scholarly journals MODERN MIGRATION SITUATION IN KRASNODAR REGION

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (6) ◽  
pp. 291-295
Author(s):  
T.T. Тarasova ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Population Change ◽  
Population Decline ◽  
Federal District ◽  
Demographic Development ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Net Migration ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
Coronavirus Infection ◽  
Determining Factor ◽  
Total Migration

t. Based on statistical data, the article analyzes the transformation of the migration movement of the population of the Krasnodar Territory in the context of natural decline and a pandemic of coronavirus infection. It is shown that in the region, as well as in Russia as a whole, there is a deterioration in demographic development. Due to the excess of the death rate over the birth rate in the region, the natural population decline resumed in 2017, the volume of which increased 8.5 times by 2020. The demographic indicators worsened especially noticeably in 2020, primarily in relation to the mortality rate of the population, the level of which has sharply increased. Despite the deteriorating demographic situation, the number of residents of the Kuban continued to increase, while in the Russian Federation in recent years the absolute population began to decline. An analysis of the components of population change showed that the determining factor in the increase in the number of Kuban residents was migration gain, which not only compensated for the natural decline in the population, but also ensured an increase in the number of inhabitants of the region. It was revealed that significant changes took place in the migration movement of the Krasnodar Territory in the analyzed period: the intensity of migration processes has noticeably decreased, and in recent years, the volume of net migration has also decreased. The region’s contribution to the total migration gains of the Southern Federal District has significantly decreased - in 2020 the region’s share in the total migration growth of the district amounted to only 31.6% versus 78.9% in 2017. The decrease in the volume of net migration was mainly due to a decrease in the number of arrivals to the region, which is not least due to quarantine measures to combat the pandemic

scholarly journals Natural Reproduction of the Population of Russia during the Coronavirus Pandemic: Risks and Consequences (The Case of the Republic of Tatarstan)

REGIONOLOGY ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 29 (3) ◽  
pp. 686-708
Author(s):  
Alisa A. Ibragimova ◽  
Chulpan I. Ildarhanova
Keyword(s):  
Natural Population ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Population Change ◽  
Population Decline ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
Natural Reproduction ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic

Introduction. The study is of relevance due to the decline in the population of the Russian Federation since 2018 and the aggravation of the demographic situation since 2020, during the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on the results of analyses of demographic indicators of natural population growth in the Russian Federation, in the Volga Federal District, and in the Republic of Tatarstan, the article identifies the factors affecting such indicators during the spread of coronavirus infection. Materials and Methods. The study analyzed operational data from the Federal State Statistics Service and the Unified Interdepartmental Information and Statistical System on the demographic indicators (birth rate, mortality, marriage rate, and divorce rate). The comparative, cross-sectional, correlation, and regression methods of analysis were employed, which made it possible to reveal significant factors affecting the demographic situation and identify the general trend of demographic processes during the COVID-19 pandemic. Results. On the basis of the official statistics, an analysis of the demographic situation in terms of natural reproduction of the population of Russia, exemplified by the case of the Republic of Tatarstan has been carried out; the main factors in natural population decline during the COVID-19 pandemic have been identified; the need for the introduction of new measures aimed at improving health and reducing the mortality rate and overcoming the demographic crisis in marriage and family relations has been substantiated. Discussion and Conclusion. Conclusions have been drawn about the possibility of increasing the negative impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the future demographic situation, which is a threat to the national security of Russia. The significance of the research materials consists in a comprehensive analysis of the demographic situation caused by the natural population change. The results of the study can be used by the authorities in the development and adjustment of regional and federal demographic and social policies.

scholarly journals Medico-demographic situation in prisons of Volga federal district in the period of the penal system reforming

2016 ◽  
Vol 97 (1) ◽  
pp. 124-130
Author(s):  
A M Tulenkov ◽  
E V Dyuzheva ◽  
K A Romanov
Keyword(s):  
Causes Of Death ◽  
Medical Service ◽  
Federal District ◽  
Penal System ◽  
Care Organization ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
Number Of Patients ◽  
Service Activity ◽  
The Mean

Aim. To assess tendency in medico-demographic indicators of persons held in prisons of Volga Federal District in the period of the penal system modern reforming (2006-2014).Methods. Assessment of the studied contingent quantitative and qualitative medico-demographic indicators dynamics, the most relevant for the prisons for the 2006-2014. Forecasting of studied indicators for the period up to 2017 was conducted. Intensive and extensive indicators calculation and their dynamic comparison were performed.Results. Changes of demographic indicators for the 2006-2014 period involve the total number of prisoners reduction, the proportion of women increase and the proportion of teenagers decrease, reduction the punishment serving duration, migration processes intensification. The studied contingent, which was held in the prisons of the Volga Federal District, in the vast majority (91.0%) was presented by male persons. The mean age of convicted is 30.9 years. The mean term of punishment in prisons is 7.6 years. During the 2006-2014, the constant tendency of the studied contingent mortality increase due to the continuing increase in the number of patients with socially significant diseases amid decrease of the total number of persons held in prisons was registered. In 2014, the mortality rate was 7.1‰, which is 36.5% higher than in 2006 (5.2‰). The leading causes of death were infectious and parasitic diseases (37.1%). Studied medico-demographic indicators changes had significant regional features.Conclusion. Revealed significant changes in the medico-demographic indicators of studied contingent, definitely affecting the penalty system medical service activity, dictate the necessity of considering them when adopting the strategy of medical care organization in prisons.

Prediction of migration processes in the study area

10.12737/6489 ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 22-24 ◽  
Author(s):  
Виценец ◽  
Tatyana Vitsenets
Keyword(s):  
Ethical Climate ◽  
Population Decline ◽  
Federal District ◽  
Demographic Development ◽  
Economic Relations ◽  
Migratory Movement ◽  
Central Regions ◽  
The Status ◽  
Far Eastern

The Primorskiy Kray takes 1st place in the Far Eastern Federal District by number of population (the proportion of the total number in the Far Eastern Federal District is 31.1%, in the total population of Russia is 1.4%). The population decline was due to the influence of several factors: a decline in fertility, increased mortality and intense migratory movement of population of the region mainly into the central regions, which are more prosperous in social and economic relations. Issues on demographics, inherently, reflect the quality of life, the moral and ethical climate in society, the status of the most important sectors. The implementation of the priority activities of the demographic development in the field of health promotion and increased life expectancy; stimulate fertility and strengthen the family; migration development should affect the stabilization of the population of the Primorye Territory.

scholarly journals Demografinė situacija Lietuvos kaimiškose savivaldybėse / Demographic Situation in Lithuanian Rural Municipalities

2020 ◽  
pp. 26-37
Author(s):  
Erika Čepienė ◽  
Angelija Bučienė
Keyword(s):  
Population Density ◽  
Population Change ◽  
Social Differences ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Net Migration ◽  
Comprehensive Method ◽  
Rural Municipalities ◽  
The Government ◽  
Age Dependency Ratio

The researchers from Lithuanian Institute of Agrarian economics confirmed that classification of Lithuanian regions by rurality into 5 groups is a more comprehensive method to reveal economic and social differences of the regions than the method used by the government at the present by classifying regions in to the problematic and non-problematic regions (Melnikienė et al., 2011). The object of the research – municipalities of different rurality degree. The objective of this paper – to analyze population density and demographic situation from 2011 to 2018 changes in municipalities of different rurality degree in Lithuania. Our research has revealed, that on average rural municipalities cover area 10 times larger than urban municipalities and 1,2 times larger than semi-urban municipalities. Taking into account population density, natural population change, net migration, old-age dependency ratio in 2011 and 2018, it was found that 10 municipalities are improving, 19 municipalities - unchanged and 16 municipalities - worsening. Keywords: population density, demographic situation, rurality, change.

scholarly journals STRESS REACTION OF PUBLIC HEALTH OF THE KAMBARKA REGION (UDMURTIA) TO PLACING OBJECTS OF ECOLOGICAL RISK

2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (3) ◽  
pp. 267-277
Author(s):  
I.L. Malkova ◽  
P.Yu. Sitnikov
Keyword(s):  
Population Decline ◽  
Chemical Weapons ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Hazardous Waste Management ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
Psychological Reaction ◽  
Udmurt Republic ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Technical Complex ◽  
Statistical Indicators

An analysis of the dynamics of medical and statistical indicators of the Kambarka region showed a pronounced negative reaction of demographic processes to the placement and functioning of environmental risk objects: a chemical weapons destruction plant (2003-2009) and its conversion to an industrial and technical complex for processing, utilization and neutralization of wastes of I-II hazard classes (2019). The demographic situation in the Kambarka region over the past decades is characterized as the tensest among the cities and districts of the Udmurt Republic. The forecast for its development for the coming years is extremely unfavorable, which is manifested, first of all, in pronounced depopulation. The psychological reaction of the district’s population to the construction and launch of a chemical weapons destruction facility was reflected in the maximum death rate and natural population decline in Udmurtia. The stress response of demographic indicators to the placement of a complex for hazardous waste management can be more pronounced and more extended in time.

scholarly journals Internal Migration in Germany, 1995-2010: New Insights into East-West Migration and Re-urbanisation

2014 ◽  
Vol 39 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nikola Sander
Keyword(s):  
Internal Migration ◽  
Population Change ◽  
Population Decline ◽  
Clear Understanding ◽  
Net Migration ◽  
Comprehensive Picture ◽  
East German ◽  
Regional Population ◽  
Education And Employment ◽  
East West

Over the last two decades, patterns of internal migration in Germany have been discussed under the headings of East-West movements and sub- and re-urbanisation. This paper argues that the intense scientific and public debate that ignited about the possible causes and consequences of internal migration should be based on a clear understanding of how internal migration flows impact on regional population change. Using the German Internal Migration (GIM) database, a unique new dataset that holds annual interregional migration counts drawn from the population register for 397 regions with temporally consistent boundaries, this paper aims to provide a more comprehensive picture of the spatial structure of inter-county migration in Germany and how it has changed over the period 1995-2010. To reduce the complexity of the county-level flow data and to facilitate the identification of patterns and trends, county-to-county flows were analysed using a spatial framework of 132 “analytical regions”. The results show that the intensity of migration between East German regions has been higher than East-West migration throughout the period, suggesting that the former type of migration has a stronger impact on rural population decline than commonly believed in the literature. Following a strong suburbanisation pattern in the 1990s, over the last decade, migration between counties in eastern Germany has resulted in a growing concentration of population in the cities of Berlin, Leipzig and Dresden. Increasing net migration gains were recorded by many urban cores across Germany. The trend was driven by both continuing in-migration of young adults in search for education and employment, and by a cessation of the long-term trend of family out-migration to the cities’ suburban and non-metropolitan hinterlands.

Multivariate mathematical-cartographic modeling demographic characteristics of Russian and European regions

2019 ◽  
Vol 953 (11) ◽  
pp. 26-36
Author(s):  
A.I Igonin ◽  
V.S. Tikunov
Keyword(s):  
Demographic Characteristics ◽  
Qualitative Assessment ◽  
Joint Analysis ◽  
Demographic Development ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
Current Trends ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Cartographic Modeling ◽  
Gis Environment

The study of modern trends in demographic development in Europe and Russia, in particular the assessment of spatial patterns of changes require updating the database of demographic indicators. To carry out a comparative analysis of current trends in demographic development in Europe and Russia, three sets of indicators characterizing the demographic state of the regions were formed. The calculation of indices of demographic development with different sets of indicators was made. A series of maps of the demographic situation and its dynamics in the GIS environment was developed. The joint analysis of all nine variants of the demographic state enabled developing a single, final index for assessing the demographic development of the territory. Multivariate mathematical-cartographic modeling helped performing a qualitative assessment of demographic processes and their changes. The implicit features and differences in the demographic characteristics of the regions are revealed. The application of classification algorithms to such a vast territory helps decision-making as part of a change in demographic policy.

Assessment of demographic indicators in the Krasnodar region and the Krasnodar city

10.12737/7218 ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 0-0
Author(s):  
Шаповалов ◽  
K. Shapovalov
Keyword(s):  
Birth Rate ◽  
Circulatory System ◽  
Infant Mortality Rate ◽  
Demographic Development ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
Demographic Dynamics ◽  
National Priority ◽  
Krasnodar Region ◽  
The City

The study evaluates the changes in the present demographic situation in the Krasnodar region and the capital of the region – the Krasnodar city. By studying the recent history, the region is characterized by significant changes in the demographic dynamics: revealed an increase in the birth rate, a reduction in mortality, there is a steady natural growth. In 2013, the birth rate was a record for the Krasnodar Region and Krasnodar. The structure of mortality rates, where in the first place remains a disease of the circulatory system, was revealed. In the Krasnodar region, the infant mortality rate for 2014 was declined, and, in Krasnodar city, on the contrary, this indicator was increased. At the same time in the city there is a decrease in mortality among child-ren aged 1-4 years, but the increase in the Krasnodar region. Implementation of the Concept of Demographic Policy of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2025 and the national priority project "Health", launched in 2006, is the foundation of positive changes. In Krasnodar region the program "On Improvement of the Demographic Situation in the Krasnodar Region" was implemented in 2008-2010. These programs are aimed at stabilizing the population and the formation of socio-economic conditions subsequent to the demographic development. To further improve the demographic situa-tion, the program of the Krasnodar region "Health Development" has been implemented since 2012. Now a new target program "About the Improvement of the Demographic Situation in the Krasnodar Region" was developed for 2011-2015.

scholarly journals Demogeographic Analysis To Support the Optimum Realization of the Strategy of Regional Development in the Administrative District of Municipality of Valašské Meziříčí

2016 ◽  
Vol 64 (4) ◽  
pp. 1311-1323
Author(s):  
Vendula Drápelová ◽  
Nahanga Verter ◽  
Dana Hübelová
Keyword(s):  
Regional Development ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Regional Differences ◽  
Population Change ◽  
Community Services ◽  
Demographic Development ◽  
Administrative District ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
The Future ◽  
Future Population

Regional development represents the society efforts geared towards reducing regional disparities, optimizing the development and mitigating any social problems. People play a highly significant role that triggers certain demographic development and spatial specifics of demographic indicators, in particular, and regional development, in general. Against this backdrop, this article assesses some demographic indicators in the municipality of Valašské Meziříčí. The results from the statistical analysis of spatial and temporal series show that the administrative district of the municipality of Valašské Meziříčí demonstrated (micro) regional differences and outlined the future population change. The identified adverse effects include: the declining of the population in the administrative headquarters; distinctive dynamics of aging and the low level of economic activity in certain municipalities; underdevelopment of community services; and distribution of the age structure of the disproportion between the peripheral facilities and administrative headquarters. There is an urgent need for policy decisions that could avert the unfavorable development of some demographic indicators (economic and social) in the future.

scholarly journals The population dynamic in Russian municipal formations from 2010 to 2018

2019 ◽  
Vol 30 (3) ◽  
pp. 59-77 ◽  
Author(s):  
Valery V. Patsiorkovskiy ◽  
Yuriy A. Simagin ◽  
Dzhamilya D. Murtuzalieva
Keyword(s):  
Natural Population ◽  
Death Rate ◽  
Federal District ◽  
Population Increase ◽  
Demographic Development ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
North West ◽  
The North ◽  
City District ◽  
Negative Effect

During the period from the end of 2010 and up to the beginning of 2018, after a long pause, we saw an increase in the population of the Russian Federation. Meanwhile, on most of the country’s territory the population has not ceased to decline in recent years. This is very apparent when analyzing the demographic situation on the level of first order municipalities – city districts and municipal areas. Indexes of natural population growth during recent years have exceeded values from the first decade of the 21st century. However, in 80% of municipalities a negative dynamic is evident compared to 2010, primarily due to natural decline. Natural decline is often accompanied by a negative balance in the migratory flow of the population. As a result, depopulation in certain cases reaches catastrophic proportions – at over 2% each year. This article examines peculiarities in the differentiation of natural population increase and migratory flow of Russia’s population by city district, municipal area, and broken down by territory (as in by federal district). It was revealed that negative trends are more inherent to municipal areas than they are to city districts. The most complicated situation with indexes of death rate and birthrate can be observed in municipalities of the Central, North-West and Privolzhsky Federal Districts. Mostly due to an intense migratory outflow, the population is decreasing in many municipal formations of the Far Eastern Federal District. As was the case in previous decades, the most favorable demographic situation can be observed in the North Caucasian Federal District. Meanwhile its municipal formations are gradually approaching the rest of Russia in terms of population birthrate and death rate indexes. Though this trend is of ambiguous nature, since, on the one hand, it evens out the excessive interregional socio-economic differentiation we see in Russia, while on the other it has a negative effect on the country’s demographic development in general. The migratory outflow of the population from the majority of North Caucasian municipal formations narrows the foundation for this region’s demographic development in the future.

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