):  
Civil Society ◽  
Social Activity ◽  
Political Stability ◽  
Legal Framework ◽  
North Caucasus ◽  
Public Authorities ◽  
The Public ◽  
Political Processes ◽  
The North ◽  
Social Associations

The author of the article considers the process of formation and development of civil society institutions in Kabardino-Balkaria and Karachay-Cherkessia and their influence on ethno-political processes at various stages of modernization reforms in the post-Soviet Russia, analyzes the formation of regulatory and legal framework of non-commercial organization, the stages of development and the structure of civil society institutions in Kabardino-Balkaria and Karachay-Cherkessia. The article covers activity of public authorities, local government and social associations of the republics during the period of growth of centrifugal tendencies in the North Caucasus. The author analyzes attempts to realize various forms of self-determination, to conduct administrative and territorial transformations and considers the factors that negatively affect the ethno-political situation in the region. The author of the article presents the activity of republican institutions of civil society: public chambers, cultural and national centers and associations, youth and religious organizations, mass media, and studies the experience of public chambers in holding meetings where topical issues of socio-economic and public life of the republics were discussed, including those aimed at strengthening of ethno-political stability in the region. An effective form of taking into account the public opinion while developing management decisions is the participation of the Public Chamber in conducting public expertise of draft federal and regional laws. Special mention should be made of the activities of the Public Chamber for prevention of religious extremism. The work on generalization of the activities of religious associations for implementation of social programs and projects aimed at increasing the level of culture of interconfessional and interethnic tolerance among young people is to solve this problem. At the same time, there are some factors that impede the development of civil society institutions in the region. First of all, it is low social activity of citizens and the absence of principled civic position on a number of crucial issues. In conclusion, the author determines main perspective directions of the development of civil society institutions in the region.

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