scholarly journals 197. A Predictive Model for the Prompt Identification of Suspected Sepsis Patients with High Death Risk

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S206-S207
Author(s):  
Erika Vrandecic ◽  
Joel T Oliveira ◽  
Bráulio R G M Couto

Abstract Background How to improve the high mortality rate of sepsis? The prompt identification of at-risk patients, and the interdisciplinary sepsis treatment protocol implementation are interventions that can reverse such unacceptable outcome. The objective of our study is to summarize main results of the protocol for the management of sepsis and septic shock, implemented at Biocor Instituto, a general hospital in Belo Horizonte, a 3,000,000 inhabitants city from Brazil. Methods Prospective cohort study of patients with sepsis, evaluated between May/2018-Apr/2020. Univariate and multivariate analysis by logistic regression to identify risk factors for hospital death. Results Over 28 months, 220 patients were included in sepsis protocol: 121 hospital deaths, a crude mortality = 121/220 = 55% (95%C.I. = [48%;62%]). 136 patients (62%) came from the emergency room. In 97 cases (44%) it was possible to isolate 111 microorganisms, with a predominance of Klebsiella, E.coli, and S.aureus. 75% of the cases (165) had definition of APACHE, with the absolute majority of these (88%) having APACHE between 25 and 40. Most patients (52%) received antibiotic (ATB) in 15 minutes and only 4% received ATB after 60 minutes of waiting time. In 198 patients (90%) it was possible to identify the focus of sepsis, with a predominance of pulmonary (47%), urinary (21%) and abdominal (15%). Hospital mortality varied from 30 to 62%, when the focus was pulmonary (p-value = 0.045). In univariate analysis (Figure 1), pulmonary sepsis, creatinine, lactate, and APACHE were significantly associated with hospital death. The time for ATB administration was typically close to 20 minutes, and time to receive the therapeutic antibiotic were not associated with the patient’s death. By using the logistic model (Figure 2) to assign cases of predicted hospital death for probabilities >= 0.5 and controls for probabilities < 0.5, the prediction model had a sensitivity of 0.68 (0.59–0.76), a specificity of 0.58 (0.48–0.67), an area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.75 (0.68–0.82). There was no significant difference between observed versus expected mortality by APACHE (Figure 3). Figure 1. Univariate analysis to identify risk factors for hospital death. Figure 2. Logistic model for predicting hospital death. Figure 3. Observed X Expected/severity-adjusted mortality (APACHE). Conclusion The logistic model developed uses only creatinine and lactate data to predict suspected sepsis patients with high death risk. Disclosures All Authors: No reported disclosures

2021 ◽  
Vol 80 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 1094.2-1094
Author(s):  
M. Nawata ◽  
K. Someya ◽  
T. Aritomi ◽  
M. Funada ◽  
K. Nakamura ◽  
...  

Background:The goal of treatment in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is to achieve remission. There is the patient with residual symptoms in the Japanese RA patient who achieved clinical remission. There are not many studies to examine the relation between everyday life, social activity and evaluation of disease activities using high-sensitivity image examinations (musculoskeletal ultrasound (MSKUS) and MRI).Objectives:To examine the relationship between subjective residual symptoms and imaging examinations in RA patients who have achieved clinical remission.Methods:30 RA patients who achieved SDAI remission during RA treatment. Age, sex, disease duration, physical findings, serological markers, disease activity, HAQ, EQ-5D-5L, FACIT-F, Patient Reported Outcomes (PROs), EGA and medications were evaluated. 44 joints were assessed by MSKUS with gray scale (GS) and power doppler (PD) and contrast-enhanced bilateral joint MRI scoring with OMERACT-RAMRIS scoring.Results:1. The mean SDAI of the 30 RA patients was 1.3. 2.In the analysis of the presence or absence of subjective residual symptoms that led to remission of SDAI (Table 1).Table 1.Subjective residual symptoms/presence (N=17)Subjective residual symptoms/absence (N=13)Univariate analysisp valueMultivariate logistic analysisp valueTJC0.0±0.00.3±0.50.0173HAQ0.4±0.40.05±0.10.00950.00181EQ5D-5L0.8±0.10.9±0.00.0001FACIT-F14.5±9.84.6±4.30.0233Morning stiffness (min)256.5±564.80.0±0.00.0210Pain (VAS) (mm)9.2±9.50.9±1.50.00440.0455PGA (mm)7.7±9.00.5±1.10.0013(1). In the univariate analysis, the number of tender joints, HAQ, EQ-5D-5L, FACIT-F, morning stiffness, and pain VAS were extracted with significant differences.(2). In multivariate logistic analysis, HAQ and pain VAS were extracted as independent factors with significant differences. 3.In univariate analysis of the association between HAQ and pain VAS extracted in multivariate logistic analysis and imaging examinations (MSKUS/MRI), MRI-synovitis was extracted with a significant difference in HAQ.Conclusion:1. It was suggested that Pain VAS and HAQ due to RA could be identified in patients reaching SDAI remission. 2. In patients reaching SDAI remission, Pain VAS ≤10 or HAQ ≤0.5 suggested that subjective residual symptoms may be eliminated. 3. HAQ ≤ 0.5 suggests that synovitis is less likely to be detected on MRI. 4. In patients who have reached SDAI remission, little residual inflammation was observed on US, suggesting that induction of remission is important not only to prevent joint destruction, but also to improve and maintain long-term QoL.Disclosure of Interests:MASAO NAWATA Grant/research support from: I have received research funding from Eli Lilly Japan K.K., Kazuki Someya: None declared, Takafumi Aritomi: None declared, Masashi funada: None declared, Katsumi Nakamura: None declared, SAITO KAZUYOSHI Grant/research support from: I have received research funding from Eli Lilly Japan K.K., Yoshiya Tanaka Speakers bureau: I have received speaking fees from Abbvie, Daiichi-Sankyo, Chugai, Takeda, Mitsubishi-Tanabe, Bristol-Myers, Astellas, Eisai, Janssen, Pfizer, Asahi-kasei, Eli Lilly, GlaxoSmithKline, UCB, Teijin, MSD, and Santen, Consultant of: I have received consulting fees from Abbvie, Daiichi-Sankyo, Chugai, Takeda, Mitsubishi-Tanabe, Bristol-Myers, Astellas, Eisai, Janssen, Pfizer, Asahi-kasei, Eli Lilly, GlaxoSmithKline, UCB, Teijin, MSD, and Santen, Grant/research support from: I have received research grants from Mitsubishi-Tanabe, Takeda, Chugai, Astellas, Eisai, Taisho-Toyama, Kyowa-Kirin, Abbvie, and Bristol-Myers


2019 ◽  
Vol 31 (2) ◽  
pp. 105-110

Metabolic syndrome is a cluster of risk factors for type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease, with insulin resistance proposed as a linking factor. It is common and is increasing in prevalence worldwide, largely attributed to increasing obesity and sedentary lifestyles, and now is both a public health and clinical problem. This community-based, cross-sectional descriptive study was conducted during 2015 to identify metabolic risk factors and associated morbidities among adult urban people in Pyin Oo Lwin Township. A total of 355 participants, 94 men (26.5%) and 261 women (73.5%) were enrolled. Age distribution was from 18 to 85 years with mean of 49.98 (SD:15.22) years. Metabolic risk factors were identified according to National Cholesterol Education Programme Adult Treatment Panel III (NCEP ATP III) guideline. In this study, central obesity was the highest component with 145 subjects (40.8%) followed by elevated triglycerides 129(36. 3%), elevated blood pressure 104(29.3%), low HDL-cholesterols 85(23.9%), and elevated fasting glucose in only 48 individuals (13.5%). The total prevalence of metabolic syndrome was 35.2% with 26.6% in men and 38.3% in women, respectively. There were statistically significant associations above all five metabolic risk factors with metabolic syndrome (p value <0.001). Regarding its associated morbidities, ECG examinations showed normal 296 cases (83.4%) and abnormal in 59 cases (16.6%) but there was no significant difference between metabolic syndrome and abnormal ECG findings. In conclusion, this study recognizes the high prevalence rate of metabolic syndrome and can be depicted about the metabolic risks as the baseline data for implementation of further activities to reduce the incidence of non-communicable diseases.


2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (05) ◽  
pp. 891-894
Author(s):  
Shahid Ishaq ◽  
Ejaz Mazari ◽  
Fazal ur Rehman

Objectives: Febrile seizures (FS) are the most common type of seizures and typically transpire in children with ages from 6 to 60 months. This study was planned to find out major clinical risk factors for seizures in febrile children who were aged 6 to 60 months. A total of 100 febrile children aged 6 to 60. Study Design: Analytical Study. Setting: Department of Neurology, Children’s Hospital and the Institute of Child Health, Multan. Period: From 1st April 2018 to 31st December 2018. Material & Methods: Group A had 40 children with febrile seizures while group B had 60 febrile children but without seizures. Demographic features along with family history of (H/O) epilepsy as well as family history of febrile seizure, types of seizure and infection diseases were noted and analyzed using SPSS version 20. Odds ratio was calculated for various risk factors. Chi square test was applied and P value < 0.05 was considered as significant. Results: Out of a total of 100 children, there were 54 (54.0%) male and 46 (46.0%) female. There was no statistical difference in terms of gender between the two groups (p value = 0.566). Overall, mean age of the children was 26.02 months with standard deviation of 13.4 months. There were 28 (70.0%) children who reported with simple seizures while complex seizures were found in 12 (30.0%) cases. Statistically significant difference (p value = 0.001) was seen in terms of types of infections between the two study groups. When risk of seizures for various risk factors was calculated, family H/O FS, family H/O epilepsy, and upper RTI were as 14, 7 and 3 times respectively and turned out to be the major risk factors for seizures in febrile children. Conclusions: Family H/O FS, family H/O epilepsy and upper RTIs are the major risk factors related with seizures in febrile children. Measures to prevent these risk factors can decrease the burden of FS in our population.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Swathi Sangli ◽  
Misbah Baqir ◽  
Jay Ryu

Abstract ObjectiveThe objective of this study was to identify the predictors of in-hospital mortality among patients with diffuse alveolar hemorrhage (DAH).Patients and MethodsWe conducted a retrospective review of 89 patients hospitalized for DAH at our institution between 2001 and 2017: 49 patients who died during hospitalization and 40 patients who survived were compared. We reviewed their presenting signs and symptoms, clinical course, radiologic and pathologic findings, along with medical management. We then performed univariate and multivariate analyses to identify the risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality.ResultsWe identified 12 factors to be associated with mortality when comparing survivor vs non-survivor cohorts: smoking (27 [67%] vs 21 [42%], p = 0.02), malignancy (7 [17%] vs 24 [49%], p = 0.002), interstitial lung disease (0 vs 7 [14%], p = 0.01), liver failure (1 [2%] vs 14 [28%], p = 0.001), autoimmune diseases (16 [40%] vs 4 [8%], p =0.0006), thrombocytopenia (3 [7%] vs 35 [71%], p <0.0001), ICU admission (23 [57%] vs 40 [85%], p=0.004), mean duration of ICU stay (3.5 days [± 6.7] vs 5.5 days [± 5.5], p = 0.4), steroid use (36 [90%] vs 31 [63%], p = 0.003), use of plasma exchange (6 [15%] vs 0, p = 0.005), use of mechanical ventilation (15 [37%] vs 36 [75%], p value = 0.0007) and development of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) (9 [22%] vs 37 [77%], p <0.0001), respectively. On multivariate analysis, thrombocytopenia (OR 52.08: 95% CI, 8.59-315.71; p <0.0001) and ARDS (OR 11.71: 95% CI, 2.60-52.67; p = 0.0013) were associated with higher odds of mortality in DAH while steroid use (OR 0.05: 95% CI, 0.007-0.39; p = 0.0004) was associated with a lower risk of in-hospital mortality in patients with DAH.ConclusionIn DAH, thrombocytopenia and ARDS were predictors of in-hospital mortality whereas the use of steroid was associated with a more favorable prognosis.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuhan Wang ◽  
Guangliang Shan ◽  
Linyang Gan ◽  
Yonggang Qian ◽  
Ting Chen ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: To investigate the prevalence of and factors associated with pterygium in Han and Mongolian adults at four survey sites in Inner Mongolia, China. Methods: A population-based, cross-sectional study was conducted. Using a stratified sampling method, we eventually included 2,651 participants of at least30 years of age from a total of 3,468 eligible residents. Factors associated with pterygium were analysed using univariate analysis and logistic regression models. Results: There were 1,910 Han adults and 741 Mongolian adults included in this study. The mean± standard deviation of age for individuals in the study cohort was 48.93±11.06 years. The overall prevalence of pterygium was 6.4% (n=169), and the prevalences of bilateral and unilateral pterygium were 1.4% (n=38) and 4.8% (n=128), respectively. The most common grade of pterygium was Grade 2. After univariate analysis, eleven factors were considered in a multivariate analysis. The results indicated that age (P<0.001), education level (P<0.001), outdoor occupation (P=0.026), and time spent in rural areas (P<0.001) were significantly associated with pterygium, whereas gender and ethnicity were not risk factors. In subgroup analysis, BMI≥28 was a protective factor for Han individuals (OR 0.42, 95% CI 0.21-0.81, P=0.01), but a risk factor for Mongolian individuals (OR 2.39, 95% CI 1.02-5.58, P=0.044). The BF% in Han and Mongolian individuals had significant difference (P<0.001). Conclusions: Our results indicated that an outdoor occupation, old age and time spent in rural areas are risk factors for pterygium in Inner Mongolia. Living near an urban survey site (Hohhot and Tsining District) and having a higher education level are protective factors for pterygium. Ethnicity, gender, smoking, diabetes and high blood pressure are not associated with pterygium. Different dietary structures in Han and Mongolian adults may lead to different fat content of body and therefore contributes to the prevalence of pterygium. Keywords: Pterygium, prevalence, Han and Mongolian, risk factors, protective factors


BMC Cancer ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Chunyan Zeng ◽  
Dandan Xiong ◽  
Fei Cheng ◽  
Qingtian Luo ◽  
Qiang Wang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Estimating the risk of lymph node metastasis (LNM) is crucial for determining subsequent treatments following curative resection of early colorectal cancer (ECC). This multicenter study analyzed the risk factors of LNM and the effectiveness of postoperative chemotherapy in patients with ECC. Methods We retrospectively analyzed the data of 473 patients with ECC who underwent general surgery in five hospitals between January 2007 and October 2018. The correlations between LNM and sex, age, tumor size, tumor location, endoscopic morphology, pathology, depth of invasion and tumor budding (TB) were directly estimated based on postoperative pathological analysis. We also observed the overall survival (OS) and recurrence in ECC patients with and without LNM after matching according to baseline measures. Results In total, 473 ECC patients were observed, 288 patients were enrolled, and 17 patients had LNM (5.90%). The univariate analysis revealed that tumor size, pathology, and lymphovascular invasion were associated with LNM in ECC (P = 0.026, 0.000, and 0.000, respectively), and the multivariate logistic regression confirmed that tumor size, pathology, and lymphovascular invasion were risk factors for LNM (P = 0.021, 0.023, and 0.001, respectively). There were no significant differences in OS and recurrence between the ECC patients with and without LNM after matching based on baseline measures (P = 0.158 and 0.346, respectively), and no significant difference was observed between chemotherapy and no chemotherapy in ECC patients without LNM after surgery (P = 0.729 and 0.052). Conclusion Tumor size, pathology, and lymphovascular invasion are risk factors for predicting LNM in ECC patients. Adjuvant chemotherapy could improve OS and recurrence in patients with LNM but not always in ECC patients without LNM.


2014 ◽  
Vol 112 (10) ◽  
pp. 727-735 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elisa Salvan ◽  
Teresa Del Ross ◽  
Maria Gerosa ◽  
Laura Andreoli ◽  
Aldo Maina ◽  
...  

SummaryPrevious thrombosis, diagnosis of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and triple antiphospholipid (aPL) antibody positivity have recently been found to be independent factors associated to pregnancy failure during conventional therapy in women with antiphospholipid syndrome (APS). This study aimed to assess the effect of various treatment strategies on pregnancy outcomes in women with APS and the risk factors for pregnancy failure. One hundred ninety-six pregnancies of 156 patients diagnosed with APS were analysed: 118 (60.2%) of these had previous thrombosis, 81 (41.3%) were diagnosed with SLE, and 107 (54.6%) had triple aPL positivity. One hundred seventy-five (89.3%) were treated with conventional therapies (low-dose aspirin [LDA] or prophylactic doses of heparin + LDA or therapeutic doses of heparin + LDA), while 21 (10.7%) were prescribed other treatments in addition to conventional therapy. The pregnancies were classified into seven risk profiles depending on the patients’ risk factors – thrombosis, SLE, and triple aPL positivity – and their single, double or triple combinations. It was possible to find significant difference in outcomes correlated to treatments only in the thrombosis plus triple aPL positivity subset, and logistic regression analysis showed that additional treatments were the only independent factor associated to a favourable pregnancy outcome (odds ratio=9.7, 95% confidence interval= 1.1–88.9, p-value<0.05). On the basis of this retrospective study, we found that APS pregnant patients with thrombosis and triple aPL positivity treated with additional therapy had a significant higher livebirth rate with respect to those receiving conventional therapy alone.


Blood ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 136 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 28-28
Author(s):  
Carmen Landry ◽  
Jon Dorling ◽  
Ketan Kulkarni ◽  
Marsha Campbell-Yeo ◽  
Michael Vincer ◽  
...  

Background: Iron is an essential micronutrient, especially in infants and young children and is required for erythropoiesis and development of the central nervous system. However, iron deficiency (ID) is the most common micronutrient deficiency worldwide. ID and iron deficiency anemia (IDA) have been associated with poor neurodevelopmental and behavioural outcomes later in life. Preterm infants are particularly at risk of developing ID in early life due to lower iron stores at birth, accelerated growth in the first weeks of life and multiple phlebotomies while in hospital. Therefore, international recommendations suggest prophylactic iron therapy of 2-4 mg/kg/day starting at 2-6 weeks of age until at least 6-12 months in preterm and low birth weight infants. This prophylactic iron supplementation has been shown to be effective at reducing the incidence of ID and IDA. However, the published work mainly involves moderate to late preterm infants and the research is lacking on iron status after discharge in very preterm infants (VPI, &lt;31 weeks gestational age). Based on our previous work, 32% of the VPIs were iron deficient at 4-6 months corrected age despite this early supplementation. Since the development of ID may have permanent detrimental effects on the developing brain of these high-risk preterm infants, a knowledge of risk factors for ID is also important to identify strategies focused on its prevention. Objective: To investigate the risk factors associated with development of ID Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted at the IWK Health Centre using a population based provincial Perinatal Follow-Up Program database. All live-born VPIs born in Nova Scotia between 2005-2018 were included. Patients with congenital malformations, chromosomal anomalies, or who died prior to outcome assessment were excluded. As a standard of care, all these infants were started on prophylactic iron supplements (2-3 mg/kg/day) at 2-4 weeks of chronological age. Iron dosage was regularly adjusted during the hospital stay as guided by serum ferritin levels. At discharge, it was recommended to continue iron prophylaxis until 9-12 months corrected age. All these infants underwent a blood test during their first neonatal follow-up visit at 4-6 months corrected age to check for hemoglobin, reticulocyte count and serum ferritin. ID was defined as serum ferritin &lt;20g/l or &lt;12g/l at 4 and 6 months respectively. A univariate analysis was performed by using a series of single variable logistic regression models to identify the factors associated with presence of ID. Factors with a p-value &lt; 0.20 in the univariate analysis were entered into a multivariable risk model for occurrence of ID using a backwards selection procedure. Variables with a p-value &lt; 0.05 were retained. Results: Of 411 infants included in the study, 32.1% (n=132) had ID. The prevalence of ID decreased over time (37.6% in 2005-2011 vs 25.8% in 2012-2018 cohort). Table 1 compares the antenatal and neonatal characteristics of the ID and non-ID groups. Table 2 compares sociodemographic variables and clinical variables at the time of follow up of the two groups. Independent risk factors for ID were: gestational age (&lt;27 weeks to &gt;27 weeks) (OR:1.7 (1.0-2.9), p=0.04) and gestational hypertension (OR: 2.1(1.2-3.7), p=0.009). Independent factors protective for ID were: mixed feeding (breast milk and formula compared to formula alone) (OR: 0.5 (0.2-0.9), p=0.021) and iron supplementation at follow-up (OR:0.5 (0.3-0.9), p=0.02). Conclusion(s): Despite prophylactic iron supplementation, one-third of VPIs had ID at 4-6 months corrected age. Gestational hypertension in mother and gestational age &lt; 27 weeks were independent risk factors for ID. In addition, despite adjusting for iron supplementation at follow-up, the formula feeding group was more likely to have ID compared to the mixed feeding group. This may be because of the sub-therapeutic iron intake in the formula fed infants. It is often thought that formula milk may have sufficient iron to meet the demands of growing infants and thus, they are less likely to receive higher doses of supplemental iron beyond what is contained in the formula. However, this may not be true since the iron present in formula may not have the same bioavailability as breast milk. Future prospective studies are required to further validate these observations. Nonetheless, the study identified important areas to mitigate ID in VPIs. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


Blood ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 116 (21) ◽  
pp. 2364-2364 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohamed L. Sorror ◽  
Barry Storer ◽  
Brenda M. Sandmaier ◽  
Leanthe Braunert ◽  
Ginna G. Laport ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 2364 Allogeneic HCT using nonmyeloablative regimens may provide long-term remission in high-risk relapsed CLL. Here, we investigated the impact of histology, disease status, lymph node (LN) size, genomic aberrations, donor type, and prior alemtuzumab on outcomes. Pts (n=136) were conditioned with 2Gy TBI alone (12%) or 2Gy TBI plus 90 mg/m2 fludarabine (88%). Median age was 56 (range 42–72) years and median number of prior regimens was 4. Ninety percent of pts had fludarabine-refractory CLL. Incidences of grades II, III, and IV acute GVHD were 39%, 14%, and 2% respectively, and chronic extensive GVHD was 51%. Complete (CR) and partial remissions (PR) were seen in 55% and 15% of pts, respectively. Estimated 5-years rates of non-relapse mortality (NRM), progression/relapse, OS, and progression-free survival (PFS) were 32%, 36%, 41%, and 32%, respectively. Overall, 58 pts are alive; 45 in CR, 5 in PR, 5 with stable disease, and 3 with progression (PD)/relapse. Univariate outcomes (Table 1) were not statistically significantly different between donor types for NRM (p=0.37), relapse (p=0.17), or PFS (p=0.88). Pts with CLL and SLL had comparable rates of relapse and PFS. Disease status at HCT had no impact on NRM (p=0.75), relapse (p=0.31), or PFS (p=0.27). Relapse (p=0.51) and PFS (p=0.45) were not statistically significantly different among the 6 groups of cytogenetic abnormalities (Table 1). Both alemtuzumab within 12 months before HCT (53% vs. 31%, p=0.007, Figure) and LN size ≥5 cm (59% vs. 28%, p=0.003) were associated with increased rates of relapse. In Cox regression model for outcomes, prior alemtuzumab (HR: 2.20, p=0.02) and LN size ≥5 cm (HR: 2.21, p=0.02) were independently associated with increased relapse; while donor type, cytogenetic abnormalities, and disease status were not. PFS was also worse for pts with prior alemtuzumab (HR: 1.55, p=0.09) and LN size ≥5 cm (HR: 1.64, p=0.06). In multivariate models, pts who had alemtuzumab within 3 months prior to HCT appeared to have the highest relapse risk (Table 2). Prior alemtuzumab had no impact on CD3 donor chimerism following HCT. Further studies are warranted to explore whether the negative impact of alemtuzumab on relapse was due to unrecognized high-risk disease features or hampering the quality of graft-versus-tumor effects such as by deletion of host dendritic cells (Blood. 2002; 99: 2586). Allogeneic nonmyeloablative HCT is associated with graft-versus-leukemia effects even against chemo-refractory and high cytogenetic-risk diseases. We currently are studying novel approaches to better debulk disease before HCT and/or to augment graft-versus-leukemia effects after HCT for CLL pts with large LN size. Table 1: Univariate outcomes in 136 patients with CLL receiving nonmyeloablative HCT 5 year outcomes (%) Factor Group N NRM Rel PFS Donor HLA-matched related 75 26 43 31 HLA-matched unrelated 53 42 24 34 HLA-antigen mismatched 8 15 56 29 p-value 0.37 0.17 0.88 Disease status at HCT Chemo-responsive 55 31 32 38 Chemo-refractory 72 32 41 27 Untested relapse 9 36 22 42 p-value 0.75 0.31 0.27 Cytogenetic abnormalities Normal 39 42 25 34 Del17p 24 49 32 18 Del11q 19 31 40 29 Tri12 10 20 40 40 Del13q 18 17 43 40 Other 26 21 47 33 p-value 0.25 0.51 0.45 Alemtuzumab within 12 months before HCT No 103 34 31 35 Yes 33 22 53 25 p-value 0.80 0.01 0.07 LN size <5 cm 36 30 28 39 ≥5 cm 100 33 59 11 p-value 0.95 0.003 0.01 Note: p-values reflect underlying hazard ratios over all follow-up period. Table 2: Impact of prior alemtuzumab on relapse after allogeneic HCT Alemtuzumab prior to HCT Number of pts Relapse rate at 5-years, % Univariate HR p-value Multivariate HR* p-value No or beyond 12 months 103 31 1.0 1.0 Within 3 months 11 58 2.49 0.04 3.36 0.02 Within 3.1-6 months 13 46 2.43 0.07 2.29 0.10 Within 6.1-12 months 9 49 2.2 0.14 1.32 0.65 * Adjusted for genomic features, lymph node size, disease status at HCT, and donor type. Figure: Relapse rate of 53% vs. 31% (p=0.007) among 136 CLL pts who did or did not receive alemtuzumab within 12 months prior to nonmyeloablative HCT. Adjustment for pre-transplant risk factors did not change the significant difference in relapse rate between the two groups. Figure:. Relapse rate of 53% vs. 31% (p=0.007) among 136 CLL pts who did or did not receive alemtuzumab within 12 months prior to nonmyeloablative HCT. Adjustment for pre-transplant risk factors did not change the significant difference in relapse rate between the two groups. Disclosures: Off Label Use: All discussions about therapeutics used for HCT preparative regimens are off-label.


2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 345-345 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jesna Mathew ◽  
Sasha Slipak ◽  
Anil Kotru ◽  
Joseph Blansfield ◽  
Nicole Woll ◽  
...  

345 Background: Multiple studies exist that validate the prognostic value of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging. However, none have established a survival benefit to the treatment recommendations. The aim of this study was to evaluate the adherence to the BCLC guidelines at a rural tertiary care center, and to determine the effect of following the treatment recommendations on overall survival. Methods: A retrospective chart review was conducted for 97 patients newly diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) from 2000 to 2012. The treatment choice was compared with the BCLC guidelines and percentage adherence calculated. Overall survival was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and the log rank test was used to test the difference between the two groups. Cox regression tests were used to determine independent effects of stage, treatment aggressiveness, and guideline adherence on survival. A p-value <0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results: Of 97 patients, 75% (n=73) were male. Median overall survival was 12.9 months. In 59.8% (n=58) of the patients, treatment was adherent to stage specific guidelines proposed by the BCLC classification. There was no significant difference in overall survival between the adherent and non-adherent groups (11.2 vs 14.1 months, p<0.98). However on stage specific survival analysis, we noted a significant survival benefit for adherence to the guidelines for early stage HCC (27.9 vs 14.1 months, p<0.05), but a decrease in survival for adherence in the end stage (20 days vs 9.3 months, p<0.01). On univariate analysis, more aggressive treatment was associated with increased survival (hazard ratio [HR], 0.4; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.22 to 0.87; p = 0.018). Multivariate analysis revealed that adherence did not independently affect survival when stage and aggressiveness of treatment were included in the model (HR, 1.3; 95% CI, 0.76 to 2.2, p = 0.34). Conclusions: Although the BCLC guidelines serve as a practical guide to the management of patients with HCC, they are not universally practiced. These results indicate that survival of patients with hepatocellular cancer is determined by stage and aggressiveness of treatment, not adherence to BCLC guidelines.


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