scholarly journals Machine learning for determining accurate outcomes in criminal trials

2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 43-65
Author(s):  
Jane Mitchell ◽  
Simon Mitchell ◽  
Cliff Mitchell

Abstract Advances in mathematical and computational technologies have brought unique and ground-breaking benefits to diverse fields throughout society (engineering, medicine, economics, etc.). Within legal systems, however, the potential applications of data science and innovative mathematical tools have yet to be embraced with the same ambition. The complex decision-making that is needed for reaching just verdicts is often seen as out of reach for such approaches and, in the case of criminal trials, this inhibits exploration into whether machine learning could have a positive impact. Here, through assigning numerical scores to prosecution and defence evidence, and employing an approach based on dimensionality reduction, we showed that evidence strands presented at historical murder trials could be used to train effective machine-learning algorithms (or models). We tested the evidence quantification approach with the trained model and showed that, through machine learning, criminal cases could be clearly classified (probability >99.9%) as belonging to either a guilty or a not-guilty category. The classification was found to be as expected for all test cases. All guilty test cases that were not wrongful convictions were correctly assigned to the guilty category by our model and, crucially, test cases that were wrongful convictions were correctly assigned to the not-guilty category. This work demonstrated the potential for machine learning to benefit criminal trial decision-making, and should motivate further testing and development of the model and datasets for assisting the judicial process.

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
João V. Cordeiro

Digital technologies and data science have laid down the promise to revolutionize healthcare by transforming the way health and disease are analyzed and managed in the future. Digital health applications in healthcare include telemedicine, electronic health records, wearable, implantable, injectable and ingestible digital medical devices, health mobile apps as well as the application of artificial intelligence and machine learning algorithms to medical and public health prognosis and decision-making. As is often the case with technological advancement, progress in digital health raises compelling ethical, legal, and social implications (ELSI). This article aims to succinctly map relevant ELSI of the digital health field. The issues of patient autonomy; assessment, value attribution, and validation of health innovation; equity and trustworthiness in healthcare; professional roles and skills and data protection and security are highlighted against the backdrop of the risks of dehumanization of care, the limitations of machine learning-based decision-making and, ultimately, the future contours of human interaction in medicine and public health. The running theme to this article is the underlying tension between the promises of digital health and its many challenges, which is heightened by the contrasting pace of scientific progress and the timed responses provided by law and ethics. Digital applications can prove to be valuable allies for human skills in medicine and public health. Similarly, ethics and the law can be interpreted and perceived as more than obstacles, but also promoters of fairness, inclusiveness, creativity and innovation in health.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 3296
Author(s):  
Musarrat Hussain ◽  
Jamil Hussain ◽  
Taqdir Ali ◽  
Syed Imran Ali ◽  
Hafiz Syed Muhammad Bilal ◽  
...  

Clinical Practice Guidelines (CPGs) aim to optimize patient care by assisting physicians during the decision-making process. However, guideline adherence is highly affected by its unstructured format and aggregation of background information with disease-specific information. The objective of our study is to extract disease-specific information from CPG for enhancing its adherence ratio. In this research, we propose a semi-automatic mechanism for extracting disease-specific information from CPGs using pattern-matching techniques. We apply supervised and unsupervised machine-learning algorithms on CPG to extract a list of salient terms contributing to distinguishing recommendation sentences (RS) from non-recommendation sentences (NRS). Simultaneously, a group of experts also analyzes the same CPG and extract the initial patterns “Heuristic Patterns” using a group decision-making method, nominal group technique (NGT). We provide the list of salient terms to the experts and ask them to refine their extracted patterns. The experts refine patterns considering the provided salient terms. The extracted heuristic patterns depend on specific terms and suffer from the specialization problem due to synonymy and polysemy. Therefore, we generalize the heuristic patterns to part-of-speech (POS) patterns and unified medical language system (UMLS) patterns, which make the proposed method generalize for all types of CPGs. We evaluated the initial extracted patterns on asthma, rhinosinusitis, and hypertension guidelines with the accuracy of 76.92%, 84.63%, and 89.16%, respectively. The accuracy increased to 78.89%, 85.32%, and 92.07% with refined machine-learning assistive patterns, respectively. Our system assists physicians by locating disease-specific information in the CPGs, which enhances the physicians’ performance and reduces CPG processing time. Additionally, it is beneficial in CPGs content annotation.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Alan Brnabic ◽  
Lisa M. Hess

Abstract Background Machine learning is a broad term encompassing a number of methods that allow the investigator to learn from the data. These methods may permit large real-world databases to be more rapidly translated to applications to inform patient-provider decision making. Methods This systematic literature review was conducted to identify published observational research of employed machine learning to inform decision making at the patient-provider level. The search strategy was implemented and studies meeting eligibility criteria were evaluated by two independent reviewers. Relevant data related to study design, statistical methods and strengths and limitations were identified; study quality was assessed using a modified version of the Luo checklist. Results A total of 34 publications from January 2014 to September 2020 were identified and evaluated for this review. There were diverse methods, statistical packages and approaches used across identified studies. The most common methods included decision tree and random forest approaches. Most studies applied internal validation but only two conducted external validation. Most studies utilized one algorithm, and only eight studies applied multiple machine learning algorithms to the data. Seven items on the Luo checklist failed to be met by more than 50% of published studies. Conclusions A wide variety of approaches, algorithms, statistical software, and validation strategies were employed in the application of machine learning methods to inform patient-provider decision making. There is a need to ensure that multiple machine learning approaches are used, the model selection strategy is clearly defined, and both internal and external validation are necessary to be sure that decisions for patient care are being made with the highest quality evidence. Future work should routinely employ ensemble methods incorporating multiple machine learning algorithms.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 538
Author(s):  
Jinwan Park ◽  
Jung-Sik Jeong

According to the statistics of maritime collision accidents over the last five years (2016–2020), 95% of the total maritime collision accidents are caused by human factors. Machine learning algorithms are an emerging approach in judging the risk of collision among vessels and supporting reliable decision-making prior to any behaviors for collision avoidance. As the result, it can be a good method to reduce errors caused by navigators’ carelessness. This article aims to propose an enhanced machine learning method to estimate ship collision risk and to support more reliable decision-making for ship collision risk. In order to estimate the ship collision risk, the conventional support vector machine (SVM) was applied. Regardless of the advantage of the SVM to resolve the uncertainty problem by using the collected ships’ parameters, it has inherent weak points. In this study, the relevance vector machine (RVM), which can present reliable probabilistic results based on Bayesian theory, was applied to estimate the collision risk. The proposed method was compared with the results of applying the SVM. It showed that the estimation model using RVM is more accurate and efficient than the model using SVM. We expect to support the reasonable decision-making of the navigator through more accurate risk estimation, thus allowing early evasive actions.


Author(s):  
Prof. Dr. R. Sandhiya

In recent times, the diagnosis of heart disease has become a very critical task in the medical field. In the modern age, one person dies every minute due to heart disease. Data science has an important role in processing big amounts of data in the field of health sciences. Since the diagnosis of heart disease is a complex task, the assessment process should be automated to avoid the risks associated with it and alert the patient in advance. This paper uses the heart disease dataset available in the UCI Machine Learning Repository. The proposed work assesses the risk of heart disease in a patient by applying various data mining methods such as Naive Bayes, Decision Tree, KNN, Linear SVM, RBF SVM, Gaussian Process, Neural Network, Adabost, QDA and Random Forest. This paper provides a comparative study by analyzing the performance of various machine learning algorithms. Test results confirm that the KNN algorithm achieved the highest 97% accuracy compared to other implemented ML algorithms.


Author(s):  
Viktor Elliot ◽  
Mari Paananen ◽  
Miroslaw Staron

We propose an exercise with the purpose of providing a basic understanding of key concepts within AI and extending the understanding of AI beyond mathematics. The exercise allows participants to carry out analysis based on accounting data using visualization tools as well as to develop their own machine learning algorithms that can mimic their decisions. Finally, we also problematize the use of AI in decision-making, with such aspects as biases in data and/or ethical concerns.


Author(s):  
P. Priakanth ◽  
S. Gopikrishnan

The idea of an intelligent, independent learning machine has fascinated humans for decades. The philosophy behind machine learning is to automate the creation of analytical models in order to enable algorithms to learn continuously with the help of available data. Since IoT will be among the major sources of new data, data science will make a great contribution to make IoT applications more intelligent. Machine learning can be applied in cases where the desired outcome is known (guided learning) or the data is not known beforehand (unguided learning) or the learning is the result of interaction between a model and the environment (reinforcement learning). This chapter answers the questions: How could machine learning algorithms be applied to IoT smart data? What is the taxonomy of machine learning algorithms that can be adopted in IoT? And what are IoT data characteristics in real-world which requires data analytics?


Author(s):  
R. Suganya ◽  
Rajaram S. ◽  
Kameswari M.

Currently, thyroid disorders are more common and widespread among women worldwide. In India, seven out of ten women are suffering from thyroid problems. Various research literature studies predict that about 35% of Indian women are examined with prevalent goiter. It is very necessary to take preventive measures at its early stages, otherwise it causes infertility problem among women. The recent review discusses various analytics models that are used to handle different types of thyroid problems in women. This chapter is planned to analyze and compare different classification models, both machine learning algorithms and deep leaning algorithms, to classify different thyroid problems. Literature from both machine learning and deep learning algorithms is considered. This literature review on thyroid problems will help to analyze the reason and characteristics of thyroid disorder. The dataset used to build and to validate the algorithms was provided by UCI machine learning repository.


Author(s):  
P. Priakanth ◽  
S. Gopikrishnan

The idea of an intelligent, independent learning machine has fascinated humans for decades. The philosophy behind machine learning is to automate the creation of analytical models in order to enable algorithms to learn continuously with the help of available data. Since IoT will be among the major sources of new data, data science will make a great contribution to make IoT applications more intelligent. Machine learning can be applied in cases where the desired outcome is known (guided learning) or the data is not known beforehand (unguided learning) or the learning is the result of interaction between a model and the environment (reinforcement learning). This chapter answers the questions: How could machine learning algorithms be applied to IoT smart data? What is the taxonomy of machine learning algorithms that can be adopted in IoT? And what are IoT data characteristics in real-world which requires data analytics?


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