Soil Moisture Feedbacks to Precipitation in Southern Africa

2006 ◽  
Vol 19 (17) ◽  
pp. 4198-4206 ◽  
Author(s):  
Benjamin I. Cook ◽  
Gordon B. Bonan ◽  
Samuel Levis
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Southern Africa ◽  
Potential Temperature ◽  
Water Flux ◽  
Atmospheric Stability ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Specific Humidity ◽  
Latent Heating ◽  
Wet Season ◽  
Climate System Model

Abstract The effects of increased soil moisture on wet season (October–March) precipitation in southern Africa are investigated using the Community Climate System Model version 3 (CCSM3). In the CTRL case, soil moisture is allowed to interact dynamically with the atmosphere. In the MOIST case, soil moisture is set so that evapotranspiration is not limited by the supply of water. The MOIST scenario actually results in decreased precipitation over the region of perturbed soil moisture, compared to CTRL. The increased soil moisture alters the surface energy balance, resulting in a shift from sensible to latent heating. This manifests in two ways relevant for precipitation processes. First, the shift from sensible to latent heating cools the surface, causing a higher surface pressure, a reduced boundary layer height, and an increased vertical gradient in equivalent potential temperature. These changes are indicative of an increase in atmospheric stability, inhibiting vertical movement of air parcels and decreasing the ability of precipitation to form. Second, the surface changes induce anomalous surface divergence and increased subsidence. This causes a reduction in cloud cover and specific humidity above 700 hPa and results in a net decrease of column-integrated precipitable water, despite the increased surface water flux, indicating a reduction in moisture convergence. Based on this and a previous study, soil moisture may act as a negative feedback to precipitation in southern Africa, helping to buffer the system against any external forcing of precipitation (e.g., ENSO).

Precipitation biases over southern Africa: examining the role of the Angola Low.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria Chara Karypidou ◽  
Eleni Katragkou
Keyword(s):  
Southern Africa ◽  
Structural Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Potential Temperature ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Relative Vorticity ◽  
Specific Humidity ◽  
Wet Season ◽  
Pressure System ◽  
Intercomparison Project

<p>One of the main features controlling precipitation over southern Africa during the wet season is the Angola Low (AL) pressure system that appears as a heat low during October and November and as a tropical low during the climatological mean of December, January and February. The literature provides evidence that wet biases over southern Africa in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 ensemble (CMIP5) are associated with a strongly simulated AL. In the current work, we examine the degree to which this observation holds for the CORDEX-Africa (Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment - Africa) ensemble, using evaluation experiments forced with ERA-Interim at a spatial resolution of 0.44<sup>o</sup>. The analysis is performed using daily values for months October to March for the period 1990-2008. We characterize the precipitation bias over southern Africa using 10 satellite and gridded precipitation products. For the identification of the AL we use potential temperature at 850 hPa, specific humidity at 850 hPa and relative vorticity at 850 and 500 hPa. Our results highlight the fact that process-based evaluation of climate simulations are key in understanding structural model deficiencies. </p>

scholarly journals Diurnal Cycle of Convective Instability around the Central Mountains in Japan during the Warm Season

2005 ◽  
Vol 62 (5) ◽  
pp. 1626-1636 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tomonori Sato ◽  
Fujio Kimura
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Diurnal Cycle ◽  
Convective Instability ◽  
Potential Temperature ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Specific Humidity ◽  
High Temporal Resolution ◽  
Mountainous Areas ◽  
Diurnal Cycles

Abstract Convective rainfall often shows a clear diurnal cycle. The nighttime peak of convective activity prevails in various regions near the world's mountains. The influence of the water vapor and convective instability upon nocturnal precipitation is investigated using a numerical model and observed data. Recent developments in GPS meteorology allow the estimation of precipitable water vapor (PWV) with a high temporal resolution. A dense network has been established in Japan. The GPS analysis in August 2000 provides the following results: In the early evening, a high-GPS-PWV region forms over mountainous areas because of the convergence of low-level moisture, which gradually propagates toward the adjacent plain before midnight. A region of convection propagates simultaneously eastward into the plain. The precipitating frequency correlates fairly well with the GPS-PWV and attains a maximum value at night over the plain. The model also provides similar characteristics in the diurnal cycles of rainfall and high PWV. Abundant moisture accumulates over the mountainous areas in the afternoon and then advects continuously toward the plain by the ambient wind. The specific humidity greatly increases at about the 800-hPa level over the plain at night, and the PWV reaches its nocturnal maximum. The increase in the specific humidity causes an increase of equivalent potential temperature at about the 800-hPa level; as a result, the convective instability index becomes more unstable over the plain at night. These findings are consistent with the diurnal cycle of the observed precipitating frequency.

scholarly journals The Impacts of Soil Moisture Initialization on the Forecasts of Weather Research and Forecasting Model: A Case Study in Xinjiang, China

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 1892
Author(s):  
Hailiang Zhang ◽  
Junjian Liu ◽  
Huoqing Li ◽  
Xianyong Meng ◽  
Ablimitijan Ablikim
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Potential Temperature ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Specific Humidity ◽  
Water Evaporation ◽  
Weather Research And Forecasting ◽  
Soil Moisture Initialization ◽  
Weather Research

Soil moisture is a critical parameter in numerical weather prediction (NWP) models because it plays a fundamental role in the exchange of water and energy cycles between the atmosphere and the land surface through evaporation. To improve the forecast skills of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model in Xinjiang, China, this study investigated the impacts of soil moisture initialization on the WRF forecasts by performing a series of simulations. A group of simulations was conducted using the single-column model (SCM) from 1200 UTC on 15 to 18 August 2019, at Urumchi, Xinjiang (43.78° N, 87.6° E); another was performed using the WRF model for a real weather case in Xinjiang from 0000 UTC 15 August to 1200 UTC 18 August 2019, which included an episode of heavy precipitation and gales. Our most notable findings are as follows. Specific humidity increases and potential temperature decreases persistently when soil moisture increases because of soil water evaporation. Soil moisture initialization could impact the energy budget and modulate the partition of the total available energy at the land surface significantly through evaporation and the greenhouse effect. Replacing the soil moisture with a proper multiple of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Global Forecast System (GFS) soil moisture data could significantly improve the critical success index (CSI) and frequency bias (FBIAS) of precipitation and the root-mean-squared errors (RMSEs) of 2-m specific humidity and 2-m temperature. These findings indicate the prospect of a new way to improve the forecast skills of WRF in Xinjiang or other similar regions.

scholarly journals Vertical Profiles of Ozone Concentration Collected by an Unmanned Aerial Vehicle and the Mixing of the Nighttime Boundary Layer over an Amazonian Urban Area

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 599 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guimarães ◽  
Ye ◽  
Batista ◽  
Barbosa ◽  
Ribeiro ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Urban Area ◽  
Unmanned Aerial Vehicle ◽  
Ozone Concentration ◽  
Potential Temperature ◽  
Specific Humidity ◽  
Vertical Profiles ◽  
Wet Season ◽  
Aerial Vehicle ◽  
Median Height

The nighttime boundary layer was studied in an urban area surrounded by tropical forest by use of a copter-type unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) in central Amazonia during the wet season. Fifty-seven vertical profiles of ozone concentration, potential temperature, and specific humidity were collected from surface to 500 m above ground level (a.g.l.) at high vertical and temporal resolutions by use of embedded sensors on the UAV. Abrupt changes in ozone concentration with altitude served as a proxy of nighttime boundary layer (NBL) height for the case of a normal, undisturbed, stratified nighttime atmosphere, corresponding to 40% of the cases. The median height of the boundary layer was 300 m. A turbulent mixing NBL constituted 28% of the profiles, while the median height of the boundary layer was 290 m. The remaining 32% of profiles corresponded to complex atmospheres without clear boundary layer heights. The occurrence of the three different cases correlated well with relative cloud cover. The results show that the standard nighttime model widely implemented in chemical transport models holds just 40% of the time, suggesting new challenges in modeling of regional nighttime chemistry. The boundary layer heights were also somewhat higher than observed previously over forested and pasture areas in Amazonia, indicating the important effect of the urban heat island.

scholarly journals A 7-Year Climatology of Warm-Sector Heavy Rainfall over South China during the Pre-Summer Months

Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 914
Author(s):  
Tao Chen ◽  
Da-Lin Zhang
Keyword(s):  
South China ◽  
Heavy Rainfall ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Potential Temperature ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Atmospheric Parameter ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Warm Sector

In view of the limited predictability of heavy rainfall (HR) events and the limited understanding of the physical mechanisms governing the initiation and organization of the associated mesoscale convective systems (MCSs), a composite analysis of 58 HR events over the warm sector (i.e., far ahead of the surface cold front), referred to as WSHR events, over South China during the months of April to June 2008~2014 is performed in terms of precipitation, large-scale circulations, pre-storm environmental conditions, and MCS types. Results show that the large-scale circulations of the WSHR events can be categorized into pre-frontal, southwesterly warm and moist ascending airflow, and low-level vortex types, with higher frequency occurrences of the former two types. Their pre-storm environments are characterized by a deep moist layer with >50 mm column-integrated precipitable water, high convective available potential energy with the equivalent potential temperature of ≥340 K at 850 hPa, weak vertical wind shear below 400 hPa, and a low-level jet near 925 hPa with weak warm advection, based on atmospheric parameter composite. Three classes of the corresponding MCSs, exhibiting peak convective activity in the afternoon and the early morning hours, can be identified as linear-shaped, a leading convective line adjoined with trailing stratiform rainfall, and comma-shaped, respectively. It is found that many linear-shaped MCSs in coastal regions are triggered by local topography, enhanced by sea breezes, whereas the latter two classes of MCSs experience isentropic lifting in the southwesterly warm and moist flows. They all develop in large-scale environments with favorable quasi-geostrophic forcing, albeit weak. Conceptual models are finally developed to facilitate our understanding and prediction of the WSHR events over South China.

Linking soil water and solutes fluxes to soil properties and vegetation types: insights from a case-study in the high tropical Andes of Ecuador

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastián Páez-Bimos ◽  
Veerle Vanacker ◽  
Marcos Villacis ◽  
Marlon Calispa ◽  
Oscar Morales ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Water Conservation ◽  
Water Flux ◽  
Water Fluxes ◽  
Vegetation Types ◽  
Tropical Andes ◽  
Conservation Area ◽  
Solute Fluxes ◽  
Doc Concentration ◽  
Water Conservation Area

<p>The high tropical Andes ecosystem, known as páramo, provides important hydrological services to densely populated areas in the Andean region. In order to manage these services sustainably, it is crucial to understand the biotic and abiotic processes that control both water quality and fluxes. Recent research in the páramo highlights a knowledge gap regarding the role played by soil-vegetation interactions in controlling soil-water processes and resulting water and solute fluxes.</p><p>Here, we determine the hydrological and geochemical fluxes in four soil profiles in the páramo of the Antisana´s water conservation area in northern Ecuador. Water fluxes were measured biweekly with field fluxmeters in the hydrological year Apr/2019- Mar/2020 under two contrasting vegetation types: tussock-like grass (TU) and cushion-forming plants (CU). Soil solution was collected in parallel with wick samplers and suction caps for assessing the concentrations of dissolved cations, anions and organic carbon (DOC). In addition, soil moisture was measured continuously in the upper meter of the soil profile, i.e. first three horizons (A, 2A and 2BC), using water content reflectometers. The vertical water flux in the upper meter of each soil profile was simulated using the 1D HYDRUS model. We carried out a Sobol analysis to identify sensitive soil hydraulic parameters. We then derived water fluxes by inverse modeling, based on the measured soil moisture. We validated the calculated water fluxes using the fluxmeter data. Solute fluxes were estimated by combining the water fluxes and the soil solution compositions.</p><p>Our preliminary results suggest that water fluxes and DOC concentration vary under different vegetation types. The fluxmeter data from the 2A horizon indicates that the cumulative water flux under TU (2.8 - 5.7 l) was larger than under CU (0.8 – 1.1 l) during the dry season (Aug-Sep and Dec-Jan). However, the opposite trend was observed in the wet season for maximum water fluxes. Moreover, the DOC concentration in the uppermost horizon was higher under CU (47.3 ±2.2 mg l<sup>-1</sup>) than under TU (3.1 ±0.2 mg l<sup>-1</sup>) vegetation during the monitoring period. We associate the water and solute responses under different vegetation types to the contrasting soil hydro-physical and chemical properties (e.g., saturated hydraulic conductivity and organic carbon content) in the uppermost soil horizon. Our study illustrates the existence of a spatial association between vegetation types, water fluxes and solute concentrations in Antisana´s water conservation area. By modelling the hydrological balance of the upper meter of the soil mantle, the water and solute fluxes will be estimated for soils with different vegetation cover.</p><p> </p>

The efficacy of seasonal terrestrial water storage forecasts for predicting vegetation activity over Africa

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Benjamin I Cook ◽  
Kimberly Slinski ◽  
Christa Peters-Lidard ◽  
Amy McNally ◽  
Kristi Arsenault ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Southern Africa ◽  
Water Storage ◽  
Dry Season ◽  
Forecast Skill ◽  
Terrestrial Water Storage ◽  
Wet Season ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Vegetation Activity ◽  
Terrestrial Water

AbstractTerrestrial water storage (TWS) provides important information on terrestrial hydroclimate and may have value for seasonal forecasting because of its strong persistence. We use the NASA Hydrological Forecast and Analysis System (NHyFAS) to investigate TWS forecast skill over Africa and assess its value for predicting vegetation activity from satellite estimates of leaf area index (LAI). Forecast skill is high over East and Southern Africa, extending up to 3–6 months in some cases, with more modest skill over West Africa. Highest skill generally occurs during the dry season or beginning of the wet season when TWS anomalies from the previous wet season are most likely to carry forward in time. In East Africa, this occurs prior to and during the transition into the spring “Long Rains” from January–March, while in Southern Africa this period of highest skill starts at the beginning of the dry season in April and extends through to the start of the wet season in October. TWS is highly and positively correlated with LAI, and a logistic regression model shows high cross-validation skill in predicting above or below normal LAI using TWS. Combining the LAI regression model with the NHyFAS forecasts, 1-month lead LAI predictions have high accuracy over East and Southern Africa, with reduced but significant skill at 3-month leads over smaller sub-regions. This highlights the potential value of TWS as an additional source of information for seasonal forecasts over Africa, with direct applications to some of the most vulnerable agricultural regions on the continent.

scholarly journals Later Wet Seasons with More Intense Rainfall over Africa under Future Climate Change

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (23) ◽  
pp. 9719-9738 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caroline M. Dunning ◽  
Emily Black ◽  
Richard P. Allan
Keyword(s):  
Southern Africa ◽  
Crop Yields ◽  
Central Africa ◽  
Cmip5 Models ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Wet Season ◽  
Socioeconomic Impacts ◽  
Continental Scale ◽  
Rainfall Frequency

Changes in the seasonality of precipitation over Africa have high potential for detrimental socioeconomic impacts due to high societal dependence upon seasonal rainfall. Here, for the first time we conduct a continental-scale analysis of changes in wet season characteristics under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 climate projection scenarios across an ensemble of CMIP5 models using an objective methodology to determine the onset and cessation of the wet season. A delay in the wet season over West Africa and the Sahel of over 5–10 days on average, and later onset of the wet season over southern Africa, is identified and associated with increasing strength of the Saharan heat low in late boreal summer and a northward shift in the position of the tropical rain belt over August–December. Over the Horn of Africa rainfall during the “short rains” season is projected to increase by over 100 mm on average by the end of the twenty-first century under the RCP8.5 scenario. Average rainfall per rainy day is projected to increase, while the number of rainy days in the wet season declines in regions of stable or declining rainfall (western and southern Africa) and remains constant in central Africa, where rainfall is projected to increase. Adaptation strategies should account for shorter wet seasons, increasing rainfall intensity, and decreasing rainfall frequency, which will have implications for crop yields and surface water supplies.

scholarly journals The effect of deforestation on the water cycle in the amazon basin: an attempt reformulate the problem

1985 ◽  
Vol 15 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 307-310 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. R. Gat ◽  
Ε. Matsui ◽  
Ε. Salati
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Amazon Basin ◽  
Water Cycle ◽  
Water Flux ◽  
Atmospheric Stability ◽  
Local Heat ◽  
Physical Geography ◽  
Cloud Formation ◽  
Evaporative Water ◽  
Stability Structure

If widespread deforestation in Amazon results in reduced evaporative water flux, then either a decrease in evaporation is compensated locally by reduced rainfall,or else changed moisture balance expresses itself downwind in the yet undisturbed forest. The question of where rain will occur is crucial. It is suggested that the appearance of clouds and the occurrence of rainout is governed primarily by the interplay of local meteorologic and physical geography parameters with the atmospheric stability structure except for a few well-defined periods when rain is dominated by large scale atmospheric instability. This means that the study of these phenomena (local heat balances,studies on cloud formation mechanism, vertical atmospheric stability, etc.) must be made on the scale of the cloud size, a few tens of kilometers at most.

scholarly journals Assessment of Regional Global Climate Model Water Vapor Bias and Trends Using Precipitable Water Vapor (PWV) Observations from a Network of Global Positioning Satellite (GPS) Receivers in the U.S. Great Plains and Midwest

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (16) ◽  
pp. 5471-5493 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacola A. Roman ◽  
Robert O. Knuteson ◽  
Steven A. Ackerman ◽  
David C. Tobin ◽  
Henry E. Revercomb
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Great Plains ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Specific Humidity ◽  
Model Output ◽  
Global Positioning ◽  
The U.S

Abstract Precipitable water vapor (PWV) observations from the National Center of Atmospheric Research (NCAR) SuomiNet networks of ground-based global positioning system (GPS) receivers and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Profiler Network (NPN) are used in the regional assessment of global climate models. Study regions in the U.S. Great Plains and Midwest highlight the differences among global climate model output from the Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A2 scenario in their seasonal representation of column water vapor and the vertical distribution of moisture. In particular, the Community Climate System model, version 3 (CCSM3) is shown to exhibit a dry bias of over 30% in the summertime water vapor column, while the Goddard Institute for Space Studies Model E20 (GISS E20) agrees well with PWV observations. A detailed assessment of vertical profiles of temperature, relative humidity, and specific humidity confirm that only GISS E20 was able to represent the summertime specific humidity profile in the atmospheric boundary layer (<3%) and thus the correct total column water vapor. All models show good agreement in the winter season for the region. Regional trends using station-elevation-corrected GPS PWV data from two complimentary networks are found to be consistent with null trends predicted in the AR4 A2 scenario model output for the period 2000–09. The time to detect (TTD) a 0.05 mm yr−1 PWV trend, as predicted in the A2 scenario for the period 2000–2100, is shown to be 25–30 yr with 95% confidence in the Oklahoma–Kansas region.

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