scholarly journals How Do Farmers Think about Climate Risk? A Study of On-Farm Decision Making in an Era of Climate Change

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rachel Schattman
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Climate Changes ◽  
Climate Risk ◽  
Weather Patterns ◽  
Climate Forecasts ◽  
Challenges And Opportunities ◽  
On Farm

climate forecasts suggest farmers in the northeast will be faced with both challenges and opportunities as the climate changes. currently farmers and other land stewards manage the risks created by changing weather patterns in many different ways.

scholarly journals The Critical Relationship between Climate Change Awareness and Action: An Origin-Based Perspective

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tina Tiller ◽  
Christian Schott
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
New Zealand ◽  
Human Activity ◽  
General Public ◽  
Climate Changes ◽  
Ghg Emissions ◽  
Mail Survey ◽  
Overwhelming Majority

<p>While it is now widely accepted by scientists and governments that human activity contributes to climate change, there is a lack of understanding whether this realisation is now gaining greater attraction with the general public than it had 5 or 10 years ago. Additional gaps in knowledge relate to the link between awareness and action, which could be hypothesised to have become stronger in light of evidence being produced of some projected climate changes occurring already. This article examines climate change awareness and the link with travel-related decision-making by adopting an under-utilised origin perspective in Wellington, New Zealand. The findings, generated by a household mail survey, indicate that the majority of the respondents are aware of tourism’s contribution to climate change and think that it is likely that their lives in New Zealand will be negatively affected by climate change. However, when examining the respondents’ recent holiday decision-making, it is evident that for the overwhelming majority, climate change awareness does not appear to influence travel-related decisions. This article concludes by discussing demand-focused measures aimed at reducing the GHG emissions generated by tourism.</p>

scholarly journals Can on-farm irrigation reservoirs enhance long-term sustainability of large irrigated systems? The case of Riegos del Alto Aragón (Spain)

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Haro-Monteagudo ◽  
Leticia Palazón ◽  
Santiago Beguería
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Irrigation District ◽  
Allocation Model ◽  
Ebro River ◽  
Irrigated Area ◽  
Environmental Objectives ◽  
On Farm

&lt;p&gt;With a total irrigated area above 127,000 ha divided into 58 sectors, the Riegos del Alto Arag&amp;#243;n (RAA) irrigation district is currently the largest irrigated area in Spain and in the European Union. Also, it is the largest water user within the Gallego-Cinca subsystem within the Ebro River Basin, which also supplies water to 588 livestock operations, 10 industrial polygons, and 110 populated areas. Although there are plans to increase the irrigated area by another additional 47,000 ha, the system is currently close to its resource limit and several supply restrictions took place in the last years with consequent impacts on agricultural productivity. Moreover, this expansion of the irrigated area collides with environmental objectives in the region, mostly due to water quality and nature conservancy aspects, as well as with other water uses downstream.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The forecasted effects of climate change on future water resources produced in the Pyrenees (the major source of water in the system), as well as market prices, national and international trade and agricultural policies, among other variables, are surrounded by a high level of uncertainty that difficult investment decision-making. Some of the adaptation measures initially devised for the system, e.g. construction of new large reservoirs in the Gallego and Cinca rivers, require either confronting further environmental conflicts or large energy expenses, when not both. With the end of the era of large public works, there is a need to identify new and robust strategies for climate change adaptation. One of these strategies is the construction of private on-farm reservoirs within the RAA system that started in recent years.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The present work evaluates the contribution of on-farm reservoirs to enhancing the long-term sustainability of the RAA system using a multi-model and multi-scenario approach. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was used to simulate water provisions from the Gallego-Cinca headwater system under an ensemble of downscaled climate models. Afterward, SWAT outputs were fed into a water allocation model built with AQUATOOL to simulate the management of the system's reservoirs, including on-farm reservoirs, and the water supply to the different demands. The performance of agricultural demands and compliance with environmental flow requirements in the system was evaluated for different on-farm reservoir sizes and combined with construction and operational costs to develop sustainability/investment curves. The outcomes have the potential to better inform decision-making from farmers in RAA as well as from managers in the Ebro River Basin Agency, providing further understanding of the system's dynamics under climatic change.&lt;/p&gt;

scholarly journals Climate Change and Real Estate Prices

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Igor Semenenko ◽  
Junwook Yoo
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Real Estate ◽  
Predictive Power ◽  
Risk Index ◽  
Climate Risk ◽  
Capital Cities ◽  
Weather Patterns ◽  
Real Estate Returns ◽  
Real Estate Prices ◽  
Skewness And Kurtosis

Direct real estate returns are correlated with shifts in weather patterns, which are proxied by changes in four moments of distribution for differences in average and maximum daily temperatures, deviations from optimal temperatures and climate risk index reported by Germanwatch. Changes in the volatility of daily temperatures are inversely correlated with direct real estate returns. The volatility effect appeared to be marginal in 1996-2007, but it became more pronounced in 2010-2017. Other moments of the distribution, including changes in means, skewness and kurtosis, fail to obtain predictive power. Results are robust to tests in a smaller sample of capital cities and the exclusion of observations with the most significant volatility increases.

scholarly journals Responses of Indigenous People to the Climate Changes: A Case Study of the Surels of Dolakha District of Nepal

Patan Pragya ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (02) ◽  
pp. 99-114
Author(s):  
Hari Prasad Bhattarai
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Management ◽  
Climate Changes ◽  
Environmental Changes ◽  
Community Organization ◽  
Seasonal Migration ◽  
Cropping Pattern ◽  
Weather Patterns ◽  
Indigenous Group

This paper has examined the way the Surels, an indigenous group inhabiting in Suri village of Dolakha district, perceive climate change and also has attempted to document their adaptive strategies to the changes brought about by climate change and global warming. These peoples have developed uniquely insightful ways of observing, interpreting, and responding to the impacts of climate changes through interacting and closely linking their lives with their surroundings. They clearly linked climate change with the changes in the weather patterns over the years indicating erratic rainfall patterns, advancing monsoon, advancing summer and spring, shorter and warmer winter, drier and hotter summer. This paper argues that these people observe and encounter climate and environmental changes immediately and use traditional knowledge and survival skills to adapt to these changes as they occurred. They have devised, though it is not well documented, useful coping mechanisms—modifying cropping pattern and crop types, community-based afforestation and forest management initiatives, improve water management, involvement of community organization in water management and seasonal migration to India- to respond and reduce climate induced risks and impacts which have enabled them to achieve stable livelihoods in their environment.

scholarly journals MODELING OF REDUCING RISK OF DIRECT IMPACT (HAILSTONES) IN AGRICULTURE

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (5) ◽  
pp. 21-26
Author(s):  
B.A. Ashabokov ◽  
◽  
L.M. Fedchenko ◽  
A.А. Tashilova ◽  
L.A. Kesheva ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Climate Changes ◽  
Surface Air Temperature ◽  
Agricultural Products ◽  
Information Support ◽  
Direct Impact ◽  
Weather Events ◽  
Calculation Results

Due to the fact that the south of Russia is the most important producer of agricultural products, the work discusses the possible consequences of climate change and reduce the risks associated with them. At the same time, it is assumed that the risks associated with climate change can be caused by both “slow” climate changes (increase in surface air temperature) and dangerous weather events (hail), the frequency and destructive force of which increase due to climate change. The paper discusses possible approaches to reducing risks associated with hazardous weather events (hailstones). In the framework of the theory of decision-making, the formulation of the problem of reducing the losses of a given industry from the noted phenomena, which is the task of making decisions in risk conditions, is proposed. The features of information support of this problem and the main tasks that arise in the way of its practical use are discussed. The results of calculations that were performed to analyze the effectiveness of the proposed method to reduce agricultural losses from urban habits are presented. The calculation results showed that the method is quite effective and can be used to reduce agricultural losses from hail.

scholarly journals Visualizing Climate Change Adaptation: An Effective Tool for Agricultural Outreach?

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-61 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rachel E. Schattman ◽  
Stephanie E. Hurley ◽  
Holly L. Greenleaf ◽  
Meredith T. Niles ◽  
Martha Caswell
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Climate Change Adaptation ◽  
Agricultural Education ◽  
Best Management Practices ◽  
Management Practices ◽  
Limiting Factors ◽  
Outreach Programs ◽  
Weather Patterns ◽  
And Shifts

AbstractLandscape photovisualizations (PVZs) are digitally altered photographs that show existing landscapes altered to include a simulated future scenario. They are commonly used to support dialogue and decision-making in multistakeholder contexts. In agricultural sectors, stakeholders increasingly must contend with pressures to adapt to climatic changes and shifts in weather patterns. This study examines the potential of PVZs to engage agricultural stakeholders about climate change adaptation, specifically around best management practices (BMPs). In 2015, survey data were collected (n = 133) at six agricultural conferences Vermont. Participants were asked about their climate change knowledge, perceptions of adaptation, and their intentions to adopt or recommend one or more of the following BMPs: riparian buffers, drainage tiles with constructed wetlands, retention ponds, and silvopasture. In addition, respondents were asked about how well PVZs did or did not clarify their understanding of each BMP and its associated limiting factors. Results from five multivariate ordered logit models show an increase in interest among some agricultural stakeholders in adopting a BMP (among farmers) or recommending a BMP (among agricultural advisors) after seeing a PVZ depicting that practice. Interest in adoption or recommendation of BMPs was also more likely among respondents who believe that it is important for farms to adapt to climate change. Although PVZs are not common in agricultural outreach programs, these results suggest that PVZs are relevant to agricultural education and land-use decision-making, specifically in the domain of climate change adaptation.

scholarly journals Opportunities and challenges for seasonal climate forecasts to more effectively assist smallholder farming decisions

2020 ◽  
Vol 116 (1/2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Bright Chisadza ◽  
Abbyssinia Mushunje ◽  
Kenneth Nhundu ◽  
Ethel E. Phiri
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Smallholder Farmers ◽  
Smallholder Farming ◽  
Seasonal Climate Forecast ◽  
Seasonal Climate ◽  
Farm Planning ◽  
Climate Forecasting ◽  
Farm Production ◽  
Climate Forecasts ◽  
Challenges And Opportunities

The ability of smallholder farmers to utilise seasonal climate forecast (SCF) information in farm planning to reflect anticipated climate is a precursor to improved farm management. However, the integration of SCF by smallholder farmers into farm planning has been poor, partly because of the lack of forecast skill, lack of communication and inability to see the relevance of the SCFs for specific farming decisions. The relevance of seasonal climate forecasting in farming decisions can be enhanced through improved understanding of SCF from the smallholder farmers’ perspective. Studies that have been done of how smallholder farmers understand SCF and how the available SCFs influence smallholder farmers’ decisions are limited. Therefore, the objective of this paper was to review how smallholder farmers make decisions on farming practices based on SCFs and the challenges and opportunities thereof. The review shows that the majority of smallholder farmers in Africa make use of either scientific or indigenous knowledge climate forecasts and, in some cases, a combination of both. There are mixed results in the area of evaluating benefits of SCFs in decision-making and farm production. In some cases, the outcomes are positive, whereas in others they are difficult to quantify. Thus, the integration of SCFs into smallholder farmers’ decision-making is still a challenge. We recommend that significant work must be done to improve climate forecasts in terms of format, and spatial and temporal context in order for them to be more useful in influencing decision-making by smallholder farmers.

scholarly journals How normative interpretations of climate risk assessment affect local decision-making: an exploratory study at the city scale in Cork, Ireland

2018 ◽  
Vol 376 (2121) ◽  
pp. 20170300 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. K. J. McDermott ◽  
S. Surminski
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Flood Risk ◽  
Flood Risk Management ◽  
Climate Risk ◽  
Local Decision ◽  
Local Decision Making ◽  
The City

Urban areas already suffer substantial losses in both economic and human terms from climate-related disasters. These losses are anticipated to grow substantially, in part as a result of the impacts of climate change. In this paper, we investigate the process of translating climate risk data into action for the city level. We apply a commonly used decision-framework as our backdrop and explore where in this process climate risk assessment and normative political judgements intersect. We use the case of flood risk management in Cork city in Ireland to investigate what is needed for translating risk assessment into action at the local city level. Evidence presented is based on focus group discussions at two stakeholder workshops, and a series of individual meetings and phone-discussions with stakeholders involved in local decision-making related to flood risk management and adaptation to climate change, in Ireland. Respondents were chosen on the basis of their expertise or involvement in the decision-making processes locally and nationally. Representatives of groups affected by flood risk and flood risk management and climate adaptation efforts were also included. The Cork example highlights that, despite ever more accurate data and an increasing range of theoretical approaches available to local decision-makers, it is the normative interpretation of this information that determines what action is taken. The use of risk assessments for decision-making is a process that requires normative decisions, such as setting ‘acceptable risk levels' and identifying ‘adequate’ protection levels, which will not succeed without broader buy-in and stakeholder participation. Identifying and embracing those normative views up-front could strengthen the urban adaptation process—this may, in fact, turn out to be the biggest advantage of climate risk assessment: it offers an opportunity to create a shared understanding of the problem and enables an informed evaluation and discussion of remedial action. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Advances in risk assessment for climate change adaptation policy’.

Beyond choice architecture: a building code for structuring climate risk management decisions

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
JOSEPH ÁRVAI ◽  
ROBIN GREGORY
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Climate Risk ◽  
Choice Architecture ◽  
Management Decisions ◽  
Management Options ◽  
Trade Offs ◽  
Climate Risk Management

Abstract Although the need for urgent climate change action is clear, insights about how to make better climate risk management decisions are limited. While significant attention from behavioral researchers has focused on choice architecture, we argue that many of the contexts for addressing climate risks require increased attention to the needs of a deliberative and dynamic choice environment. A key facet of this kind of decision is the need for decision-makers and stakeholders to identify and balance conflicting economic, social and environmental objectives. This recognition of difficult, context-specific trade-offs highlights the need for structuring the decision-making process so that objectives are clearly articulated and prioritized. Equally, policy analyses and deliberations must effectively link priorities with climate risk management options. This restructuring of decision-making about climate change calls for more than a nudge. Scientific and technical efforts must be redirected to help stakeholders and decision-makers better understand the diverse implications of climate change management alternatives and to become better equipped to take actions commensurate with the urgency of the problem.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document