Risk Factors for Pericallosal Artery Aneurysm Rupture Based on Morphological Computer-Assisted Semiautomated Measurement and Hemodynamic Analysis

Background: Although pericallosal artery aneurysms (PAAs) are relatively uncommon, accounting for only 1–9% of all intracranial aneurysms (IAs), they exhibit a considerably high propensity to rupture. Nevertheless, our current knowledge of the risk factors for PAA rupture is still very limited. To fill this gap, we investigated rupture risk factors for PAAs based on morphological computer-assisted semiautomated measurement (CASAM) and hemodynamic analysis.Methods: Patients with PAAs were selected from the IA database in our institute and their baseline data were collected. Morphological parameters were measured in all enrolled patients by applying CASAM. Computational fluid dynamics simulation (CFD) was performed to evaluate the hemodynamic difference between ruptured and unruptured PAAs.Results: From June 2017 to June 2020, among 2141 patients with IAs in our institute, 47 had PAAs (2.2%). Thirty-one patients (mean age 57.65 ± 9.97 years) with 32 PAAs (20 unruptured and 12 ruptured) were included in the final analysis. Comparing with unruptured PAAs, ruptured PAAs had significantly higher aspect ratio (AR), mean normalized wall shear stress (NWSS), and mean oscillatory shear index (OSI) values than the unruptured PAAs (all P < 0.05) in univariate analyses. Multivariable analysis showed that a high mean OSI was an independent risk factor for PAA rupture (OR = 6.45, 95% CI 1.37–30.32, P = 0.018).Conclusion: This preliminary study indicates that there are morphological and hemodynamic differences between ruptured and unruptured PAAs. In particular, a high mean OSI is an independent risk factor for PAA rupture. Further research with a larger sample size is warranted in the future.

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Monocytosis Is an Independent Risk Factor for Survival in Agnogenic Myeloid Metaplasia.

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood.v108.11.3629.3629 ◽

2006 ◽

Vol 108 (11) ◽

pp. 3629-3629

Author(s):

Michelle A. Elliott ◽

David Dingli ◽

Susan M. Schwager ◽

Chin Y. Li ◽

Ayalew Tefferi

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Overall Survival ◽

Risk Factor ◽

Platelet Count ◽

Independent Risk Factor ◽

Leukocyte Count ◽

Multivariable Analysis ◽

Myeloid Metaplasia ◽

Mayo Score ◽

Agnogenic Myeloid Metaplasia

Abstract Background: Young (age < 60 years) patients with agnogenic myeloid metaplasia (AMM) are potential candidates for curative therapy with allogeneic stem cell transplantation. In such transplant-eligible patients, median overall survival (OS) is reported to be between 78 and 128 months. Because clinical course in an individual patients is markedly heterogeneous (survival ranges of months to decades), objective prognostic variables are essential for transplant decision making. Accordingly, we recently developed a modified Dupriez prognostic scoring system (PSS) that effectively discriminated between high (2 or more risk factors), intermediate (one risk factor) and low (no risk factor) risk patient groups based on the presence or absence of complete blood count (CBC)-derived adverse parameters; hemoglobin < 10 g/dl, leukocyte count < 4 or > 30 × 109/L, and platelet count < 100 × 109/L (Dingli et al. Cancer2006;106:623). In the current study, we identify absolute monocytosis of ≥ 1 × 109/L as an additional independent risk factor for survival in AMM. Methods: A consecutive cohort of WHO-defined AMM patients diagnosed before the age of 60 years was identified. The impact of various clinical and laboratory parameters on overall survival was evaluated with univariate and multivariable analysis. Results: The study included 129 patients (median age 52 years, range 18–60; 69 males) with AMM. An overall median survival of 75 months was univariately affected by platelet count < 100 × 109/L, hemoglobin level of < 10 g/dL, leukocyte count of either < 4 or > 30 × 109/L, monocytosis of ≥ 1 × 109/L, and, where cytogenetic studies were available (n=41), presence of unfavorable cytogenetic abnormalities (p < 0.01 in each instance). On multivariable analysis, all but leukocyte count maintained their significance. The independent prognostic value of monocyte count was also validated against the modified Dupriez score (see above) and thus allowed further refinement of the particular CBC-based PSS that included monocytosis of ≥ 1 × 109/L as a fourth risk factor; low-risk identified patients with none of the 4 risk factors, intermediate-risk with one risk factor, and high-risk with 2 or more risk factors (Figure 1). For comparison, Figure 2 illustrates survival curves according to the original Dupriez PSS. Conclusion: Monocytosis of ≥ 1 × 109/L is an independent risk factor for inferior survival in AMM. Figure 1. Mayo score Figure 1. Mayo score Figure 2. Dupriez score Figure 2. Dupriez score

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Exploring risk factors for intraoperative aneurysm rupture during clipping

10.21203/rs.2.20216/v1 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Zhi Zhu ◽

Ningning Song ◽

Yoko Kato ◽

Xi Chen ◽

Weichao Jiang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Risk Factor ◽

Independent Risk Factor ◽

Clinical Status ◽

Univariate Analysis ◽

Multivariate Logistic Regression Analysis ◽

Aneurysm Rupture ◽

University Hospital ◽

Significant Difference ◽

Intraoperative Rupture

Abstract Objective To investigate risk factors for aneurysm rupture in intracranial aneurysm clipping (IAC). Methods Patients admitted for IAC from April 2010 to December 2017 in the Fujita Health University Hospital or the First Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen University were retrospectively reviewed. Clinical parameters were recorded and analyzed using univariate and multivariate analysis. The Hunt-Hess grade was used to assess the preoperative clinical status of patients. Modified Rankin Scale was applied to evaluate the prognosis of patients 6 months after surgery. Results Univariate analysis showed that the preoperative clinical status ( p = 0.015) and the preoperative aneurysm rupture ( p = 0.005) were significantly associated with intraoperative aneurysm rupture (IAR) during clipping. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the preoperative aneurysm rupture was an independent risk factor of IAR ( p < 0.001, OR = 10.518). There was no significant difference in the prognosis between patients with and without IAR ( p > 0.05). No significant differences existed on aspects of incidences and time points of rupture in the operations conducted by experienced surgeons compared with that conducted by less-experienced surgeons ( p > 0.05). Conclusion Preoperative aneurysm rupture is the independent risk factor for aneurysm rupture during IAC. Intraoperative rupture, if treated properly in time, has no influence on the prognosis of patients receiving IAC. Less-experienced surgeons can also reduce the incidence rate of IAR by strictly controlling surgical indications.

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Does Undergoing Outpatient Hand Surgery Lead to Prolonged Opioid Use? A Comparison of Surgical and Nonsurgical Patients

Hand ◽

10.1177/1558944720964967 ◽

2020 ◽

pp. 155894472096496

Author(s):

William L. Wang ◽

Kevin F. Lutsky ◽

Richard M. McEntee ◽

Lauren Banner ◽

Brian M. Katt ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Risk Factor ◽

Independent Risk Factor ◽

Multivariable Analysis ◽

Monitoring Program ◽

Hand Surgery ◽

Surgical Patients ◽

Control Group ◽

Opioid Use ◽

Opioid Prescription

Background: Orthopedic surgical patients in general have been found to be at higher risk for developing opioid dependence in the postoperative period. However, there is conflicting evidence in the literature whether opioid exposure after hand surgery leads to prolonged use. In the absence of a nonoperative control group, it is not clear whether prolonged opioid use in hand surgical patients is related to undergoing a surgical intervention. The purpose of our study to compare opioid prescription fulfillment patterns in surgical and nonoperative patients in a hand surgery practice. Methods: We retrospectively compared 320 patients that underwent elbow, wrist, and hand surgery procedures with 741 nonoperative patients treated by 2 hand surgeons. The Pennsylvania Drug Monitoring Program (PDMP), a mandatory statewide database, was used to evaluate the primary outcomes of filling more than one opioid prescription and filling opioid prescriptions beyond 6 months of the index surgery or clinic visit. Bivariate and multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed using the following variables: surgery, prior benzodiazepine use, and prior opioid use. Results: There was no difference in prior opioid use (15.2% vs 16.9%, P = .51) or prior benzodiazepine (10.4% vs 8.4%, P = .33) use between the nonoperative and operative groups. Patients that underwent surgery had a higher incidence of filling more than one opioid prescription (20.9% vs 8.8%, P < .001). However, continued opioid use was not statistically different between nonoperative and operative patients (2.8% vs 5%, P = .08). Bivariate analysis demonstrated that prior opioids (odds ratio [OR] = 12.94, P < .001) and prior benzodiazepines (OR = 1.95, P < .001) were significant independent risk factors for prolonged opioid use. Multivariable analysis demonstrated prior opioid use to be the only independent risk factor for prolonged opioid use (OR = 12.58, P < .001). Conclusion: Undergoing outpatient hand surgery do not appear to be an independent risk factor for filling opioid prescriptions beyond 6 months. Significant risk factors for prolonged opioid use include prior use of controlled substances, particularly prior opioid use.

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Older age, comorbidity, glucocorticoid use and disease activity are risk factors for COVID-19 hospitalisation in patients with inflammatory rheumatic and musculoskeletal diseases

RMD Open ◽

10.1136/rmdopen-2020-001464 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 7 (1) ◽

pp. e001464

Author(s):

Rebecca Hasseli ◽

Ulf Mueller-Ladner ◽

Bimba F Hoyer ◽

Andreas Krause ◽

Hanns-Martin Lorenz ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Chronic Kidney Disease ◽

Risk Factor ◽

Kidney Disease ◽

Disease Activity ◽

Independent Risk Factor ◽

Musculoskeletal Diseases ◽

Multivariable Analysis ◽

Chronic Obstructive ◽

Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

IntroductionWhether patients with inflammatory rheumatic and musculoskeletal diseases (RMD) are at higher risk to develop severe courses of COVID-19 has not been fully elucidated. Aim of this analysis was to describe patients with RMD according to their COVID-19 severity and to identify risk factors for hospitalisation.MethodsPatients with RMD with PCR confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection reported to the German COVID-19 registry from 30 March to 1 November 2020 were evaluated. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate ORs for hospitalisation due to COVID-19.ResultsData from 468 patients with RMD with SARS-CoV-2 infection were reported. Most frequent diagnosis was rheumatoid arthritis, RA (48%). 29% of the patients were hospitalised, 5.5% needed ventilation. 19 patients died. Multivariable analysis showed that age >65 years (OR 2.24; 95% CI 1.12 to 4.47), but even more>75 years (OR 3.94; 95% CI 1.86 to 8.32), cardiovascular disease (CVD; OR 3.36; 95% CI 1.5 to 7.55), interstitial lung disease/chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (ILD/COPD) (OR 2.79; 95% CI 1.2 to 6.49), chronic kidney disease (OR 2.96; 95% CI 1.16 to 7.5), moderate/high RMD disease activity (OR 1.96; 95% CI 1.02 to 3.76) and treatment with glucocorticoids (GCs) in dosages >5 mg/day (OR 3.67; 95% CI 1.49 to 9.05) were associated with higher odds of hospitalisation. Spondyloarthritis patients showed a smaller risk of hospitalisation compared with RA (OR 0.46; 95% CI 0.23 to 0.91).ConclusionAge was a major risk factor for hospitalisation as well as comorbidities such as CVD, ILD/COPD, chronic kidney disease and current or prior treatment with GCs. Moderate to high RMD disease activity was also an independent risk factor for hospitalisation, underlining the importance of continuing adequate RMD treatment during the pandemic.

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Clinical characteristics and prognosis in patients with premature coronary artery disease of different genders after intervention

European Heart Journal ◽

10.1093/ehjci/ehaa946.1315 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽

Author(s):

X.F Tang ◽

Y Yao ◽

S.D Jia ◽

Y Liu ◽

B Xu ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Risk Factor ◽

Independent Risk Factor ◽

Coronary Intervention ◽

Premature Coronary Artery Disease ◽

Minor Bleeding ◽

Bleeding Events ◽

Cerebrovascular Events ◽

Independent Risk Factors ◽

Artery Disease

Abstract Objective To investigate the clinical characteristics and long-term prognosis of coronary intervention in patients with premature coronary artery disease (PCAD) between different genders. Methods From January 2013 to December 2013, 4 744 patients diagnosed as PCAD with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in our hospital were enrolled. The general clinical data, laboratory results and interventional treatment data of all patients were collected, and the occurrence of major adverse cardio-cerebrovascular events (MACCE) within 2 years after PCI was followed up. Results Of the 4 744 patients undergoing PCI, 3 390 (71.5%) were males and 1 354 (28.5%) were females. The 2-year follow-up results showed that the incidence of BARC grade 1 hemorrhage in female patients was significantly higher than that in male patients (6.9% vs. 3.7%; P<0.001); however, there was no significant difference in the incidence of major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE), all-cause death, cardiac death, recurrent myocardial infarction, revascularization (target vessel revascularization and target lesion revascularization), stent thrombosis, stroke and BARC grade 2–5 hemorrhage between the two groups (P>0.05). Multivariate COX regression analysis showed that gender was an independent risk factor for BARC grade 1 bleeding events in PCAD patients (HR=2.180, 95% CI: 1.392–3.416, P<0.001), but it was not an independent risk factor for MACCE and BARC grade 2–5 bleeding. Hyperlipidemia, preoperative SYNTAX score, multivessel lesions and NSTE-ACS were the independent risk factors for MACCE in PCAD patients with PCI (HR=1.289, 95% CI: 1.052–1.580, P=0.014; HR=1.030, 95% CI: 1.019–1.042, P<0.001; HR=1.758, 95% CI: 1.365–2.264, P<0.001; HR=1.264, 95% CI: 1.040–1.537, P=0.019); gender, hyperlipidemia, anticoagulant drugs like low molecular weight heparin or sulfonate were the independent risk factors for bleeding events (HR=1.579,95% CI 1.085–2. 297, P=0.017; HR=1.305, 95% CI 1.005–1.695, P=0.046; HR=1.321, 95% CI 1.002–1.741, P=0.048; HR=1.659, 95% CI 1.198–2.298, P=0.002). Conclusion The incidence of minor bleeding in women with PCAD is significantly higher than that in men; After adjusting for various risk factors, gender is an independent risk factor for minor bleeding events, but not an independent risk factor for MACCE in patients with PCAD. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): National Science and Technology Support Program of China

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Potential relation of cardiovascular risk factors to disease activity in patients with axial spondyloarthritis

Therapeutic Advances in Musculoskeletal Disease ◽

10.1177/1759720x211033755 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 13 ◽

pp. 1759720X2110337

Author(s):

Iván Ferraz-Amaro ◽

Javier Rueda-Gotor ◽

Fernanda Genre ◽

Alfonso Corrales ◽

Ricardo Blanco ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Risk Factor ◽

Ankylosing Spondylitis ◽

Disease Activity ◽

Axial Spondyloarthritis ◽

Multivariable Analysis ◽

Activity Score ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Activity Measurements ◽

Beta Coefficient

Background: Axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA) patients are known to have a higher prevalence of several comorbidities, including, among others, an increased risk of atherosclerosis, hypertension, dyslipidemia, and diabetes. The purpose of the present study was to determine whether the sum of traditional cardiovascular (CV) risk factors is related to disease characteristics, such as disease activity, in patients with axSpA. Methods: A cross-sectional study that encompassed 804 patients with axSpA was conducted. Patients were assessed for the presence of five traditional CV risk factors (diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, hypertension, obesity, and smoking status), and disease activity measurements. A multivariable regression analysis was performed to evaluate whether the number of classic CV risk factors was independently associated with specific features of the disease, to include disease activity. Results: A multivariable analysis showed that Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Score–C reactive protein (ASDAS-CRP) activity score was significantly higher in patients with 1 [beta coefficient 0.3 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.1–0.5), p = 0.001] and ⩾2 [beta coefficient 0.5 (95% CI 0.3–0.7), p = 0.000] CV risk factors compared with those without CV risk factors. Similarly, patients with 1 [OR 2.00 (95%CI 0.99–4.02), p = 0.053] and ⩾2 [OR 3.39 (95%CI 1.82–6.31), p = 0.000] CV risk factors had a higher odds ratio for the presence of high disease activity compared with the zero CV category. The Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Index (BASDAI) activity score was significantly associated with the number of CV risk factors, being higher in patients with more CV risk factors. These relationships showed a CV risk factor-dependent effect being beta coefficients and ORs higher for the effect of ⩾2 over 1 CV risk factor. Conclusion: Among patients with axSpA, as the number of traditional CV risk factors increased, disease activity similarly increases in an independent manner.

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Imipenem Resistance in Pseudomonas aeruginosa Emergence, Epidemiology, and Impact on Clinical and Economic Outcomes

Infection Control and Hospital Epidemiology ◽

10.1086/649021 ◽

2010 ◽

Vol 31 (1) ◽

pp. 47-53 ◽

Cited By ~ 69

Author(s):

Ebbing Lautenbach ◽

Marie Synnestvedt ◽

Mark G. Weiner ◽

Warren B. Bilker ◽

Lien Vo ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Pseudomonas Aeruginosa ◽

Risk Factor ◽

Hospital Stay ◽

Hospital Cost ◽

Independent Risk Factor ◽

Multivariable Analysis ◽

Economic Outcomes ◽

Imipenem Resistance ◽

Hospital Acquired ◽

Control Study

Background.Pseudomonas aeruginosa is one of the most common gram-negative hospital-acquired pathogens. Resistance of this organism to imipenem complicates treatment.Objective.To elucidate the risk factors for imipenem-resistant P. aeruginosa (IRPA) infection or colonization and to identify the effect of resistance on clinical and economic outcomes.Methods.Longitudinal trends in prevalence of IRPA from 2 centers were characterized during the period from 1989 through 2006. For P. aeruginosa isolates obtained during the period from 2001 through 2006, a case-control study was conducted to investigate the association between prior carbapenem use and IRPA infection or colonization, and a cohort study was performed to identify the effect of IRPA infection or colonization on mortality, length of stay after culture, and hospital cost after culture.Results.From 1989 through 2006, the proportion of P. aeruginosa isolates demonstrating resistance to imipenem increased from 13% to 20% (P< .001, trend). During the period from 2001 through 2006, there were 2,542 unique patients with P. aeruginosa isolates, and 253 (10.0%) had IRPA isolates. Prior carbapenem use was independently associated with IRPA infection or colonization (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 7.92 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 4.78-13.11]). Patients with an IRPA isolate recovered had higher in-hospital mortality than did patients with an imipenem-susceptible P. aeruginosa isolate (17.4% vs 13.4%; P = .01). IRPA infection or colonization was an independent risk factor for mortality among patients with isolates recovered from blood (adjusted OR, 5.43 [95% CI, 1.72-17.10]; P = .004) but not among patients with isolates recovered from other anatomic sites (adjusted OR, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.51-1.21]; P = .27). Isolation of IRPA was associated with longer hospital stay after culture (P<.001) and greater hospital cost after culture (P<.001) than was isolation of an imipenem-susceptible strain. In multivariable analysis, IRPA infection or colonization remained an independent risk factor for both longer hospital stay after culture (coefficient, 0.20 [95% CI, 0.04-0.36]; P = .02) and greater hospital cost after culture (coefficient, 0.30 [95% CI, 0.06-0.54]; P = .02).Conclusions.The prevalence of IRPA infection or colonization has increased significantly, with important implications for both clinical and economic outcomes. Interventions to curb this continued increase and strategies to optimize therapy are urgently needed.

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Risk Factors for Aortic Valve Calcification in Patients on Regular Hemodialysis

The International Journal of Artificial Organs ◽

10.1177/039139880903200308 ◽

2009 ◽

Vol 32 (3) ◽

pp. 173-179 ◽

Cited By ~ 4

Author(s):

Dejan Petrović ◽

Radmila Obrenović ◽

Biljana Stojimirović

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Risk Factor ◽

Aortic Valve ◽

Independent Risk Factor ◽

Multivariate Logistic Regression Analysis ◽

Multivariate Logistic Regression ◽

Aortic Valve Calcification ◽

Valve Calcification ◽

Regular Hemodialysis

Introduction Aortic valve calcification (AVC) accelerates development of aortic valve stenosis and cardiovascular complications. Hyperphosphatemia is one of the key risk factors for aortic valve calcification. Aim The aim of this study was to evaluate the prevalence of AVC in patients on regular hemodialysis and to assess the impact of different factors on its appearance. Method: The study investigated a total of 115 patients treated in the Hemodialysis Department of the Urology and Nephrology Clinic at the Kragujevac Clinical Center in Serbia. The variables investigated were: serum albumin, C-reactive protein (CRP), homocysteine, total cholesterol, LDL-cholesterol (LDL-C), HDL-cholesterol (HDL-C), triglycerides (TG), Apolipoprotein A-I (Apo A-I), Apolipoprotein B (Apo B) and lipoprotein (a), calcium, phosphate and parathormone, and calcium-phosphorus product (Ca × P). Patients were evaluated by echocardiography for AVC. Statistical analysis included univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. Results Univariate regression analysis showed that serum phosphate levels and Ca × P are the most important risk factors for AVC (p<0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that hyperphosphatemia is an independent risk factor for AVC (p<0.001). Conclusion Hyperphosphatemia is an independent risk factor for aortic valve calcification.

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Abstract P146: Uric Acid is an Independent Risk Factor for Developing Hypertension From Prehypertension: A 5-year Japanese Cohort Study

Hypertension ◽

10.1161/hyp.70.suppl_1.p146 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 70 (suppl_1) ◽

Author(s):

Masanari Kuwabara ◽

Shigeko Hara ◽

Koichiro Niwa ◽

Minoru Ohno ◽

Ichiro Hisatome

Keyword(s):

Diabetes Mellitus ◽

Risk Factors ◽

Blood Pressure ◽

Body Mass Index ◽

Uric Acid ◽

Risk Factor ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Serum Uric Acid ◽

Independent Risk Factor ◽

Drinking Habits

Objectives: Prehypertension frequently progresses to hypertension and is associated with cardiovascular diseases, stroke, excess morbidity and mortality. However, the identical risk factors for developing hypertension from prehypertension are not clarified. This study is conducted to clarify the risks. Methods: We conducted a retrospective 5-year cohort study using the data from 3,584 prehypertensive Japanese adults (52.1±11.0 years, 2,081 men) in 2004 and reevaluated it 5 years later. We calculated the cumulative incidences of hypertension over 5 years, then, we detected the risk factors and calculated odds ratios (ORs) for developing hypertension by crude analysis and after adjustments for age, sex, body mass index, smoking and drinking habits, baseline systolic and diastolic blood pressure, pulse rate, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, chronic kidney disease, and serum uric acid. We also evaluated whether serum uric acid (hyperuricemia) provided an independent risk for developing hypertension. Results: The cumulative incidence of hypertension from prehypertension over 5 years was 25.3%, but there were no significant differences between women and men (24.4% vs 26.0%, p=0.28). The cumulative incidence of hypertension in subjects with hyperuricemia (n=726) was significantly higher than those without hyperuricemia (n=2,858) (30.7% vs 24.0%, p<0.001). After multivariable adjustments, the risk factors for developing hypertension from prehypertension were age (OR per 1 year increased: 1.023; 95% CI, 1.015-1.032), women (OR versus men: 1.595; 95% CI, 1.269-2.005), higher body mass index (OR per 1 kg/m 2 increased: 1.051; 95% CI 1.021-1.081), higher baseline systolic blood pressure (OR per 1 mmHg increased: 1.072; 95% CI, 1.055-1.089) and diastolic blood pressure (OR per 1 mmHg increased: 1.085; 95% CI, 1.065-1.106), and higher serum uric acid (OR pre 1 mg/dL increased: 1.149; 95% CI, 1.066-1.238), but not smoking and drinking habits, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, and chronic kidney diseases. Conclusions: Increased serum uric acid is an independent risk factor for developing hypertension from prehypertension. Intervention studies are needed to clarify whether the treatments for hyperuricemia in prehypertensive subjects are useful.

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Abstract T P136: Potential Contributors to the Declining Impact of Stroke Risk Factors with Age: Implications for Stroke Epidemiology in the Elderly

Stroke ◽

10.1161/str.45.suppl_1.tp136 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 45 (suppl_1) ◽

Author(s):

George Howard ◽

Mary Cushman ◽

Maciej Banach ◽

Brett M Kissela ◽

David C Goff ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Risk Factor ◽

Stroke Risk ◽

Multivariable Analysis ◽

The Elderly ◽

Stroke Risk Factors ◽

Age Related ◽

Increased Risk ◽

The Impact ◽

Age Related Changes

Purpose: The importance of stroke research in the elderly is increasing as America is “graying.” For most risk factors for most diseases (including stroke), the magnitude of association with incident events decreases at older ages. Potential changes in the impact of risk factors could be a “true” effect, or could be due to methodological issues such as age-related changes in residual confounding. Methods: REGARDS followed 27,748 stroke-free participants age 45 and over for an average of 5.3 years, during which 715 incident strokes occurred. The association of the “Framingham” risk factors (hypertension [HTN], diabetes, smoking, AFib, LVH and heart disease) with incident stroke risk was assessed in age strata of 45-64 (Young), 65-74 (Middle), and 75+ (Old). For those with and without an “index” risk factor (e.g., HTN), the average number of “other” risk factors was calculated. Results: With the exception of AFib, there was a monotonic decrease in the magnitude of the impact across the age strata, with HTN, diabetes, smoking and LVH even becoming non-significant in the elderly (Figure 1). However, for most factors, the increasing prevalence of other risk factors with age impacts primarily those with the index risk factor absent (Figure 2, example HTN as the “index” risk factor). Discussion: The impact of stroke risk factors substantially declined at older ages. However, this decrease is partially attributable to increases in the prevalence of other risk factors among those without the index risk factor, as there was little change in the prevalence of other risk factors in those with the index risk factor. Hence, the impact of the index risk factor is attenuated by increased risk in the comparison group. If this phenomenon is active with latent risk factors, estimates from multivariable analysis will also decrease with age. A deeper understanding of age-related changes in the impact of risk factors is needed.

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