scholarly journals ANALISA NILAI TUKAR PETANI DI PROVINSI RIAU

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 383-393
Author(s):  
Rezi Abdurrahman ◽  
Lukman Hakim

This study was conducted to determine the factors that influence the farmer's exchange rate (the ratio of the price index received by farmers to the price index paid by farmers) in the food crops sub-sector in Riau Province. The data collected in this study is data published by the Central Statistics Agency of Riau Province. The data obtained were then analyzed using SPSS 22. The test results show that the level of expenditure has a negative and significant effect on the exchange rate of farmers in the food crop sub-sector, this can be seen from the value of tcount (-2.475) < ttable (2.44691) with a significant value of 0.048 < 0.05. Harvested area has a significant positive effect on the exchange rate of farmers in the food crop sub-sector, this can be seen from the value of tcount (4.441) < ttable (2.44691) with a significant value of 0.004 <0.05. Meanwhile, the food import variable has no significant effect on the exchange rate of farmers in the food crop sub-sector, this can be seen from the value of tcount (2.273) < ttable (2.44691) with a significant value of 0.063 > 0.05, with a value of Fcount (12.476) > Ftable , (4,35).

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 383-393
Author(s):  
Rezi Abdurrahman ◽  
Lukman Hakim

This study was conducted to determine the factors that influence the farmer's exchange rate (the ratio of the price index received by farmers to the price index paid by farmers) in the food crops sub-sector in Riau Province. The data collected in this study is data published by the Central Statistics Agency of Riau Province. The data obtained were then analyzed using SPSS 22. The test results show that the level of expenditure has a negative and significant effect on the exchange rate of farmers in the food crop sub-sector, this can be seen from the value of tcount (-2.475) < ttable (2.44691) with a significant value of 0.048 < 0.05. Harvested area has a significant positive effect on the exchange rate of farmers in the food crop sub-sector, this can be seen from the value of tcount (4.441) < ttable (2.44691) with a significant value of 0.004 <0.05. Meanwhile, the food import variable has no significant effect on the exchange rate of farmers in the food crop sub-sector, this can be seen from the value of tcount (2.273) < ttable (2.44691) with a significant value of 0.063 > 0.05, with a value of Fcount (12.476) > Ftable , (4,35).   Keywords: Farmer's Exchange Rate, Food Crops Subsector.


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 75-81
Author(s):  
Andini Nurwulandari

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth is a constructive indicator and vice versa. A rise in GDP affects the buying power of citizens positively. It will therefore raise demand for the commodity. A surge in the market for goods raises the firm's earnings and may also increase the stock price. The analysis was designed to examine the impact on composite stock price index using data from time series from January 2018 to December 2020 of Rupiah Exchange rate, Nikkei 225 Index, and BI Rate. Multiple linear regression is used in the mixed Stock Price Index scheme to identify the relevant influence of BI on the Rupiah and Nikkei 225. The test results show that the BI rate has a significant positive effect on the Rupiah exchange rate for the composite stock pricing index. Meanwhile, the Nikkei 225 Index has no impact on the Composite Stock Price Index.


2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Desi Setiawati ◽  
Edmon Daris ◽  
Mudatsir Najamuddin

The test results obtained a value of adjusted Rsquare of 90.76%. These results indicate that the formation of rice prices in Indonesia can be explained by the independent variables used in the model is the production of rice, rice consumption, the price of imported rice, and the exchange rate of rupiah against the US dollar by 90.76%. While the remaining 9.24% is explained by other variables outside this research model. The joined test results indicate variables of domestic rice production, domestic rice consumption, the price of imported rice, and the exchange rate against the US dollar affect the formation of prices of rice in Indonesia with a value of F (42.77) is greater than F table (3.18 ) or probability value is 0.000000 <0.05. Partial test results found that the variable domestic rice production, domestic rice consumption, and the rupiah against the US dollar respectively significantly affect the domestic rice price variables at α = 0.05, whereas the variable import prices did not significantly affect variable domestic rice prices.


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 51-63
Author(s):  
Diah Budi Pratiwi ◽  
Damayanti Damayanti ◽  
M. Iqbal Iqbal Harori

This research aims to find out the macroeconomic influence of inflation, bi rate, and rupiah exchange rate on changes in the stock price index of consumer goods sector. The independent variables that used in this research are Inflation (X1), BI Rate (X1), and Rupiah Exchange Rate (X3) and Consumer Goods Sector Stock Price Index as dependent variable. The data in this research is a time series data that includes inflation, BI Rate, and Rupiah exchange rate data for the period 2016-2020. The samples in this research amounted to 60 samples that taken by using census sampling techniques. The data in this research was analyzed by using multiple linear regressions with simultaneous variable results of Inflation, BI rate, and Rupiah Exchange Rate significantly affecting changes in the Consumer Goods Sector Stock Price Index with a value of R Square is 0.382 or 38.2%. While the results partially show that variable inflation has a significant and positive effect, variable rupiah exchange rates has negatively affect on changes in the Stock Price Index of the Consumer Goods Sector. As for the variable BI Rate has no significant effect on changes in the Stock Price Index of the Consumer Goods Sector. ABSTRAK   Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh ekonomi makro inflasi, bi rate, dan nilai tukar rupiah terhadap perubahan indeks harga saham sektor consumer goods. Variabel bebas yang digunakan pada penelitian ini yaitu Inflasi (X1), BI Rate (X1), dan Nilai Tukar Rupiah (X3) serta Indeks Harga Saham Sektor Consumer Goods sebagai variabel terikat. Data pada penelitian ini merupakan data time series yang meliputi data Inflasi, BI Rate, dan Nilai Tukar Rupiah untuk periode tahun 2016-2020. Sampel pada penelitian ini berjumlah 60 sampel yang diambil dengan menggunakan teknik sampling sensus. Data pada penelitian ini dianalisis dengan menggunakan regresi linier berganda, dengan hasil secara simultan, variabel Inflasi, BI rate, dan Nilai Tukar Rupiah berpengaruh signifikan terhadap perubahan Indeks Harga Saham Sektor Consumer Goods. Secara parsial, variabel inflasi berpengaruh signifikan dan positif, serta variabel nilai tukar rupiah berpengaruh negatif terhadap perubahan Indeks Harga Saham Sektor Consumer Goods. Sedangkan untuk variabel BI Rate tidak berpengaruh secara signifikan terhadap perubahan Indeks Harga Saham Sektor Consumer Goods.


Author(s):  
Harun Bal ◽  
Mehmet Demiral ◽  
Filiz Yetiz

There is an immense literature on the effects of exchange rate changes on macroeconomic indicators, specifically on the trade balance, growth, inflation, and overall productivity in open economies. One of the main attempts in the related literature is about ascertaining whether the exchange rate fluctuations alter domestic prices. This possible mechanism is called as the pass-through effect which is getting more important since the argument that exchange rate adjustment is a part of the solution for global rebalancing is empirically well-supported. Starting from this claim, this study purposes to explore whether there is an exchange rate pass-through effect in 19 high-income OECD countries over the period 1990-2015. To this end, using a panel data set of consumer price index, producer price index proxied by wholesale price index, the nominal effective exchange rates, and industrial production presented by the value-added share of industry sectors in gross domestic product, structural vector autoregressive (VAR) and autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models are estimated in an unbalanced panel data analysis procedure. Results reveal that exchange rate pass-through effects on the domestic prices are significant but not that strong in both the short-run and the long-run. Expectedly, the pass-through effects tend to diminish over time. The study concludes that policy-makers need to consider policy actions accompanying the exchange rate changes to ensure domestic price stability which consequently interacts with many macroeconomic indicators.


10.26458/1814 ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 105-122
Author(s):  
Lawrence Olisaemeka UFOEZE ◽  
Camilus OKUMA, N. ◽  
Clem NWAKOBY ◽  
Udoka Bernard Alajekwu

This study investigated the effect of exchange rate fluctuations on Nigerian economy. The fixed and floating exchange eras were compared to know the exchange rate system in which the economy has fairly better. The time period covered was 1970 to 2012. The study employed the ordinary least square (OLS) multiple regression technique for the analysis. The coefficient of determination (R2), F-test, t-test, beta and Durbin-Watson were used in the interpretation of the results. The resulted revealed that about 85% of the changes in macroeconomic indicators are explained in the fixed exchange era. In the floating exchange era, 99% was explained while the whole periods has 73% explanatory power, hence the floating exchange era (1986 to date) is more effective in explaining economic trend in Nigeria. Also, exchange rate has significant positive effect on GDP during the fixed exchange rate era and negative effect the eras floating and all-time; inflation has insignificant negative effect on GDP during the fixed exchange era; significant effect in floating era and significant negative effect in the all-time period; money supply has insignificant negative effect GDP in fixed exchange era; and significant positive effect during the floating and all-time period; and oil revenue has significant positive effect on the GDP in all the exchange rate regimes (floating, fixed and all-time) in Nigeria.  The study thus conclude that exchange rate movement is a good indicator for monitoring Nigerian economic growth. So far exchange rate has always been a key economic indicator for Nigeria. The floating exchange period has outperformed the fixed exchange rate in terms of contribution inflation, money supply and oil revenue to economic growth. This indicate that the floating exchange rate has been a better economic regime for sustainable economic growth in Nigeria. From the findings, it is evident that oil revenue has positive effect in Nigeria and has remained the mainstay of the economy. It is thus recommended among other things that a positive exchange rate stock should be monitored regularly, so as not to allow those that find exchange rate as an avenue of investment like banks and public carry out their business, which is more devastating to the economy. 


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 166-179
Author(s):  
Mira Yona ◽  
Jeffi Mutiara

This study aims to determine the effect of work motivation, work communication and job training on the performance of  PT Parama Tirta Mulya Sejahterah employees. Both partially and simultaneously. The type of this research is quantitative research. The population of this study is all employees of PT. 43 employees. Sampling technique is done by saturated sampling technique. Data is obtained using a questionnaire (questionnaire) that is tested for validity and reliability. The results of data analysis found that there was a positive influence between motivation on employee performance with the coefficient value b1 = 0.452. There was a positive influence between work communication on employee performance with a coefficient value of b2 = 0.038. There was a positive influence between training )on employee performance with a coefficient value of b3 = 0.333. There was a significant positive effect of employee performance, Partial Test Results (t-test) between work motivation with work performance wan shows the value of t-count greater than t-table (3,829> 2,601), between communication and employee performance shows the value of t-count greater than t-table value (2,808> 2,016), and between training and employee performance shows the value of t-count greater than t-table value (2,213> 2,016), this shows that there is a significant positive effect partially. The result of the calculated F value is 44.981 and the probability of significance is 0.000.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 119-133
Author(s):  
Arief Rahmatullah ◽  
Putu Anom Mahadwartha ◽  
Endang Ernawati

This study aims to examine the effect of a religious-related calendar anomaly, namely Ramadan, on stock return and volatility of a Sharia-based index in Indonesia. This study used the GARCH (p,q) method and linear regression to examine the effect of Ramadan on stock returns and volatility, with Ramadan as a dummy variable. This study results show that Ramadan month has a significant positive effect on stock returns, or it can be said that an anomaly occurs during Ramadan month. Meanwhile, volatility during Ramadan month is negative and not significant. This study also exercised a T-test to support the GARCH regression (p,q) and linear regression results. The t-test results show that the average return during Ramadan is higher than in other months. Meanwhile, the average volatility during Ramadan is lower than in other months.


2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 2-19 ◽  
Author(s):  
Omneia Helmy ◽  
Mona Fayed ◽  
Kholoud Hussien

Purpose The theoretical and empirical literature stipulated that exchange rate shocks do influence the domestic price of imports. Hence, this paper aims to investigate the underlying relationship between the exchange rate and prices known as the exchange rate pass-through. Design/methodology/approach The paper uses a structural vector auto-regression (SVAR) model, drawing on Bernanke (1986) and Sims (1986), to empirically examine and analyze the pass-through of exchange rate fluctuations to domestic prices in Egypt. Findings The empirical results of the monthly data between 2003 and 2015 revealed that the exchange rate pass-through in Egypt is fairly substantial but incomplete and slow in the three price indices [IMP, producer price index and consumer price index (CPI)]. However, the impact is more prominent for consumer prices than for any other price index. This finding could be attributed to the fact that the CPI in Egypt is composed of a relatively large number of subsidized commodities and goods with administered prices as well as the authorities’ behavior in manipulating prices (i.e. export ban). This is expected to weaken the transmission of exchange rate shocks. Practical implications The result has interesting implications for Egypt’s ability to attain an effective inflation targeting regime. Originality/value The study contributes to the literature by assessing the effect of changes in the exchange rate (the Egyptian £ vis-à-vis the US$) on prices using an updated time series from 2003 to 2015. It addresses the limitations of the study of Nafie et al. (2004), which found no strong relationship between the exchange rate and inflation rate in the Egyptian context. One of these limitations was using the CPI, as the only price index.


Author(s):  
Salahuddin Salahuddin ◽  
Laode Muh. Munadi ◽  
Muhammad Amrullah Pagala ◽  
Rina Astarika

The implementation of the research on the behavior of farmers exchange rate subsector plantations in North Kolaka District, conducted in the sub-district area that qualifies as a sample area in the researcher's perspective aims to see the exchange rate behavior of plantation subsector farmers in north Kolaka district, conducted in January-March 2021. The calculation of Farmer Exchange Rate is obtained from the comparison of the price index received by farmers against the price index paid by farmers using the survey method with the number of 340 respondents spread in North Kolaka Regency. The results showed that the behavior of the price received by farmers 110.23%, The Behavior of Prices Paid by Farmers 95.22%, and the exchange rate of farmers in the subsector of plantation crops in North Kolaka District in 2019-2020 115.81%.


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