scholarly journals Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (46) ◽  
Author(s):  

Indonesia has responded with a bold and comprehensive policy package to cushion the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. The economy rebounded in the third quarter of 2020, and the economic recovery is projected to strengthen in 2021 and 2022. Strong policy support and an improving global economy will be the main drivers initially, and greater mobility and confidence will follow with the planned vaccination program in 2021. The uncertainty surrounding the growth outlook is larger than usual. Early completion of a widespread vaccination program is an upside risk, while a protracted pandemic remains a downside risk. The macro-financial fallout of the pandemic and economic downturn could be larger than expected, and credit conditions could be slow to improve. Ongoing reforms aimed at promoting investment are expected to help mitigate the scarring effects from the pandemic and put the economy on a sustained growth path that builds on Indonesia’s favorable demographics.

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ajit Kumar Jaiswal

This COVID-19 pandemic has a colossal impact on individuals as well as society. The discipline of health economics has grown significantly in recent years and new methodologies and techniques have been developed to evaluate the economic burden of the diseases. Amid the lockdown, scarce resources and increasing medical costs have highlighted the need to quantify the burden of COVID-19 on the healthcare system and thus the present study tried to make accurate economic assessments of the impact of this disease. The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic is an unprecedented shock to the economies globally. With the prolonged nation-wide lockdown, global economic downturn, and imbalances of demand and supply sides, the global economy is facing an extended period of slowdown, which is likely to be existing for a while now. The magnitude of the economic impact will depend upon the duration and severity of this global health crisis and the manner in which the situation unfolds once the economy starts to recover


2020 ◽  
pp. 117-120
Author(s):  
JOSEPH ARCHVADZE

The coronavirus pandemic almost immediately led to a global narrowing of the global economy, a sharp reduction in aggregate supply and demand. The decline in production was especially felt in the second quarter of 2020, when the recession in most countries of the world had a double-digit value. According to IMF forecasts, in general, the economy in developed countries, even in 2021, will not reach the level of 2019. The global economic downturn is accompanied by a massive reduction in jobs, rising unemployment, especially in industries that are focused on foreign markets and serving foreign consumers (export production, reception and service of foreign tourists, international transportation, etc.). The economic crisis caused by the coronavirus also hit global economic and technological ties, led to their widespread fail in many geographical points of the planet, and increased the risk of fragmentation and regionalization of the global market. All this was adequately reflected in change of global demand for labor, in a significant transformation of the structure, size and location of employment, and the state of the labor market as a whole. At the same time, the global crisis did not equally affect the level of employment in different types of activity, the formation of demand for labor, the labor market as a whole; the structure of jobs and employment in individual professions, instead of a proportional change, was uneven - mainly in an asymmetric form.


2013 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 7-28 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miriama Vašková

This paper analyses the consequences of the economic downturn for employment, earnings and income inequality in Visegrad countries. It draws on both theoretical and practical evidence of the impact of the recession on earnings and income inequality, as presented in its second part. The third part gives an overview of the development of income inequality in Visegrad countries in the period prior to the global recession. The paper proceeds in its fourth part to a comparative analysis of the empirical data on employment, unemployment, income and income inequality in the Visegrad countries. In its sixth part, the paper summarizes key findings.


Author(s):  
Mahani Zainal Abidin

  The basic foundation of this crisis actually lies with the global economic system which is based on the globalisation of the economyand financial systems. That is the foundation of the current problem.However, if we actually look at the system, this crisis is not abouta specific country or specific factor. It is actually about the globalsystem which is based on the economic globalisation system. Thequestion that comes to mind with that statement is that, will thishappen again? In my opinion it will happen again. So, this is not the final crisis, and since it is not the first crisis, it will happen again. Based on the one that we had, let us get to the content. There will be three parts to this discussion. The first one is the causes of the crisis. The second one is the impact, and the third one is the future of the economic globalisation. Is the 2008 crisis a repeat of the 1998 crisis? In fact yes, and in between, the world has seen so many crises but the big crisis happen in 1932 when the whole world was in depression. Then, we have the present crisis. These are the two major crises that involved the whole world. In between we have many crises. For example in 1992, we had the Mexican crisis, in 1998 we had the Asian crisis, in 2001 we had dot com bubble crisis, and so forth. The difference between all the crises is the degree of the sovereignity. For some, it is restricted to some countries and some of it is regional. The only noticeable characteristic is that a crisis now occurs more often. Previously every 12 years, and then every 10 years. Now it is happening more often because the global economy is so integrated. So, if you look back and you see this pattern, this is what is going to happen.    


Author(s):  
Richard Honack ◽  
Sachin Waikar

By early 2009 Starbucks had nearly 17,000 stores worldwide, with about a third of these outside the United States. Despite multibillion-dollar annual revenues, the giant coffee retailer's yearly growth had declined by half, quarterly earnings had dropped as much as 97 percent, same-store sales were negative, and its stock price was languishing. Factors such as a global economic downturn and increasing competition in the specialty coffee market from large players such as McDonald's and Dunkin' Donuts had driven this decline, resulting in the closings of hundreds of domestic stores already, with many more planned. Founder Howard Schultz, who had recently returned as CEO, and his executive team were convinced that Starbucks's growth opportunities lay overseas, where the firm already had a strong foothold in markets like Japan and the United Kingdom and was preparing to open hundreds of new stores in a variety of locations. But recent international challenges, including the closing of most Australian stores due to sluggish sales, made clear that Starbucks had more to learn about bringing its value proposition—a combination of premium coffee, superior service, and a “coffeehouse experience”—to foreign soil. The key question was not whether Starbucks could transport its value proposition overseas, but how the value proposition's three elements would play in recently entered and new markets. And the stakes of making the right international moves rose with each U.S. store closure. Schultz and his team also faced a broader question, one that applied to both their U.S. and foreign stores: Could they “grow big and stay small,” remaining a huge retailer that delivered both high-quality products and a consistently intimate and enjoyable experience to consumers worldwide? This case presents this challenge in the context of Starbucks's history, well-established value proposition, and domestic and international growth and vision.The key objectives of the case focus on the successful growth of local city brand, to a country brand, to a global brand, leaving the questions: 1. How much more can it grow? 2. Can it? 3. What is the impact of new competitors in a given market and/or the impact of the global economy on discretionary spending by a loyal customer base? 4. How important is it to the sustain a brand's core value(s) proposition when innovating for new audiences and customer preferences?


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 402-415
Author(s):  
Zunaira Zahoor

This study is being conducted when the Corona virus spreads around the world and becomes an economic major crisis in 2020. Researchers explain the impact of the Corona virus on the world economy by getting information from Standard & poverty agencies (S&P), Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), and from different websites and reports. moreover, researchers obtain information from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). In addition, Explain the losses from one industry to another and concluded that the global economy is confronted by dual crises in nature. The deaths of millions of people are on the one hand and the economy crisis on the other. The first problem comprises saving people from death, and the second in saving the universe against economic crises. But both challenges are inconsistent. If individuals want to preserve lives, a remain at home and a social distance policy are imposed, and the country is shut down. However, we can rescue our citizens living, but the economy collapses fast because all the companies in the country have been shut down. If economic crisis is saved, people are supposed to go out and work as normal, the global economy would boost but soon millions or billions of people are lost who will also have an impact on the economic downturn. Policymakers, doctors and manufacturers of health should work together to identify solutions to benefit both individuals living and saving economic crisis.


2021 ◽  
Vol 66 (4) ◽  
pp. 483-495
Author(s):  
Anna Protasiewicz

Abstract The aim of the article is an attempt to analyze the impact of the pandemic crisis (caused by the COVID-19 coronavirus) on innovations created by economic entities. The ongoing economic downturn has reasons different from previous economic peturbations, and has much more extensive effects across the entire global economy. Hence the need to analyze not individual economies as trends (megatrends) in the emergence of innovations initiated or significantly accelerated by the pandemic crisis. The analysis was made on the basis of reports from institutions such as the World Economic Forum, OECD or ESPAS, as well as preliminary studies conducted in some countries (eg the USA). It should be emphasized that due to the ongoing perturbations and the pandemic not ending, precise research results will be possible to obtain in later years.


2020 ◽  
Vol 39 (5) ◽  
pp. 6579-6590
Author(s):  
Sandy Çağlıyor ◽  
Başar Öztayşi ◽  
Selime Sezgin

The motion picture industry is one of the largest industries worldwide and has significant importance in the global economy. Considering the high stakes and high risks in the industry, forecast models and decision support systems are gaining importance. Several attempts have been made to estimate the theatrical performance of a movie before or at the early stages of its release. Nevertheless, these models are mostly used for predicting domestic performances and the industry still struggles to predict box office performances in overseas markets. In this study, the aim is to design a forecast model using different machine learning algorithms to estimate the theatrical success of US movies in Turkey. From various sources, a dataset of 1559 movies is constructed. Firstly, independent variables are grouped as pre-release, distributor type, and international distribution based on their characteristic. The number of attendances is discretized into three classes. Four popular machine learning algorithms, artificial neural networks, decision tree regression and gradient boosting tree and random forest are employed, and the impact of each group is observed by compared by the performance models. Then the number of target classes is increased into five and eight and results are compared with the previously developed models in the literature.


2019 ◽  
pp. 79-91 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. S. Nazarov ◽  
S. S. Lazaryan ◽  
I. V. Nikonov ◽  
A. I. Votinov

The article assesses the impact of various factors on the growth rate of international trade. Many experts interpreted the cross-border flows of goods decline against the backdrop of a growing global economy as an alarming sign that indicates a slowdown in the processes of globalization. To determine the reasons for the dynamics of international trade, the decompositions of its growth rate were carried out and allowed to single out the effect of the dollar exchange rate, the commodities prices and global value chains on the change in the volume of trade. As a result, it was discovered that the most part of the dynamics of international trade is due to fluctuations in the exchange rate of the dollar and prices for basic commodity groups. The negative contribution of trade within global value chains in 2014 was also revealed. During the investigated period (2000—2014), such a picture was observed only in the crisis periods, which may indicate the beginning of structural changes in the world trade.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document