scholarly journals Effects of One-a-Day Foot Patrols on Hot Spots of Serious Violence and Crime Harm: a Randomised Crossover Trial

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lewis Basford ◽  
Chris Sims ◽  
Iain Agar ◽  
Vincent Harinam ◽  
Heather Strang
Keyword(s):  
Community Violence ◽  
Hot Spots ◽  
Hot Spot ◽  
Research Question ◽  
Geographical Area ◽  
Foot Patrol ◽  
Small Areas ◽  
Treatment Conditions ◽  
Intent To Treat ◽  
Sea Area

Abstract Research Question Does one foot patrol per day (15–20 min) conducted in serious violence harm spots reduce street-visible crime harm and frequency relative to no foot patrol in the same hot spots, and if so by how much? Data We identified 20 hot spots of 150m2 each on the basis of community violence defined as serious assaults, robbery, and drug dealing in the Southend-on-Sea area of Essex Police, with boundaries geo-fenced to collect GPS measures of foot patrol presence generated by hand-held electronic trackers issued to officers directed to perform patrols. All street-visible crimes were counted for each of the 90 days of the experiment in each hot spot. Methods Daily random assignment of each hot spot to either control or treatment conditions (N = 90 X 20 = 1800 place-days) prescribed 720 place-days to receive extra patrols by Operational Support Group officers, which were compared to 1080 place-days with no extra patrols, using an intent-to-treat design, with 98% compliance with assigned treatments. Independent measures of other police presence in the area were tracked by the force-wide GPS telematics measures. All crimes were coded with the Cambridge Crime Harm Index for their CHI value. Findings The 20 harm spots comprised just 2.6% of the geographical area of the Southend-on-Sea area, with 41% of all its Cambridge CHI crime harm in the year preceding the experiment. Background patrol presence was about 2 min per day on control days and 1 min per treatment day. Crime harm scores for serious community violence were 88.5% lower on experimental days with extra patrols (mean = 1.07 CHI per treatment place-day) than without it (mean = 9.30 CHI per control place-day). Crime harm scores for all street-visible offences were 35.6% lower on treatment days (mean = 7.94 CHI per treatment place-day) than control days (mean = 12.33 CHI per control place-day), while the mean count of all street-visible offences was 31% lower on treatment days (mean count = 0.09 crimes per treatment place-day) than on control days (mean count = 0.13 crimes per control place-day). The estimated effect of the 720 days with 15-min patrols was to prevent crimes with recommended imprisonment of 3161 days, or 8.66 years. Conclusion The use of two-officer foot patrol can be highly effective at preventing serious violence in street-visible settings in small areas in which such violence is heavily concentrated.

scholarly journals Fifteen Minutes per Day Keeps the Violence Away: a Crossover Randomised Controlled Trial on the Impact of Foot Patrols on Serious Violence in Large Hot Spot Areas

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew Bland ◽  
Michelle Leggetter ◽  
David Cestaro ◽  
Jacqueline Sebire
Keyword(s):  
Randomised Controlled Trial ◽  
Violent Crime ◽  
Hot Spots ◽  
Lower Layer ◽  
Hot Spot ◽  
Controlled Trial ◽  
Research Question ◽  
Large Area ◽  
Randomised Controlled ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Research Question Did a 15-min patrol delivery over 1 day reduce serious violent crime in large hot spots (mean size = 2 km × 2 km), without displacing such crimes to nearby areas? Data We tracked daily official crime reports in a sample of 21 high-crime Bedfordshire (UK) Lower-layer Super Output areas (LSOAs). We measured time spent by two-person police foot patrols in those areas with daily GPS data from handheld devices given to officers working on overtime. We also counted proactively initiated arrests. Methods We used a crossover randomised controlled trial on the 21 “hot spot” LSOAs, each of which was randomly assigned daily to be either in a treatment condition of 15-min of patrol (as one of seven each day) or a control condition of no patrol (as one of 14 each day) for each of 90 days. We used an intention-to-treat framework to analyse the impact of patrols on the outcome measures overall, on consecutive days of assignment to the same condition, and in 100-m ‘buffer’ zones around each hot spot. Findings We found that on treatment days the hot spots had 44% lower Cambridge crime harm index scores from serious violence than on control days, as well as 40% fewer incidents across all public crimes against personal victims. Statistically significant differences in lower prevalence, counts and harm of both non-domestic violent crime and robbery and other non-domestic crimes against personal victims were also found. We found no evidence of either displacement of serious crime into a 100-m buffer zone, nor any evidence of residual deterrence on no-patrol days following patrol days. We did find evidence of a cumulative effect: the largest differences in crime harm on control days were found in treatment days that came after 3 days of consecutive patrol in the same LSOA. Conclusions Even minimal amounts of foot patrol can prevent serious violent crime across a large area, and repeated patrols over several days help even more. Our findings suggest that, to reduce both violent and other forms of crime, uniformed officers need to patrol hot spots for short amounts of times on consecutive days.

Development of a new spatial analysis tool in mental health: Identification of highly autocorrelated areas (hot-spots) of schizophrenia using a Multiobjective Evolutionary Algorithm model (MOEA/HS)

2010 ◽  
Vol 19 (4) ◽  
pp. 302-313 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos R. García-Alonso ◽  
Luis Salvador-Carulla ◽  
Miguel A. Negrín-Hernández ◽  
Berta Moreno-Küstner
Keyword(s):  
Evolutionary Algorithm ◽  
Hot Spots ◽  
Hot Spot ◽  
Geographical Area ◽  
Efficient Solutions ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Ministry Of Education ◽  
Statistics Of Extremes ◽  
Multi Objective ◽  
Econometric Methods

SUMMARYAims— This study had two objectives: 1) to design and develop a computer-based tool, calledMulti-Objective Evolutionary Algorithm/Hot-Spots(MOEA/HS), to identify and geographically locate highly autocorrelated zones or hot-spots and which merges different methods, and 2) to carry out a demonstration study in a geographical area where previous information about the distribution of schizophrenia prevalence is available and which can therefore be compared.Methods—Local Indicators of Spatial Aggregation(LISA) models as well as theBayesian Conditional Autoregressive Model(CAR) were used as objectives in a multicriteria framework when highly autocorrelated zones (hot-spots) need to be identified and geographically located. AMulti-Objective Evolutionary Algorithm(MOEA) model was designed and used to identify highly autocorrelated areas of the prevalence of schizophrenia in Andalusia. Hot-spots were statistically identified using exponential-based QQ-Plots (statistics of extremes).Results— Efficient solutions (Pareto set) from MOEA/HS were analysed statistically and one main hot-spot was identified and spatially located. Our model can be used to identify and locate geographical hot-spots of schizophrenia prevalence in a large and complicated region.Conclusions— MOEA/HS enables a compromise to be achieved between different econometric methods by highlighting very special zones in complex areas where schizophrenia shows a high autocorrelation.Declaration of Interest:This study was partly supported by the Andalusian Government, P05-TIC-00531, PAI:P06-CTS-01765, CTS-587, PI-338/2008]; the Ministry of Education and Science [TIN2005–08386-C05–02] and the Ministry of Health [PI08/90752]. No additional financial sources have been received. No involvements are in conflict with this paper.

Spatial Hotspot Analysis of Bucharest’s Urban Heat Island (UHI) Using Modis Data

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 14-22 ◽  
Author(s):  
Georgiana Grigoraș ◽  
Bogdan Urițescu
Keyword(s):  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Land Surface Temperature ◽  
Hot Spots ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Hot Spot ◽  
Monitoring Network ◽  
Residential Areas ◽  
Hotspot Analysis ◽  
The City

Abstract The aim of the study is to find the relationship between the land surface temperature and air temperature and to determine the hot spots in the urban area of Bucharest, the capital of Romania. The analysis was based on images from both moderate-resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS), located on both Terra and Aqua platforms, as well as on data recorded by the four automatic weather stations existing in the endowment of The National Air Quality Monitoring Network, from the summer of 2017. Correlation coefficients between land surface temperature and air temperature were higher at night (0.8-0.87) and slightly lower during the day (0.71-0.77). After the validation of satellite data with in-situ temperature measurements, the hot spots in the metropolitan area of Bucharest were identified using Getis-Ord spatial statistics analysis. It has been achieved that the “very hot” areas are grouped in the center of the city and along the main traffic streets and dense residential areas. During the day the "very hot spots” represent 33.2% of the city's surface, and during the night 31.6%. The area where the mentioned spots persist, falls into the "very hot spot" category both day and night, it represents 27.1% of the city’s surface and it is mainly represented by the city center.

The family Orthotrichaceae (Bryophyta) in flora of Russia: results of revision and biogeographical review

2018 ◽  
Vol 52 (2) ◽  
pp. 519-534 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. E. Fedosov
Keyword(s):  
Hot Spots ◽  
Latitudinal Gradient ◽  
Hot Spot ◽  
Spatial Differentiation ◽  
Taxonomic Composition ◽  
Undescribed Species ◽  
Longitudinal Gradient ◽  
Biogeographic Pattern ◽  
The Family ◽  
North Pacific Region

Recent studies on Orthotrichoid mosses in Russia are summarized genus by genus. Orthotrichum furcatum Otnyukova is synonymized with Nyholmiella obtusifolia. Orthotrichum vittii is excluded from the Russian moss flora. Description of O. dagestanicum is amended. Fifty four currently recognized species from 9 genera of the Orthotrichaceae are presently known to occur in Russia; list of species with common synonyms and brief review of distribution in Russia is presented. Numerous problematic specimens with unresolved taxonomy were omitted for future. Revealed taxonomical inconsistencies in the genera Zygodon, Ulota, Lewinskya, Nyholmiella, Orthotrichum are briefly discussed. Main regularities of spatial differentiation of the family Orthotrichaceae in Russia are considered. Recently presented novelties contribute to the certain biogeographic pattern, indicating three different centers of diversity of the family, changing along longitudinal gradient. Unlike European one, continental Asian diversity of Orthotrichaceae is still poorly known, the Siberian specimens which were previously referred to European species in most cases were found to represent other, poorly known or undescribed species. North Pacific Region houses peculiar and poorly understood hot spot of diversity of Orthotrichoid mosses. Thus, these hot spots are obligatory to be sampled in course of revisions of particular groups, since they likely comprise under-recorded cryptic- or semi-cryptic species. Latitudinal gradient also contributes to the spatial differentiation of the revealed taxonomic composition of Orthotrichaceae.

scholarly journals Family Practices and Temporality at Breakfast: Hot Spots, Convenience and Care

Sociology ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 003803852110155
Author(s):  
Daniela Pirani ◽  
Vicki Harman ◽  
Benedetta Cappellini
Keyword(s):  
Hot Spots ◽  
Hot Spot ◽  
Family Meals ◽  
Personal Integrity ◽  
Structured Interviews ◽  
Time Saving ◽  
Family Time ◽  
Dominant Feature ◽  
Family Practices ◽  
Cold Spots

Drawing on 34 semi-structured interviews, this study investigates the temporality of family practices taking place in the hot spot. It does so by looking at how breakfast is inserted in the economy of family time in Italy. Our data show that breakfast, contrary to other meals, allows the adoption of more individualised and asynchronous practices, hinged on the consumption of convenience products. These time-saving strategies are normalised as part of doing family. Although the existing literature suggests that convenience and care are in opposition, and consumers of convenience products can experience anxiety and a lack of personal integrity, such features were not a dominant feature of our participants’ accounts. These findings suggest that the dichotomies of hot/cold spots and care/convenience are not always experienced in opposition when embedded within family practices. Hence, this study furthers understandings of family meals, temporality and the distinction between hot and cold spots.

Investigation of On-Chip Hot Spot Cooling Using Microchannel Heat Sink

2013 ◽  
Vol 455 ◽  
pp. 466-469
Author(s):  
Yun Chuan Wu ◽  
Shang Long Xu ◽  
Chao Wang
Keyword(s):  
Heat Flux ◽  
Heat Sink ◽  
Hot Spots ◽  
Hot Spot ◽  
High Heat ◽  
High Heat Flux ◽  
Microchannel Heat Sink ◽  
Three Dimensional Model ◽  
Spot Cooling ◽  
On Chip

With the increase of performance demands, the nonuniformity of on-chip power dissipation becomes greater, causing localized high heat flux hot spots that can degrade the processor performance and reliability. In this paper, a three-dimensional model of the copper microchannel heat sink, with hot spot heating and background heating on the back, was developed and used for numerical simulation to predict the hot spot cooling performance. The hot spot is cooled by localized cross channels. The pressure drop, thermal resistance and effects of hot spot heat flux and fluid flow velocity on the cooling of on-chip hot spots, are investigated in detail.

scholarly journals Deletion Formation Between the Two Salmonella typhimurium Flagellin Genes Encoded on the Mini F Plasmid: Escherichia coli ssb Alleles Enhance Deletion Rates and Change Hot-Spot Preference for Deletion Endpoints

Genetics ◽  
1997 ◽  
Vol 145 (3) ◽  
pp. 563-572 ◽  
Author(s):  
Takafumi Mukaihara ◽  
Masatoshi Enomoto
Keyword(s):  
Escherichia Coli ◽  
Salmonella Typhimurium ◽  
Hot Spots ◽  
Hot Spot ◽  
Direct Repeats ◽  
Replication Slippage ◽  
Detection Systems ◽  
Deletion Formation ◽  
Homologous Sequences ◽  
Deletion Detection

Deletion formation between the 5′-mostly homologous sequences and between the 3′-homeologous sequences of the two Salmonella typhimurium flagellin genes was examined using plasmid-based deletion-detection systems in various Escherichia coli genetic backgrounds. Deletions in plasmid pLC103 occur between the 5′ sequences, but not between the 3′ sequences, in both RecA-independent and RecA-dependent ways. Because the former is predominant, deletion formation in a recA background depends on the length of homologous sequences between the two genes. Deletion rates were enhanced 30- to 50-fold by the mismatch repair defects, mutS, mutL and uvrD, and 250-fold by the ssb-3 allele, but the effect of the mismatch defects was canceled by the ΔrecA allele. Rates of the deletion between the 3′ sequences in plasmid pLC107 were enhanced 17- to 130-fold by ssb alleles, but not by other alleles. For deletions in pLC107, 96% of the endpoints in the recA+ background and 88% in ΔrecA were in the two hot spots of the 60- and 33-nucleotide (nt) homologous sequences, whereas in the ssb-3 background >50% of the endpoints were in four- to 14-nt direct repeats dispersed in the entire 3′ sequences. The deletion formation between the homeologous sequences is RecA-independent but depends on the length of consecutive homologies. The mutant ssb allele lowers this dependency and results in the increase in deletion rates. Roles of mutant SSB are discussed with relation to misalignment in replication slippage.

scholarly journals Does Entrepreneurship Contribute to Innovation Performance When Considering Spatial Spillover Effects? Evidence From the Automobile Industrial Cluster in China

SAGE Open ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 215824402098299
Author(s):  
Haishi Li ◽  
Xiangyi Xu ◽  
Shuaishuai Li
Keyword(s):  
Automobile Industry ◽  
Hot Spots ◽  
Hot Spot ◽  
Empirical Support ◽  
Temporal Patterns ◽  
Spillover Effects ◽  
Industrial Clusters ◽  
Innovation Performance ◽  
Spatial Spillover ◽  
Spatio Temporal

Entrepreneurship, as one of the important factors to promote industrial innovation, is closely related to the development of the regional economy. Based on the methods of Kernel density and standard deviation ellipse, this article presents the spatio-temporal patterns of entrepreneurship and innovation performance. The article also examines the spatial spillover mechanism of entrepreneurship on innovation performance by establishing spatial Durbin models. The heterogeneous results of the spatial regression models in six clusters are also discussed. The final results show that the spatio-temporal patterns of entrepreneurship are gradually presenting three major hot spots and two secondary hot spots while the spatio-temporal patterns of innovation performance are presenting four major hot spots and a secondary hot spot; the spatial distribution of both entrepreneurship and innovation performance are changing regularly; the spillover effects of entrepreneurship and innovation performance are both significant; the spatial spillover mechanisms in six automobile industrial clusters are different. The results can provide empirical support for decision-making in the automobile industry in China in the future.

scholarly journals Prediction of Hourly Effect of Land Use on Crime

2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Irina Matijosaitiene ◽  
Peng Zhao ◽  
Sylvain Jaume ◽  
Joseph Gilkey Jr
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Hot Spots ◽  
Urban Areas ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Hot Spot ◽  
Time Range ◽  
Land Uses ◽  
Police Departments

Predicting the exact urban places where crime is most likely to occur is one of the greatest interests for Police Departments. Therefore, the goal of the research presented in this paper is to identify specific urban areas where a crime could happen in Manhattan, NY for every hour of a day. The outputs from this research are the following: (i) predicted land uses that generates the top three most committed crimes in Manhattan, by using machine learning (random forest and logistic regression), (ii) identifying the exact hours when most of the assaults are committed, together with hot spots during these hours, by applying time series and hot spot analysis, (iii) built hourly prediction models for assaults based on the land use, by deploying logistic regression. Assault, as a physical attack on someone, according to criminal law, is identified as the third most committed crime in Manhattan. Land use (residential, commercial, recreational, mixed use etc.) is assigned to every area or lot in Manhattan, determining the actual use or activities within each particular lot. While plotting assaults on the map for every hour, this investigation has identified that the hot spots where assaults occur were ‘moving’ and not confined to specific lots within Manhattan. This raises a number of questions: Why are hot spots of assaults not static in an urban environment? What makes them ‘move’—is it a particular urban pattern? Is the ‘movement’ of hot spots related to human activities during the day and night? Answering these questions helps to build the initial frame for assault prediction within every hour of a day. Knowing a specific land use vulnerability to assault during each exact hour can assist the police departments to allocate forces during those hours in risky areas. For the analysis, the study is using two datasets: a crime dataset with geographical locations of crime, date and time, and a geographic dataset about land uses with land use codes for every lot, each obtained from open databases. The study joins two datasets based on the spatial location and classifies data into 24 classes, based on the time range when the assault occurred. Machine learning methods reveal the effect of land uses on larceny, harassment and assault, the three most committed crimes in Manhattan. Finally, logistic regression provides hourly prediction models and unveils the type of land use where assaults could occur during each hour for both day and night.

Thermal Decomposition Conditions of Emulsion Matrix in the Emulsifier

2014 ◽  
Vol 1082 ◽  
pp. 387-390
Author(s):  
Hui Sheng Zhou ◽  
Xing Hua Xie ◽  
Kang Xu
Keyword(s):  
Thermal Decomposition ◽  
Ammonium Nitrate ◽  
Hot Spots ◽  
Hot Spot ◽  
Decomposition Mechanism ◽  
Heat Accumulation ◽  
Emulsion Explosives ◽  
Starting Point ◽  
Emulsion Matrix

The main background was the "3.11" accident in this paper. The starting point was based on the experts’ conclusions of investigation and analysis in the accident. Combining the decomposition mechanism of ammonium nitrate in the emulsion explosives and the lessons from the production of emulsion explosives explosion, the conditions of the emulsion explosives (matrix) thermal decomposition in the emulsifier are given that are the formation of hot spot and the accumulation of heat. Then the factors of hot spots generated in the production of emulsion explosives and the occurred conditions of the heat accumulation are analyzed and summarized.

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