Risk factors associated with day-30 mortality in patients over 60 years old admitted in ICU for severe COVID-19: the Senior-COVID-Rea Multicentre Survey protocol

IntroductionWith the spread of COVID-19 epidemic, health plans must be adapted continuously. There is an urgent need to define the best care courses of patients with COVID-19, especially in intensive care units (ICUs), according to their individualised benefit/risk ratio. Since older age is associated with poorer short-term and long-term outcomes, prediction models are needed, that may assist clinicians in their ICU admission decision. Senior-COVID-Rea was designed to evaluate, in patients over 60 years old admitted in ICU for severe COVID-19 disease, the impact of age and geriatric and paraclinical parameters on their mortality 30 days after ICU admission.Methods and analysisThis is a multicentre survey protocol to be conducted in seven hospitals of the Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes region, France. All patients over 60 years old admitted in ICU for severe COVID-19 infection (or their legally acceptable representative) will be proposed to enter the study and to fill in a questionnaire regarding their functional and nutritional parameters 1 month before COVID-19 infection. Paraclinical parameters at ICU admission will be collected: lymphocytes and neutrophils counts, high-fluorescent lymphoid cells and immature granulocytes percentages (Sysmex data), D-dimers, C-reactive protein, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), creatinine, CT scan for lung extension rate as well as clinical resuscitation scores, and the delay between the first signs of infection and ICU admission. The primary outcome will be the overall survival at day 30 post-ICU admission. The analysis of factors predicting mortality at day 30 will be carried out using univariate and multivariate logistic regressions. Multivariate logistic regression will consider up to 15 factors.The ambition of this trial, which takes into account the different approaches of geriatric vulnerability, is to define the respective abilities of different operational criteria of frailty to predict patients’ outcomes.Ethics and disseminationThe study protocol was ethically approved. The results of the primary and secondary objectives will be published in peer-reviewed journals.Trial registration numberNCT04422340.

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SARS-CoV-2 infection and adverse outcomes in users of ACE inhibitors and angiotensin-receptor blockers: a nationwide case-control and cohort analysis

Thorax ◽

10.1136/thoraxjnl-2020-215768 ◽

2020 ◽

pp. thoraxjnl-2020-215768 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Christian Fynbo Christiansen ◽

Anton Pottegård ◽

Uffe Heide-Jørgensen ◽

Jacob Bodilsen ◽

Ole Schmeltz Søgaard ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Angiotensin Receptor Blockers ◽

Cohort Analysis ◽

Case Control ◽

Adverse Outcomes ◽

Angiotensin Receptor ◽

Current Recommendation ◽

Icu Admission ◽

Registration Number ◽

Receptor Blockers ◽

The Impact

ObjectiveTo examine the impact of ACE inhibitor (ACE-I)/angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB) use on rate of SARS-CoV-2 infection and adverse outcomes.MethodsThis nationwide case-control and cohort study included all individuals in Denmark tested for SARS-CoV-2 RNA with PCR from 27 February 2020 to 26 July 2020. We estimated confounder-adjusted ORs for a positive test among all SARS-CoV-2 tested, and inverse probability of treatment weighted 30-day risk and risk ratios (RRs) of hospitalisation, intensive care unit (ICU) admission and mortality comparing current ACE-I/ARB use with calcium channel blocker (CCB) use and with non-use.ResultsThe study included 13 501 SARS-CoV-2 PCR-positive and 1 088 695 PCR-negative individuals. Users of ACE-I/ARB had a marginally increased rate of a positive PCR when compared with CCB users (aOR 1.17, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.37), but not when compared with non-users (aOR 1.00 95% CI 0.92 to 1.09).Among PCR-positive individuals, 1466 (11%) were ACE-I/ARB users. The weighted risk of hospitalisation was 36.5% in ACE-I/ARB users and 43.3% in CCB users (RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.70 to 1.02). The risk of ICU admission was 6.3% in ACE-I/ARB users and 5.4% in CCB users (RR 1.17, 95% CI 0.64 to 2.16), while the 30-day mortality was 12.3% in ACE-I/ARB users and 13.9% in CCB users (RR 0.89, 95% CI 0.61 to 1.30). The associations were similar when ACE-I/ARB users were compared with non-users.ConclusionsACE-I/ARB use was associated neither with a consistently increased rate nor with adverse outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Our findings support the current recommendation of continuing use of ACE-Is/ARBs during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.Trial registration numberEUPAS34887

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The incremental value of computed tomography of COVID-19 pneumonia in predicting ICU admission

Scientific Reports ◽

10.1038/s41598-021-95114-3 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Maurizio Bartolucci ◽

Matteo Benelli ◽

Margherita Betti ◽

Sara Bicchi ◽

Luca Fedeli ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Computed Tomography ◽

Confidence Interval ◽

Serum Lactate ◽

Serum Lactate Dehydrogenase ◽

Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves ◽

Icu Admission ◽

Reactive Protein ◽

Incremental Value ◽

Validation Set ◽

Radiological Model

AbstractTriage is crucial for patient’s management and estimation of the required intensive care unit (ICU) beds is fundamental for health systems during the COVID-19 pandemic. We assessed whether chest computed tomography (CT) of COVID-19 pneumonia has an incremental role in predicting patient’s admission to ICU. We performed volumetric and texture analysis of the areas of the affected lung in CT of 115 outpatients with COVID-19 infection presenting to the emergency room with dyspnea and unresponsive hypoxyemia. Admission blood laboratory including lymphocyte count, serum lactate dehydrogenase, D-dimer and C-reactive protein and the ratio between the arterial partial pressure of oxygen and inspired oxygen were collected. By calculating the areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUC), we compared the performance of blood laboratory-arterial gas analyses features alone and combined with the CT features in two hybrid models (Hybrid radiological and Hybrid radiomics)for predicting ICU admission. Following a machine learning approach, 63 patients were allocated to the training and 52 to the validation set. Twenty-nine (25%) of patients were admitted to ICU. The Hybrid radiological model comprising the lung %consolidation performed significantly (p = 0.04) better in predicting ICU admission in the validation (AUC = 0.82; 95% confidence interval 0.73–0.97) set than the blood laboratory-arterial gas analyses features alone (AUC = 0.71; 95% confidence interval 0.56–0.86). A risk calculator for ICU admission was derived and is available at: https://github.com/cgplab/covidapp. The volume of the consolidated lung in CT of patients with COVID-19 pneumonia has a mild but significant incremental value in predicting ICU admission.

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Efficacy and safety of aliskiren combination therapy: a protocol for an umbrella review

BMJ Open ◽

10.1136/bmjopen-2020-043807 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 (3) ◽

pp. e043807

Author(s):

Jiantong Shen ◽

Wenming Feng ◽

Yike Wang ◽

Qiyuan Zhao ◽

Billong Laura Flavorta ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Combination Therapy ◽

Systematic Reviews ◽

Cochrane Library ◽

Umbrella Review ◽

Quality Of Reporting ◽

Ethical Approval ◽

Registration Number ◽

Third Person ◽

Meta Analyses ◽

The Impact

IntroductionEfficacy of aliskiren combination therapy with other antihypertensive has been evaluated in the treatment of patients with hypertension in recent systematic reviews. However, most previous reviews only focused on one single health outcome or one setting, none of them made a full summary that assessed the impact of aliskiren combination treatment comprehensively. As such, this umbrella review based on systematic reviews and meta-analyses is aimed to synthesise the evidences on efficacy, safety and tolerability of aliskiren-based therapy for hypertension and related comorbid patients.Methods and analysisA comprehensive search of PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, CNKI published from inception to August 2020 will be conducted. The selected articles are systematic reviews which evaluated efficacy, safety and tolerability of aliskiren combination therapy. Two reviewers will screen eligible articles, extract data and evaluate quality independently. Any disputes will be resolved by discussion or the arbitration of a third person. The quality of reporting evidence will be assessed using the Assessment of Multiple Systematic Reviews V.2 tool tool. We will take a mixed-methods approach to synthesising the review literatures, reporting summary of findings tables and iteratively mapping the results.Ethics and disseminationEthical approval is not required for the study, as we would only collect data from available published materials. This umbrella review will be also submitted to a peer-reviewed journal for publication after completion.PROSPERO registration numberCRD42020192131.

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Anemia predicts poor outcomes of COVID-19 in hospitalized patients: a prospective study in Iran

BMC Infectious Diseases ◽

10.1186/s12879-021-05868-4 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 21 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Masood Faghih Dinevari ◽

Mohammad Hossein Somi ◽

Elham Sadeghi Majd ◽

Mahdieh Abbasalizad Farhangi ◽

Zeinab Nikniaz

Keyword(s):

Prospective Study ◽

High Sensitivity ◽

Hospitalized Patients ◽

Icu Admission ◽

Reactive Protein ◽

Hs Crp ◽

Prospective Association ◽

Poor Outcomes ◽

A Prospective Study ◽

Ventilator Requirement

Abstract Background There are limited number of studies with controversial findings regarding the association between anemia at admission and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outcomes. Therefore, in this research, we aimed to investigate the prospective association between anemia and COVID-19 outcomes in hospitalized patients in Iran. Methods In this prospective study, the data of 1274 consecutive patients hospitalized due to COVID-19 were statistically analyzed. All biomarkers, including hemoglobin and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) levels were measured using standard methods. Anemia was defined as a hemoglobin (Hb) concentration of less than 13 g/dL and 12 g/dL in males and females, respectively. Assessing the association between anemia and COVID-19 survival in hospitalized patients was our primary endpoint. Results The mean age of the participants was 64.43 ± 17.16 years, out of whom 615 (48.27%) were anemic subjects. Patients with anemia were significantly older (P = 0.02) and had a higher frequency of cardiovascular diseases, hypertension, kidney disease, diabetes, and cancer (P < 0.05). The frequency of death (anemic: 23.9% vs. nonanemic: 13.8%), ICU admission (anemic: 27.8% vs. nonanemic:14.71%), and ventilator requirement (anemic: 35.93% vs. nonanemic: 20.63%) were significantly higher in anemic patients than in nonanemic patients (P < 0.001). According to the results of regression analysis, after adjusting for significant covariate in the univariable model, anemia was independently associated with mortality (OR: 1.68, 95% CI: 1.10, 2.57, P = 0.01), ventilator requirement (OR: 1.74, 95% CI: 1.19, 2.54, P = 0.004), and the risk of ICU admission (OR: 2.06, 95% CI: 1.46, 2.90, P < 0.001). Conclusion The prevalence of anemia in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 was high and was associated with poor outcomes of COVID-19.

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POS1012 HOW IMPORTANT WOULD BE THE IMPACT OF SPONDYLOARTHRITIS ON MILITARY POPULATION’S WORKING LIFE?

Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases ◽

10.1136/annrheumdis-2021-eular.3740 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 80 (Suppl 1) ◽

pp. 774.2-774

Author(s):

T. Mehmli ◽

R. Dhahri ◽

M. Slouma ◽

E. Hannech ◽

B. Louzir ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Ankylosing Spondylitis ◽

Disease Activity ◽

Activity Index ◽

Productivity Loss ◽

Young Patients ◽

Work Productivity ◽

C Reactive Protein ◽

Reactive Protein ◽

Military Patients ◽

The Impact

Background:Spondyloarthritis is a group of chronic inflammatory diseases involving axial and peripheral joints. It mainly affects young patients typically of working age. Therefore, its impact on work outcomes may be considerable particularly in military patients.Objectives:The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of spondyloarthritis on work ability and productivity in military patients, and to assess relationship between work productivity loss and disease activity.Methods:Thirty Three patients diagnosed with spondyloarthritis in the militay hospital of Tunis were included in the study. Age, gender and C-reactive protein were recorded. Data related to duration of the disease, Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Score (ASDAS) and Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Index (BASDAI) were also recorded. Employed patients completed Work Productivity and Activity Impairment (WPAI) questionnaire witch assesses four subscales: presenteism, absenteism, overall work impairemend and daily activity impairement in the 7 past days.Results:Among the thirty three patients, 63 % were men and 37% were women. The average age was 43,7 ± 13,5. The average duration of disease was 8,5 ± 7,75 years. Mean C-Reactive protein was 27,5 ± 39,3. Mean ASDAS and BASDAI were 3,12 ± 1,39 and 4,26 ± 1,78 respectively. 22 patients (66%) had an active disease and 11 (33%)were in remission. 48,4% of patients were using NSAIDs, 48,4% were under DMARDs and 42% were under biologics (12 patients using TNF-alpha blockers and 2 patients were given IL-17 inhibitors). Among this patients, 27 were employed. Three patients (11%) had a total work disability and were retired from work and two have been outplaced.Employed patients worked an average of 35,6 ± 10,3 hours per week and missed an average of 3,48 ± 6,49 hours per week. The mean rates of absenteeism, presenteeism and work productivity loss were 8,8 ± 16,9 %, 48,4 ± 19,9 % and 48,6 ± 19,7 %.There was a statistically significant correlation between BASDAI and work missed hours (p<0,05, r=0,48), absenteeism (p<0,05, r=0,48), presenteeism (p<0,01, r=0,669), work impairement (p<0,01, r=0,669), activity impairement (p<0,05, r=0,475) and work productivity loss (p<0,05, r=0,475), as well as between ASDAS CRP and presenteeism (p<0,05, r= 0,593), work impairement (p<0,05, r=0,593), activity impairement(p<0,05, r=0,460) and work productivity loss (p<0,05, r=0,460). No relation was found between WPAI indexes and C-reactive protein.Conclusion:This study demonstrates that spondyloarthritis has a major impact on military patients’ work productivity with a significant correlation between WAPI indexes and disease activity scores (ASDAS CRP and BASDAI). No relation was found with C-reactive protein.Disclosure of Interests:None declared.

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GPS Coordinates for Modelling Correlated Herd Effects in Genomic Prediction Models Applied to Hanwoo Beef Cattle

Animals ◽

10.3390/ani11072050 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 (7) ◽

pp. 2050

Author(s):

Beatriz Castro Dias Cuyabano ◽

Gabriel Rovere ◽

Dajeong Lim ◽

Tae Hun Kim ◽

Hak Kyo Lee ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Environmental Factors ◽

Genomic Prediction ◽

Prediction Models ◽

Phenotypic Expression ◽

Genetic Evaluation ◽

Genomic Breeding ◽

Breeding Values ◽

Korean Cattle ◽

Evaluation Programs ◽

The Impact

It is widely known that the environment influences phenotypic expression and that its effects must be accounted for in genetic evaluation programs. The most used method to account for environmental effects is to add herd and contemporary group to the model. Although generally informative, the herd effect treats different farms as independent units. However, if two farms are located physically close to each other, they potentially share correlated environmental factors. We introduce a method to model herd effects that uses the physical distances between farms based on the Global Positioning System (GPS) coordinates as a proxy for the correlation matrix of these effects that aims to account for similarities and differences between farms due to environmental factors. A population of Hanwoo Korean cattle was used to evaluate the impact of modelling herd effects as correlated, in comparison to assuming the farms as completely independent units, on the variance components and genomic prediction. The main result was an increase in the reliabilities of the predicted genomic breeding values compared to reliabilities obtained with traditional models (across four traits evaluated, reliabilities of prediction presented increases that ranged from 0.05 ± 0.01 to 0.33 ± 0.03), suggesting that these models may overestimate heritabilities. Although little to no significant gain was obtained in phenotypic prediction, the increased reliability of the predicted genomic breeding values is of practical relevance for genetic evaluation programs.

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Developing and validating COVID-19 adverse outcome risk prediction models from a bi-national European cohort of 5594 patients

Scientific Reports ◽

10.1038/s41598-021-81844-x ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Espen Jimenez-Solem ◽

Tonny S. Petersen ◽

Casper Hansen ◽

Christian Hansen ◽

Christina Lioma ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Prediction Models ◽

Severe Disease ◽

External Validation ◽

Area Under The Curve ◽

Predictive Performance ◽

Mortality Prediction ◽

Icu Admission ◽

Risk Of Death ◽

Online Risk ◽

The United Kingdom

AbstractPatients with severe COVID-19 have overwhelmed healthcare systems worldwide. We hypothesized that machine learning (ML) models could be used to predict risks at different stages of management and thereby provide insights into drivers and prognostic markers of disease progression and death. From a cohort of approx. 2.6 million citizens in Denmark, SARS-CoV-2 PCR tests were performed on subjects suspected for COVID-19 disease; 3944 cases had at least one positive test and were subjected to further analysis. SARS-CoV-2 positive cases from the United Kingdom Biobank was used for external validation. The ML models predicted the risk of death (Receiver Operation Characteristics—Area Under the Curve, ROC-AUC) of 0.906 at diagnosis, 0.818, at hospital admission and 0.721 at Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission. Similar metrics were achieved for predicted risks of hospital and ICU admission and use of mechanical ventilation. Common risk factors, included age, body mass index and hypertension, although the top risk features shifted towards markers of shock and organ dysfunction in ICU patients. The external validation indicated fair predictive performance for mortality prediction, but suboptimal performance for predicting ICU admission. ML may be used to identify drivers of progression to more severe disease and for prognostication patients in patients with COVID-19. We provide access to an online risk calculator based on these findings.

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910. A Comprehensive, One Year, Hospital-Wide Snapshot of All Serious Infectious Complications in People Who Inject Drugs

Open Forum Infectious Diseases ◽

10.1093/ofid/ofaa439.1098 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 7 (Supplement_1) ◽

pp. S489-S490

Author(s):

John T Henderson ◽

Evelyn Villacorta Cari ◽

Nicole Leedy ◽

Alice Thornton ◽

Donna R Burgess ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Multivariable Analysis ◽

Vertebral Osteomyelitis ◽

The United States ◽

Infectious Complications ◽

Data Set ◽

Cumulative Impact ◽

Mortality And Morbidity ◽

Icu Admission ◽

Risk Of Death ◽

The Impact

Abstract Background There has been a dramatic rise in IV drug use (IVDU) and its associated mortality and morbidity, however, the scope of this effect has not been described. Kentucky is at the epicenter of this epidemic and is an ideal place to better understand the health complications of IVDU in order to improve outcomes. Methods All adult in-patient admissions to University of Kentucky hospitals in 2018 with an Infectious Diseases (ID) consult and an ICD 9/10 code associated with IVDU underwent thorough retrospective chart review. Demographic, descriptive, and outcome data were collected and analyzed by standard statistical analysis. Results 390 patients (467 visits) met study criteria. The top illicit substances used were methamphetamine (37.2%), heroin (38.2%), and cocaine (10.3%). While only 4.1% of tested patients were HIV+, 74.2% were HCV antibody positive. Endocarditis (41.1%), vertebral osteomyelitis (20.8%), bacteremia without endocarditis (14.1%), abscess (12.4%), and septic arthritis (10.4%) were the most common infectious complications. The in-patient death rate was 3.0%, and 32.2% of patients were readmitted within the study period. The average length of stay was 26 days. In multivariable analysis, infectious endocarditis was associated with a statistically significant increase in risk of death, ICU admission, and hospital readmission. Although not statistically significant, trends toward mortality and ICU admission were identified for patients with prior endocarditis and methadone was correlated with decreased risk of readmission and ICU stay. FIGURE 1: Reported Substances Used FIGURE 2: Comorbidities FIGURE 3: Types of Severe Infectious Complications Conclusion We report on a novel, comprehensive perspective on the serious infectious complications of IVDU in an attempt to measure its cumulative impact in an unbiased way. This preliminary analysis of a much larger dataset (2008-2019) reveals some sobering statistics about the impact of IVDU in the United States. While it confirms the well accepted mortality and morbidity associated with infective endocarditis and bacteremia, there is a significant unrecognized impact of other infectious etiologies. Additional analysis of this data set will be aimed at identifying key predictive factors in poor outcomes in hopes of mitigating them. Disclosures All Authors: No reported disclosures

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The Impact of Diet and Fibre Fractions on Plasma Adipocytokine Levels in Prediabetic Adults

Nutrients ◽

10.3390/nu13020487 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 13 (2) ◽

pp. 487

Author(s):

Margarita S. Dodevska ◽

Sladjana S. Sobajic ◽

Vesna D. Dragicevic ◽

Ivan Stankovic ◽

Nevena Dj. Ivanovic ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Dietary Intervention ◽

Polynomial Regression ◽

Body Weight Loss ◽

C Reactive Protein ◽

Resistin Level ◽

Reactive Protein ◽

Obese Subjects ◽

The Impact ◽

Necrosis Factor ◽

Recommended Level

The impact of diet and fibre fractions on adipocytokines in obese subjects with a risk of diabetes has not been investigated in detail yet. The purpose of the study is to evaluate the effects of a 12-month lifestyle intervention with different fibre profiles (resistant starch (RS)—rich fibre, or ordinary food fibre profiles) on adipocytokine levels. Fifty participants are divided into two groups (RS group and Fibre group). The groups differ only in the percentage of the recommended level of the RS consumed as a fraction of the same total fibre amount. The applied dietary intervention includes intake of 7531 KJ/daywith a total fibre portion of 25–35 g/dayfor both groups that includes 15 g/day of RS for the RS group only. The levels of leptin, adiponectin, apelin, resistin, tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-alpha and C-reactive protein (CRP) are measured, and their relationship to anthropometric and biochemical parameters is estimated. Along with significant body weight loss, only leptin is significantly reduced by 13% in the RS group while in the Fibre group, apelin levels are significant (−21%). Polynomial regression shows a negative correlation between RS intake and adiponectin (R2 = 0.145) and resistin level (R2 = 0.461) in the RS group. This study indicates the possibility that fibre fractions differently influence the outcome of lifestyle interventions, as well as their adipocytokine levels, in obese prediabetic adults.

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