Coronavirus Disease-2019 Survival in Mexico: A Cohort Study on the Interaction of the Associated Factors

The pandemic caused by the new coronavirus Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) is currently affecting more than 200 countries. The most lethal clinical presentation is respiratory insufficiency, requiring attention in intensive care units (ICU). The most susceptible people are over 60 years old with comorbidities. The health systems organization may represent a transcendental role in survival.Objective: To analyze the correlation of sociodemographic factors, comorbidities and health system organization variables with survival in cases infected by SARS-CoV-2 during the first 7 months of the pandemic in Mexico.Methods: The cohort study was performed in a health system public basis from March 1st to September 30th, 2020. The included subjects were positive for the SARS-CoV-2 test, and the target variable was mortality in 60 days. The risk variables studied were: age, sex, geographic distribution, comorbidities, health system, hospitalization, and access to ICU. Bivariate statistics (X2-test), calculation of fatality rates, survival analyses and adjustment of confusing variables with Cox proportional-hazards were performed.Results: A total of 753,090 subjects were analyzed, of which the 52% were men. There were 78,492 deaths (10.3% of general fatality and 43% inpatient). The variables associated with a higher risk of hospital mortality were age (from 60 years onwards), care in public sectors, geographic areas with higher numbers of infection and endotracheal intubation without management in the ICU.Conclusions: The variables associated with a lower survival in cases affected by SARS-CoV-2 were age, comorbidities, and respiratory insufficiency (with endotracheal intubation without care in the ICU). Additionally, an interaction was observed between the geographic location and health sector where they were treated.

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Bidirectional Association Between Knee Osteoarthritis and Depressive Symptoms: A Nationwide Cohort Study

Innovation in Aging ◽

10.1093/geroni/igaa057.710 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 4 (Supplement_1) ◽

pp. 220-220

Author(s):

Han Lu ◽

Shaomei Shang ◽

Limin Wang ◽

Hongbo Chen

Keyword(s):

Cohort Study ◽

Depressive Symptoms ◽

Knee Osteoarthritis ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Depression Scale ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Depression Symptoms ◽

Physical And Mental Health ◽

Bidirectional Association ◽

Bidirectional Relationship

Abstract Both knee osteoarthritis (KOA) and depressive symptoms are common health issues affecting the quality of life of old adults. Although it is presumed that KOA has a bidirectional relationship with the depressive symptoms, no cohort study has proven it. This is the first study to determine the strength of association for the bidirectional relationship between KOA and depressive symptoms. Data were gathered from the nationally survey of China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study in 2011-2015. The presence of depressive symptoms was defined by the 10-item Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale score of 10 or higher. The adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression model was conducted to estimate hazards ratios (HRs). Controlled covariates include gender, age, education, marital status, residence, number of chronic diseases, and disability. The analysis of KOA predicting the depressive symptoms onset consisted of 4,377 participants free from depressive symptoms at baseline. During 4 years follow-up, diagnosed KOA participants were more likely to have depressive symptoms than their peers without KOA (HR = 1.50, 95% CI: 1.23-1.83). The parallel analysis of depressive symptoms predicting KOA onset included 6,848 participants without KOA at baseline, those with depressive symptoms had a higher relative risk of developing KOA (HR = 1.64, 95% CI: 1.41-1.92). Our results provide compelling evidence that the KOA-depressive symptoms association is bidirectional, highlighting the importance of evaluating the relationship between physical and mental health among older people. Particularly, taking this association into consideration in the risk assessment and primary prevention of KOA and depression symptoms.

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The incidence of mental disorder increases after hip fracture in older people: a nationwide cohort study

BMC Geriatrics ◽

10.1186/s12877-021-02195-w ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 21 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Ling-Yin Kuo ◽

Po-Ting Hsu ◽

Wen-Tien Wu ◽

Ru-Ping Lee ◽

Jen-Hung Wang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Cohort Study ◽

Hip Fracture ◽

Geriatric Patients ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Control Group ◽

Research Database ◽

Fracture Group ◽

Related Risk ◽

And Control

Abstract Background People living with dementia seem to be more likely to experience delirium following hip fracture. The association between mental disorders (MD) and hip fracture remains controversial. We conducted a nationwide study to examine the prevalence of MD in geriatric patients with hip fractures undergoing surgery and conducted a related risk factor analysis. Material and methods This retrospective cohort study used data from Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Research Database between 2000 and 2012 and focused on people who were older than 60 years. Patients with hip fracture undergoing surgical intervention and without hip fracture were matched at a ratio of 1:1 for age, sex, comorbidities, and index year. The incidence and hazard ratios of age, sex, and multiple comorbidities related to MD and its subgroups were calculated using Cox proportional hazards regression models. Results A total of 1408 patients in the hip fracture group and a total of 1408 patients in the control group (no fracture) were included. The overall incidence of MD for the hip fracture and control groups per 100 person-years were 0.8 and 0.5, respectively. Among MD, the incidences of transient MD, depression, and dementia were significantly higher in the hip fracture group than in the control group. Conclusions The prevalence of newly developed MD, especially transient MD, depression, and dementia, was higher in the geriatric patients with hip fracture undergoing surgery than that in the control group. Prompt and aggressive prevention protocols and persistent follow-up of MD development is highly necessary in this aged society.

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Regular Use of VKA Prior to COVID-19 Associated with Lower 7-Day Survival in Hospitalized Frail Elderly COVID-19 Patients: The GERIA-COVID Cohort Study

Nutrients ◽

10.3390/nu13010039 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 13 (1) ◽

pp. 39

Author(s):

Pierre Ménager ◽

Olivier Brière ◽

Jennifer Gautier ◽

Jérémie Riou ◽

Guillaume Sacco ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Cohort Study ◽

Vitamin K ◽

Frail Elderly ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Clinical Severity ◽

Survival Times ◽

Short Term Mortality

Background. Vitamin K concentrations are inversely associated with the clinical severity of COVID-19. The objective of this cohort study was to determine whether the regular use of vitamin K antagonist (VKA) prior to COVID-19 was associated with short-term mortality in frail older adults hospitalized for COVID-19. Methods. Eighty-two patients consecutively hospitalized for COVID-19 in a geriatric acute care unit were included. The association of the regular use of VKA prior to COVID-19 with survival after 7 days of COVID-19 was examined using a propensity-score-weighted Cox proportional-hazards model accounting for age, sex, severe undernutrition, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, prior myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, prior stroke and/or transient ischemic attack, CHA2DS2-VASc score, HAS-BLED score, and eGFR. Results. Among 82 patients (mean ± SD age 88.8 ± 4.5 years; 48% women), 73 survived COVID-19 at day 7 while 9 died. There was no between-group difference at baseline, despite a trend for more frequent use of VKA in those who did not survive on day 7 (33.3% versus 8.2%, p = 0.056). While considering “using no VKA” as the reference (hazard ratio (HR) = 1), the HR for 7-day mortality in those regularly using VKA was 5.68 [95% CI: 1.17; 27.53]. Consistently, COVID-19 patients using VKA on a regular basis had shorter survival times than the others (p = 0.031). Conclusions. Regular use of VKA was associated with increased mortality at day 7 in hospitalized frail elderly patients with COVID-19.

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Abstract MP53: Consumption Of Ultra-processed Food Is Associated With Risk Of Coronary Heart Disease In The Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities Study

Circulation ◽

10.1161/circ.143.suppl_1.mp53 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 143 (Suppl_1) ◽

Author(s):

Shutong Du ◽

Hyunju Kim ◽

Josef Coresh ◽

Casey M Rebholz

Keyword(s):

Coronary Heart Disease ◽

Heart Disease ◽

Food Intake ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Sociodemographic Factors ◽

Incidence Rates ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Processed Food ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Food And Drink

Introduction: Ultra-processed food defined as food and drink products formulated through sequences of industrial processes, and generally contain non-culinary used additives. Previous studies have linked higher ultra-processed food intake with several cardiometabolic and cardiovascular diseases. However, longitudinal evidence from US populations remains scarce. Hypothesis: We hypothesized that higher intake of ultra-processed food is associated with higher risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). Methods: We selected 12,607 adults aged 44-66 years in 4 US communities from the ARIC study at baseline. Dietary intake data were collected through a validated 66-item food frequency questionnaire. Ultra-processed foods were defined using the NOVA classification and the level of intake was calculated for each participant. We conducted Cox proportional hazards models to study the association between quartiles of ultra-processed food intake and incident CHD. Nonlinearity was assessed by using restricted cubic spline regression. Results: There were 1,899 incident CHD cases documented after an median follow up of 27 years (291,285.2 person-years). Incidence rates were higher in the highest quartile of ultra-processed food intake (71.6 per 10,000 person-years; 95% CI, 65.8-78.0) compared to the lowest quartile (59.7 per 10,000 person-years; 95% CI, 54.3-65.7). Participants in the highest vs. lowest quartile were associated with a 18% higher risk of CHD (Hazard ratio 1.18 [95% CI, 1.04 - 1.34]; P-trend = 0.010) after adjusting for sociodemographic factors and health behaviors. An approximately linear relationship was observed between ultra-processed food intake and risk of CHD after 4 servings/day ( Figure ). Conclusion: In conclusion, higher ultra-processed food intake was associated with a higher risk of coronary heart disease among middle-aged US adults. Further prospective studies are needed to confirm these findings and to investigate the mechanisms by which ultra-processed food may affect health.

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Creatinine-to-body weight ratio is a predictor of incident diabetes: a population-based retrospective cohort study

Diabetology & Metabolic Syndrome ◽

10.1186/s13098-021-00776-8 ◽

2022 ◽

Vol 14 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Jiacheng He

Keyword(s):

Body Weight ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Retrospective Cohort Study ◽

Retrospective Cohort ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Weight Ratio ◽

Threshold Effect ◽

Population Based ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Incident Type

Abstract Purpose Creatinine to body weight (Cre/BW) ratio is considered the independent risk factor for incident type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), but research on this relationship is limited. The relationship between the Cre/BW ratio and T2DM among Chinse individuals is still ambiguous. This study aimed to evaluate the correlation between the Cre/BW ratio and the risk of T2DM in the Chinese population. Methods This is a retrospective cohort study from a prospectively collected database. We included a total of 200,658 adults free of T2DM at baseline. The risk of incident T2DM according to Cre/BW ratio was estimated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models, and a two-piece wise linear regression model was developed to find out the threshold effect. Results With a median follow-up of 3.13 ± 0.94 years, a total of 4001 (1.99%) participants developed T2DM. Overall, there was an L-shaped relation of Cre/BW ratio with the risk of incident T2DM (P for non-linearity < 0.001). When the Cre/BW ratio (× 100) was less than 0.86, the risk of T2DM decreased significantly as the Cre/BW ratio increased [0.01 (0.00, 0.10), P < 0.001]. When the Cre/BW ratio (× 100) was between 0.86 and 1.36, the reduction in the risk of developing T2DM was not as significant as before [0.22 (0.12, 0.38), P < 0.001]. In contrast, when the Cre/BW ratio (× 100) was greater than 1.36, the reduction in T2DM incidence became significantly flatter than before [0.73 (0.29,1.8), P = 0.49]. Conclusion There was an L-shaped relation of Cre/BW ratio with incidence of T2DM in general Chinese adults. A negative curvilinear association between Cre/BW ratio and incident T2DM was present, with a saturation effect predicted at 0.86 and 1.36 of Cre/BW ratio (× 100).

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Prevalence and Prognostic Value of Heart Failure Stages: An Elderly Inpatient Based Cohort Study

Frontiers in Medicine ◽

10.3389/fmed.2021.639453 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 8 ◽

Author(s):

Pei-Pei Zheng ◽

Si-Min Yao ◽

Di Guo ◽

Ling-ling Cui ◽

Guo-Bin Miao ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Heart Failure ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Prognostic Value ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Regression Tree ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Hospitalized Patients ◽

Classification And Regression Tree ◽

Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models

Background: The prevalence and prognostic value of heart failure (HF) stages among elderly hospitalized patients is unclear.Methods: We conducted a prospective, observational, multi-center, cohort study, including hospitalized patients with the sample size of 1,068; patients were age 65 years or more, able to cooperate with the assessment and to complete the echocardiogram. Two cardiologists classified all participants in various HF stages according to 2013 ACC/AHA HF staging guidelines. The outcome was rate of 1-year major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). The Kaplan–Meier method and Cox proportional hazards models were used for survival analyses. Survival classification and regression tree analysis were used to determine the optimal cutoff of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) to predict MACE.Results: Participants' mean age was 75.3 ± 6.88 years. Of them, 4.7% were healthy and without HF risk factors, 21.0% were stage A, 58.7% were stage B, and 15.6% were stage C/D. HF stages were associated with worsening 1-year survival without MACE (log-rank χ2 = 69.62, P < 0.001). Deterioration from stage B to C/D was related to significant increases in HR (3.636, 95% CI, 2.174–6.098, P < 0.001). Patients with NT-proBNP levels over 280.45 pg/mL in stage B (HR 2; 95% CI 1.112–3.597; P = 0.021) and 11,111.5 pg/ml in stage C/D (HR 2.603, 95% CI 1.014–6.682; P = 0.047) experienced a high incidence of MACE adjusted for age, sex, and glomerular filtration rate.Conclusions : HF stage B, rather than stage A, was most common in elderly inpatients. NT-proBNP may help predict MACE in stage B.Trial Registration: ChiCTR1800017204; 07/18/2018.

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Associations between SARS-CoV-2 variants and risk of COVID-19 hospitalization among confirmed cases in Washington State: a retrospective cohort study

10.1101/2021.09.29.21264272 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Miguel I. Paredes ◽

Stephanie Lunn ◽

Michael Famulare ◽

Lauren A. Frisbie ◽

Ian Painter ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Cohort Study ◽

Retrospective Cohort Study ◽

Retrospective Cohort ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Sentinel Surveillance ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Ancestral Lineage ◽

Significant Difference

Background: The COVID–19 pandemic is now dominated by variant lineages; the resulting impact on disease severity remains unclear. Using a retrospective cohort study, we assessed the risk of hospitalization following infection with nine variants of concern or interest (VOC/VOI). Methods: Our study includes individuals with positive SARS–CoV–2 RT PCR in the Washington Disease Reporting System and with available viral genome data, from December 1, 2020 to July 30, 2021. The main analysis was restricted to cases with specimens collected through sentinel surveillance. Using a Cox proportional hazards model with mixed effects, we estimated hazard ratios (HR) for the risk of hospitalization following infection with a VOC/VOI, adjusting for age, sex, and vaccination status. Findings: Of the 27,814 cases, 23,170 (83.3%) were sequenced through sentinel surveillance, of which 726 (3.1%) were hospitalized due to COVID–19. Higher hospitalization risk was found for infections with Gamma (HR 3.17, 95% CI 2.15–4.67), Beta (HR: 2.97, 95% CI 1.65–5.35), Delta (HR: 2.30, 95% CI 1.69–3.15), and Alpha (HR 1.59, 95% CI 1.26–1.99) compared to infections with an ancestral lineage. Following VOC infection, unvaccinated patients show a similar higher hospitalization risk, while vaccinated patients show no significant difference in risk, both when compared to unvaccinated, ancestral lineage cases. Interpretation: Infection with a VOC results in a higher hospitalization risk, with an active vaccination attenuating that risk. Our findings support promoting hospital preparedness, vaccination, and robust genomic surveillance.

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Associations of regular glucosamine use with all-cause and cause-specific mortality: a large prospective cohort study

Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases ◽

10.1136/annrheumdis-2020-217176 ◽

2020 ◽

pp. annrheumdis-2020-217176 ◽

Cited By ~ 6

Author(s):

Zhi-Hao Li ◽

Xiang Gao ◽

Vincent CH Chung ◽

Wen-Fang Zhong ◽

Qi Fu ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Cohort Study ◽

Prospective Cohort Study ◽

Prospective Cohort ◽

Digestive Disease ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Respiratory Mortality ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

Specific Mortality ◽

Large Prospective Cohort

ObjectivesTo evaluate the associations of regular glucosamine use with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in a large prospective cohort.MethodsThis population-based prospective cohort study included 495 077 women and men (mean (SD) age, 56.6 (8.1) years) from the UK Biobank study. Participants were recruited from 2006 to 2010 and were followed up through 2018. We evaluated all-cause mortality and mortality due to cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, respiratory and digestive disease. HRs and 95% CIs for all-cause and cause-specific mortality were calculated using Cox proportional hazards models with adjustment for potential confounding variables.ResultsAt baseline, 19.1% of the participants reported regular use of glucosamine supplements. During a median follow-up of 8.9 years (IQR 8.3–9.7 years), 19 882 all-cause deaths were recorded, including 3802 CVD deaths, 8090 cancer deaths, 3380 respiratory disease deaths and 1061 digestive disease deaths. In multivariable adjusted analyses, the HRs associated with glucosamine use were 0.85 (95% CI 0.82 to 0.89) for all-cause mortality, 0.82 (95% CI 0.74 to 0.90) for CVD mortality, 0.94 (95% CI 0.88 to 0.99) for cancer mortality, 0.73 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.81) for respiratory mortality and 0.74 (95% CI 0.62 to 0.90) for digestive mortality. The inverse associations of glucosamine use with all-cause mortality seemed to be somewhat stronger among current than non-current smokers (p for interaction=0.00080).ConclusionsRegular glucosamine supplementation was associated with lower mortality due to all causes, cancer, CVD, respiratory and digestive diseases.

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A Comprehensive Analysis of Treatment Management and Survival Outcomes in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Otolaryngology ◽

10.1177/0194599820973241 ◽

2020 ◽

pp. 019459982097324

Author(s):

Khodayar Goshtasbi ◽

Brandon M. Lehrich ◽

Jack L. Birkenbeuel ◽

Arash Abiri ◽

Jeremy P. Harris ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Clinical Stage ◽

Sociodemographic Factors ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Stage Iii ◽

Definitive Treatment ◽

National Cancer Database ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Undifferentiated Histology

Objectives To comprehensively investigate nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) treatment, overall survival (OS), and the influence of clinical/sociodemographic factors on outcome. Study Design Retrospective database study. Setting National Cancer Database. Methods The 2004-2015 National Cancer Database was queried for all patients with NPC receiving definitive treatment. Log-rank tests and Cox proportional hazards models were used for statistical analyses. Results A total of 8260 patients with NPC were included (71.4% male; 42.5% with keratinizing histology; mean ± SD age, 52.1 ± 15.1 years), with a 5-year OS of 63.4%. Multivariate predictors of mortality included age ≥65 years (hazard ratio [HR], 1.81; P < .001), Charlson/Deyo score ≥1 (HR, 1.27; P = .001), American Joint Committee on Cancer clinical stage III to IV (HR, 1.85; P < .001), and government insurance or no insurance (HR, 1.53; P < .001). Predictors of survival included female sex (HR, 0.82; P = .002), Asian/Pacific Islander race (HR, 0.74; P < .001), nonkeratinizing/undifferentiated histology (HR, 0.79; P = .004), and receiving treatment at academic centers (HR, 0.87; P = .02). Chemoradiotherapy (CRT) demonstrated improved OS as compared with radiotherapy (RT) only for stage II ( P = .006) and stage III ( P = .005) and with RT or chemotherapy only in stage IVA NPC ( P < .001). When compared with CRT alone, surgery plus CRT provided OS benefits in keratinizing ( P = .013) or stage IVA ( P = .030) NPC. When compared with RT, CRT provided OS benefits in keratinizing ( P = .005) but not nonkeratinizing ( P = .240) or undifferentiated ( P = .390) NPC. Substandard radiation dosing of <60 Gy and <30 fractions were associated with inferior OS (both P < .001). Conclusions NPC survival is dependent on a variety of clinical/sociodemographic factors. Stage-specific treatments with optimal OS include CRT or RT for stages I to II and CRT for stage III to IV. The large representation of nonendemic histology is valuable, as these cases are not well characterized.

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Risk of depressive disorders after tobacco smoking cessation: a retrospective cohort study in Fukuoka, Japan

BMJ Open ◽

10.1136/bmjopen-2018-025124 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 9 (3) ◽

pp. e025124 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Takako Fujita ◽

Akira Babazono ◽

Yumi Harano ◽

Peng Jiang

Keyword(s):

Smoking Cessation ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Survival Analysis ◽

Retrospective Cohort ◽

Depressive Disorders ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Significant Difference

ObjectiveWe sought to examine the effect of smoking cessation on subsequent development of depressive disorders.DesignThis was a retrospective cohort study.MethodsWe used administrative claim and health check data from fiscal years 2010 to 2014, obtained from the largest health insurance association in Fukuoka, Japan. Study participants were between 30 and 69 years old. The end-point outcome was incidence of depressive disorders. Survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards models were conducted. The evaluated potential confounders were sex, age, standard monthly income and psychiatric medical history.ResultsThe final number of participants was 87 255, with 7841 in the smoking cessation group and 79 414 in the smoking group. The result of survival analysis showed no significant difference in depressive disorders between the two groups. The results of Cox proportional hazards models showed no significant difference by multivariate analysis between participants, including users of smoking cessation medication (HR 1.04, 95% Cl 0.89 to 1.22) and excluding medication use (HR 0.97, 95% Cl 0.82 to 1.15).ConclusionsThe present study showed that there were no significant differences with respect to having depressive disorders between smoking cessation and smoking groups. We also showed that smoking cessation was not related to incidence of depressive disorders among participants, including and excluding users of smoking cessation medication, after adjusting for potential confounders. Although the results have some limitations because of the nature of the study design, our findings will provide helpful information to smokers, health professionals and policy makers for improving smoking cessation.

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