Investigation of the vertical structure of the lower atmosphere during heat wave conditions

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Till Fohrmann ◽  
Andreas Hense ◽  
Petra Friederichs
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Heat Wave ◽  
Extreme Events ◽  
Vertical Structure ◽  
Heat Waves ◽  
Lower Atmosphere ◽  
Vertical Profiles ◽  
Interesting Phenomenon ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Severity Levels

<p>The research on heat waves is strongly motivated by their impacts on human<br />life and the economy. Consequently, less research has been done on the<br />state of the lower atmosphere as a whole during these extreme events,<br />although it may play a role in the formation and persistence of heat<br />waves. Miralles et al. (2014) show that different factors must come<br />together to produce extremes such as the pronounced heat waves<br />in the year 2003 in France and 2010 in Russia. One interesting phenomenon<br />in this context is the emergence of an unusually deep boundary layer. The aim<br />of this work is to analyse whether this feature is a common trait of European<br />heat waves in general. To this end, we systematically investigate the vertical<br />structure and evolution of the lower atmosphere during heat waves in the<br />time period from 2014 to 2018. COSMO-REA6 data is used to find heatwaves<br />and provides vertical profiles of the atmosphere which we also compare<br />to radio sonde measurements. The results of our work could possibly be<br />used to improve the discriminability of different severity levels of heat waves or to<br />formulate a heat wave measure that is not based solely on surface variables.</p>

scholarly journals Northern Eurasian Heat Waves and Droughts

2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (9) ◽  
pp. 3169-3207 ◽  
Author(s):  
Siegfried D. Schubert ◽  
Hailan Wang ◽  
Randal D. Koster ◽  
Max J. Suarez ◽  
Pavel Ya. Groisman
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Heat Wave ◽  
Extreme Events ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
Heat Waves ◽  
Precipitation Variability ◽  
Northern Eurasia ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation ◽  
Warming World

Abstract This article reviews the understanding of the characteristics and causes of northern Eurasian summertime heat waves and droughts. Additional insights into the nature of temperature and precipitation variability in Eurasia on monthly to decadal time scales and into the causes and predictability of the most extreme events are gained from the latest generation of reanalyses and from supplemental simulations with the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System model, version 5 (GEOS-5). Key new results are 1) the identification of the important role of summertime stationary Rossby waves in the development of the leading patterns of monthly Eurasian surface temperature and precipitation variability (including the development of extreme events such as the 2010 Russian heat wave); 2) an assessment of the mean temperature and precipitation changes that have occurred over northern Eurasia in the last three decades and their connections to decadal variability and global trends in SST; and 3) the quantification (via a case study) of the predictability of the most extreme simulated heat wave/drought events, with some focus on the role of soil moisture in the development and maintenance of such events. A literature survey indicates a general consensus that the future holds an enhanced probability of heat waves across northern Eurasia, while there is less agreement regarding future drought, reflecting a greater uncertainty in soil moisture and precipitation projections. Substantial uncertainties remain in the understanding of heat waves and drought, including the nature of the interactions between the short-term atmospheric variability associated with such extremes and the longer-term variability and trends associated with soil moisture feedbacks, SST anomalies, and an overall warming world.

scholarly journals ANN and ARMA based thunderstorm prediction over Andhra Pradesh using INSAT 3D Satellite

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 4723-4726
Keyword(s):  
Satellite Data ◽  
Extreme Events ◽  
Heat Waves ◽  
Convective Cloud ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
Severe Thunderstorm ◽  
Severe Thunderstorms ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Faster Development ◽  
Heavy Rainfall Events

Extreme events such as severe thunderstorms, heat waves, cyclones, heavy rainfall events are increasing day by day in recent years over India. Out of all extreme events, thunderstorms are causing more damage and deaths when compared to others. Thunderstorms are tougher to be predicted in advance due to their faster development. In this paper, we tried to analyse two severe thunderstorm cases in premonsoon season for the time period 2017 and 2018 by using INSAT-3D satellite data. This satellite data helps us to monitor the convective cloud system every 30 minutes. Using this satellite data we are able to calculate the atmospheric indices like LI, KI, TTI and HI for every 30 minutes. After being analyzed by INSAT-3D satellite data, we tried to predict the peak stage of thunderstorms using ANN and ARMA techniques. The atmospheric based stability indices have been used as inputs for ANN & ARMA models inorder to achieve prediction. ANN prediction was better than ARMA prediction when compared to INSAT-3D satellite data

scholarly journals Modeled Contrast in the Response of the Surface Energy Balance to Heat Waves for Forest and Grassland

2014 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 973-989 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lennert B. Stap ◽  
Bart J. J. M. van den Hurk ◽  
Chiel C. van Heerwaarden ◽  
Roel A. J. Neggers
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Surface Energy ◽  
Heat Wave ◽  
Heat Waves ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Energy Fluxes ◽  
Surface Energy Fluxes ◽  
Wave Conditions ◽  
The Difference ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Observations have shown that differences in surface energy fluxes over grasslands and forests are amplified during heat waves. The role of land–atmosphere feedbacks in this process is still uncertain. In this study, a single-column model (SCM) is used to investigate the difference between forest and grassland in their energy response to heat waves. Three simulations for the period 2005–11 were carried out: a control run using vegetation characteristics for Cabauw (the Netherlands), a run where the vegetation is changed to 100% forest, and a run with 100% short grass as vegetation. A surface evaporation tendency equation is used to analyze the impact of the land–atmosphere feedbacks on evapotranspiration and sensible heat release under normal summer and heat wave conditions with excessive shortwave radiation. Land–atmosphere feedbacks modify the contrast in surface energy fluxes between forest and grass, particularly during heat wave conditions. The surface resistance feedback has the largest positive impact, while boundary layer feedbacks generally tend to reduce the contrast. Overall, forests give higher air temperatures and drier atmospheres during heat waves. In offline land surface model simulations, the difference between forest and grassland during heat waves cannot be diagnosed adequately owing to the absence of boundary layer feedbacks.

Occurrence and impacts of heat waves events in a glacierized basin in the subtropical Andes

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Claudio Bravo ◽  
Pablo Paredes ◽  
Nicolás Donoso ◽  
Sebastián Cisternas
Keyword(s):  
Heat Wave ◽  
Extreme Events ◽  
Heat Waves ◽  
Central Valley ◽  
Glacier Area ◽  
The Andes ◽  
Precipitation Decrease ◽  
Basin Scale ◽  
Meteorological Observations ◽  
The Impact

<p>Subtropical Andean glaciers are losing mass in response to the long-term atmospheric warming and precipitation decrease. Extreme events as heat waves, however, seems to potentially play a key role in the sustained ice loss detected in the last decades. Increased frequency of heat wave events have been detected in the central valley of Chile, however, the occurrence and impact of these events on the Andean cryosphere remain unknown. The main reason is associated with the lack of meteorological observations at higher elevations in the Andes. </p><p>In filling this gap, we present an assessment of the occurrence of heat waves in the glacierized Río Olivares basin (33°S), which comprise an elevation range between ~1500  and ~6000 m a.s.l. and where a strong ice loss has been detected during the last decades. The main aim is to analyse the correspondence of heat waves events occurred with those in the nearby city of Santiago located in the central valley of Chile and to assess the potential impacts of these events on the glaciers located in this basin. Using meteorological observations in Río Olivares basin and in Santiago between the years 2013 and 2020, heat wave events were determined. We estimated the heat wave events using the monthly 90th percentile and the adjustment of a harmonic function. An additional adjustment relative to the climate period 1981-2010 was also introduced. The results determined 66 events in the Río Olivares basin while in Santiago were 53 events. These results reveal high spatial variability in the occurrences of heat waves as only 49% of the events in Santiago were detected in the Río Olivares basin. Ongoing work is focused on analysing the impacts of these events over the glaciers of the basin. Here, through the use of the computed basin-scale 0°C isotherm, the relation between glacier area under melt (i.e. glacier area located below the 0°C isotherm) and the heat wave events will be shown. The findings of this works reinforce the need for more observational efforts over high elevations in the Andes in order to robustly assess and at a basin scale, the impact of extreme events on the Andean cryosphere.</p>

Bayesian Changepoint Analysis for Extreme Events (Typhoons, Heavy Rainfall, and Heat Waves): An RJMCMC Approach

2010 ◽  
Vol 23 (5) ◽  
pp. 1034-1046 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Zhao ◽  
Pao-Shin Chu
Keyword(s):  
Heat Wave ◽  
Extreme Events ◽  
Heavy Rainfall ◽  
Extreme Event ◽  
Heat Waves ◽  
Rare Event ◽  
Extreme Rainfall ◽  
Heavy Rainfall Event ◽  
Event Time ◽  
Chicago Area

Abstract A hierarchical Bayesian framework is developed to identify multiple abrupt regime shifts in an extreme event series. Specifically, extreme events are modeled as a Poisson process with a gamma-distributed rate. Multiple candidate hypotheses are considered, under each of which there presumably exist a certain number of abrupt shifts of the rate. A Bayesian network involving three layers—data, parameter, and hypothesis—is formulated. A reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo (RJMCMC) algorithm is developed to calculate posterior probability for each hypothesis as well its associated within-hypothesis parameters. Based on the proposed RJMCMC algorithm, a simulated example is designed to illustrate the effectiveness of the method. Subsequently, the algorithm is applied to three real, rare event time series: the annual typhoon counts over the western North Pacific (WNP), the annual extreme heavy rainfall event counts at the Honolulu airport, and the annual heat wave frequency in the Chicago area. Results indicate that the typhoon activity over the WNP is very likely to have undergone a decadal variation, with two change points occurring around 1972 and 1989 characterized by the active 1960–71 epoch, the inactive 1972–88 epoch, and the moderately active 1989–2006 epoch. For the extreme rainfall case, only one shift around 1970 is found and heavy rainfall frequency has remained stationary since then. There is no evidence that the rate of the annual heat wave counts in the Chicago area has had any abrupt change during the past 50 years.

scholarly journals Southeast Pacific stratocumulus clouds, precipitation and boundary layer structure sampled along 20° S during VOCALS-REx

2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (21) ◽  
pp. 10639-10654 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. S. Bretherton ◽  
R. Wood ◽  
R. C. George ◽  
D. Leon ◽  
G. Allen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Liquid Water ◽  
Vertical Structure ◽  
Layer Structure ◽  
Cloud Droplet ◽  
Free Troposphere ◽  
Liquid Water Path ◽  
Typical Structure ◽  
Southeast Pacific ◽  
Over The Top

Abstract. Multiplatform airborne, ship-based, and land-based observations from 16 October–15 November 2008 during the VOCALS Regional Experiment (REx) are used to document the typical structure of the Southeast Pacific stratocumulus-topped boundary layer and lower free troposphere on a~transect along 20° S between the coast of Northern Chile and a buoy 1500 km offshore. Strong systematic gradients in clouds, precipitation and vertical structure are modulated by synoptically and diurnally-driven variability. The boundary layer is generally capped by a strong (10–12 K), sharp inversion. In the coastal zone, the boundary layer is typically 1 km deep, fairly well mixed, and topped by thin, nondrizzling stratocumulus with accumulation-mode aerosol and cloud droplet concentrations exceeding 200 cm−3. Far offshore, the boundary layer depth is typically deeper (1600 m) and more variable, and the vertical structure is usually decoupled. The offshore stratocumulus typically have strong mesoscale organization, much higher peak liquid water paths, extensive drizzle, and cloud droplet concentrations below 100 cm−3, sometimes with embedded pockets of open cells with lower droplet concentrations. The lack of drizzle near the coast is not just a microphysical response to high droplet concentrations; smaller cloud depth and liquid water path than further offshore appear comparably important. Moist boundary layer air is heated and mixed up along the Andean slopes, then advected out over the top of the boundary layer above adjacent coastal ocean regions. Well offshore, the lower free troposphere is typically much drier. This promotes strong cloud-top radiative cooling and stronger turbulence in the clouds offshore. In conjunction with a slightly cooler free troposphere, this may promote stronger entrainment that maintains the deeper boundary layer seen offshore. Winds from ECMWF and NCEP operational analyses have an rms difference of only 1 m s−1 from collocated airborne leg-mean observations in the boundary layer and 2 m s−1 above the boundary layer. This supports the use of trajectory analysis for interpreting REx observations. Two-day back-trajectories from the 20° S transect suggest that eastward of 75° W, boundary layer (and often free-tropospheric) air has usually been exposed to South American coastal aerosol sources, while at 85° W, neither boundary-layer or free-tropospheric air has typically had such contact.

scholarly journals Meteorological observations of the coastal boundary layer structure at the Bulgarian Black Sea coast

2011 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 251-259 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Barantiev ◽  
M. Novitsky ◽  
E. Batchvarova
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Black Sea ◽  
Vertical Structure ◽  
Sonic Anemometer ◽  
Sea Breeze ◽  
Turbulence Measurements ◽  
Black Sea Coast ◽  
Meteorological Observatory ◽  
Sea Coast

Abstract. Continuous wind profile and turbulence measurements were initiated in July 2008 at the coastal meteorological observatory of Ahtopol on the Black Sea (south-east Bulgaria) under a Bulgarian-Russian collaborative program. These observations are the start of high resolution atmospheric boundary layer vertical structure climatology at the Bulgarian Black Sea coast using remote sensing technology and turbulence measurements. The potential of the measurement program with respect to this goal is illustrated with examples of sea breeze formation and characteristics during the summer of 2008. The analysis revealed three distinct types of weather conditions: no breeze, breeze with sharp frontal passage and gradually developing breeze. During the sea breeze days, the average wind speed near the ground (from sonic anemometer at 4.5 m and first layer of sodar at 30–40 m) did not exceed 3–4 m s−1. The onset of breeze circulation was detected based on surface layer measurements of air temperature (platinum sensor and acoustic), wind speed and direction, and turbulence parameters. The sodar measurements revealed the vertical structure of the wind field.

scholarly journals Summer temperature response to extreme soil water conditions in the Mediterranean transitional climate regime

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefano Materia ◽  
Constantin Ardilouze ◽  
Chloé Prodhomme ◽  
Markus G. Donat ◽  
Marianna Benassi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Soil Water ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Heat Waves ◽  
Climate Regime ◽  
Seasonal Forecasts ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Surface Temperatures ◽  
The Mediterranean

AbstractLand surface and atmosphere are interlocked by the hydrological and energy cycles and the effects of soil water-air coupling can modulate near-surface temperatures. In this work, three paired experiments were designed to evaluate impacts of different soil moisture initial and boundary conditions on summer temperatures in the Mediterranean transitional climate regime region. In this area, evapotranspiration is not limited by solar radiation, rather by soil moisture, which therefore controls the boundary layer variability. Extremely dry, extremely wet and averagely humid ground conditions are imposed to two global climate models at the beginning of the warm and dry season. Then, sensitivity experiments, where atmosphere is alternatively interactive with and forced by land surface, are launched. The initial soil state largely affects summer near-surface temperatures: dry soils contribute to warm the lower atmosphere and exacerbate heat extremes, while wet terrains suppress thermal peaks, and both effects last for several months. Land-atmosphere coupling proves to be a fundamental ingredient to modulate the boundary layer state, through the partition between latent and sensible heat fluxes. In the coupled runs, early season heat waves are sustained by interactive dry soils, which respond to hot weather conditions with increased evaporative demand, resulting in longer-lasting extreme temperatures. On the other hand, when wet conditions are prescribed across the season, the occurrence of hot days is suppressed. The land surface prescribed by climatological precipitation forcing causes a temperature drop throughout the months, due to sustained evaporation of surface soil water. Results have implications for seasonal forecasts on both rain-fed and irrigated continental regions in transitional climate zones.

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