scholarly journals Valuing Peace: The Effects of Financial Market Exposure on Votes and Political Attitudes

Econometrica ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 87 (5) ◽  
pp. 1561-1588 ◽  
Author(s):  
Saumitra Jha ◽  
Moses Shayo

Can participation in financial markets lead individuals to reevaluate the costs of conflict, change their political attitudes, and even their votes? Prior to the 2015 Israeli elections, we randomly assigned Palestinian and Israeli financial assets to likely voters and incentivized them to actively trade for up to 7 weeks. No political messages or nonfinancial information were included. The treatment systematically shifted vote choices toward parties more supportive of the peace process. This effect is not due to a direct material incentive to vote a particular way. Rather, the treatment reduces opposition to concessions for peace and changes awareness of the broader economic risks of conflict. While participants who were assigned Palestinian assets are more likely to associate their assets' performance with peace, they are less engaged in the experiment. Combined with the superior performance of Israeli stocks during the study period, the ultimate effects of Israeli and Palestinian assets are similar.

Author(s):  
O. Baranovskyi ◽  
M. Kuzheliev ◽  
D. Zherlitsyn ◽  
K. Serdyukov

Abstract. The first cryptocurrency was born in 2008. Already today, virtual financial assets and tokens are a significant part of trading in global financial markets. The cryptocurrency market capitalization currently exceeds 600 billion U.S. dollars. However, there is a lot of discussion about cryptocurrency functions and the correlation between Bitcoin prices and the basic economic indices. Therefore, the purpose of the paper is to define the statistical substantiation of the influence of fundamental economic indicators on the market of virtual financial assets and the possibility of using cryptocurrency as the investment assets. This article is based on the theoretical principles and methods of econometric analysis; the system approach methods to define the main vehicles and trends of the international financial market. The study presents correlation analysis, regression models with paired and multiple variables. For these models, R-Studio instruments are the main tools of quality estimation and results interpretation. The article shows the results of the correlation analysis of Bitcoin’s U.S. dollar price dynamics and changes in the main stock, monetary market indicators, cryptocurrencies market tendency, levels of the United States fundamental economic indicators for the period from 2014 to 2021. Traditional multifactorial regression models are used to determine the level and the impact of individual indicators of the world stock market at the U.S. dollar price of Bitcoin. A comparison of the level of volatility of key investment financial assets in the market of cryptocurrencies and stock markets is carried out. The authors determine the level of correlation dependence and make a regression model of the impact of fundamental economic indicators and stock market trends on the dynamics of U.S. dollar prices for key cryptocurrencies. The article presents conclusions on trends and problems of using cryptocurrencies as an investment asset, considering volatility and profitability. Implementation of the results allows to clarify the economic essence of cryptocurrencies as a specific financial vehicle, as well as improving the existing models of investment management, considering the statistical characteristics of the virtual financial assets. The main direction of further research is to build models of medium-term prediction of prices for the main cryptocurrencies as an investment asset in conditions of changes in global financial markets, which must consider the fundamental economic indicators of the world economy and trends on key stock and commodity markets. Keywords: virtual financial asset, cryptocurrency, bitcoin, econometric model, financial market, economic indicator, investment asset. JEL Classification D53, E44, G15, C58 Formulas: 3; fig.: 3; tabl.: 3; bibl.: 31.


2017 ◽  
Vol 26 (spe) ◽  
pp. 829-856 ◽  
Author(s):  
José Carlos Braga ◽  
Giuliano Contento de Oliveira ◽  
Paulo José Whitaker Wolf ◽  
Alex Wilhans Antonio Palludeto ◽  
Simone Silva de Deos

Abstract The end of the Bretton Woods agreement led not only to changes in the international economic relations, but also in the very way in which capitalism functions. The liberalization of capital flows and deregulation and integration of financial markets under US leadership gave rise to a new systemic pattern of wealth, financialization, in which operations with financial assets received increased importance in the management of wealth by households and enterprises, and not only by banks and the other financial market institutions. Unlike most recent interpretations of this phenomenon, this one does not indicate a tendency of the system towards stagnation, but rather an increase in the instability that characterizes it, reinforcing the moments of expansion, contraction, as well as leading to crises. In fact, with the generalization and the dominance of finance, borrowing and spending decisions by enterprises and households are now increasingly responsible for current and expected fluctuations in the stock of wealth, which in turn are responsive to current and expected fluctuations in the prices of financial assets. This implies a transformation in the relationship between the state and the market, with central banks and national treasures becoming hostage to the need to prevent private losses and the perverse effects they may exercise over output, income and employment levels of the economy.


2021 ◽  
pp. 2150002
Author(s):  
Guimin Yang ◽  
Yuanguo Zhu

Compared with investing an ordinary options, investing the power options may possibly yield greater returns. On the one hand, the power option is the best choice for those who want to maximize the leverage of the underlying market movements. On the other hand, power options can also prevent the financial market changes caused by the sharp fluctuations of the underlying assets. In this paper, we investigate the power option pricing problem in which the price of the underlying asset follows the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck type of model involving an uncertain fractional differential equation. Based on critical value criterion, the pricing formulas of European power options are derived. Finally, some numerical experiments are performed to illustrate the results.


2012 ◽  
Vol 02 (11) ◽  
pp. 15-24
Author(s):  
Charles Kombo Okioga

Capital Market Authority in Kenya is in a development phase in order to be effective in the regulation of the financial markets. The market participants and the regulators are increasingly adopting international standards in order to make the capital markets in sync with those of developed markets. New products are being introduced and new business lines are being established. The Capital Markets Authority (Regulator) is constantly reviewing existing regulations and recommending changes to regulate the market properly. Business lines and activities are being harmonized by market participants to provide a one stop solution in order to meet the financial and securities services needs of the investors. The convergence of business lines and activities of market intermediaries gives rise to the diversity of a firm’s business operations to meet multiplicity of regulations that its activities are subject to. The methodology used in this study was designed to examine the relationship between capital markets Authority effective regulation and the performance of the financial markets. The study used correlation design, the study population consisted of 30 employees in financial institutions regulated by Capital Markets Authority and 80 investors. The study found out that effective financial market regulation has a significant relationship with the financial market performance indicated by (r=0.571, p<0.01) and (r=0.716, p≤0.01, the study recommended a further research on the factors that hinder effective financial regulation by the Capital Markets Authority.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 235
Author(s):  
Otilia Manta ◽  
Kostas Gouliamos ◽  
Jie Kong ◽  
Zhou Li ◽  
Nguyen Minh Ha ◽  
...  

At the global level and in particular the European level, challenges related to climate change and the transition to green transactions have created an imperative where identifying or developing innovative financial instruments, appropriate for these priorities, have become our research priorities and objectives. Starting from the analysis of the European Investment Plan for green transactions, as well as the EU Directive 2018/410 of the European Parliament and of the Council, in conjunction with ongoing efforts to identify innovative financing tools, research is presented based on hypotheses using concepts and models of green financing. The paper aims to analyze the main concepts and phenomena that could be considered generative factors for current financial market trends, as well as the inventory of facts and acts that provide a picture of the financial market. Based on these investigations, this paper suggest how we can best analyze the economic environment, processes, and resources in terms of their predictions regarding the sustainability of financial markets in the context of current challenges. Moreover, our paper aims to highlight in our empirical research the above-mentioned aspects, including the analysis of the emergence of new financial instruments at the global level with a direct impact on financial sustainability at the European level, including reflecting certain particularities of financial markets Romania. This research will be both a scientific contribution to the specialized literature and a possible support tool for the practical activities of entrepreneurs in their economic endeavor of developing sustainable businesses.


2020 ◽  
Vol 02 (12) ◽  
pp. 136-144
Author(s):  
Buvsara Tashmuradova ◽  
◽  
Omonullo Hamdamov ◽  

The paper describes the economic importance of attracting financial resources from the national and international financial markets by joint stock companies operating in the Republic of Uzbekistan. The current situation with the attraction of capital from the international financial markets by companies in the financial sector has been analyzed and key conclusions have been drawn. In national practice, the existing shortcomings in the financing of companies on the basis of debt instruments have been studied and scientific proposals have been developed to address them.


2021 ◽  
Vol 93 ◽  
pp. 02029
Author(s):  
Mikhail Loginov ◽  
Natalia Usova ◽  
Aigerim Baigotanova

The article is devoted to the development of the national financial market and ensuring its stability on the basis of digital transformation. Subject of research: digitalization of the financial market. The aim of the study is to study the theoretical foundations of the financial market and determine the priorities of its development based on the digitalization of services to ensure sustainable development in the medium term. Method of research. in the process of writing, the authors used such methods as analysis, grouping, comparison, and synthesis. Results: 1. The features of digitalization of services provided in the national financial market are disclosed. 2. The mechanism of interaction of the main participants in the digital financial assets market is presented and their characteristics are given. 3. Measures for digital transformation of the national financial services market are proposed, taking into account the current situation in the national economy. Scientific novelty: the mechanism of interaction of the main participants in the digital financial services market was determined, measures for the digital transformation of the financial services market were proposed.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 69-78
Author(s):  
T. I. Demidenko ◽  
Yu. S. Zharkova ◽  
E. I. Brichka

The need to ensure economic security in the context of globalization is based on the stable and safe development of all spheres of society. The financial market is the most large–scale and vulnerable area of the economic life of society, in this regard, it is relevant to study the threats affecting the activities of entities in the financial market, namely the role of economic risks in the financial market as an element of ensuring the country’s economic security. The methodological instruments of the work is based on the use of general methods of scientific knowledge, used both at the empirical and theoretical level: comparison, abstraction, modeling, analysis and synthesis. The article analyzes the risk factors of the Russian financial market since 2014, which allowed us to draw conclusions and formulate possible measures to reduce risks in the financial market that can expand the country’s economic security.


Stats ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 1012-1026
Author(s):  
Sahar Albosaily ◽  
Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

We consider a spread financial market defined by the multidimensional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (OU) process. We study the optimal consumption/investment problem for logarithmic utility functions using a stochastic dynamical programming method. We show a special verification theorem for this case. We find the solution to the Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation in explicit form and as a consequence we construct optimal financial strategies. Moreover, we study the constructed strategies with numerical simulations.


Equilibrium ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 7-30 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hans-Georg Petersen ◽  
Alexander Martin Wiegelmann

The breakdown of the financial markets in fall 2007 and the following debt crisis in the EU has produced an enormous mistrust in financial products and the monetary system. The paper describes the background of the crisis induced by functional failures in risk management and the multifold principal agent problems existing in the financial market structures. The innovated nontransparent financial products have mixed up different risk weights and puzzled, or even fooled formerly loyal customers. Contemporaneously abundant liquidity on the international financial market accompanied by easy money policies of the Fed in the US and the ECB in the euro zone have depressed the real interest rate to zero or even negative values. Desperate investors are seeking for safe-assets, but their demand remains unsatisfied. Low real interest rates and the consequently lacking compound interest effect in the same time jeopardize private as well as public insurance schemes being dependent on capital funding: the demographic crisis becomes gloomy. Therefore, the managers of the financial markets have to reestablish CSR and to divide the markets into safe-asset areas for the usual clients and “casino” areas for those who like to play with high risks. Only with transparency and risk adequate financial products can the lost commitment be regained.


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