scholarly journals Efektifitas Pembatasan Sosial Berskala Besar (PSBB) di Kota Bekasi Dalam Mengatasi COVID-19 dengan Model Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR)

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 119-124
Author(s):  
Rahmadya Trias Handayanto ◽  
Herlawati Herlawati

Abstract   To overcome the COVID-19 outbreak, the government did not carry out the lockdown policy (regional quarantine policy) but implemented the Large-Scale Social Restrictions (PSBB) policy. Starting from the capital city of Jakarta, this policy was followed by other regions. Bekasi City as a buffer zone of Jakarta immediately implemented the PSBB policy since this area is close to Jakarta and is feared to be affected by the Jakarta region which is a red zone with almost half of Indonesian COVID-19 cases are in the Jakarta area. Many people do not agree with the PSBB, but in order to keep the economic growth as well as to overcome the outbreak, the government does not adopt a regional quarantine policy. To determine the effectiveness of PSBB in the city of Bekasi, this study tried to use the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model to measure the spread rate of COVID-19. The results showed a decrease in the number of infected cases with beta and gamma were 0.071 and 0.05, respectively, and the epidemic was predicted to end in June 2020.   Keywords: coronavirus, epidemic, pandemic, regional quarantine policy, Bekasi City   Abstrak   Dalam mengatasi wabah COVID-19, pemerintah tidak melakukan karantina wilayah (lock down) tetap menggunakan kebijakan Pembatasan Sosial Berskala Besar (PSBB). Dimulai dari ibukota Jakarta, kebijakan ini diikuti oleh wilayah lainnya. Kota Bekasi sebagai wilayah penyangga Jakarta segera menerapkan kebijakan PSBB mengingat wilayah ini berdekatan dengan Jakarta dan dikhawatirkan terpengaruh dengan kota Jakarta yang merupakan zona merah dengan hamper separuh kasus COVID-19 ada di wilayah Jakarta. Banyak pihak yang mendukung dan juga kurang setuju dengan PSBB, namun agar perekonomian tetap berjalan dan wabah dapat diatasi, pemerintah tidak mengambil kebijakan karantina wilayah. Untuk mengetahui efektifitas PSBB di kota Bekasi, penelitian ini mencoba menggunakan model Susceptible-Infected-Recoverd (SIR) untuk mengukur laju penyebaran COVID-19. Hasilnya menunjukan adanya laju penurunan kasus terinfeksi dengan beta dan gamma beruturut-turut sebesar 0,071 dan 0,05 dan diprediksi akan berakhir di bulan Juni 2020.   Kata kunci: virus corona, epidemik, pandemik, karantina wilayah, Bekasi City

Author(s):  
Agustien Sendouw ◽  
Vekie Adolf Rumate ◽  
Debby Ch. Rotinsulu

PENGARUH BELANJA MODAL, BELANJA SOSIAL, DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI TERHADAP TINGKAT KEMISKINAN DI KOTA MANADO Agustien Sendouw, Vekie A.Rumate, Debby Ch. Rotinsulu Ekonomi Pembangunan – Fakultas Ekonomi dan BisnisUniversitas Sam ratulangi  ABSTRAKKemiskinan merupakan masalah klasik disetiap negara. Usaha pengentasan kemiskinan telah lama dilakukan oleh pemerintah. Variabel yang mempengaruhi tingkat kemiskinan antara lain adalah pengeluaran pemerintah dan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Pengeluaran pemerintah Kota Manado melalui pos belanja modal, belanja sosial, dan pertumbuhan ekonomi diharapkan juga memberi pengaruh terhadap tingkat kemiskinan. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh belanja modal, belanjasosial, dan pertumbuhan ekonomi terhadap tingkat kemiskinan di Kota Manado secara parsial maupun secara bersama-sama. Metodeanalisis yang digunakan adalah analisis regresi berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukan bahwa belanja modal memiliki pengaruh yang negative dan signifikan secara parsial terhadap tingkat kemiskinan sedangkan belanja social dan pertumbuhan ekonomi tidak memiliki pengaruh secara parsial terhadap tingkat kemiskinan di Kota Manado. Secara bersama-sama belanja modal, belanja sosial, dan pertumbuhan ekonomi  tidak  memiliki  pengaruh  terhadap  tingkat  kemiskinan di Kota Manado. Kata Kunci  :   Belanja Modal,  Belanja  Sosial,  Pertumbuhan  Ekonomi, Tingkat  Kemiskinan.  ABSTRACTPoverty is a classic problem in every country. Poverty eradication efforts have been carried out by the government. Variables that affect the level of poverty among other government are government expenditure and economic growth. Manado City Government expenditure through capital expenditure, social expenditure, and economic growth is expected to also make an impact on poverty levels. This research aimed to determine the effect of capital expenditure, social expenditure, and economic growth on poverty levels in Manado partially or jointly. The analytical method used is multiple regression analysis. The results showed that capital expenditure has a negative and significant effect partially to the poverty level while social spending and economic growth do not have a partial effect on poverty levels in the city of Manado. Taken all research variables found that capital expenditures, social expenditure, and economic growth have no effect on the level of poverty in the city of Manado. Key Words : Regional Expenditure, Social Expenditure, Economic Growth, Poverty Level.


2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 209-222 ◽  
Author(s):  
Firman Syah

Palu city is the capital city of Central Sulawesi province bordering with Gorontalo Province. Indigenous people who inhabit the city of Palu is a community of Kaili tribe. Palu City was selected as a Special Economic Zone (KEK) for eastern Indonesia and consists of industrial zone, logistics zone and export processing zone. When viewed from the tourism business, there are several famous destinations such as Sibili Lake, Banua Mbaso, Hanging Bridge, Mosque 'Apung' Argam Bab Al Rahman, and Sis Al Jufrie.The method used by writer is qualitative with inductive data analysis. The results found that the city of Palu has shown passion in the field of tourism. Palu City presents a variety of new tourist destinations including natural attractions, culinary tours, and cultural tourism. For example Cars Tusuk Satay, Palu Bay, Four Palu Bridge, Solar Eclipse Monument, Nusantara Pavilion, and Palu Nomori Inscription. Then the tourists need to be given free space to satisfy the needs during a vacation. The business model implemented is that local people can entrepreneurship, gain profit, and create new jobs. Meanwhile, for the government through the Office of Culture and Tourism of Palu City is able to generate Pendapatan Asli Daerah (PAD) in addition to taxes from culinary executed by local communities. To support, the Office of Culture and Tourism of Palu City can hold and coordinate with all the agencies in accordance with their respective work programs. As the development and development of houses to become homestay homes and home industry, the integration of public transportation fleet, and build the concept of Information Management System (SIM) Tourism via online to package the tourism potential of Palu City.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 41-46
Author(s):  
Aleksandr N. Tsibin ◽  
Munira F. Latypova ◽  
Olga I. Ivanushkina

Introduction. Transmissible coronavirus SARS-CoV-2I is the seventh known coronavirus that causes an acute infectious disease predominantly affecting the lungs (Corona Virus Disease 2019, COVID-19). The COVID-19 pandemic exposed serious gaps in health systems preparedness. The epidemic urgently required priority organizational measures to contain and reduce the spread of COVID-19. Public health authorities had to make decisions in a challenging situation where there was a lack of knowledge, experience, and great confidence, and the number of infected was steadily increasing. Purpose. The purpose of this article is to present the unique experience of Moscow in organizing a large-scale laboratory examination of the population of a metropolis with about 12.6 million inhabitants to meet the needs of the capital in testing for SARS-CoV-2 virus and combating its circulation in conditions of the COVID-19 pandemic. Materials and Methods. The decisions made and the measures taken by the Government of Moscow, the Moscow Operational Staff, the DZM and the DZM Laboratory Service to slow the growth of the COVID-19 epidemic among the population of the capital are listed step-by-step. Results. In the course of organizational activities, sufficient capacity to maintain the public health infrastructure in terms of laboratory diagnosis of the new coronavirus infection was ensured by the joint efforts. Safe laboratory diagnostics for detecting, treating, and isolating COVID-19 cases and contacts have been established in the capital city. Thanks to the successful implementation of timely decisions, the spread of infection in the city of Moscow has been slowed. The Moscow government has reported a steady decline in cases of the new coronavirus disease and most hospitals have switched to a safe treatment regimen for patients requiring hospitalization. Centralized laboratories with readiness to perform screening and referral studies for COVID-19 outbreaks have been established within the structure of the DZM.


2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 234
Author(s):  
Nahu Daud

<p>This research aims (1) to analyze and test the influence of economic growth on the degree of autonomy the area in County Government and city of Maluku Province, (2) Analyze and test the influence of economic growth on the absorption of labor on County Government and city of Maluku province (3) Analyze and test the influence of economic growth on the welfare of society at the County Government and the city of Maluku province (4) Analyze and test the influence of degree of autonomous region of absorption of labor on County Government and city of Maluku province, (5) Analyze and test the influence of the degree of autonomy the area of social welfare in the Government District and the city of Maluku province (6) Analyze and test the influence of absorption of labor against the welfare of the community on County Government and City Maluku province. The approach used is the analysis of Path Analysis, intended to answer a relationship direct or indirect causal model has been developed on the basis of theoretical consideration of researchers and certain knowledge. In addition to the causal relationship is based on the data, also based on knowledge, the formulation of hypotheses and logical analysis, so that it can be called path analysis can be used to test a set of causal hypotheses as well as to interpret these relationships.</p><p>The results showed (1) economic growth positively and significantly influence the degree of autonomy of the region. These results lend support to the hypothesis of one stating that economic growth was a significant influence on the degree of autonomy of the region. (2) The influential economic growth positively and significantly to labor absorption. These results lend support to the hypothesis of two stating that the influential economic growth dramatically to labor absorption. (3) Economic growth positively and significantly influences the well-being of the community. These results provide support for the three hypotheses which state that the economic growth affects significantly to the well-being of society. (4) The degree of autonomy the positive and significant effect of absorption of labor. (5) The degree of autonomy to the region in a positive and significant effect on the welfare of society. (6) The positive impact of labor absorption and significantly to the well-being of society. (7) The results of the discussion to confirm that economic growth affectsconsiderably to the well-being of the community through the degree of autonomy of the regions and the absorption of labor. Significant influence occurs because the existence of a direct relationship with the role of the community.</p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amin Sarang ◽  
Behnam Andik ◽  
Mojtaba Ardestani ◽  
Farnoosh Moradizadeh Kermani

Abstract For many years, buffers are playing an important role for protecting as well as exploiting urban streams environment. In 40s & early 50s Tehran with 5 urban streams which flow from northern mountains to southern deserts of the city had been created unique aesthetic nature. At that time no specific environmental regulatory implemented by the government but since lack of any disturbing population and any urban development, the urban nature was self protecting. But in recent decades a huge development occurs leading to impaired streams which no conventional buffers such as static quantitative buffer zone and qualitative buffer zone. This paper is deeply investigating ecological restoration and promoting a new conceptual model as ecological buffer zone for Urban Streams. This buffer is agile, dynamic, and variable in both stream directions (longitudinal and latitudinal) consist of many layers such as biological (both fauna and flora), geotechnical, artificial infrastructure buffer, legal, historical, social, economical and etc Layers. If this model properly implemented longtermly will protect current urban nature and even enhance the environment eventually, partially, and gradually reverse to their historical natures. Ecological should be tailored for each individual river and stream based on few rules, tools and techniques. The paper is based on three years extensive research study for all 5 major urban streams in Tehran and implementing on Farahzad upstream specifically. It elaborates how to define different above-mentioned layers and finally how to integrate all together. EB has been currently implemented in Tehran urban streams by the municipality.


Author(s):  
Fanny Torar ◽  
Paulus Kindangen ◽  
Vecky A.J Masinambow

ABSTRAK Berubahnya sistem pemerintahan dari sentralisasi menjadi desentralisasi, menuntut pembangunan yang merata di setiap daerah sehingga pembangunan yang tadinya dilaksanakan secara terpusat diberikan kepada daerah untuk mengatur daerahnya sendiri. Kebijakan pemerintah dibidang otonomi daerah pada dasarnya dimaksudkan untuk menata ulang hubungan antara pusat dan daerah dalam berbagai tugas dan tanggung jawab yang menyangkut urusan penyelenggaraan pemerintahan. Inspektorat merupakan suatu lembaga pengawasan di lingkungan pemerintah daerah, baik untuk tingkat provinsi, kabupaten atau kota memaikan peran yang sangat penting dan signifikan untuk kemajuan dan kebersihan pemerintah daerah dan perangkat daerah di lingkungan pemerintah daerah dalam menyelenggarakan pemerintahan di daerah dan mencapai tujuan dan sasaran yang telah ditetapkan. Dengan semakin meningkatnya tuntutan masyarakat atas penyelenggaraan pemerintah yang bersih, adil, transparan dan akuntabel harus disikapi dengan serius dan sistematis.Tujuan dari penelitian ini untuk menganalisis apakah pengawasan berpengaruh terhadap APBD  dan pertumbuhan ekonomi di Kota Manado. Teknik analisis yang digunakan adalah analisis jalur (Path Analysis). Hasil penelitian menunjukan bahwa Anggaran Pengawasan Reguler berpengaruh negatif tidak signifikan secara statistik terhadap APBD. Anggaran Pengawasan Khusus berpengaruh positif  tidak signifikan secara statistik terhadap APBD  Kota Manado. Anggaran Pengawasan Reguler berpengaruh negatif tidak signifikan terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi. Variabel Anggaran Pengawasan Khusus berpengaruh positif tidak signifikan secara statistik terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dan variabel APBD berpengaruh positif signifikan secara statistik terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Kota Manado. Kata kunci: Anggaran Pengawasan, APBD, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi  ABSTRACT The change in the government system from centralization to decentralization requires demand for equitable development in each region so that the development that was carried out centrally was given to the regions to regulate their own regions. Government policy in the area of regional autonomy is basically intended to rearrange relations between the center and the regions in various tasks and responsibilities concerning the affairs of administering the government. The Inspectorate is a supervisory institution within the local government, both at the provincial, district or city levels displaying a very important and significant role for the progress and cleanliness of regional government and regional apparatus in the local government in carrying out governance in the regions and achieving the goals and objectives set. With the increasing demands of the community for the administration of a clean, fair, transparent and accountable government, it must be taken seriously and systematically. The purpose of this study is to analyze whether supervision influences the regional budget and economic growth in the city of Manado. The analysis technique used is path analysis. The results showed that the Regular Oversight Budget had a negative effect not statistically significant on the APBD. The Special Supervision Budget has a positive and not statistically significant effect on the Manado City Budget. The Regular Oversight Budget has no significant negative effect on Economic Growth. The Special Supervision Budget variable has a positive and not statistically significant effect on Economic Growth and the APBD variable has a statistically significant positive effect on the Economic Growth of the City of Manado. Keywords: Supervision Budget, Regional Budget, Economic Growth


2021 ◽  
pp. 4-7
Author(s):  
Zara Ferreira

After the war, the world was divided between two main powers, a Western capitalist bloc led by the USA, and an Eastern communist bloc, driven by the USSR. From Japan to Mexico, the post-war years were ones of prosperous economic growth and profound social transformation. It was the time of re-housing families split apart and of rebuilding destroyed cities, but it was also the time of democratic rebirth, the definition of individual and collective freedoms and rights, and of belief in the open society envisaged by Karl Popper. Simultaneously, it was the time of the biggest migrations from the countryside, revealing a large faith in the city, and of baby booms, revealing a new hope in humanity. (...) Whether through welfare state systems, as mainly evidenced in Western Europe, under the prospects launched by the Plan Marshall (1947), or through the establishment of local housing authorities funded or semi-funded by the government, or through the support of private companies, civil organizations or associations, the time had come for the large-scale application of the principles of modern architecture and engineering developed before the war. From the Spanish polígonos residenciales to the German großsiedlungen, ambitious housing programs were established in order to improve the citizens’ living conditions and health standards, as an answer to the housing shortage, and as a symbol of a new egalitarian society: comfort would no longer only be found in bourgeois houses.


2009 ◽  
Vol 43 (2) ◽  
pp. 543-570 ◽  
Author(s):  
MICHAEL MANN ◽  
SAMIKSHA SEHRAWAT

AbstractDespite the contemporary importance of the Ridge forest to the city of Delhi as its most important ‘green lung’, the concept of urban forestry has been explored neither by urban historians studying Delhi nor by environmental historians. This article places the colonial efforts to plant a forest on the Delhi Ridge from 1883 to 1913 within the context of the gradual deforestation of the countryside around Delhi and the local colonial administration's preoccupation with encouraging arboriculture. This project of colonial forestry prioritized the needs of the white colonizers living in Delhi, while coming into conflict repeatedly with indigenous peasants. With the decision to transfer the capital to Delhi in 1911, the afforestation of the Delhi Ridge received a further stimulus. Town planners' visions of a building the capital city of New Delhi were meant to assert the grandeur of British rule through imposing buildings, with the permanence of the British in India being emphasised by the strategic location of the ruins of earlier empires within the city. The principles of English landscape gardening inspired the planning of New Delhi, with the afforestation of the Delhi Ridge being undertaken to provide a verdant backdrop for—the Government House and the Secretariat—the administrative centre of British government in India. Imperial notions of landscaping, which were central to the afforestation of the Delhi Ridge epitomised colonial rule and marginalized Indians.


2016 ◽  
Vol 113 (43) ◽  
pp. 12105-12110 ◽  
Author(s):  
Boaz Hameiri ◽  
Roni Porat ◽  
Daniel Bar-Tal ◽  
Eran Halperin

In the current paper, we report a large-scale randomized field experiment, conducted among Jewish Israelis during widespread violence. The study examines the effectiveness of a “real world,” multichanneled paradoxical thinking intervention, with messages disseminated through various means of communication (i.e., online, billboards, flyers). Over the course of 6 wk, we targeted a small city in the center of Israel whose population is largely rightwing and religious. Based on the paradoxical thinking principles, the intervention involved transmission of messages that are extreme but congruent with the shared Israeli ethos of conflict. To examine the intervention’s effectiveness, we conducted a large-scale field experiment (prepost design) in which we sampled participants from the city population (n = 215) and compared them to a control condition (from different places of residence) with similar demographic and political characteristics (n = 320). Importantly, participants were not aware that the intervention was related to the questionnaires they answered. Results showed that even in the midst of a cycle of ongoing violence within the context of one of the most intractable conflicts in the world, the intervention led hawkish participants to decrease their adherence to conflict-supporting attitudes across time. Furthermore, compared with the control condition, hawkish participants that were exposed to the paradoxical thinking intervention expressed less support for aggressive policies that the government should consider as a result of the escalation in violence and more support for conciliatory policies to end the violence and promote a long-lasting agreement.


1970 ◽  
Vol 2 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
AKM Abul Kalam

Cities and city regions are practically observed to be the engines of economic growth in the age of globalization. Cities and their regions thus diversely play important roles in national and international contexts. City provides opportunities for economic growth and development and quality life for its population and services to its outside areas, sometimes exceeding the national boundaries. Globalization has, however, created both opportunities and threats for the survival of cities. To become an active partner in the process of globalization, cities with their regional economic strengths require preparing them with their potentials and removing weaknesses. As a capital city, Dhaka has potentials for becoming a global city with its geopolitical location and economic prospects. It has political and administrative advantages in the national context and scope for utilizing the benefits of urban economics, especially agglomerations, concentration of labor and financial institutions, and business services. The physical growth of the city is, however, associated with many-faceted problems which has to be addressed in its planning and development processes in order to bring functional efficiency of a modern city. The city must be developed in a planned manner to benefit from global market and international investment. The research recommends that Dhaka and its city region should overcome the current weaknesses to utilize its full potential to attract businesses and investments in the future. Dhaka’s physical development and economic growth management must be considered together in order to becoming a global city playing dynamic role in the global market in future.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3329/jbip.v2i0.9552Journal of Bangladesh Institute of Planners Vol. 2, December 2009, pp. 1-12


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