scholarly journals Demographic situation in Russia and social infrastructure

POPULATION ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 67-75
Author(s):  
Svetlana V. Makar ◽  
Yury A. Simagin ◽  
Aziza V. Yarasheva

The article considers the main indicators of demographic development of the Russian Federation in recent years in connection with the level of development of social infrastructure. It is shown that the demographic situation in the country is deteriorating, that is due to both subjective and objective reasons. Among the objective reasons, the main one is the change in the age structure of the population, which is expressed in a sharp decrease in the number of women in fertile age. This is due to the acute demographic crisis of the 1990s, «demographic waves» generated by the Great Patriotic War, and other factors. Among the subjective causes of the decline in birth rate, the article highlights the general patterns of reduction in the number of children in families as the level of socio-economic development increases, which are characteristic of all countries of European culture. In particular, the reduction in the number of children is facilitated by such factors as reduction in the share of officially registered families, increase in child support costs, and the financial difficultiesfaced by families with children during economic crises and stagnation. All these cases are typical for regions of the Russian Federation in recent years. Development of social infrastructure — education, healthcare, culture, sports, and other similar systems — could improve the demographic situation in Russia. Unfortunately, in recent years, such systems have been degrading rather than developing in Russia. This is facilitated by the system of statistical reporting that does not reflect the actual situation. The article proposes approaches that could overcome this shortcoming of the present statistical reporting system, thereby contributing to the demographic development of the modern Russian Federation.

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 96-109
Author(s):  
R. V. Fattakhov ◽  
M. M. Nizamutdinov ◽  
V. V. Oreshnikov

The article discusses the formation of the demographic situation in Russia, considering the influence on them of the parameters of the development of social infrastructure. Today, most regions of the country are characterized by a decrease in population. Moreover, it is the level of development of medicine, education and other components of social infrastructure that determine the living conditions of the population and, as a result, the processes of natural and migration movement of the population. The study aims to determine the quantitative parameters of this relationship and the formation based on the results of the received rating of the administrative entities of the Russian Federation. In the framework of the work, we used methods of retrospective analysis, grouping, cluster analysis, correlation and regression analysis, and other methods. Further, we formed a list of indicators characterizing the level of development of the social infrastructure of the territory and highlighted groups of indicators. We proposed An approach to the formation of integral indicators of the level of development of social infrastructure for individual components of the population movement. The regions of the Russian Federation were grouped by the totality of the parameters of the demographic situation and socio-economic factors. As a result of testing the approach, we formed private and integral ratings of the regions of Russia according to the ratio of the parameters of the demographic situation and the level of development of social infrastructure. The results can be used in the development of the state demographic policy.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Vladimir Oreshnikov ◽  
Marsel Nizamutdinov

The current situation in the field of demographic development in Russia is characterized by a combination of many heterogeneous factors, the overwhelming majority of which are negative. Thus, the risk is posed by the aging of the population, changes in reproductive behavior, an increase in the demographic burden, a decrease in real incomes of a significant share of the population, etc. Socio-economic factors and living conditions of the population have a significant impact on demographic processes. The article examines the issues of assessing the impact of the level of development of social infrastructure on demographic processes in the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. It is pointed out that the current situation is characterized by a high degree of differentiation in all key indicators of regional development, including the relationship between the parameters of demographic development and the development of the social infrastructure of the region. An approach to the grouping of regions, taking into account the interval estimation of each of the considered parameters, is proposed. This approach has been tested on three key parameters of population movement – fertility, mortality and migration. The obtained results of the grouping of regions were used in the formation of a set of regression equations describing the dependence of the values of the parameters of population movement on the level of development of social infrastructure and the group numbers assigned to the regions. In the course of the study, rating assessments of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation were obtained from the standpoint of the parameters under consideration and a mid-term forecast of changes in the population growth rate was formed. Thus, the authors have shown that social infrastructure, acting as a component of the general regional infrastructure, with which people directly interact and which, itself being a reflection of the development of the regional economy, directly affects the reproductive and migratory behavior of Russian citizens.


Author(s):  
Алёна Геннадьевна Деряева ◽  
Владимир Петрович Косолапов ◽  
Галина Владимировна Сыч ◽  
Ольга Геннадьевна Деряева

Существует взаимосвязь между здоровьем населения страны и экономическим, политическим ростом, демографической ситуацией в стране, что признается и медицинской и экономической науками. На сегодня, улучшение демографической ситуации в Российской Федерации является одной из приоритетных задач государства. С каждым годом рождаемость снижается, женщин фертильного возраста становится меньше, число заболеваний репродуктивной системы растет, происходят изменения в нравственных и семейно-брачных отношениях. Все это оказывает негативное влияние на демографическую ситуацию в целом. Для решения этой проблемы правительство Российской Федерации реализует национальные проекты «Здравоохранение» и «Демография», направленные на устранение демографических проблем. По словам заместителя Председателя Правительства Российской Федерации, куратора национального проекта «Демография» Татьяны Голиковой, «Демография» - важнейший национальный проект. Весь комплекс его мероприятий направлен на достижение главной государственной задачи - «Сохранение населения, здоровье и благополучие людей». Данное направление позволит обеспечить эффективное социально-демографическое развитие, и положительно повлияет на социально-экономическую ситуацию в стране. Результаты исследования, представленные в статье, позволяют определить мероприятия по улучшению демографической ситуации в стране, оценить уровень рождаемости, смертности, естественного прироста, младенческую смертность There is a relationship between the health of the country's population and the economic, political growth, demographic situation in the country, which is recognized by the medical and economic sciences. Today, improving the demographic situation in the Russian Federation is one of the priority tasks of the state. Every year the birth rate is decreasing, women of fertile age are decreasing, the number of diseases of the reproductive system is growing, and there are changes in moral and family-marriage relations. All this has a negative impact on the demographic situation as a whole. To solve this problem, the Government of the Russian Federation is implementing the national projects "Healthcare" and "Demography", aimed at eliminating demographic problems. According to the Deputy Prime Minister of the Russian Federation, the curator of the national project "Demography" Tatyana Golikova, "Demography" is the most important national project. The whole range of its activities is aimed at achieving the main state task - "Preservation of the population, health and well-being of people". This direction will ensure effective socio-demographic development, and will have a positive impact on the socio-economic situation in the country. The results of the study presented in the article allow us to determine measures to improve the demographic situation in the country, to assess the level of birth rate, mortality, natural growth, infant mortality


Author(s):  
Sergey N. SIMONOV ◽  
Nelly Yu. BOLSHAKOVA ◽  
Alexander V. BARANOV ◽  
Sergey I. VEDISHCHEV

Abstract. We understand the medical and demographic situation as a set of demographic phenomena and processes that are factors that negatively affect the state of health of the population in this territory, and actualize the need for making scientifically sound management decisions in the regional health system. The purpose of the study: on the basis of official statistics, to research the features of the demographic situation in the Tambov Region and to identify fundamental demographically determined patterns of formation, the state of health of the region's population. Materials and methods. As an information base, we used the following: official statistics on the demography of Tambovstat for 2000–2020; data from statistical collections of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation for 2007–2019. Results. The demographic situation in the region has been in deep crisis over the past decades and is characterized by a steady downward trend in the total population, averaging 10276 per year; lack of female population of fertile age, which is 41,4 % of all women instead of the necessary 50 %; adverse changes in the structure of women of fertile age, which consisted in a decrease in the proportion of intervals of 20–24 years and 25–29 years, which are the most reproductive; the low level of the total fertility rate, according to which the Tambov Region occupies 84th place among 85 subjects of the Russian Federation; completion of the formation of a low-density family model; 90 % of families in the Tambov Region have 1–2 children and only 10 % – more than two; sustainable narrowing of the population; in 2018, the average number of children a woman gives birth to during the re-productive period was 1.33 (TFR); negative natural growth and negative migration balances, which represent steady trends since 1990. In the Tambov Region, it is necessary to conduct fundamental demographic studies that will make it possible to develop scientifically justified models of the reproduction of the population of a typical agro-industrial region of the Central Federal District of the Russian Federation, calculate the forecast and offer management structures recommendations for the formation of a rational and productive regional demographic policy.


2005 ◽  
Vol 54 (1) ◽  
pp. 122-131
Author(s):  
Y. V. Tsvelev ◽  
V. G. Abashin ◽  
V. F. Bezhenar'

The reform of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation (RF Armed Forces) in the current unfavorable demographic situation is accompanied by the involvement of a significant number of women in all types and branches of the armed forces in various positions associated mainly with the specialties of military humanitarian, medical, engineering, legal and other profiles.


Author(s):  
I.M. Potravny ◽  

t. Theoretical approaches to the sustainable development of cities and towns in the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation are considered. As such approaches, the concept of a «green» smart city, the concept of thermal stress in an Arctic city, the concept of a «winter city», the concept of an Arctic base city, the concept of developing coastal Arctic settlements based on the principles of the blue economy (the economy of marine nature management and coastal zones), the concept of ensuring the vital activity of Arctic cities, etc. are analyzed. In addition, the contribution of Arctic cities to environmental pollution and climate change, socio-economic and demographic development of the Arctic zone is analyzed. The development of Arctic cities, especially single-industry towns and settlements is considered in the context of the Republic of Karelia, the Murmansk, Arkhangelsk Regions, the Komi Republic, the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug, the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) and the Krasnoyarsk Territory. The main directions of sustainable development of Arctic cities and towns are substantiated from the point of view of achieving the target indicators of the “Strategy for the development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation and ensuring national security for the period up to 2035”.


2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 59-69 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nail M. Gabdullin ◽  
Igor A. Kirshin ◽  
Aleksey V. Shulaev

The subject of the study is the inter-regional differences in the state of public health and the demographic situation in the Russian Federation regions. The theoretical aspect of the subject is determined by the development of priorities of the Russian healthcare development strategy aimed at alignment of regional differences in the levels of healthcare development in the Russian Federation regions. The empirical aspect of the subject is to identify interregional differences in the state of public health and the demographic situation in the Russian Federation regions by using the EM cluster analysis method (Expectation Maximization). The method was implemented in the integrated development environment RStudio. The official statistics from Rosstat for the period 2014–2018 were used as the initial dataset. The purpose of the study is justifying the regulation of inter-regional differences of the Russian Federation regions. As a result of clustering, nine homogeneous clusters of the Russian Federation regions were identified. The main characteristics of the formed clusters are determined. Among the priorities of the RF healthcare development strategy are as follows: implementation of a unified tariff policy in the system of compulsory medical insurance; ensuring the balance of territorial compulsory medical insurance programs within the framework of the basic programme of compulsory medical insurance through financial security based on a single per capita standard; development of telemedicine, providing prompt remote consultation of leading experts in the provision of medical care, regardless of the territorial location of the patient and the doctor; ensuring the implementation of distance education courses and continuing education programs for medical workers; rationalization of the distribution of resources and capacities of medical organizations based on a three-tier system of medical care; development of regional public health centres. The results of this study can be used to develop federal and territorial programs for socioeconomic development, formulate a strategy for the development of healthcare at macro- and meso- levels, and optimize decisions of regional authorities regarding population policy.


POPULATION ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 24 (4) ◽  
pp. 58-70
Author(s):  
Oleg Rybakovsky

The article summarizes the results of the reproduction and migration development of Saratov oblast n in the 20th — early 21st centuries. The origin of demographic waves in the age and sex structure of the population of the region over a century is substantiated. It is shown what demographic and social consequences led to such development of the region, in which depopulation has not stopped since 1992. There are identified the features of the current migration situation in Saratov oblast. The circle of close migration partners of the region and changes in its migration ties over 50 years is revealed. The character of the exchange of population with other regions of Russia is examined. The main factors of the negative demographic situation in the region are considered. The primary factor is the low level of socio-economic development, wages and incomes of the population. As a consequence, together with high proportion of the urban population and poor ecology this results in a low birth rate and a higher mortality rate than the national average. The latter factor is associated not only with the more "old" (than in the Russian Federation as a whole) age and sex structure of the population of the region. The unfavorable socio-economic situation in the region also generates an increased mortality rate for separate classes and causes of death. Indirectly, this is evidenced by a significantly higher (than in the Russian Federation as a whole) mortality of the population of Saratov oblast from diseases of the digestive system and from alcohol poisoning. In addition, the outflow of young people to economically more developed regions of the country and the decline in fertility leads to a decrease in the proportion of women in the most active childbearing age, which causes an even greater decline in the birth rate. And decrease in the share of young people as a whole leads to an increase in the pension burden on the able-bodied population and to a further decrease in the incomes of the entire population of the region. A general conclusion is made that it is necessary to more actively and effectively pursue a policy of equalizing the socio-economic and demographic development of the regions of Russia. It is necessary to create zones of advanced development not only in the Far East or in the Arctic. It is necessary to develop the economy and the social sphere in all underdeveloped regions of Russia at a faster pace.


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