average bias
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2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stanislas Grassin-Delyle ◽  
Elodie Lamy ◽  
Michaela Semeraro ◽  
Iléana Runge ◽  
Jean-Marc Treluyer ◽  
...  

We assessed the accuracy of tranexamic acid (TXA) concentrations measured in capillary whole blood using volumetric absorptive micro-sampling (VAMS) devices. Paired venous and VAMS capillary blood samples were collected from 15 healthy volunteers participating in a pharmacokinetic study of alternative routes (oral, IM and IV) of administering TXA. To assess accuracy across a range of concentrations, blood was drawn at different times after TXA administration. We measured TXA concentrations in plasma, whole blood from samples collected by venepuncture and whole blood from venous and capillary samples collected using VAMS devices. TXA was measured using a validated high sensitivity liquid chromatography - mass spectrometry method. We used Bland-Altman plots to describe the agreement between the TXA concentrations obtained with the different methods. In the 42 matched samples, the mean plasma TXA concentration was 14.0 mg/L (range 2.6–36.5 mg/L) whereas the corresponding whole blood TXA concentration was 7.7 mg/L (range 1.6–17.5 mg/L). When comparing TXA concentrations in VAMS samples of venous and capillary whole blood, the average bias was 0.07 mg/L (lower and upper 95% limits of agreement: −2.1 and 2.2 mg/L respectively). When comparing TXA concentrations in venous whole blood and VAMS capillary whole blood, the average bias was 0.7 mg/L (limits of agreement: −2.7 and 4.0 mg/L). Volumetric absorptive micro-sampling devices are sufficiently accurate for use in pharmacokinetic studies of tranexamic acid treatment in the range of plasma concentrations relevant for the assessment of fibrinolysis inhibition.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 4929-4950
Author(s):  
Henri Diémoz ◽  
Anna Maria Siani ◽  
Stefano Casadio ◽  
Anna Maria Iannarelli ◽  
Giuseppe Rocco Casale ◽  
...  

Abstract. A re-evaluated data set of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) column densities over Rome for the years 1996 to 2017 is here presented. This long-term record is obtained from ground-based direct sun measurements with a MkIV Brewer spectrophotometer (serial number #067) and further reprocessed using a novel algorithm. Compared to the original Brewer algorithm, the new method includes updated NO2 absorption cross sections and Rayleigh scattering coefficients, and it accounts for additional atmospheric compounds and instrumental artefacts, such as the spectral transmittance of the filters, the alignment of the wavelength scale, and internal temperature. Moreover, long-term changes in the Brewer radiometric sensitivity are tracked using statistical methods for in-field calibration. The resulting series presents only a few (about 30) periods with missing data longer than 1 week and features NO2 retrievals for more than 6100 d, covering nearly 80 % of the considered 20-year period. The high quality of the data is demonstrated by two independent comparisons. In the first intensive campaign, Brewer #067 is compared against another Brewer (#066), recently calibrated at the Izaña Atmospheric Observatory through the Langley method and there compared to reference instrumentation from the Network for the Detection of Atmospheric Composition Change (NDACC). Data from this campaign show a highly significant Pearson's correlation coefficient of 0.90 between the two series of slant column densities (SCDs), slope 0.98 and offset 0.05 DU (Dobson units; 1.3×1015 molec.cm-2). The average bias between the vertical column densities is 0.03 DU (8.1×1014 molec.cm-2), well within the combined uncertainty of both instruments. Brewer #067 is also independently compared with new-generation instrumentation, a co-located Pandora spectrometer (#117), over a 1-year-long period (2016–2017) at Sapienza University of Rome, showing linear correlation indices above 0.96 between slant column densities, slope of 0.97, and offset of 0.02 DU (5.4×1014 molec.cm-2). The average bias between vertical column densities is negligible (−0.002 DU or -5.4×1013 molec.cm-2). This, incidentally, represents the first intercomparison of NO2 retrievals between a MkIV Brewer and a Pandora instrument. Owing to its accuracy and length, the Brewer data set collected in Rome can be useful for satellite calibration/validation exercises, comparison with photochemical models, and better aerosol optical depth estimates (NO2 optical depth climatology). In addition, it can be employed to identify long-term trends in NO2 column densities in a metropolitan environment, over two decades witnessing important changes in environmental policies, emission loads and composition, and the effect of a worldwide economic recession, to offer just a few examples. The method can be replicated on the more than 80 MkIV spectrophotometers operating worldwide in the frame of the international Brewer network. The NO2 data set described in this paper can be freely accessed at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4715219 (Diémoz and Siani, 2021).


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael A Levine ◽  
Joseph B Mandeville ◽  
Finnegan Calabro ◽  
David Izquierdo-Garcia ◽  
Julie C Price ◽  
...  

Compartmental modeling of 11C-raclopride (RAC) is commonly used to measure dopamine response to intra-scan behavioral tasks. Bias in estimates of binding potential (BPND) and its dynamic changes (ΔBPND) can arise when the selected compartmental model deviates from the underlying biology. In this work, we characterize the bias associated with assuming a single target compartment and propose a model for reducing this bias by selectively discounting the contribution of the initial uptake period. Methods: 69 healthy young adult participants were scanned using RAC PET/MR while simultaneously performing a rewarded behavioral task. BPND and ΔBPND were estimated using an extension of the Multilinear Reference Tissue Model (MRTM2) with the task challenge encoded as a Heaviside step function. Bias was estimated using simulations designed to match the acquired data and was reduced by introducing a new model (DE-MRTM2) that reduces the biasing influence of the initial uptake period in the modeled estimation of BPND for both simulations and participant data. Results: Bias in ΔBPND was observed to vary both spatially with BPND and with the assumed value of k4. At the most likely value of k4 (0.13 min-1), the average bias and the maximum voxel bias magnitude in the nucleus accumbens were estimated to be 1.2% and 3.9% respectively. Simulations estimated that debiasing the contribution of the first 27 minutes of acquired data reduced average bias and maximum voxel bias in the nucleus accumbens ΔBPND to -0.3% and 2.4% respectively. In the acquired participant data, DE-MRTM2 produced modest changes in the experimental estimates of striatal ΔBPND, while extrastriatal bias patterns were greatly reduced. DE-MRTM2 also considerably reduced the dependence of ΔBPND upon the first-pass selection of k2'. Conclusion: Selectively discounting the contribution of the initial uptake period can help mitigate BPND- and k4-dependent bias in single compartment models of ΔBPND, while also reducing the dependence of ΔBPND on the first-pass estimation of k2'.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Henri Diémoz ◽  
Anna Maria Siani ◽  
Stefano Casadio ◽  
Anna Maria Iannarelli ◽  
Giuseppe Rocco Casale ◽  
...  

Abstract. A re-evaluated data set of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) column densities over Rome for the years 1996 to 2017 is here presented. This long-term record is obtained from ground-based direct sun measurements with a MkIV Brewer spectrophotometer (#067), further reprocessed using a novel algorithm. Compared to the original Brewer algorithm, the new method includes updated NO2 absorption cross sections and Rayleigh scattering coefficients, and accounts for additional atmospheric compounds and instrumental artefacts, such as the spectral transmittance of the filters, the alignment of the wavelength scale and internal temperature. Moreover, long-term changes in the Brewer radiometric sensitivity are tracked using statistical methods for in-field calibration. The resulting series presents only few (about 30) periods with missing data longer than one week and features NO2 retrievals in more than 6100 days, covering nearly 80 % of the considered 20-year period. The high quality of the data is demonstrated by two independent comparisons. In a first intensive campaign, Brewer #067 is compared against another Brewer (#066), recently calibrated at the Izaña Atmospheric Observatory through the Langley method and there compared to reference instrumentation from the Network for the Detection of Atmospheric Composition Change (NDACC). Data from this campaign show a highly significant Pearson's correlation coefficient of 0.90 between the two series of slant column densities, slope 0.98 and offset 0.05 DU (1.3 × 1015 molec cm−2). The average bias between the vertical column densities is 0.03 DU (8.1 ×1014 molec cm−2), well within the combined uncertainty of both instruments. Brewer #067 is also independently compared with new-generation instrumentation, a co-located Pandora spectrometer (#117), over a 1-year long period (2016–2017) at Sapienza University of Rome, showing linear correlation indices above 0.96 between slant column densities, slope of 0.97 and offset of 0.02 DU (5.4 × 1014 molec cm−2). The average bias between vertical column densities is negligible (−0.002 DU or −5.4 × 1013 molec cm−2). This, incidentally, represents the first intercomparison of NO2 retrievals between a MkIV Brewer and a Pandora instrument. Owing to its accuracy and length, the Brewer data set collected in Rome can be useful for satellite cal/val exercises, comparison with photochemical models, and for better aerosol optical depth estimates (NO2 optical depth climatology). In addition, it can be employed to identify long-term trends in NO2 column densities over a metropolitan environment, during two decades witnessing important changes in environmental policies, emission loads and composition, and the effect of a worldwide economic recession, to offer just a few examples. The method can be replicated on the more than 80 MkIV spectrophotometers operating worldwide in the frame of the international Brewer network. The NO2 data set described in this manuscript can be freely accessed at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4715219 (Diémoz and Siani, 2021).


Biomédica ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 41 (1) ◽  
pp. 131-144
Author(s):  
Ana Lucía López ◽  
Juan David Vélez ◽  
Angélica María García ◽  
Elkin Fernando Arango

Introduction: No equations to predict the body composition of athletes from Medellín expected to have high performance have been constructed and, thus, decisions regarding their training and nutrition plans lack support.Objective: To calculate the concurrent validity of five prediction equations for fat percentage in a group of athletes from Medellín, Colombia, expected to yield high performance.Materials and methods: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis to validate diagnostic tests using secondary-source data of athletes under the age of 18 who were part of the “Medellín Team”. The gold standard was dual-energy X-ray densitometry (DEXA). We analyzed the Slaughter, Durnin and Rahaman, Lohman, and Johnston prediction equations, as well as the five-component model. We used the intraclass correlation coefficient to assess the consistency of the methods and the Bland-Altman plot to calculate the average bias and agreement limits of each of the equations.Results: We included 101 athletes (50,5 % of them women). The median age was 14,8 years (IR: 13,0 - 16,0). The concurrent validity was “good/excellent” for the Johnston and the Durnin and Rahaman equations and the five-components model. The Lohman equation overestimated the fat percentage in 12,7 points. All of the equations showed broad agreement limits.Conclusions: The Durnin and Rahaman and the Johnston equations, as well as the fivecomponent model, can be used to predict the FP in the study population as they showed a “good/excellent” concurrent validity and a low average bias. The equations analyzed have low accuracy, which hinders their use to diagnose the individual fat percentage within this population.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 961-984
Author(s):  
Mohsen Moradi ◽  
Benjamin Dyer ◽  
Amir Nazem ◽  
Manoj K. Nambiar ◽  
M. Rafsan Nahian ◽  
...  

Abstract. The Vertical City Weather Generator (VCWG) is a computationally efficient urban microclimate model developed to predict temporal and vertical variation of potential temperature, wind speed, specific humidity, and turbulent kinetic energy. It is composed of various sub-models: a rural model, an urban vertical diffusion model, a radiation model, and a building energy model. Forced with weather data from a nearby rural site, the rural model is used to solve for the vertical profiles of potential temperature, specific humidity, and friction velocity at 10 m a.g.l. The rural model also calculates a horizontal pressure gradient. The rural model outputs are applied to a vertical diffusion urban microclimate model that solves vertical transport equations for potential temperature, momentum, specific humidity, and turbulent kinetic energy. The urban vertical diffusion model is also coupled to the radiation and building energy models using two-way interaction. The aerodynamic and thermal effects of urban elements, surface vegetation, and trees are considered. The predictions of the VCWG model are compared to observations of the Basel UrBan Boundary Layer Experiment (BUBBLE) microclimate field campaign for 8 months from December 2001 to July 2002. The model evaluation indicates that the VCWG predicts vertical profiles of meteorological variables in reasonable agreement with the field measurements. The average bias, root mean square error (RMSE), and R2 for potential temperature are 0.25 K, 1.41 K, and 0.82, respectively. The average bias, RMSE, and R2 for wind speed are 0.67 m s−1, 1.06 m s−1, and 0.41, respectively. The average bias, RMSE, and R2 for specific humidity are 0.00057 kg kg−1, 0.0010 kg kg−1, and 0.85, respectively. In addition, the average bias, RMSE, and R2 for the urban heat island (UHI) are 0.36 K, 1.2 K, and 0.35, respectively. Based on the evaluation, the model performance is comparable to the performance of similar models. The performance of the model is further explored to investigate the effects of urban configurations such as plan and frontal area densities, varying levels of vegetation, building energy configuration, radiation configuration, seasonal variations, and different climate zones on the model predictions. The results obtained from the explorations are reasonably consistent with previous studies in the literature, justifying the reliability and computational efficiency of VCWG for operational urban development projects.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 551
Author(s):  
Zen Mariani ◽  
Shannon Hicks-Jalali ◽  
Kevin Strawbridge ◽  
Jack Gwozdecky ◽  
Robert W. Crawford ◽  
...  

The continuous measuring of the vertical profile of water vapor in the boundary layer using a commercially available differential absorption lidar (DIAL) has only recently been made possible. Since September 2018, a new pre-production version of the Vaisala DIAL system has operated at the Iqaluit supersite (63.74°N, 68.51°W), commissioned by Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) as part of the Canadian Arctic Weather Science project. This study presents its evaluation during the extremely dry conditions experienced in the Arctic by comparing it with coincident radiosonde and Raman lidar observations. Comparisons over a one year period were strongly correlated (r > 0.8 at almost all heights) and exhibited an average bias of +0.13 ± 0.01 g/kg (DIAL-sonde) and +0.18 ± 0.02 g/kg (DIAL-Raman). Larger differences exhibiting distinct artifacts were found between 250 and 400 m above ground level (AGL). The DIAL’s observations were also used to conduct a verification case study of operational numerical weather prediction (NWP) models during the World Meteorological Organization’s Year of Polar Prediction. Comparisons to ECCC’s global environmental multiscale model (GEM-2.5 km and GEM-10 km) indicate good agreement with an average bias < 0.16 g/kg for the higher-resolution (GEM-2.5 km) models. All models performed significantly better during the winter than the summer, likely due to the winter’s lower water vapor concentrations and decreased variability. This study provides evidence in favor of using high temporal resolution lidar water vapor profile measurements to complement radiosonde observations and for NWP model verification and process studies.


2020 ◽  
Vol 98 (Supplement_4) ◽  
pp. 354-354
Author(s):  
Garland Dahlke ◽  
Devin Jakub ◽  
John Goeser ◽  
Erika L Lundy

Abstract The objective of this trial was to evaluate the effectiveness of using the total tract neutral detergent fiber (TTNDFd) and starch digestibility methodology in the formulation of beef cow and replacement heifer rations. This methodology ultimately applies to the estimation of energy availability to the animal and accompanied performance as outlined by the NASEM 2016 Nutrient Requirements of Beef Cattle publication. Multiparous, Angus cows during the last two months of gestation and yearling replacement, Shorthorn heifers comprised the study. Cows received one of four, dry ingredient diets while heifers received a corn silage-based diet. Feed nutrient evaluation along with intake were documented and applied to the NASEM model for these cattle. Results were compared to actual performance. Acid detergent fiber (ADF) derived energy estimates which generally accompany commercial laboratory feed analysis reports were compared as well. A T-test between actual and projected growth was used to describe the difference. The T-test between the TTNDFd/Starch derived results did not show any statistical difference between the actual and projected results for heifers P(T&lt; =t) 0.15 with an average ADG bias of -0.06 Kg. The cow results over the four diets P(T&lt; =t) ranged from 0.41 to 0.004 with an average bias of 0.04 to 0.27 Kg overestimating ADG. The T-test between the ADF derived results showed a difference between the actual and estimated values for heifers P(T&lt; =t) 0.0004 with an average ADG bias of 0.2 Kg. The cow results over the four diets likewise over estimated available energy substantially. Here the test ranged from P(T&lt; =t) 0.03 to 0.0001 with an average bias of 0.35 to 0.7 Kg. It appears that TTNDFd methodology should be strongly considered in the evaluation of forages and in the development of ration formulation software for beef offered high levels of fiber in their ration.


Atmosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 807
Author(s):  
Sarah Commodore ◽  
Andrew Metcalf ◽  
Christopher Post ◽  
Kevin Watts ◽  
Scott Reynolds ◽  
...  

Recent advancement in lower-cost air monitoring technology has resulted in an increased interest in community-based air quality studies. However, non-reference monitoring (NRM; e.g., low-cost sensors) is imperfect and approaches that improve data quality are highly desired. Herein, we illustrate a framework for adjusting continuous NRM measures of particulate matter (PM) with field-based comparisons and non-linear statistical modeling as an example of instrument evaluation prior to exposure assessment. First, we collected continuous measurements of PM with a NRM technology collocated with a US EPA federal equivalent method (FEM). Next, we fit a generalized additive model (GAM) to establish a non-linear calibration curve that defines the relationship between the NRM and FEM data. Then, we used our fitted model to generate calibrated NRM PM data. Evaluation of raw NRM PM2.5 data revealed strong correlation with FEM (R = 0.9) but an average bias (AB) of −2.84 µg/m3 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 2.85 µg/m3, with 406 h of data. Fitting of our GAM revealed that the correlation structure was maintained (r = 0.9) and that average bias (AB = 0) and error (RMSE = 0) were minimized. We conclude that field-based statistical calibration models can be used to reduce bias and improve NRM data used for community air monitoring studies.


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