scholarly journals Classificação e Análises das Indicações de Mudanças Climáticas no Município de Sobral - Ceará (Classification and Analysis of Indications of Climate Change in the City of Sobral – Ceará)

2012 ◽  
Vol 4 (5) ◽  
pp. 1056
Author(s):  
Raimundo Mainar Medeiros ◽  
Paulo Roberto Megna Francisco ◽  
Alexandra Lima Tavares
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Relative Humidity ◽  
Water Balance ◽  
Potential Evapotranspiration ◽  
Temperature Fluctuations ◽  
Maximum Temperature ◽  
Temperature Variations ◽  
Meteorological Elements ◽  
The City

A partir das séries climatológicas normais de 1931-1960 e 1961-1990 dos elementos meteorológicos realizaram-se os cálculos do balanço hídrico climatológico, a classificação e as análises das indicações de mudanças climáticas no município de Sobral, estado do Ceará, utilizando O programa do BHnorm  elaborado em planilhas eletrônicas no pacote Excel por Sentelhas et al. (1999) e a metodologia de cálculo do Balanço Hídrico Climático de Thornthwaite & Mather (1955) e a classificação de Thornthwaite (1955), com o objetivo de contribuir para a sustentabilidade do homem no campo. Identificou-se que o clima da área de estudo classifica-se como Megatérmico semiárido e o tipo climático passou do tipo dw2w2d’ para dw2Dd’ com reduções da temperatura mínima e com oscilações de -0,1 a -0,8ºC e temperatura máxima com variações de -1,7 à 2,1ºC.  A umidade relativa do ar ocorreu flutuações positivas de 0,3 à 3,4%. A evapotranspiração potencial oscilou em -71,0 mm em relação aos períodos para o mês de outubro. Os índices de umidade; aridez e hídricos demonstraram valores de 28,6%, -23,9% e -47,5%, respectivamente. Observou-se que todas estas variabilidades ocorreram devido aos efeitos causados pelo homem na estrutura da cidade. Palavras-chave: Meteorologia. Balanço Hídrico Climático. Clima.  Classification and Analysis of Indications of Climate Change in the City of Sobral – Ceará  ABSTRACTFrom the series 1931-1960 climatological normal from 1961-1990 and meteorological elements were carried out calculations of the climatic water balance, classification and analysis of the indications of climate change in the city of Sobral, Ceará State, using the program BHnorm prepared in Excel spreadsheets in the package by Sentelhas et al. (1999) and the methodology of calculation of the Climatic Water Balance of Thornthwaite & Mather (1955) and the classification of Thornthwaite (1955), in order to contribute to the sustainability of the man in the field. It was found that the climate of the study area is classified as megathermal semiarid climate and the type has type dw2w2d 'to dw2Dd' with reductions in the minimum temperature fluctuations and from -0.1 to -0.8 º C and maximum temperature variations with 2.1 to -1.7 ° C. The relative humidity was positive fluctuations of 0.3 to 3.4%. The potential evapotranspiration fluctuated -71.0 mm for the periods for the month of October. The contents of moisture, drought and water showed values ​​of 28.6% -23.9% and -47.5%, respectively. It was observed that all these effects occurred due to variability caused by man in the structure of the city.  Keywords: Meteorology. Climatic Water Balance. Climate.

Music and Science

2020 ◽  
pp. 151-204
Author(s):  
Kristin Harney
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Musical Instruments ◽  
Next Generation Science Standards ◽  
Full Length ◽  
Next Generation ◽  
Science Standards ◽  
Specific Teaching ◽  
The City

This chapter explores connections between music and science. It includes rationales for integrating music and science, common links between the two disciplines, and a discussion of the Next Generation Science Standards and the National Core Arts Standards. Tables clearly show the standards that are incorporated throughout the lessons and examples. The chapter contains six detailed, full-length lessons that integrate music and science. These include lessons that explore the Ebola epidemic in Liberia; the classification of animals with Saint-Saëns’s Carnival of the Animals; connections between steady beat, heartbeat, tempo, and rate; layering and preservation in the song “Pompeii” and the city of Pompeii; creating musical instruments; and the role of butterflies as indicators of climate change. The chapter ends with an inventory of ideas detailing seventeen additional lesson topics, specific teaching strategies, and recommended activities.

scholarly journals The study of potential evapotranspiration in future periods due to climate change in west of Iran

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 161-177 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmad Rajabi ◽  
Zahra Babakhani
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Potential Evapotranspiration ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Weather Data ◽  
Maximum Temperature ◽  
Global Circulation Model ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Global Circulation ◽  
Change Effect ◽  
Climate Change Effect

Purpose This study aims to present the climate change effect on potential evapotranspiration (ETP) in future periods. Design/methodology/approach Daily minimum and maximum temperature, solar radiation and precipitation weather parameters have been downscaled by global circulation model (GCM) and Lars-WG outputs. Weather data have been estimated according to the Had-CM3 GCM and by A1B, A2 and B1 scenarios in three periods: 2011-2030, 2045-2046 and 2080-2099. To select the more suitable method for ETP estimation, the Hargreaves-Samani (H-S) method and the Priestly–Taylor (P-T) method have been compared with the Penman-Monteith (P-M) method. Regarding the fact that the H-S method has been in better accordance with the P-M method, ETP in future periods has been estimated by this method for different scenarios. Findings In all five stations, in all three scenarios and in all three periods, ETP will increase. The highest ETP increase will occur in the A1B scenario and then in the A1 scenario. The lowest increase will occur in the B1 scenario. In the 2020 decade, the highest ETP increase in three scenarios will occur in Khorramabad and then Hamedan. Kermanshah, Sanandaj and Ilam stations come at third to fifth place, respectively, with a close increase in amount. In the 2050 decade, ETP increase percentages in all scenarios are close to each other in all the five stations. In the 2080 decade, ETP increase percentages in all scenarios will be close to each other in four stations, namely, Kermanshah, Sanandaj, Khorramabad and Hamedan, and Ilam station will have a higher increase compared with the other four stations. Originality/value Meanwhile, the highest ETP increase will occur in hot months of the year, which are significant with regard to irrigation and water resources.

Assessment of the future climate potential for tourism over Europe using a combination of downscaling approaches and quantitative impact models

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria Francisca Cardell ◽  
Arnau Amengual ◽  
Romualdo Romero
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Relative Humidity ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Cumulative Distribution ◽  
Maximum Temperature ◽  
Model Errors ◽  
Present Climate ◽  
Ensemble Strategy ◽  
The Future

<p>Europe and particularly, the Mediterranean countries, are among the most visited tourist destinations worldwide, while it is also recognized as one of the most sensitive regions to climate change. Climate is a key resource and even a limiting factor for many types of tourism. Owing to climate change, modified patterns of atmospheric variables such as temperature, rainfall, relative humidity, hours of sunshine and wind speed will likely affect the suitability of the European destinations for certain outdoor leisure activities.</p><p>Perspectives on the future of second-generation climate indices for tourism (CIT) that depend on thermal, aesthetic and physical facets are derived using model projected daily atmospheric data and present climate “observations”. Specifically, daily series of 2-m maximum temperature, accumulated precipitation, 2-m relative humidity, mean cloud cover and 10-m wind speed from ERA-5 reanalysis are used to derive the present climate potential. For projections, the same daily variables have been obtained from a set of regional climate models (RCMs) included in the European CORDEX project, considering the rcp8.5 future emissions scenario. The adoption of a multi-model ensemble strategy allows quantifying the uncertainties arising from the model errors and the GCM-derived boundary conditions. To properly derive CITs at local scale, a quantile–quantile adjustment has been applied to the simulated regional scenarios. The method detects changes in the continuous CIT cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) between the recent past and successive time slices of the simulated climate and applies these changes, once calibrated, to the observed CDFs. </p><p>Assessments on the future climate potential for several types of tourist activities in Europe (i.e., sun, sea and sand (3S) tourism, cycling, cultural, football, golf, nautical and hiking) will be presented by applying suitable quantitative indicators of CIT evolutions adapted to regional contexts. It is expected that such kind of information will ultimately benefit the design of mitigation and adaptation strategies of the tourist sector.</p>

scholarly journals Simulated climate change affects how biocrusts modulate infiltration and desiccation dynamics

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Angela Lafuente ◽  
Miguel Berdugo ◽  
Mónica Ladrón de Guevara ◽  
Beatriz Gozalo ◽  
Fernando T. Maestre
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Soil Water ◽  
Potential Evapotranspiration ◽  
Soil Surface ◽  
Maximum Temperature ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
Exponential Behaviour ◽  
Drying Rates ◽  
Gains And Losses

AbstractSoil surface communities dominated by mosses, lichens and cyanobacteria (biocrusts) cover most of the soil surface between vegetation patches in drylands worldwide, and are known to affect soil wetting and drying after rainfall events. While ongoing climate change is already warming and changing rainfall patterns of drylands in many regions, little is known on how these changes may affect the hydrological behaviour of biocrust-covered soils. We used eight years of continuous soil moisture and rainfall data from a climate change experiment in central Spain to explore how biocrusts modify soil water gains and losses after rainfall events under simulated changes in temperature (2.5ºC warming) and rainfall (33% reduction). Both rainfall amount and biocrust cover increased soil water gains after rainfall events, whereas experimental warming, rainfall intensity and initial soil moisture decreased them. Initial moisture, maximum temperature and biocrust cover, by means of enhancing potential evapotranspiration or soil darkening, increased the drying rates and enhanced the exponential behaviour of the drying events. Meanwhile, the warming treatment reduced the exponential behaviour of these events. The effects of climate change treatments on soil water gains and losses changed through time, with important differences between the first two years of the experiment and after five years since its setup. These effects were mainly driven by the important reductions in biocrust cover and diversity observed under warming. Our results highlight the importance of long term studies to understand soil moisture responses to ongoing climate change in drylands.

scholarly journals Trends and variability of water balance components over a tropical savanna and Eucalyptus forest in Australia

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yinhong Kang ◽  
Lu Zhang ◽  
Warrick Dawes
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Balance ◽  
Water Content ◽  
Soil Water Content ◽  
Potential Evapotranspiration ◽  
Annual Runoff ◽  
Water Balance Components ◽  
Eucalyptus Forest ◽  
The Waves

Abstract In this paper, the long-term dynamics of water balance components in two different contrasting ecosystems in Australia were simulated with an ecohydrological model (WAter Vegetation Energy and Solute modelling (WAVES)) over the period 1950–2015. The selected two ecosystems are woodland savanna in Daly River and Eucalyptus forest in Tumbarumba. The WAVES model was first manually calibrated and validated against soil water content measured by cosmic-ray probe and evapotranspiration measured with eddy flux techniques. The calibrated model was then used to simulate long-term water balance components with observed climate data at two sites. Analyzing the trends and variabilities of potential evapotranspiration and precipitation is used to interpret the climate change impacts on ecosystem water balance. The results showed that the WAVES model can accurately simulate soil water content and evapotranspiration at two study sites. Over the period of 1950–2015, annual evapotranspiration at both sites showed decreasing trends (−1.988 mm year−1 in Daly and −0.381 mm year−1 in Tumbarumba), whereas annual runoff in Daly increased significantly (5.870 mm year−1) and decreased in Tumbarumba (–0.886 mm year−1). It can be concluded that the annual runoff trends are consistent with the rainfall trends, whereas trends in annual evapotranspiration are influenced by both rainfall and potential evapotranspiration. The results can provide evidence for controlling the impacting factors for different ecosystems under climate change.

scholarly journals Investigation of Climate Change Anomaly by Using Nonparametric Test for Navsari District of South Gujarat

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 266-275
Author(s):  
Neeraj Kumar ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Relative Humidity ◽  
Nonparametric Test ◽  
Maximum Temperature ◽  
Rainfall Trend ◽  
Regression Slope ◽  
Sunshine Hours ◽  
Increasing Trend ◽  
Daily Sunshine

Navsari district of rainfall was shows highest increasing rainfall trend obtained September and negative January, July, October, November and December. The regression slope of the yearly time series is about 12.35 mm/36 years. Maximum temperature shows the highest increasing trend in month October, followed by December and August. The month highest decreasing trend was noticed that January, followed by February and July. The regression slope of the yearly time series is about 0.025°C/36 years. Minimum temperature highest values of the slope (0.109°C/36 year) with high value of regression Slope of determination (0.111°C), the annual Kendall’s tau statistic (0.492°C/36 year), the Kendall Score (310). All the month January to December shows increasing trend. The highest increasing trend found that November, followed by March and July, respectively. This finding shows that all the month shows increasing trend with the range between 0.308°C to 0.390°C. In case of RH-I the highest increasing trend shows September, followed by April and June. Similarly decreasing trend was found that January, followed by February and October, respectively. Relative humidity-II increasing trend was found only at the September month 0.084%, the increasing trend was detected in January to August and October to December, respectively. The strongest trend in the Bright sunshine hour’s decline of all month’s average daily sunshine hours was for the Navsari district. No significant trends were detected in all months and seasons for all weather elements. A similar trend was found in Sen’s slope and regression slope all the months for all the weather elements.

scholarly journals Evaluation of drought indices at interannual to climate change timescales: a case study over the Amazon and Mississippi river basins

2012 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 13231-13249 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Joetzjer ◽  
H. Douville ◽  
C. Delire ◽  
P. Ciais ◽  
B. Decharme ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Balance ◽  
River Discharge ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Potential Evapotranspiration ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Meteorological Drought ◽  
River Basins ◽  
Drought Indices ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. The present study compares three meteorological drought indices (scPDSI, SPI and SPEI respectively) and their ability to account for the variations of annual mean river discharge on both interannual and climate change timescales. The Standardized Runoff Index (SRI) is used as a proxy of river discharge. The Mississippi and Amazon river basins provide two contrasted testbeds for this analysis. All meteorological drought indices are derived from monthly 2-meter temperature and/or precipitation, using either gridded observations or outputs of a global climate model. The SPI based solely on precipitation is not outperformed by the SPEI (accounting for potential evapotranspiration) and the scPDSI (based on a simplified water balance) at detecting interannual SRI variations. Under increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases, the simulated response of the areal fraction in drought is highly index-dependent, suggesting that more physical water balance models are needed to account for the impact of global warming on hydrological droughts.

scholarly journals Hydro-climatic and land use/cover changes in Nasia catchment of the White Volta basin in Ghana

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emmanuel Nyadzi ◽  
Enoch Bessah ◽  
Gordana Kranjac-Berisavljevic ◽  
Fulco Ludwig
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Water Resources ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index ◽  
Potential Evapotranspiration ◽  
Sunshine Duration ◽  
Climatic Variables ◽  
Northern Ghana ◽  
Maximum Temperature

AbstractThe Nasia catchment is the reservoir with significant surface water resources in Northern Ghana and home to numerous subsistence farmers engaged in rainfed and dry season irrigation farming. Yet, there is little understanding of the hydro-climatic and land use/cover conditions of this basin. This study investigated trends, relationships and changes in hydro-climatic variables and land use/cover in addition to implications of the observable changes in the Nasia catchment over a period of 50 years. Parameters used for the study were minimum (Tmin) and maximum temperature (Tmax), wind speed (WS), sunshine duration (S), rainfall (R), relative humidity (RH), discharge (D) and potential evapotranspiration (PET) data, 15 years of remotely sensed normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) data and 30 years of land use/cover image data. Results show that Tmin, Tmax, WS and PET have increased significantly (p < 0.05) over time. RH and S significantly declined. R, D and NDVI have not decreased significantly (p > 0.05). A significant abrupt change in almost all hydro-climatic variables started in the 1980s, a period that coincides with the occurrence of drought events in the region, except WS in 2001, R in 1968 and D in 1975, respectively. Also, D showed a positive significant correlation with RH, R and PET, but an insignificant positive relationship with S. D also showed a negative insignificant correlation with Tmin, Tmax and WS. Areas covered with shrubland and settlement/bare lands have increased to the disadvantage of cropland, forest, grassland and water bodies. It was concluded that climate change impact is quite noticeable in the basin, indicating water scarcity and possibilities of droughts. The analysis performed herein is a vital foundation for further studies to simulate and predict the effect of climate change on the water resources, agriculture and livelihoods in the Nasia catchment.

scholarly journals Water balance of the basin of Mandali/ east part of Iraq

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (26) ◽  
pp. 51-57
Author(s):  
Qusai Y. AL-Kubaisi
Keyword(s):  
Data Analysis ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Relative Humidity ◽  
Water Balance ◽  
Potential Evapotranspiration ◽  
East Part ◽  
Class A ◽  
The North ◽  
Water Recharge ◽  
Water Surplus

Mandali Basin is located between latitudes (33◦ 39' 00" and 33◦54' 55") to the north and longitudes (45ο 11' 00" and 45ο 40' 00") to theeast; to the east of Diyala province at the Iraqi-Iranian border; thebasin area is approximately 491 km2.From the study of climate reality of the basin between 1990-2013and assessment of the basic climate transactions, it was foundthat the annual rate of rainfall is 253.02 mm, the relative humidity(44.4%), the temperature (21.3 ◦C), wind speed (2.08 m /sec.),sunshine (8.27 h/day) and evaporation of the basin class (a) (271.98mm) and corrected potential evapotranspiration (80.03 mm). Theresults of the data analysis show that, there are three basic periods ofclimate variability wet period, semi wet and dry period.This study shows that, there is water surplus of 60.87% of therainfall amount which is equivalent to 154.03 mm, the amount ofrunoff is 7.47 mm, and the amount of water recharge is 146.56mm.

scholarly journals Climatology of Discomfort Index for Decade in Bandar Lampung, Indonesia

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lailatus Siami ◽  
Anindita Ramadhani
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
High Temperature ◽  
Relative Humidity ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Average Temperature ◽  
Change Impact ◽  
Weather Stations ◽  
Discomfort Index ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The City

Climate change as certain phenomena has occurred globally and the impact feels by people especially for those who live on the island. Weather pattern shifting is one of the evidence of climate change impact, and many scientists are still trying to prove it. Weather affected by a combination of temperature, relativity humidity, etc. The fact that those parameters closely related to the need of health especially temperature and relative humidity and well-known thermal scale grouped in a range called discomfort index (DI). This study aims to analyze the outdoor condition in Bandar Lampung by figure out discomfort index. Weather parameter collected from secondary data of Teluk Betung weather station from 2007 – 2017 in three levels of high, average and low condition. In that period, temperature and humidity in Bandar Lampung relatively stable between 20-35∘C and 50-100%. In general, the city encountered with varies conditions by high temperature above 29∘C and high relative humidity more than 85%. Meanwhile, DI changes from year to year are not significantly occurred that indicates in high temperature, average and low weather are everyone feels severe stress, more than 50% of people feel discomfort, and comfortable condition. Nevertheless, every year it already shows an uncomfortable situation especially in high temperature and even at an average temperature. Furthermore, the study needs to compare with other weather stations in Bandar Lampung.

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