scholarly journals Sunspots Influence on Climatic Variability of Karachi and Rohri

Author(s):  
Kanwal Aftab ◽  
Saifuddin Ahmed Jilani

The Sun is undoubtedly the most important thrust of the climate system. However, only little is known how variable this force is acting on different time scales ranging from minutes to millennia and how the climate system reacts to changes in this forcing. In the present study possible effect of solar activity on maximum temperature T (max) and minimum temperature T (min), humidity and precipitation have been investigated. The analysis comprises over a period of 2000-2015 that consists of the decreasing phase of solar cycle-23 and the increasing phase of solar cycle-24. To optimize the number of signicant trends, different phases of solar activity have been implemented there to observe the variation in climate of Karachi and Rohri in response of it. These detection and adjustment are carried out using the computer software Statistica and Minitab. Correlation analysis for different seasons of these two regions is performed in this study.    

New Astronomy ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 15 (6) ◽  
pp. 561-568 ◽  
Author(s):  
Neeraj Singh Bankoti ◽  
Navin Chandra Joshi ◽  
Seema Pande ◽  
Bimal Pande ◽  
Kavita Pandey

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 81-85
Author(s):  
Aleksandr Mikhalev

In the paper, variations of the night emission intensities in the 557.7 and 630 nm atomic oxygen lines [OI] in 2011–2019 have been analyzed. The analysis is based on data from the ISTP SB RAS Geophysical Observatory. The emission intensities are compared with atmospheric, solar, and geophysical parameters. High correlation coefficients between monthly average and annual average 630.0 nm emission intensities and solar activity indices F10.7 have been obtained. This suggests a key role of solar activity in variations of this emission in the period of interest. Variations of the 557.7 nm emission demonstrate to a greater extent the correlations of the stratospheric zonal wind (QBO.U30 index) with quasi-biennial oscillations. The causes of the weak dependence of the 557.7 nm emission intensity on solar activity in solar cycle 24 are discussed.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yasmina Bouderba ◽  
Ener Aganou ◽  
Abdenaceur Lemgharbi

<p>In this work we will show the behavior of the horizontal component H of the Earth Magnetic Field (EMF) along the seasons during the period of solar cycle 24 lasting from 2009 to 2019. By means of  continuous measurements of geomagnetic components (X, Y) of the EMF, we compute the horizontal component H at the Earth’s surface. The data are recorded with a time resolution of one minute at Tamanrasset observatory in Algeria at the geographical coordinates of 22.79° North and 5.53° East. These data are available from the INTERMAGNET network. We find that the variation in amplitude of the hourly average of H component at low latitude changes from a season to another and it is greater at the maximum solar activity than at the minimum solar activity.</p><p><strong>Keywords:</strong> Solar cycle 24, Season, Horizontal component H. </p>


2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (8) ◽  
pp. 157-168
Author(s):  
Wafaa H.A. Zaki

The ionosphere layer (F2) is known as the most important layer for High frequency (Hf) radio communication because it is a permanent layer and excited during the day and night so it is able to reflect the frequencies at night and day due to its high critical frequency, and this layer is affected by daily and monthly solar activity. In this study the characteristics and behavior of F2 layer during Solar cycle 24 were studied, the effect of Sunspots number (Ri) on the critical frequency (foF2), were investigated for the years (2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020) which represents the down phase of the solar cycle 24 over Erbil station (36° N, 44° E) by finding the critical frequency (foF2) values, the layer’ s impression times are determined for the days of solstice as well as equinox, where the solar activity was examined for the days of the winter and summer solstice and the days of the spring and autumn equinoxes for a period of 24 hours by applied the International Reference Ionosphere model IRI (2016). The output data for foF2 were verified by using the IRI-Ne- Quick option by specifying the time, date and Sunspot number parameters. Statistical analysis was caried out through the application of the Minitab (version 2018) in order to find the correlation between the critical frequency (foF2) of Ionospheric layer F2 and Sunspot number. It was concluded that the correlation is strong and positive, this indicate that critical frequency (foF2) increase with increasing Sunspots number (Ri) for solar cycle 24.


2011 ◽  
Vol 2011 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan-Erik Solheim ◽  
Kjell Stordahl ◽  
Ole Humlum

The long temperature series at Svalbard (Longyearbyen) show large variations and a positive trend since its start in 1912. During this period solar activity has increased, as indicated by shorter solar cycles. The temperature at Svalbard is negatively correlated with the length of the solar cycle. The strongest negative correlation is found with lags 10–12 years. The relations between the length of a solar cycle and the mean temperature in the following cycle are used to model Svalbard annual mean temperature and seasonal temperature variations. Residuals from the annual and winter models show no autocorrelations on the 5 per cent level, which indicates that no additional parameters are needed to explain the temperature variations with 95 per cent significance. These models show that 60 per cent of the annual and winter temperature variations are explained by solar activity. For the spring, summer, and fall temperatures autocorrelations in the residuals exist, and additional variables may contribute to the variations. These models can be applied as forecasting models. We predict an annual mean temperature decrease for Svalbard of °C from solar cycle 23 to solar cycle 24 (2009–20) and a decrease in the winter temperature of °C.


2020 ◽  
Vol 31 (4) ◽  
pp. 15
Author(s):  
Samar Abdalkaream Thabit ◽  
Loay E. George ◽  
Khalid A. Hadi

In this research, the seasonal Optimal Reliable Frequency (ORF) variations between different transmitter/receiver stations have been determined. Mosul, Baghdad, and Basra have been chosen as tested transmitting stations that located in the northern, center, and southern of Iraqi zone. In this research, the minimum and maximum years (2009 and 2014) of solar cycle 24 have been chosen to examine the effect of solar activity on the determined seasonal ORF parameter. Mathematical model has been proposed which leads to generate the Optimal Reliable Frequency that can maintain the seasonal connection links for different path lengths and bearings. The suggested ORF parameter represented by a different orders polynomial equation. The polynomial equation has been determined depending on different selected parameters (path length, bearing, time (day), months and BUF values). The suggested seasonal ORF parameter was examined for the three stations of the adopted years. The value of the seasonal ORF ionospheric parameter increased with the increase of path length and varies with the bearing between the transmitting and receiving stations also, the seasonal ORF values were higher at maximum solar cycle (2014) than the minimum solar cycle (2009).


2021 ◽  
Vol 61 (6) ◽  
pp. 801-809
Author(s):  
V. N. Ishkov

Abstract The problem of the distribution of extreme and very strong magnetic storms with intensities (G5, G4) in the first cycles (12 and 24) of epochs of lowered solar activity was considered based on homogeneous series of the geomagnetic index Aa with allowance for the modern scale of the intensity of disturbances in the near-Earth space and the scenario of solar cyclicity. The significant decrease in the number of such events and active solar phenomena in the last cycle may indicate that the sunspot and flare activity in solar cycle 12 was significantly higher than that in cycle 24, but it was significantly lower than in solar cycles of the epoch of increased solar activity.


2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (12) ◽  
pp. 1191-1196 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan Laštovička ◽  
Dalia Burešová ◽  
Daniel Kouba ◽  
Peter Križan

Abstract. Global climate change affects the whole atmosphere, including the thermosphere and ionosphere. Calculations of long-term trends in the ionosphere are critically dependent on solar activity (solar cycle) correction of ionospheric input data. The standard technique is to establish an experimental model via calculating the dependence of ionospheric parameter on solar activity from the whole analysed data set, subtract these model data from observed data and analyse the trend of residuals. However, if the solar activity dependence changes with time, the solar correction calculated from the whole data set may result in miscalculating the ionospheric trends. To test this, data from two European ionospheric stations – Juliusruh and Slough/Chilton – which provide long-term reliable data, have been used for the period 1975–2014. The main result of this study is the finding that the solar activity correction used in calculating ionospheric long-term trends need not be stable, as was assumed in all previous investigations of ionospheric trends. During the previous solar cycle 23 and the current solar cycle 24, the solar activity correction appears to be different from that for the previous period and the Sun seems to behave in a different way than throughout the whole previous era of ionospheric measurements. In future ionospheric trend investigations the non-stability of solar activity correction has to be very seriously taken into account, because it can substantially affect calculated long-term trends of ionospheric parameters.


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