scholarly journals Ranking of Regions of Russia by the Demographic Situation Considering the Level of Development of Social Infrastructure

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 96-109
Author(s):  
R. V. Fattakhov ◽  
M. M. Nizamutdinov ◽  
V. V. Oreshnikov
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Social Infrastructure ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Correlation And Regression Analysis ◽  
The Social ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
And Migration ◽  
Medicine Education ◽  
Regions Of Russia ◽  
Socio Economic Factors

The article discusses the formation of the demographic situation in Russia, considering the influence on them of the parameters of the development of social infrastructure. Today, most regions of the country are characterized by a decrease in population. Moreover, it is the level of development of medicine, education and other components of social infrastructure that determine the living conditions of the population and, as a result, the processes of natural and migration movement of the population. The study aims to determine the quantitative parameters of this relationship and the formation based on the results of the received rating of the administrative entities of the Russian Federation. In the framework of the work, we used methods of retrospective analysis, grouping, cluster analysis, correlation and regression analysis, and other methods. Further, we formed a list of indicators characterizing the level of development of the social infrastructure of the territory and highlighted groups of indicators. We proposed An approach to the formation of integral indicators of the level of development of social infrastructure for individual components of the population movement. The regions of the Russian Federation were grouped by the totality of the parameters of the demographic situation and socio-economic factors. As a result of testing the approach, we formed private and integral ratings of the regions of Russia according to the ratio of the parameters of the demographic situation and the level of development of social infrastructure. The results can be used in the development of the state demographic policy.

scholarly journals Sociomedical factors affecting the birth rate in the Russian Federation

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (30) ◽  
pp. 382-395
Author(s):  
Alla Ivanovna Ovod ◽  
Irina Gennadievna Komissinskaya ◽  
Kirill Vladimirovich Khorlyakov
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Medical Factors ◽  
Correlation And Regression Analysis ◽  
The Social ◽  
The Russian Federation

The article considers the number of women giving birth in Russia in the context of the existing demographic problems caused by the depopulation of the country. The study evaluates the social, economic and medical factors influencing the dynamics of the number of women giving birth in the Russian Federation based on correlation and regression analysis, and also provides a short-term forecast for their further change. The implementation of the increase in the number of women giving birth in Russia is one of the current important sociodemographic tasks for the State; This will improve the demographic situation and will lay the foundations for the formation of a sufficient human resource, which will later form the country's high human capital. According to the results of forecasting the dynamics of the number of women in the work in the short term, it was determined that the downward trend in the number of women in the work will continue, since the negative impact of medical factors will remain unchanged. changes, while economic and social factors will not change.

scholarly journals Social Development Forecast for Russian Regions

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (6) ◽  
pp. 132-152
Author(s):  
L. G. Cherednichenko ◽  
R. V. Gubarev ◽  
E. I. Dzyuba ◽  
F. S. Fayzullin
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Social Development ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Objective Assessment ◽  
Russian Regions ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
The Social ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Regions Of Russia

The objective of the article is to offer a proprietary technology for assessment and forecasting of social development of Russian regions. The methodological basis of the study is neural network technology (a Bayesian ensemble of dynamic neural networks of different configurations is formed) that ensure high accuracy of the forecast. The authors developed a methodology for assessing the social potential of the Russian regions. They have also designed a system of private indicators characterising the level of social development of Russian regions. The indicators have been divided into five groups: 1) population (life expectancy); 2) standard of living of the population; 3) education; 4) health care (morbidity); 5) research and innovation. The private indicators have been made comparable by normalizing their values by means of “Pattern” method. This method allows the objective assessment of the interregional “gaps” in the country across the entire system of social indicators. The social development index of the subjects of the Russian Federation has been calculated. Based on neural network technologies (Kohonen self-organizing maps) clustering of regions of Russia regarding social development has been conducted. The forecast of the social development of the Russian regions has been made. Due to the forecast, it has been established that in the leading region of the Russian Federation (Moscow) in 2017-2019 the decrease is expected in the index of social development in comparison with 2014-2016. In another leading region of the Russian Federation (St. Petersburg) the decline in comparison with 2016 is expected in the medium term. At the same time, for the Republic of Bashkortostan in 2017-2019, just a slight decrease in the level of social development is forecasted. However, it is expected that the Republic will still lag significantly behind the leading regions of Russia by social development. The example of the Republic of Bashkortostan helped to discover that the lag in social development can be explained by the “gap” in research and innovations. The authors have concluded that it is necessary to improve the effectiveness of social policy at the regional level. Thus, it is necessary not only to increase financing of the social sphere of the subjects of the Russian Federation, but also to ensure proper control of budget spending. The developed methodology can be an effective tool for forecasting and managing social development of the Russian regions by the relevant ministries and departments.

scholarly journals Demographic situation in Saratov oblast

POPULATION ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 24 (4) ◽  
pp. 58-70
Author(s):  
Oleg Rybakovsky
Keyword(s):  
Mortality Rate ◽  
Young People ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Saratov Oblast ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Sex Structure ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Age And Sex ◽  
Regions Of Russia

The article summarizes the results of the reproduction and migration development of Saratov oblast n in the 20th — early 21st centuries. The origin of demographic waves in the age and sex structure of the population of the region over a century is substantiated. It is shown what demographic and social consequences led to such development of the region, in which depopulation has not stopped since 1992. There are identified the features of the current migration situation in Saratov oblast. The circle of close migration partners of the region and changes in its migration ties over 50 years is revealed. The character of the exchange of population with other regions of Russia is examined. The main factors of the negative demographic situation in the region are considered. The primary factor is the low level of socio-economic development, wages and incomes of the population. As a consequence, together with high proportion of the urban population and poor ecology this results in a low birth rate and a higher mortality rate than the national average. The latter factor is associated not only with the more "old" (than in the Russian Federation as a whole) age and sex structure of the population of the region. The unfavorable socio-economic situation in the region also generates an increased mortality rate for separate classes and causes of death. Indirectly, this is evidenced by a significantly higher (than in the Russian Federation as a whole) mortality of the population of Saratov oblast from diseases of the digestive system and from alcohol poisoning. In addition, the outflow of young people to economically more developed regions of the country and the decline in fertility leads to a decrease in the proportion of women in the most active childbearing age, which causes an even greater decline in the birth rate. And decrease in the share of young people as a whole leads to an increase in the pension burden on the able-bodied population and to a further decrease in the incomes of the entire population of the region. A general conclusion is made that it is necessary to more actively and effectively pursue a policy of equalizing the socio-economic and demographic development of the regions of Russia. It is necessary to create zones of advanced development not only in the Far East or in the Arctic. It is necessary to develop the economy and the social sphere in all underdeveloped regions of Russia at a faster pace.

On Sustained Regional Development in Russia

Servis plus ◽  
10.12737/2795 ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 43-51
Author(s):  
Светлана Зуденкова ◽  
Svetlana Zudenkova ◽  
Анжела Карева ◽  
Anzhela Kareva
Keyword(s):  
Regional Development ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Current System ◽  
Theoretical Perspective ◽  
Sustained Development ◽  
Regional Management ◽  
The Social ◽  
Adequate Evaluation ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Regions Of Russia

The article takes a theoretical perspective on the current approaches to ensuring and maintaining sustained development. On the basis of official statistics and regulatory legislation of the Russian Federation, the authors evaluate the social and economic environment in different regions of Russia, identifying the constraints that the current system of regional management imposes upon sustained development progress. The researchers claim the current methods of research to be ineffective for an adequate evaluation of regional sustained development, opting for an innovative customized method.

scholarly journals Demographic situation in Russia and social infrastructure

POPULATION ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 67-75
Author(s):  
Svetlana V. Makar ◽  
Yury A. Simagin ◽  
Aziza V. Yarasheva
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Child Support ◽  
Sharp Decrease ◽  
Social Infrastructure ◽  
Demographic Development ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Number Of Children ◽  
European Culture ◽  
Support Costs ◽  
The Russian Federation

The article considers the main indicators of demographic development of the Russian Federation in recent years in connection with the level of development of social infrastructure. It is shown that the demographic situation in the country is deteriorating, that is due to both subjective and objective reasons. Among the objective reasons, the main one is the change in the age structure of the population, which is expressed in a sharp decrease in the number of women in fertile age. This is due to the acute demographic crisis of the 1990s, «demographic waves» generated by the Great Patriotic War, and other factors. Among the subjective causes of the decline in birth rate, the article highlights the general patterns of reduction in the number of children in families as the level of socio-economic development increases, which are characteristic of all countries of European culture. In particular, the reduction in the number of children is facilitated by such factors as reduction in the share of officially registered families, increase in child support costs, and the financial difficultiesfaced by families with children during economic crises and stagnation. All these cases are typical for regions of the Russian Federation in recent years. Development of social infrastructure — education, healthcare, culture, sports, and other similar systems — could improve the demographic situation in Russia. Unfortunately, in recent years, such systems have been degrading rather than developing in Russia. This is facilitated by the system of statistical reporting that does not reflect the actual situation. The article proposes approaches that could overcome this shortcoming of the present statistical reporting system, thereby contributing to the demographic development of the modern Russian Federation.

Assessment of the Sustainability of the Socio-economic Development of the Regions in Russia

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 97-110
Author(s):  
R. V. Fattakhov ◽  
M. M. Nizamutdinov ◽  
V. V. Oreshnikov
Keyword(s):  
Cluster Analysis ◽  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Economic Potential ◽  
The Social ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Regions Of Russia

Introduction. The regions of Russia are not only heterogeneous in terms of the current state but also differ in the prevailing trends in the key parameters of their future development. Some of them, possessing significant economic potential, risk losing stability due to ongoing social processes and vice versa. The purpose of the study is to assess the sustainable development of the Russian Federation regions, to identify typical regions, including implementation of the main priority of the Spatial Development Strategy of Russia until 2025 — to uncover the socio-economic potential of the territories and their sustainable development through economic specialisation regions.Methods. In the framework of solving the problem of choosing typical regions of Russia according to the level of sustainability of socio-economic development, we formed a database of indicators for the period from 2010 to 2016. The 8th indicators describe the financial and economic component of development, the social component — by the 14th indicators, the environmental one — by the 3rd indicators. The ranking of regions was carried out in three stages — the consideration of particular indicators, their unification into groups and the study of generalised values. For the identification of typical regions, we applied the clustering method.Results. Approbation of the approach showed that the high position of the region in one of the considered areas of analysis does not always correlate with the level in other indicators. The magnitude of the dispersion in general increases with the transition from the leading regions to the outside regions. Cluster analysis revealed four groups of regions. The first cluster is characterised by the predominance of the economic component. The second cluster is characterised by the absence of a significant imbalance between the directions. The third cluster is characterised by better dynamics of financial and economic indicators against the background of relatively good positions in the social and environmental spheres. The fourth cluster is represented by subjects of the Russian Federation, in which there are significant results in the field of improving the environmental component. Based on the cluster analysis, typical regions were selected — the Republic of Ingushetia, the Samara Region, the Republic of Tatarstan and the Vladimir Region, respectively.Discussion. The obtained results can be applied when making a forecast of the socio-economic development of the regions of the Russian Federation and indicators of their sustainability in the medium term.

scholarly journals Methodology for assessing the rates of reproduction social infrastructure of agriculture

2021 ◽  
Vol 291 ◽  
pp. 05035
Author(s):  
Tatiana Ivanova ◽  
Anatoly Saiganov ◽  
Oleg Sorokin ◽  
Elvira Kuznetsova ◽  
Svetlana Petrova
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Social Infrastructure ◽  
The Social ◽  
The Russian Federation

The article developed a methodology for assessing the rate of reproduction of the social infrastructure of agriculture. For this, a list of indicators has been defined that characterize the rural social infrastructure of the Russian Federation for 2009-2018; their analysis was carried out and index values were determined; formulas for calculating three integral indicators have been developed, reflecting the commissioning of objects of rural social infrastructure, communal services and areas equipped with communal networks; on their basis, the rates of reproduction of the social infrastructure in the industry were calculated; recommendations on the application of the obtained data are given.

(The Social Situation of the Disabled in the Russian Federation, Subject to the Provisions of the Convention on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities)

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lyudmila Georgievna Ragozina ◽  
Dmitriy M. Rogozin ◽  
Sergey Anatol'evitch Vasin ◽  
Alexandra Burdyak ◽  
Alla Tyndik ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Social Situation ◽  
Persons With Disabilities ◽  
The Social ◽  
The Disabled ◽  
The Russian Federation

Methodological approaches to assessing the socio-economic system of the region

2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (2) ◽  
pp. 18-24 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. A. Bessonova ◽  
Y. V. Kelesh
Keyword(s):  
Economic System ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Federal District ◽  
Central Federal District ◽  
The Social ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Methodological Approaches

The author's interpretation of the concept of «socio-economic system of the region» is given in the article. The main stages of methodologies for assessing the socio-economic system are considered. The methodology developed by the authors for assessing the development of the social and economic system of the region is based on the implementation of certain principles, compliance with a number of requirements and consisting of 8 stages. The developed methodology was tested in assessing the development of SES regions in the Central Federal District of the Russian Federation. 

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