Mortality predictions for Ireland, 2001–2015: cancers of the breast, ovary, and cervix and corpus uteri

Linear and log-linear Poisson regression models of Irish breast, ovarian, and cervical and corpus uterine cancer mortality data for the years 1953–2000 were used to predict European age standardized mortality rates (EASMRs) per 100,000 person years and numbers of deaths for the period 2001–2015. Rates for the whole population and for those under 65 are expected to fall from their current levels for breast and corpus uterine cancers but not for ovarian and cervical uterine cancers. EASMRs for postmenopausal women aged between 55 and 69 years are predicted to fall for breast, ovarian, and cervical and corpus uterine cancers. The continuing expansion of the Irish female population is the primary reason why the numbers of deaths arising from breast, ovarian, and cervical uterine cancer are predicted to increase in all of the above age groups. It is not exactly clear why the numbers of corpus uterine cancer deaths are expected to continue to decline, but it may be a matter of improvement in overall death-certificate coding or their diagnoses as cervical cancer deaths.

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Trends in diabetes mortality identified from death certificates in Colombia, 1979-2017

Revista Panamericana de Salud Pública ◽

10.26633/rpsp.2021.13 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 45 ◽

pp. 1

Author(s):

Pablo Chaparro-Narváez ◽

Nelson J. Alvis-Zakzuk ◽

Diana Díaz-Jiménez ◽

Carlos Castañeda-Orjuela

Keyword(s):

Regression Models ◽

Ecological Study ◽

Age Groups ◽

Mortality Rates ◽

Mortality Data ◽

Joinpoint Regression ◽

Primary And Secondary Prevention ◽

Mortality Trends ◽

Joinpoint Regression Analysis ◽

Annual Mortality

Objective. To describe the mortality trends of diabetes mellitus (DM) in Colombia, by sex and age group, from 1979 to 2017. Methods. We carried out an ecological study using mortality data from the Colombian National Administrative Department of Statistics. Crude and age-standardized annual mortality rates per 100 000 people were estimated. Trends of standardized rates were described by sex and age groups. Joinpoint regression models were performed to study mortality trends. Results. Throughout the whole period, the total number of DM recorded deaths in Colombia was 200 650, 58% (116 316) in women (p<0.05). The age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) by sex increased from 13.2 to 26.6 deaths per 100 000 in women and from 10.1 to 22.7 in men from 1979 to 1999. We observed a decrease from 26.6 to 15.4 per 100 000 in women, and from 22.7 to 15.9 in men for the period 1999-2017. The joinpoint regression analysis showed that the average annual percentage change of the period did not vary in both sexes (men: -0.2%, 95% CI 1.0 to 1.4%; women: 0.7%, 95% CI 0.1 to 1.6%). Conclusions. The DM mortality showed a decreasing trend after 2000 in women and 2004 in men. Primary and secondary prevention programs must continue to be strengthened for an earlier diagnosis of diabetes.

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Inequalities and Impact of Socioeconomic-Cultural Factors in Suicide Rates Across Italy

Crisis ◽

10.1027/0227-5910/a000084 ◽

2011 ◽

Vol 32 (4) ◽

pp. 178-185 ◽

Cited By ~ 15

Author(s):

Maurizio Pompili ◽

Marco Innamorati ◽

Monica Vichi ◽

Maria Masocco ◽

Nicola Vanacore ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Suicide Rate ◽

Age Groups ◽

Premature Death ◽

Mortality Rates ◽

Mortality Data ◽

Italian Population ◽

Comprehensive Overview ◽

Suicide Rates ◽

Younger Age ◽

Age And Sex

Background: Suicide is a major cause of premature death in Italy and occurs at different rates in the various regions. Aims: The aim of the present study was to provide a comprehensive overview of suicide in the Italian population aged 15 years and older for the years 1980–2006. Methods: Mortality data were extracted from the Italian Mortality Database. Results: Mortality rates for suicide in Italy reached a peak in 1985 and declined thereafter. The different patterns observed by age and sex indicated that the decrease in the suicide rate in Italy was initially the result of declining rates in those aged 45+ while, from 1997 on, the decrease was attributable principally to a reduction in suicide rates among the younger age groups. It was found that socioeconomic factors underlined major differences in the suicide rate across regions. Conclusions: The present study confirmed that suicide is a multifaceted phenomenon that may be determined by an array of factors. Suicide prevention should, therefore, be targeted to identifiable high-risk sociocultural groups in each country.

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Mortality from endometrial cancer in female population of Belgrade

Vojnosanitetski pregled ◽

10.2298/vsp0403267p ◽

2004 ◽

Vol 61 (3) ◽

pp. 267-272

Author(s):

Vesna Pantovic ◽

Mirjana Jarebinski ◽

Tatjana Pekmezovic ◽

Anita Knezevic ◽

Darija Kisic

Keyword(s):

Endometrial Cancer ◽

Mortality Rate ◽

Malignant Tumors ◽

Age Groups ◽

Mortality Rates ◽

Mortality Decline ◽

Female Population ◽

Average Percentage ◽

Standardized Mortality Rate

Data about mortality from malignant tumors of endometrium were analyzed in the Belgrade area during the period 1975-2000. The obtained results showed that the average percentage of endometrial cancer in mortality structure from all the cancers of female population was 2.65%. During the observed 26-years period, malignant tumors of endometrium constituted 17.38% of all the tumors of gynecological localization. The standardized mortality rate in 1975 (population worldwide used as a standard) 7.06/100 000 population while in 2000 it was 1.78/100 000 population, respectively, which showed almost fourfold mortality decline during the observed period (y=4.72-0.16x). A trend of declining risk of dying from endometrial cancer was present in all the age groups. The obtained results indicated that in the observed period the average mortality rates ranged from 0.14/100 000 population in females aged up to 34 years (y=0.30-0.01x), and reached the highest value in females aged 65-74 years (14.57/100 000; y=23.43-0.66x), and 75 years of age and over (19.62/100 000; y=31.17-0.85x).

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Births to Teens Older and Younger Than 17 Years in San Bernardino County and California

Californian Journal of Health Promotion ◽

10.32398/cjhp.v2i2.1730 ◽

2004 ◽

Vol 2 (2) ◽

pp. 20-27

Author(s):

Kofi Adade Boafo ◽

Bruce Smith ◽

Naomi N Modeste ◽

Thomas J Prendergast, Jr

Keyword(s):

Infant Mortality ◽

Very Low Birth Weight ◽

Age Groups ◽

Mortality Rates ◽

Teen Mothers ◽

Mortality Data ◽

San Bernardino County ◽

Low Birth Weight Infants ◽

Data Set ◽

San Bernardino

Objective: The purpose of this cohort, descriptive study was to attempt to understand the variables associated with discordant infant mortality among teenagers 17-19 years old whose infants demonstrated higher mortality than infants of teenagers who were younger than 17 years old in San Bernardino County, California. The intent was to elicit further research and/or define appropriate interventions for teen mothers within the age range 17-19 years. Methods: Data was abstracted from an electronic infant mortality data set, the State of California Birth Cohort File in which birth records from San Bernardino County for the period 1989 through 1993 were matched with mortality records. Results: The data showed that infants of white teens within the 17-19 age groups were more likely to have higher infant mortality rates when compared to their younger peers. Infant mortality rates among offspring of Hispanic and black teenage mothers showed no discrepancy between the two groups nor between county and state rates. Conclusions: Further study is needed to answer why infants of white teen mothers in the 17-19 age groups have higher mortality rates. There is also a need to review the services rendered to pregnant and parenting adolescents in San Bernardino County. In addition, very low birth weight infants were much more likely to die when born to older teens than when born to younger teens.

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Characteristics of mortality in the Orenburg region population in 2011-2017

Science and Innovations in Medicine ◽

10.35693/2500-1388-2020-5-2-99-104 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 5 (2) ◽

pp. 99-104

Author(s):

Evgenii L. Borschuk ◽

Dmitrii N. Begun ◽

Tatyana V. Begun

Keyword(s):

Mortality Rate ◽

Causes Of Death ◽

Age Groups ◽

Circulatory System ◽

Mortality Rates ◽

Female Population ◽

Orenburg Region ◽

The Third ◽

Circulatory System Diseases ◽

External Causes

Objectives - to study the mortality indicators, their dynamics and structure, in the population of the Orenburg region in the period of 2011-2017. Material and methods. The study was conducted using the data from the territorial authority of statistics in the Orenburg region in the period from 2011 to 2017. The analytical, demographic and statistical methods were implemented for the study of the demographic indicators. Results. Cities and municipal settlements of the Orenburg region with high mortality indicators were included in the second and fourth clusters during the cluster analysis. The first and third clusters included cities and municipal settlements with an average mortality. The most favorable position has the Orenburg area with the lowest mortality rate in the region in 2017 - 8.4%. The dynamics of mortality rates among the male and female population tends to decrease, more pronounced dynamics is in men. Though, the male population is characterized by higher mortality rates in all age groups. The leading position among the causes of death is taken by diseases of the circulatory system (46.3% of the total mortality). The second position is occupied by tumors (17.2%), the third - by external causes (8.4%). Mortality from circulatory system diseases and from external causes has reduced. The dynamics of mortality from tumors does not change significantly. The rank of leading causes of death is not identical in the clusters: in the third and fourth clusters, the other causes occupy the second place in the structure of mortality, while tumors occupy the third. Conclusion. In the Orenburg region, the mortality rate is higher than overage in the Russian Federation by 0.9 per 1000 people. The study revealed significant territorial differences in the mortality rates. In general, the mortality among men in all age groups is higher than the mortality of women. The mortality rate from diseases of the circulatory system plays the leading role in the structure of mortality, but has the tendency for decline. Until 2006, the mortality from external causes ranked the second place, now the second place is taken by death from tumors The mortality from external causes is decreasing; mortality from tumors does not change significantly. The obtained results could be used by local authorities in developing the program of public health protection and assessing its effectiveness.

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Trends in Melanoma Mortality in the Population Groups of South Africa

Dermatology ◽

10.1159/000500663 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 235 (5) ◽

pp. 396-399 ◽

Cited By ~ 3

Author(s):

Caradee Yael Wright ◽

Thandi Kapwata ◽

Elvira Singh ◽

Adele C. Green ◽

Peter Baade ◽

...

Keyword(s):

South Africa ◽

Regression Models ◽

Population Group ◽

Mortality Rates ◽

Mortality Data ◽

African Countries ◽

South Africans ◽

Awareness Campaigns ◽

Increasing Trend ◽

Join Point

The incidence of cutaneous melanoma (CM) is increasing in countries around the world. However, little is known about melanoma trends in African countries by population group. We studied CM mortality in South Africa from 1997 to 2014 to partly address this knowledge gap. Unit record mortality data for all South Africans who died from CM (n = 8,537) were obtained from Statistics South Africa. Join-point regression models were used to assess whether there was a statistically significant change in the direction and/or magnitude of the annual trends in CM mortality. A significant increasing trend of 11% per year was observed in age-adjusted mortality rates in men between 2000 and 2005 (p < 0.01), rising from 2 to 3 per 100,000. There was also a statistically significant increase of 180% per year among White South Africans from 1997 to 1999 (p < 0.05) and of 3% from 1999 to 2014 (p < 0.01). These results may be used to inform CM awareness campaigns and will motivate efforts to improve the collection and analysis of relevant statistics regarding the present burden of CM in South Africa.

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Diarrhoea morbidity and mortality in older children, adolescents, and adults

Epidemiology and Infection ◽

10.1017/s0950268810000592 ◽

2010 ◽

Vol 138 (9) ◽

pp. 1215-1226 ◽

Cited By ~ 51

Author(s):

C. L. FISCHER WALKER ◽

R. E. BLACK

Keyword(s):

Eastern Mediterranean ◽

Age Groups ◽

Eastern Mediterranean Region ◽

Mortality Rates ◽

Incidence Rates ◽

Morbidity And Mortality ◽

Mortality Data ◽

Older Children ◽

Incidence And Mortality ◽

Adolescents And Adults

SUMMARYDiarrhoea is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality yet diarrhoea specific incidence and mortality rates for older children, adolescents, and adults have not been systematically calculated for many countries. We conducted a systematic literature review to generate regional incidence rates by age and to summarize diarrhoea specific mortality rates for regions of the world with inadequate vital registration data. Diarrhoea morbidity rates range from 29·9 episodes/100 person-years for adults in the South East Asian region to 88·4 episodes/100 person-years in older children in the Eastern Mediterranean region and have remained unchanged in the last 30 years. Diarrhoea mortality rates decline as the child ages and remain relatively constant during adulthood. These data are critical for improving estimates worldwide and further highlight the need for improved diarrhoea specific morbidity and mortality data in these age groups.

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Data Talks: Obesity-Related Influences on US Mortality Rates

Research in Health Science ◽

10.22158/rhs.v3n3p65 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 3 (3) ◽

pp. 65 ◽

Cited By ~ 3

Author(s):

Malcolm J. D’Souza ◽

Riza C. Bautista ◽

Derald E. Wentzien

Keyword(s):

Death Certificate ◽

Age Groups ◽

Mortality Rates ◽

Overweight And Obesity ◽

Public Health Issue ◽

Minority Population ◽

Death Rates ◽

Age Related ◽

The Us ◽

Icd 10

Background: In the US, obesity is an epidemiologic challenge and the population fails to comprehend this complex public health issue. To evaluate underlying obesity-impact patterns on mortality rates, we data-mined the 1999-2016 Center for Disease Control WONDER database’s vital records.Methods: Adopting SAS programming, we scrutinized the mortality and population counts. Using ICD-10 diagnosis codes connected to overweight and obesity, we obtained the obesity-related crude and age-adjusted causes of death. To understand divergent and prevalence trends we compared and contrasted the tabulated obesity-influenced mortality rates with demographic information, gender, and age-related data.Key Results: From 1999 to 2016, the obesity-related age-adjusted mortality rates increased by 142%. The ICD-10 overweight and obesity-related death-certificate coding showed clear evidence that obesity factored in the male age-adjusted mortality rate increment to 173% and the corresponding female rate to 117%. It also disproportionately affected the nation-wide minority population death rates. Furthermore, excess weight distributions are coded as contributing features in the crude death rates for all decennial age-groups.Conclusions: The 1999-2016 data from ICD-10 death certificate coding for obesity-related conditions indicate that it is affecting all segments of the US population.

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MARITAL STATUS AS A RISK FACTOR IN LIFE INSURANCE: AN EMPIRICAL STUDY IN TAIWAN

Astin Bulletin ◽

10.1017/asb.2016.3 ◽

2016 ◽

Vol 46 (2) ◽

pp. 487-505 ◽

Cited By ~ 2

Author(s):

Hsin Chung Wang ◽

Jack C. Yue ◽

Yi-Hsuan Tsai

Keyword(s):

Marital Status ◽

Life Insurance ◽

Population Sample ◽

Age Groups ◽

Mortality Rates ◽

Small Sample ◽

Data Availability ◽

Mortality Data ◽

Practical Consideration ◽

Smoothing Methods

AbstractGender and age are the top two risk factors considered in pricing life insurance products. Although it is believed that mortality rates are also related to other factors (e.g. smoking, overweight, and especially marriage), data availability and marketing often limit the possibility of including them. Many studies have shown that married people (particularly men) benefit from the marriage, and generally have lower mortality rates than unmarried people. However, most of these studies used data from a population sample; their results might not apply to the whole population. In this study, we explore if mortality rates differ by marital status using mortality data (1975–2011) from the Taiwan Ministry of the Interior. In order to deal with the problem of small sample sizes in some marital status groups, we use graduation methods to reduce fluctuations in mortality rates. We also use a relational approach to model mortality rates by marital status, and then compare the proposed model with some popular stochastic mortality models. Based on computer simulation, we find that the proposed smoothing methods can reduce fluctuations in mortality estimates between ages, and the relational mortality model has smaller errors in predicting mortality rates by marital status. Analyses of the mortality data from Taiwan show that mortality rates differ significantly by marital status. In some age groups, the differences in mortality rates are larger between marital status groups than between smokers and non-smokers. For the issue of practical consideration, we suggest modifications to include marital status in pricing of life insurance products.

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Racial disparities in COVID-19 mortality are driven by unequal infection risks.

10.1101/2020.09.10.20192369 ◽

2020 ◽

Cited By ~ 3

Author(s):

Jon Zelner ◽

Rob Trangucci ◽

Ramya Naraharisetti ◽

Alex Cao ◽

Ryan Malosh ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Racial Disparities ◽

Data Science ◽

Age Groups ◽

Case Fatality ◽

The United States ◽

Mortality Rates ◽

Bayesian Regression ◽

Mortality Data ◽

Incidence And Mortality ◽

The U.S

Background. As of August 5, 2020, there were more than 4.8M confirmed and probable cases and 159K deaths attributable to SARS-CoV-2 in the United States, with these numbers undoubtedly reflecting a significant underestimate of the true toll. Geographic, racial-ethnic, age and socioeconomic disparities in exposure and mortality are key features of the first and second wave of the U.S. COVID-19 epidemic. Methods. We used individual-level COVID-19 incidence and mortality data from the U.S. state of Michigan to estimate age-specific incidence and mortality rates by race/ethnic group. Data were analyzed using hierarchical Bayesian regression models, and model results were validated using posterior predictive checks. Findings. In crude and age-standardized analyses we found rates of incidence and mortality more than twice as high than Whites for all groups other than Native Americans. Of these, Blacks experienced the greatest burden of confirmed and probable COVID-19 infection (Age- standardized incidence = 1,644/100,000 population) and mortality (age-standardized mortality rate 251/100,000). These rates reflect large disparities, as Blacks experienced age-standardized incidence and mortality rates 5.6 (95% CI = 5.5, 5.7) and 6.9 (6.5, 7.3) times higher than Whites, respectively. We also found that the bulk of the disparity in mortality between Blacks and Whites is driven by dramatically higher rates of COVID-19 infection across all age groups, particularly among older adults, rather than age-specific variation in case-fatality rates. Interpretation. This work suggests that well-documented racial disparities in COVID-19 mortality in hard-hit settings, such as the U.S. state of Michigan, are driven primarily by variation in household, community and workplace exposure rather than case-fatality rates. Funding. This work was supported by a COVID-PODS grant from the Michigan Institute for Data Science (MIDAS) at the University of Michigan. The funding source had no role in the preparation of this manuscript.

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