scholarly journals Sociomedical factors affecting the birth rate in the Russian Federation

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (30) ◽  
pp. 382-395
Author(s):  
Alla Ivanovna Ovod ◽  
Irina Gennadievna Komissinskaya ◽  
Kirill Vladimirovich Khorlyakov

The article considers the number of women giving birth in Russia in the context of the existing demographic problems caused by the depopulation of the country. The study evaluates the social, economic and medical factors influencing the dynamics of the number of women giving birth in the Russian Federation based on correlation and regression analysis, and also provides a short-term forecast for their further change. The implementation of the increase in the number of women giving birth in Russia is one of the current important sociodemographic tasks for the State; This will improve the demographic situation and will lay the foundations for the formation of a sufficient human resource, which will later form the country's high human capital. According to the results of forecasting the dynamics of the number of women in the work in the short term, it was determined that the downward trend in the number of women in the work will continue, since the negative impact of medical factors will remain unchanged. changes, while economic and social factors will not change.

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 96-109
Author(s):  
R. V. Fattakhov ◽  
M. M. Nizamutdinov ◽  
V. V. Oreshnikov

The article discusses the formation of the demographic situation in Russia, considering the influence on them of the parameters of the development of social infrastructure. Today, most regions of the country are characterized by a decrease in population. Moreover, it is the level of development of medicine, education and other components of social infrastructure that determine the living conditions of the population and, as a result, the processes of natural and migration movement of the population. The study aims to determine the quantitative parameters of this relationship and the formation based on the results of the received rating of the administrative entities of the Russian Federation. In the framework of the work, we used methods of retrospective analysis, grouping, cluster analysis, correlation and regression analysis, and other methods. Further, we formed a list of indicators characterizing the level of development of the social infrastructure of the territory and highlighted groups of indicators. We proposed An approach to the formation of integral indicators of the level of development of social infrastructure for individual components of the population movement. The regions of the Russian Federation were grouped by the totality of the parameters of the demographic situation and socio-economic factors. As a result of testing the approach, we formed private and integral ratings of the regions of Russia according to the ratio of the parameters of the demographic situation and the level of development of social infrastructure. The results can be used in the development of the state demographic policy.


Author(s):  
Алёна Геннадьевна Деряева ◽  
Владимир Петрович Косолапов ◽  
Галина Владимировна Сыч ◽  
Ольга Геннадьевна Деряева

Существует взаимосвязь между здоровьем населения страны и экономическим, политическим ростом, демографической ситуацией в стране, что признается и медицинской и экономической науками. На сегодня, улучшение демографической ситуации в Российской Федерации является одной из приоритетных задач государства. С каждым годом рождаемость снижается, женщин фертильного возраста становится меньше, число заболеваний репродуктивной системы растет, происходят изменения в нравственных и семейно-брачных отношениях. Все это оказывает негативное влияние на демографическую ситуацию в целом. Для решения этой проблемы правительство Российской Федерации реализует национальные проекты «Здравоохранение» и «Демография», направленные на устранение демографических проблем. По словам заместителя Председателя Правительства Российской Федерации, куратора национального проекта «Демография» Татьяны Голиковой, «Демография» - важнейший национальный проект. Весь комплекс его мероприятий направлен на достижение главной государственной задачи - «Сохранение населения, здоровье и благополучие людей». Данное направление позволит обеспечить эффективное социально-демографическое развитие, и положительно повлияет на социально-экономическую ситуацию в стране. Результаты исследования, представленные в статье, позволяют определить мероприятия по улучшению демографической ситуации в стране, оценить уровень рождаемости, смертности, естественного прироста, младенческую смертность There is a relationship between the health of the country's population and the economic, political growth, demographic situation in the country, which is recognized by the medical and economic sciences. Today, improving the demographic situation in the Russian Federation is one of the priority tasks of the state. Every year the birth rate is decreasing, women of fertile age are decreasing, the number of diseases of the reproductive system is growing, and there are changes in moral and family-marriage relations. All this has a negative impact on the demographic situation as a whole. To solve this problem, the Government of the Russian Federation is implementing the national projects "Healthcare" and "Demography", aimed at eliminating demographic problems. According to the Deputy Prime Minister of the Russian Federation, the curator of the national project "Demography" Tatyana Golikova, "Demography" is the most important national project. The whole range of its activities is aimed at achieving the main state task - "Preservation of the population, health and well-being of people". This direction will ensure effective socio-demographic development, and will have a positive impact on the socio-economic situation in the country. The results of the study presented in the article allow us to determine measures to improve the demographic situation in the country, to assess the level of birth rate, mortality, natural growth, infant mortality


2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (12) ◽  
pp. 96-102
Author(s):  
Alexandr V. Dzhioev ◽  

The article highlights the problems of the high natural loss of the population of the Russian Federation observed since the beginning of 2019 due to the increased mortality and the fall in the birth rate of the population. It is shown that the mortality caused by the COVID-19 coronavirus infection only aggravated the previously established trend of population decline in Russia, but was not the cause of it. To substantiate the conclusion about the historical conditionality of the deterioration of the demographic situation of the country, the indicators of population dynamics over the past decades are analyzed, the negative impact of the demographic crisis of Russia on the security of the country is shown, and the assessment of state measures to improve the demographic situation is given.


Author(s):  
Z. M. Khasheva ◽  
J. A. Berger

This article focuses on direct and indirect factors affecting the development and functioning of the social sphere in rural settlements. The high role and importance of the actions of local governments in meeting the social needs of the population is noted. The author considers the criteria related to the organization of social facilities in municipalities. Analysis of the performance of the population in the municipal areas. The comparison of population size and density in different regions of the Russian Federation is carried out. Changes in the socio-economic situation of the population due to the impact of various factors are evaluated. The statistics of change of number of rural settlements of the Volgograd region are resulted.


POPULATION ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 24 (4) ◽  
pp. 58-70
Author(s):  
Oleg Rybakovsky

The article summarizes the results of the reproduction and migration development of Saratov oblast n in the 20th — early 21st centuries. The origin of demographic waves in the age and sex structure of the population of the region over a century is substantiated. It is shown what demographic and social consequences led to such development of the region, in which depopulation has not stopped since 1992. There are identified the features of the current migration situation in Saratov oblast. The circle of close migration partners of the region and changes in its migration ties over 50 years is revealed. The character of the exchange of population with other regions of Russia is examined. The main factors of the negative demographic situation in the region are considered. The primary factor is the low level of socio-economic development, wages and incomes of the population. As a consequence, together with high proportion of the urban population and poor ecology this results in a low birth rate and a higher mortality rate than the national average. The latter factor is associated not only with the more "old" (than in the Russian Federation as a whole) age and sex structure of the population of the region. The unfavorable socio-economic situation in the region also generates an increased mortality rate for separate classes and causes of death. Indirectly, this is evidenced by a significantly higher (than in the Russian Federation as a whole) mortality of the population of Saratov oblast from diseases of the digestive system and from alcohol poisoning. In addition, the outflow of young people to economically more developed regions of the country and the decline in fertility leads to a decrease in the proportion of women in the most active childbearing age, which causes an even greater decline in the birth rate. And decrease in the share of young people as a whole leads to an increase in the pension burden on the able-bodied population and to a further decrease in the incomes of the entire population of the region. A general conclusion is made that it is necessary to more actively and effectively pursue a policy of equalizing the socio-economic and demographic development of the regions of Russia. It is necessary to create zones of advanced development not only in the Far East or in the Arctic. It is necessary to develop the economy and the social sphere in all underdeveloped regions of Russia at a faster pace.


Author(s):  
Olga S. Sivash ◽  
Roman S. Usenko

Inflation is a complex multilateral process, which, in general, has a negative impact on the economy, reduces the level of economic activity of the population and leads to a decrease in the level of real income. The article studies the main constituent elements of the inflation category, reveals the parameters of the impact on the economy of the inflation process, studies the dynamics of factors affecting the forecast inflation rate in the Southern Federal District, develops a regional multifactor inflation model, and based on the approximated data, a forecast of the annual inflation rate is constructed in the Southern Federal District at the end of 2020. The most significant factors affecting the inflation rate in the Russian Federation were identified from the position of the direction of their influence: acceleration or deceleration of inflation, as well as from the point of view of their degree of influence on the inflation rate. At the same time, the influence of the coronavirus pandemic and fluctuations in the oil market on the economic parameters in the Russian Federation in 2020, on the price level of individual food and non-food products was examined. The analyzed indicator of the inflation rate is defined as an indicator of the state of the economic situation in the country, it is revealed that this variable will be dependent. Using the methods of correlation and regression analysis, a mathematical expression is found in the form of a regression model and its adequacy and statistical significance are evaluated. The coefficient of pair correlation, which characterizes the degree of statistical dependence between two variables, without taking into account the influence of other variables, was adopted as the main indicator characterizing the relationship between the analyzed variables. As a result of the calculations, a model of multiple linear regression of the inflation rate was built, the average monthly nominal accrued wages of the employees of the organizations were approximated, and approximation equations were obtained, which made it possible to build an inflation rate forecast for the Southern Federal District for 2019-2020.


2004 ◽  
Vol 53 (4) ◽  
pp. 59-61
Author(s):  
V. E. Radzinsky ◽  
E. Y. Zapertova

Habitual miscarriage (RMP) is a multifactorial, genetically determined disease. The NSP problem remains one of the most pressing problems in obstetrics and gynecology, as it entails not only a decrease in the birth rate, but also has a negative impact on the reproductive health of women. The frequency of spontaneous miscarriages ranges from 15 to 20% of desired pregnancies (Sidelnikova V.M., 2002). According to the Collegium of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation (2002), 50% of miscarriages occur in the first trimester, 25% of them occur in PNL. Moreover, every fifth desired pregnancy is interrupted spontaneously in the Russian Federation, which leads not only to medical but also demographic losses - 180,000 desired children are not born in the country. In the USA, habitual pregnancy loss (recurrent miscarriage) is diagnosed after three or more spontaneous abortions in a row and is observed in 1% of all married couples (Lee R.M., 2000).


2021 ◽  
Vol 38 (6) ◽  
pp. 120-126
Author(s):  
E. Ya. Titova ◽  
L. A. Bankovskaya

Objective. To study the features of depopulation in Perm Krai. Materials and methods. The data of Perm Krai official statistics for 20052019 were used; dynamics of vital rate compared to mean indicators in the Russian Federation were studied. Results. Since 2005 to 2019, the population in Perm Krai decreased by 5.7 %, whereas in the Russian Federation for the same period it grew by 2.1 % at the expense of migration processes; birth rate in Perm Krai reduced by 6.4 %; mortality rate in Perm Krai is 13.23 %. There is a growth trend of the natural population loss in both Perm Krai and the Russian Federation. Conclusions. In Perm Krai, there is observed an unfavorable demographic situation, which is characterized by a continuing decrease in the population and natural population loss. To improve the demographic situation in Perm Krai, it is expedient to develop a complex of measures directed to reduction of mortality, stimulation of birth rate, support of families with children as well as restoration of traditional family values and moral principles.


REGIONOLOGY ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 29 (3) ◽  
pp. 686-708
Author(s):  
Alisa A. Ibragimova ◽  
Chulpan I. Ildarhanova

Introduction. The study is of relevance due to the decline in the population of the Russian Federation since 2018 and the aggravation of the demographic situation since 2020, during the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on the results of analyses of demographic indicators of natural population growth in the Russian Federation, in the Volga Federal District, and in the Republic of Tatarstan, the article identifies the factors affecting such indicators during the spread of coronavirus infection. Materials and Methods. The study analyzed operational data from the Federal State Statistics Service and the Unified Interdepartmental Information and Statistical System on the demographic indicators (birth rate, mortality, marriage rate, and divorce rate). The comparative, cross-sectional, correlation, and regression methods of analysis were employed, which made it possible to reveal significant factors affecting the demographic situation and identify the general trend of demographic processes during the COVID-19 pandemic. Results. On the basis of the official statistics, an analysis of the demographic situation in terms of natural reproduction of the population of Russia, exemplified by the case of the Republic of Tatarstan has been carried out; the main factors in natural population decline during the COVID-19 pandemic have been identified; the need for the introduction of new measures aimed at improving health and reducing the mortality rate and overcoming the demographic crisis in marriage and family relations has been substantiated. Discussion and Conclusion. Conclusions have been drawn about the possibility of increasing the negative impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the future demographic situation, which is a threat to the national security of Russia. The significance of the research materials consists in a comprehensive analysis of the demographic situation caused by the natural population change. The results of the study can be used by the authorities in the development and adjustment of regional and federal demographic and social policies.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 14-28
Author(s):  
Vitaly N. Naydenko

The article analyses the activities to prevent and suppress ethnic conflicts, activities that form a major component of the national security system of the Russian Federation against extremist, including terrorist, threats. The article examines the features and the degree of influence of the main factors on the activities of state structures, religious organisations, public associations for the prevention and suppression of interethnic conflicts. The survey of twenty experts who are highly qualified specialists in the field of countering ethno-extremism conducted by the author using the methods of questionnaires and in-depth interviews, as well as the results of mass sociological studies and analysis of scientific works and media publications on the topic of the research allowed to determine the degree of influence of the main factors on the ethno-conflict sphere. It was revealed as a result of the research, that the Russian Orthodox Church, traditional Muslim organisations and public law enforcement organisations, primarily Cossack organisations and voluntary people's guards, have the most positive influence on activities to prevent and suppress ethnic conflicts. The factor of "spreading the ideology of the" Russian world "" in the context of aggravated relations with Western countries has practically no effect on anti-conflict activities in the ethno-national sphere. Attempts to support foreign followers of the Russian patriotic project evoke nothing more but Russophobic reaction from the political elites in a number of foreign states. Such factors as “deficiencies in educational and upbringing activities”, as well as “pandemic”, have a negative impact on the activities aimed at preventing and suppressing ethnic conflicts in Russia. The worst influence on the prevention and suppression of ethnic conflicts, according to the experts interviewed, have “activities of elites in national formations”, “migration policy”, as well as “development of Internet communications and social networks”. The author proves that taking into account the peculiarities and degree of influence of the main factors on activities to prevent and suppress ethnic conflicts will not only allow the authorities to ensure the protection of the Russian society from ethno-national threats but also to more effectively solve important tasks of strengthening the all-Russian self-awareness and spiritual community of the Russian nation, harmonising ethno-national relations and state-civil consolidation in the Russian Federation.


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