scholarly journals Predict the next moves of COVID-19: reveal the temperate and tropical countries scenario

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Neaz A. Hasan ◽  
Mohammad Mahfujul Haque
Keyword(s):  
Social Movement ◽  
Political Action ◽  
Weather Condition ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Tropical Countries ◽  
The World ◽  
Lower Temperature ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Almost All ◽  
Official Sources

AbstractThe spread of COVID-19 engulfs almost all the countries and territories of the planet, and infections and fatality are increasing rapidly. The first epi-center of its’ massive spread was in Wuhan, Hubei province, China having a temperate weather, but the spread has got an unprecedented momentum in European temperate countries mainly in Italy and Spain (as of March 30, 2020). However, Malaysia and Singapore and the neighboring tropical countries of China got relatively low spread and fatality that created a research interest on whether there are potential impacts of weather condition on COVID-19 spread. Adopting the SIR (Susceptible Infected Removed) deviated model to predict potential cases and death in the coming days from COVID-19 was done using the secondary and official sources of data. This study shows that COVID-19 spread and fatality tend to be high across the world but compared to tropical countries, it is going to be incredibly high in the temperate countries having lower temperature (7-16°C) and humidity (80-90%) in last March. However, some literature predicted that this might not to be true, rather irrespective of weather conditions there might be a continuous spread and death. Moreover, a large number of asymptotic COVID-19 carrier in both temperate and tropical countries may re-outbreak in the coming winter. Therefore, a comprehensive global program with the leadership of WHO for testing of entire population of the world is required, which will be very useful for the individual states to take proper political action, social movement and medical services.

scholarly journals Fiscal, Investment and Export Multipliers and the COVID-19 Pandemic Slowdowns Uncertainty Factor in the First Half of 2020

Risks ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 122 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arkadiusz J. Derkacz
Keyword(s):  
European Union ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Uncertainty Factor ◽  
The World ◽  
European Union Countries ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Almost All ◽  
Fiscal Investment

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused a significant slowdown in the development of almost all economies in the world. In this context, the main goal of this research is to try to present changes in the value of fiscal, investment and export multipliers as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. The research was conducted in selected European Union countries. They are France, Germany, Italy, Poland, Portugal and Spain. This research is based on the theory of effective demand. The values of feeds and leakages of total demand in the period from 2015 to 2020 were examined and calculated. On this basis, the individual multipliers of autonomous spending were analyzed and their changes in the first period of the COVID-19 pandemic were presented. The analyses led to a surprising conclusion: it found that the autonomous spending multipliers in some economies increased. This means that they have become ‘security buffers’ for the health of economies. This means that the increase in their value weakened the negative effects of changes in autonomous expenditure on gross domestic product.

The Role of Social Identity in Decisions to Protest

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Burt Klandermans ◽  
J.Van Stekelenburg
Keyword(s):  
Social Identity ◽  
Social Movement ◽  
Collective Identity ◽  
Political Action ◽  
Central Place ◽  
Theoretical Frameworks ◽  
Individual Level ◽  
Identity Processes ◽  
The Social ◽  
The Individual

Social identity processes play a crucial role in the dynamics of protest, whether as antecedents, mediators, moderators, or consequences. Yet, identity did not always feature prominently in the social or political psychology of protest. This has changed—a growing contingent of social and political psychologists is involved now in studies of protest behavior, and in their models the concept of identity occupies a central place. Decades earlier students of social movements had incorporated the concept of collective identity into their theoretical frameworks. The weakness of the social movement literature on identity and contention, though, was that the discussion remained predominantly theoretical. Few seemed to bother about evidence. Basic questions such as how collective identity is formed and becomes salient or politicized were neither phrased nor answered. Perhaps social movement scholars did not bother too much because they tend to study contention when it takes place and when collective identities are already formed and politicized. Collective identity in the social movement literature is a group characteristic in the Durkheimian sense. Someone who sets out to study that type of collective identity may look for such phenomena as the group’s symbols, its rituals, and the beliefs and values its members share. Groups differ in terms of their collective identity. The difference may be qualitative, for example, being an ethnic group rather than a gender group; or quantitative, that is, a difference in the strength of collective identity. Social identity in the social psychological literature is a characteristic of a person. It is that part of a person’s self-image that is derived from the groups he or she is a member of. Social identity supposedly has cognitive, evaluative, and affective components that are measured at the individual level. Individuals differ in terms of social identity, again both qualitatively (the kind of groups they identify with) and quantitatively (the strength of their identification with those groups). The term “collective identity” is used to refer to an identity shared by members of a group or category. Collective identity politicizes when people who share a specific identity take part in political action on behalf of that collective. The politicization of collective identity can take place top-down (organizations mobilize their constituencies) or bottom-up (participants in collective action come to share an identity). In that context causality is an issue. What comes first? Does identification follow participation, or does participation follow identification?

The Gilets Jaunes and the New Social Contract

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles Devellennes
Keyword(s):  
Social Movement ◽  
Social Contract ◽  
Political Leaders ◽  
The Social ◽  
The World ◽  
Fundamental Challenge ◽  
New Type ◽  
The Individual ◽  
The Right ◽  
The Impact

This book provides a detailed account of the gilets jaunes, the yellow vest movement that has shaken France since 2018. The gilets jaunes are a group of French protesters named after their iconic yellow vests worn during their demonstrations, who have formed a new type of social movement. They have been variously interpreted since they began their occupation of French roundabouts: at first received with enthusiasm on the right of the French political establishment, and with caution on the left. They have provided a fundamental challenge to the social contract in France, the implicit pact between the governed and their political leaders. The book assesses what lessons can be drawn from their activities and the impact for the contemporary relationship between state and citizen. Informed by a dialogue with past political theorists — from Hobbes, Spinoza and Rousseau to Rawls, Nozick and Diderot — and reflecting on the challenges posed by the yellow vest movement, the book rethinks the concept of the social contract for contemporary societies around the world. It proposes a new relationship between the state and the individual, and establishes the necessity of rethinking the modern democratic nature of our representative polities in order to provide a genuine process for the healing of social ills.

scholarly journals Considerações a partir do filme “O Capital” sobre a financeirização do mundo e da vida / Considerations from “The Capital” film: on the financing of the world and life

Profanações ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 45
Author(s):  
Sandro Luiz Bazzanella ◽  
Danielly Borguezan
Keyword(s):  
Public Space ◽  
Political Action ◽  
Well Being ◽  
Social Imaginary ◽  
Human Beings ◽  
Essential Condition ◽  
The World ◽  
The Future ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Vital Forces

O presente artigo é resultado da análise do filme “O Capital” (Le Capitale), lançado em 4 de outubro de 2013 (1h53min). Direção: Costa-Gavras. Elenco: Gad Elmaleh, Gabriel Byrne, Natacha Régnier; Gêneros: Drama, Suspense. Nacionalidade: França. A referida obra cinematográfica coloca em debate a financeirização do mundo, das relações sociais e individuais em que a sociedade contemporânea esta envolvida. O crédito que substituiu no imaginário individual e social a ideia de dinheiro, mas que preserva a sua condição “essencial” como aquilo que desperta reações, paixões, desejos mobilizando forças vitais, determinando as expectativas de vida, de futuro dos seres humanos e sociedades, apresenta-se na forma de transcendência. Assim, na condição de transcendência exige culto, sacrifico e, sobretudo crença incondicional em suas condições de efetivação de suas promessas de uma economia da salvação. A financeirização dos espaços e tempos vitais nas quais se movem sociedades e indivíduos demarca o recrudescimento da ação política realizada entre homens com o fim de potencialização do espaço público como lócus por excelência do bem viver, da busca da felicidade. O dogma da financeirização afirma diuturnamente que a felicidade pode ser comprada e, usufruída individualmente basta ter crédito, ter fé no futuro.AbstractThis article is the result of the analysis of the film "The Capital" (Le Capitale), released on October 4, 2013 (1h53min). Direction: Costa-Gavras. Cast: Gad Elmaleh, Gabriel Byrne, Natacha Régnier; Genres: Drama, Thriller. Nationality: France. The aforementioned cinematographic work challenges the financialization of the world, of the social and individual relations in which contemporary society is involved. The credit that replaced the idea of money in the individual and social imaginary, but which preserves its "essential" condition as that which awakens reactions, passions, desires mobilizing vital forces, determining the expectations of life, the future of human beings and societies, Presents itself in the form of transcendence. Thus, in the condition of transcendence requires worship, sacrifice and, above all, unconditional belief in its conditions of realization of its promises of an economy of salvation. The financialisation of spaces and vital times in which societies and individuals move, marks the intensification of the political action carried out among men with the aim of enhancing the public space as the locus par excellence of well-being and the pursuit of happiness. The dogma of financialization affirms day after day that happiness can be bought and, enjoyed individually, it is enough to have credit, to have faith in the future.

scholarly journals A Brief Climatology of Dunkelflaute Events over and Surrounding the North and Baltic Sea Areas

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (20) ◽  
pp. 6508
Author(s):  
Bowen Li ◽  
Sukanta Basu ◽  
Simon J. Watson ◽  
Herman W. J. Russchenberg
Keyword(s):  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Baltic Sea ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Solar Power ◽  
Weather Condition ◽  
Power Production ◽  
Energy System ◽  
The North ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Almost All

In the coming decades, the European energy system is expected to become increasingly reliant on non-dispatchable generation such as wind and solar power. Under such a renewable energy scenario, a better characterization of the extreme weather condition ‘Dunkelflaute’, which can lead to a sustained reduction of wind and solar power, is important. In this paper, we report findings from the very first climatological study of Dunkelflaute events occurring in eleven countries surrounding the North and Baltic Sea areas. By utilizing multi-year meteorological and power production datasets, we have quantified various statistics pertaining to these events and also identified their underlying meteorological drivers. It was found that almost all periods tagged as Dunkelflaute events (with a length of more than 24 h) are in November, December, and January for these countries. On average, there are 50–100 h of such events happening in each of these three months per year. The limited wind and solar power production during Dunkelflaute events is shown to be mainly driven by large-scale high-pressure systems and extensive low-cloud coverage. Even though the possibility of simultaneous Dunkelflaute events in neighboring countries can be as high as 30–40%, such events hardly occur simultaneously in all the eleven countries. Through an interconnected EU-11 power system, the mean frequency of Dunkelflaute drops from 3–9% for the individual countries to approximately 3.5% for the combined region, highlighting the importance of aggregating production over a wide area to better manage the integration of renewable energy generation.

The Effect upon the Churches of the Social Movement

1916 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 313-330
Author(s):  
George F. Kenngott
Keyword(s):  
Social Movement ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Social Motive ◽  
The Social ◽  
The World ◽  
The Individual

For a generation or so the world has been tending to regard life from a social, an organic point of view, and this has developed into Socialism, strictly so called. The Churches have endeavored to meet this sometimes by opposing the principle and addressing themselves still to the individual, and sometimes by adopting it and becoming benevolent institutions for the ameliorating of the conditions of living. What is in general the result, not so much upon the world as upon themselves? Is the social motive likely to be profound and permanent? Is it, as some claim, the Gospel; or, as others claim, distinctly not the Gospel?

scholarly journals El malestar en los estudios sobre movimientos sociales / The place of malaise in social movement studies

2017 ◽  
Vol 28 (4) ◽  
pp. 39
Author(s):  
Juan Pablo Rodríguez
Keyword(s):  
Social Movements ◽  
Social Movement ◽  
Social Life ◽  
Cultural Dimension ◽  
Crucial Importance ◽  
Palabras Clave ◽  
The World ◽  
The Individual ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Movimientos Sociales

<p>Aunque ha sido tematizado, el concepto de malestar no ha tenido un lugar preponderante en los estudios sobre movimientos sociales. Incluso en su variante europea, explícitamente “culturalista”, el malestar no figuró como un concepto especialmente relevante. En los estudios latinoamericanos, por su parte, si bien el <em>tema</em> del malestar ha estado presente en mayor medida, éste no ha constituido un <em>concepto</em> central. Sin embargo, durante los últimos años, algunos autores han señalado el carácter ineludible del malestar, lo que podría abrir una posibilidad para teorizar de forma más clara la relación entre ambos términos. En el presente artículo se exploran algunas de las razones que subyacen a la ausencia relativa del concepto de malestar y se problematiza el lugar que el concepto puede tener en el campo de estudios sobre movimientos sociales en la actualidad.</p><p><strong>Palabras clave:</strong> malestar, movimientos sociales, política</p><p> </p><p class="Ttulo21"><strong>Abstract</strong></p><p>The concept of malaise has not been of crucial importance for social movements studies. In spite of being an important topic, the concept has remained mainly confined to its descriptive dimension. Even in the “European” branch of social movement studies, where the individual and the cultural dimension of social life are highlighted, the concept of malaise has not been especially addressed. However, with the recent waves of protests around the world, during the last years some authors have pointed out the inescapable character of malaise and other forms of indignation. This could lead to a clarification of the relationship between the two terms. This paper aims to explore the reasons underlying this relative absence and to problematize the place that the topic of malaise can have in the field of social movement studies.  </p><p><strong>Keywords:</strong><em> </em>malaise, social movements, politics</p>

scholarly journals Clustering Pandemic COVID-19 and Relationship to Temperature and Relative Humidity Among the Tropic and Subtropic Region

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (17) ◽  
Author(s):  
Giarno Giarno
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
The United States ◽  
The Philippines ◽  
Tropical Region ◽  
Weather Factors ◽  
Tropical Countries ◽  
The World ◽  
Temperature And Humidity ◽  
The Tropics

The outbreak of Novel Corona Virus (COVID-19) has been spreading almost in all countries of the world and become a deadly pandemic. The infections and deaths vary from high in some countries and low in others. The weather conditions significantly affect life, including viruses. In low temperature and humidity the spreading of coronavirus is expected to be fast and massive, and on the other hand, high temperature and humidity decreases the virus. However, recent data of COVID-19 shows that in tropical region infection and deaths vary of which there is a need of thorough spreading analysis. The clustering of infections and mortality at the beginning of COVID-19 outbreak was group based on the country’s profile similarity, and associated with the meteorological factors. The result shows that countries such as China, Spain, Italy and the United States have very severe attacks of COVID-19 infection. Furthermore, countries with the potential real threats of COVID-19 infections are Austria, Australia, Azerbaijan, Belgium, Bahrain, Brazil, Belarus, Canada, Switzerland, Czech Germany, Denmark, Dominican Republic, Algeria, Ecuador, Estonia, Egypt, Finland, France, Georgia, Croatia, Indonesia, Ireland, Israel, India, Iraq, Iran, Japan, Cambodia, South Korea, Kuwait, Lebanon, Sri Lanka, Lithuania, Monaco, Macedonia, Mexico, Malaysia, Nigeria, Netherlands, Norway, Nepal, New Zealand , Oman, Philippines, Pakistan, Qatar, Romania, Russia, Sweden, Singapore and Thailand. The threat of COVID-19 is not only in dry and humid sub-tropical countries, but it cannot be undermined the effect to some warm and humid tropical countries such as Brazil, Ecuador, Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines, which are massively infected, and the mortality rate compared to the population are very high. The study also found that dynamic humidity is a factor that must be considered, especially in the tropics. HIGHLIGHTS The COVID-19 pandemic that originated in Wuhan, China spreads rapidly around the world Demographics and weather are thought to influence the spreading and death of COVID-19 Clustering of demographic and weather factors on COVID-19 shows that countries such as China, Spain, Italy, and the United States are experiencing severe attacks of COVID-19 infection Covid threatens countries with high population density or large populations Although warm and humid temperatures in the tropics such as Brazil, Ecuador, Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines can a little slow the spreading of infection, the risk of COVID-19 infection remains high GRAPHICAL ABSTRACT

scholarly journals Soil invertebrates in the Tropics: a bibliographical revision.

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 74-92
Author(s):  
Pedro Ríos Guayasamín ◽  
Julio Muñoz Rengifo ◽  
Sandy M. Smith
Keyword(s):  
Soil Invertebrates ◽  
Central Point ◽  
Diverse Group ◽  
Human Beings ◽  
Tropical Countries ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
The World ◽  
Fallen Leaves ◽  
Almost All ◽  
The Tropics

The invertebrates are the most diverse group in the world; they colonize almost all the ecosystems and certainly give many goods and services to the human beings. The invertebrates that live in the soil contribute consistently with changes in the ecosystemic functions, affecting directly: nutrients, cycle, change in biomass contain ecological nets and inter specific relations for more voluminous organisms. For this exercise were taken the information of the six more representative magazines (2010-2016). The invertebrates in the tropics are maybe the most diverse group, although in the checking stage carried out only 64% represented tropical zones or subtropical exclusively, the rest is a comparison with temperate zones or global studious. Because of its diversity, many invertebrates are waiting for their taxonomical descriptions; many specialists are not from tropical countries. Brazil is the country with more investigations about this theme with its own investigators. No all the invertebrates have received the same attention, and the most studied groups are the orders Hymenoptera (20%), Coleopteran (12%) and Araneae (6%), many families without identification (25%), distinguishing studious in Fomicidae (24%) and Scarabaeinae (8%) mainly. The tendency is to work with those that are better described. The articles selected constitute a key for identifying the most useable methodologies, where the fall trap (30%), quadrant (11%) and transecto (9%), are remarkable over 24 methodologies, the most widespread time of studious was for only one season (< 1 year) the central point of the search in the soil (40%) and the fallen leaves (38%).

scholarly journals Investigating Warm and Humid Climate with the Approach of Production of Quantitative and Qualitative Architectural Models

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 635 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maryam Bahoush ◽  
Amir Salehabadi
Keyword(s):  
Fossil Fuels ◽  
Energy Use ◽  
Computer Software ◽  
Weather Condition ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Careful Analysis ◽  
Humid Climate ◽  
Local Climate ◽  
Climatic Regions ◽  
The World

Climate change is one of the most significant threats facing the world today. Buildings are one of the largest energy consuming sectors in the world. Most contemporary buildings are highly dependent on air conditioning systems and electricity, reliant on fossil fuels and increasingly unable to adapt to a warming climate. Iran's hot and cold climatic regions are vast. With the advancement of technology, life in every weather condition is possible. Humans can provide living conditions. Passive design responds to local climate and site conditions in order to maximize the comfort and health of building users while minimizing energy use. The key to designing a passive building is to take best advantage of the local climate. Passive cooling refers to any technologies or design features adopted to reduce the temperature of buildings without the need for power consumption. Today been proven that seasonal fossil contamination causes irreparable damage to our planet's ecosystem, which is the result of global warming. According to studies conducted so far, the use of clean fuel cannot alone meet our needs in severe weather conditions. Eco-friendly architecture helps to save energy by avoiding energy losses. In this paper, with the careful analysis of weather information in Dezful, computer software solutions provide architectural solutions that can be measured and can be applied to each of the suggested patterns as Checked a number. Gaven Comfort conditions in this city without any static and dynamic system is 17.7% of the year, which can be increased by 78.8% of the year using static systems.

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