Competition and Interest Rates in the Dutch Mortgage Market: An Econometric Analysis Over 2004-2010

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Machiel Mulder ◽  
Mark Lengton
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Econometric Analysis ◽  
Mortgage Market

scholarly journals Housing Wealth or Collateral: How Home Value Shocks Drive Home Equity Extraction and Spending

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Henrik Yde Andersen ◽  
Søren Leth-Petersen
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Mortgage Market ◽  
Housing Wealth ◽  
Home Equity ◽  
Fixed Rate ◽  
Mortgage Loans ◽  
Mortgage Debt ◽  
Individual Level ◽  
Home Value ◽  
Home Values

Abstract We examine whether unanticipated changes in home values drive spending and mortgage-based equity extraction. To do this, we use longitudinal survey data with subjective information about current and expected future home values to calculate unanticipated home value changes. We link this information at the individual level to high quality administrative records containing information about mortgage borrowing as well as savings in various financial instruments. We find that the marginal propensity to increase mortgage debt is 3%–5% of unanticipated home value gains. We find no adjustment to other components of the portfolio, and we find that mortgage extraction leads to an increase in spending. The effect is driven by young households with high loan-to-value ratios, which is consistent with the effect being driven by collateral constraints. Further, we find that the effect is driven by home owners who actively take out a new mortgage. The price effect is magnified among fixed rate mortgage (FRM) borrowers who have an incentive to refinance their loans to lock in a lower market rate. These results point to the importance of the mortgage market in transforming price increases into spending and suggest that monetary policy can play an important role in transforming housing wealth gains into spending by affecting interest rates on mortgage loans.

Barriers to accessing mortgages in Nigeria’s housing markets

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 716-733
Author(s):  
Chukwuma C. Nwuba ◽  
Eunice Oluwakemi Chukwuma-Nwuba
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Housing Markets ◽  
Urban Housing ◽  
Mortgage Lending ◽  
Mortgage Market ◽  
Market Reforms ◽  
Social Implication ◽  
Cross Sectional Survey ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Content Type

PurposeThe purpose of this study is to investigate barriers to accessing mortgages in Nigeria’s urban housing markets with the main focus on Kaduna State. The objective was to establish the diverse factors that constitute barriers to urban households’ access to mortgages for homeownership from the perceptions of households, mortgage lenders and the Federal Mortgage Bank of Nigeria.Design/methodology/approachThe study used cross-sectional survey with triangulation of results. To enable the triangulation, three new samples were developed from 450 surveys with households and 10 completed by lenders, both in Kaduna State and one survey undertaken by the Federal Mortgage Bank of Nigeria. Data were collected with questionnaires designed on five-point Likert model. Data analysis utilized descriptive statistics and one-samplet-test. Triangulation enabled cross-validation of the results.FindingsThe barriers include low incomes and savings which constrain households’ ability to pay mortgage instalments and deposits, respectively, high interest rates, poor access to land, inability of potential borrowers to provide certificates of occupancy on their land, inadequate loanable funds and inadequate number of mortgage lending institutions.Practical implicationsThe study has the potential to provide a basis for mortgage market reforms. Mortgage market reforms should be encompassing because it requires action in some other sectors.Social implicationsThe social implication of the study is the possibility of motivating actions to deal with the diverse barriers to accessing mortgages which have constituted deterrents to households from realizing their homeownership aspirations and enjoying the benefits of homeownership and consequently contributing to inadequate housing and poor living conditions.Originality/valueThe study provides distinctive insight into Nigeria’s mortgage market by integrating the views of various stakeholders on a subject of social and economic significance. It contributes to the evidence-base around mortgage market reforms in Nigeria.

scholarly journals The Effects of Quantitative Easing Announcements on the Mortgage Market: An Event Study Approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gang Wang
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Event Study ◽  
The United States ◽  
Mortgage Market ◽  
Quantitative Easing ◽  
Study Approach ◽  
Mortgage Rate ◽  
Mortgage Securities ◽  
The Impact ◽  
T Distribution

This paper uses event study analysis to estimate the impact of the United States Federal Reserve Bank’s (Fed) quantitative easing (QE) announcements on the mortgage market during the zero lower bound (ZLB) period. A total of 35 QE announcements are identified and their effects are evaluated. The best-fitting integrated generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (IGARCH) model with skewed t distribution is used to measure the QE announcement effects on daily changes of the 30-year mortgage rate, the 30-year Treasury rate and the spread between them. Announcements suggesting the start of a new round of QE reduced the mortgage rate tremendously, while the effects of further news diminished. Announcements of an increase in mortgage-backed security purchases decreased the mortgage rate more than the Treasury rate and reduced the credit risk of holding mortgage securities over Treasury securities. The delayed effects of QE announcements on the mortgage rate were less than short-run effects but persistent. We also find that the previous literature overestimates QE effects on interest rates in general.

Identifying Regional Differences in the Spanish Mortgage Market with Sheaf Methodology

2013 ◽  
Vol 44 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Magdalena Ferrán Aranaz ◽  
Juan Antonio Márquez García
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Regional Differences ◽  
Regional Analysis ◽  
Mortgage Market ◽  
Statistical Graphics ◽  
Mortgage Credit ◽  
Geographic Time Series ◽  
Strong Expansion

The strong expansion of mortgage credit in Spain during the second half of the nineties was due to a decline in interest rates (a reduction that was greater in Spain than elsewhere in Europe) and also to a tremendous competition between financial institutions to increase market share. This expansive phase lasted until 2006, followed by a sharp turnaround in 2007. The aim of this paper is to illustrate the evolution of the mortgage market in different Spanish provinces. We have performed a comparative analysis of different regional trajectories using statistics on the number of monthly housing loans for the period between late 1995 and early 2012, applying sheaf methodology for the visual comparison of geographic time series. We conclude that the provinces that have been hit the hardest by the recent recession are those that reached the higher peaks during the expansionary cycle. Keywords: Loan market, regional analysis, geographic time series, statistical graphics, interest rates, sheaf methodology.

Forecast and Development Prospects of the Russian Mortgage Market

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 57-66
Author(s):  
D. Stepanova ◽  
D. Mironova
Keyword(s):  
Factor Analysis ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Market Analysis ◽  
Mortgage Market ◽  
Mortgage Loans ◽  
Current State ◽  
Federal Districts ◽  
Further Development ◽  
Development Prospects ◽  
Credit Institutions

The study discusses the current state of the mortgage market in Russia, identifies its main trends and trends of further development based on the results of market analysis for 2018-2020. The dynamics of the volume of issued housing mortgage loans in Russia as a whole and in the context of federal districts, the dynamics of interest rates for various types of mortgages are presented, the trend of reduction of credit institutions providing mortgage loans is analyzed, and the rating of Russian banks in terms of the volume of mortgage loans is presented. A factor analysis of the volume dynamics of housing mortgage loans is carried out, and the preconditions for the growth of the Russian mortgage market are identified.

scholarly journals The Effect of Mergers in Search Markets: Evidence from the Canadian Mortgage Industry

2014 ◽  
Vol 104 (10) ◽  
pp. 3365-3396 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jason Allen ◽  
Robert Clark ◽  
Jean-François Houde
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Negotiation Process ◽  
Mortgage Market ◽  
Reduced Form ◽  
Mortgage Industry ◽  
Price Distribution ◽  
Distributional Impact ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Transaction Price ◽  
Bargaining Positions

We examine the relationship between concentration and price dispersion using variation induced by a merger in the Canadian mortgage market. Since interest rates are determined through a search and negotiation process, consolidation weakens consumers' bargaining positions. We use reduced-form techniques to estimate the mergers' distributional impact, and show that competition benefits only consumers at the bottom and middle of the transaction price distribution, and that mergers reduce the dispersion of prices. We illustrate that these effects can be explained by the presence of search frictions, and that the average effect of mergers on rates underestimates the increase in market power. (JEL G21, G34, K21, L13, L41)

scholarly journals Credit Cycles: Econometric Analysis and Evidence for Russia

2014 ◽  
pp. 113-122
Author(s):  
N. V. Artamonov ◽  
D. V. Artamonov ◽  
V. A. Artamonov
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
Econometric Analysis ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Credit Cycles ◽  
Real Gdp

One of the principal problem in contemporary macroeconomics is concerned with factors increasing or decreasing economic dynamics. The mainstream approach is based on neoclassical assumptions, but recently new approaches appear mostly based on new Keynesian concepts. In present time the influence of monetary market and credit instruments become more and more significant. Credit resources of banking and financial structures can affect and distort to reallocation of resources for national and even for global economic. In present paper an empiric and econometric analysis for some macroeconometric and monetary indices for Russian Federation is done. An econometrical models describing the influence of credit variables onto real GDP is estimated. It is shown that in short-term periods changes in credit variables do influence significantly onto GDP. It is shown that on short-term periods changes in money aggregate M2 brings influence (through credit variables) onto national output. As well it is shown that changes in short-term interest rate brings significant negative influence onto real output. Impulse response functions for GDP on shocks of credit variables, monetary base and short-term interest rate are evaluated. For the present study of credit cycles and their impact to real business cycles statistical data (quarterly time series) on the following factors for Russian Federation are collected: nominal and real GDP, monetary base M2, short-term interest rate, long-term interest rate (10-year treasuries bill rate), total debt outstanding. All time series are seasonally adjusted and collected for the period 2004 Q1 - 2013 Q2. All interest rates are adjusted for inflation (i.e. we deal with real interest rates). The investigation of long-term relationship for the factors under consideration are based on integration. It is important to note that in the present paper all econometric models are estimated on "pure" statistical data, while in many research papers on business and credit cycles all evaluations and inferences are based on "filtered" time series (mostly filtered by Hodrick-Prescott's method). In present paper "causality" always means "Granger causality". All estimations are made in gretl, an open-source multiplatform econometric software.

Developer constraints on housing supply in urban Ghana

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 59-73 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anthony Owusu-Ansah ◽  
Kenneth W. Soyeh ◽  
Paul K. Asabere
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Land Tenure ◽  
Sampling Technique ◽  
Urban Housing ◽  
Mortgage Market ◽  
Housing Development ◽  
Housing Supply ◽  
Empirical Examination ◽  
Content Type

Purpose This study aims to document the major underlying forces prohibiting housing development in urban Ghana. Previous studies in Ghana have not empirically examined these constraints, but an empirical examination of these factors would help to formulate proper policies to address the housing shortage problems in Ghana. This paper fills this gap. Design/methodology/approach Using a purposive sampling technique, the authors surveyed the chief executive officers (CEOs) of private real estate development companies within Accra and Tema with a Likert scale questionnaire to measure the severity of the factors hindering housing development in these areas. Findings The results show that real estate developers consider the supply problems in housing to be driven mainly by formal and informal institutional factors. A large percentage of the CEOs reported that land tenure arrangements, lengthy procedure involved in securing building permits and process of land acquisition and registration in Ghana were the major factors that significantly affected housing supply. The difficulty in accessing development funds, underdeveloped mortgage market and high interest rates were some of the market-based factors constraining housing development. Originality/value This study empirically examines the factors that hinder housing development in Ghana, making a clear distinction between the market and institutional forces. The paper proposes policy recommendations for a more effective and direct government intervention to improve urban housing supply.

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