scholarly journals Assessment and mapping of demographic potential of urbanized territories of the Baikal-Mongol region

2021 ◽  
Vol 885 (1) ◽  
pp. 012028
Author(s):  
N V Vorobyev ◽  
A N Vorobyev
Keyword(s):  
Urban Areas ◽  
Irkutsk Region ◽  
Quantitative Characteristics ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Population Structures ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
The Republic ◽  
And Migration ◽  
Population Demographic ◽  
Demographic Potential

Abstract This article provides an assessment of the demographic potential of the Baikal-Mongolian region, which unites the adjacent territories of the two countries. The cores of the research site are the urbanized territories of Irkutsk, Ulan-Ude and Ulan-Bator, and communications are railways and highways connecting the main centres. The demographic potential is characterized by the level and possibilities for the development of demographic processes and population structures, and mainly numerous quantitative characteristics of the population of the territory are used. The authors limited themselves to using quantitative characteristics of the demographic potential according to statistical data for 2019–2020 within the territories of the municipal districts and urban districts of the Irkutsk region, the Republic of Buryatia and aimags of Mongolia. Data on density and proportion of urban population reflect the size of the main urban areas. Data on demographic processes reflect the characteristics of the natural and migration movement of the population. Demographic structures are represented by the age structure and the demographic load of the working-age population, which is minimal throughout Mongolia and in the suburbs of Russian regional centres. Generalizing characteristics of demographic potential calculated from the average sum of individual indicators.

scholarly journals Globalization of Migration Processes: on the Threshold of the New Migration Reality

2018 ◽  
Vol 50 ◽  
pp. 01225
Author(s):  
Rakhmon Ulmasov ◽  
Nurali Kurbanov
Keyword(s):  
Social Unit ◽  
Underdeveloped Countries ◽  
Global Issues ◽  
Political Conflicts ◽  
Sharp Growth ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Important Idea ◽  
The Republic ◽  
And Migration ◽  
National Governments

In this paper, the authors address the global issues of migration on the threshold of a new migration reality. Migration is considered to be one of the most actively developing global issues at present as more and more people are crossing the border of their state for one reason or another. The authors determine a comprehensive analysis of issues, in particular, the accelerating processes of global warming, expanding social and political conflicts, economic crises, and migration collapse. All of these issues together indicate a very important idea: in all of its processes related to life, particularly in the area of migration, the world has reached the threshold of a New Reality. The authors have indicated with absolute accuracy those issues that need a most focused attention from national governments and international institutions. This way, there is an obvious fact that is paradoxical for many countries, especially the European ones: despite the complex socioeconomic situation, limited natural resources, rising unemployment, declining income, and increasing impelled migration, there is a sharp growth in population in the Republic of Tajikistan. Such demographic processes are a hallmark of predominantly poor and underdeveloped countries, where having many children is often the only factor of a family’s survival as a social unit.

INCREASING THE EFFICIENCY OF REGULATING DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES IN THE REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN

2020 ◽  
pp. 19-22
Keyword(s):  
Health Care ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Economic Efficiency ◽  
Healthcare Costs ◽  
State Regulation ◽  
The State ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Population Demographic ◽  
Health Care Efficiency

The article considers economic and health care efficiency of population growth in the Republic of Uzbekistan and develops scientific proposals and recommendations for improving the state regulation of demographic processes. Keywords: population, demographic processes, economic efficiency, healthcare costs.

scholarly journals Demographic changes in rural and semi-urban areas in Poland (2003-2016)

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 89-101
Author(s):  
Iwona Pomianek ◽  
Ana Kapaj
Keyword(s):  
Urban Areas ◽  
Small Towns ◽  
Natural Increase ◽  
Problem Area ◽  
Large Cities ◽  
Suburban Areas ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Urban Rural ◽  
Demographic Potential ◽  
Potential Level

The demographic potential, especially in the peripheral and remote areas, Has been deteriorating. Negative natural increase, low or negative migration balances, unfavourable values of the feminisation index and growing relation of the number of people at post-working age to the number of people at working age have been threatening rural development. The aim of the research was to show spatial concentrations of municipalities (LAU 2 level) with a similar level of demographic potential. The study was carried out for 2169 municipalities (LAU 2 level), including rural and semi-urban (urban-rural, including small towns) ones. It was based on the data from the Statistics Poland. The municipalities were are ranked by the level of demographic potential (by 4 variables) and put into 5 groups by the potential level using the taxonomic development measure of Hellwig. The results were presented in maps using cartogram method. The most favourable and promising situation according to demographic potential is observed in central and southern Poland, especially in semi-urban and suburban areas of large cities. The worst demographic potential level and at the same time the least favourable demographic forecasts concern mostly the Eastern Poland, already known as problem area. The spiral of negative conditions accelerates, causing more disadvantages, making young people looking for new places to work and live, deepening current demographic problems and leading to socio-economic development pathologies.

scholarly journals Demographic characteristics of the Moscow region at the beginning of the XXI century

2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 418-430
Author(s):  
Y. A. Olenin ◽  
I. V. Lebedeva
Keyword(s):  
Mortality Rate ◽  
Total Mortality ◽  
Moscow Region ◽  
Family Type ◽  
Working Population ◽  
Simple Arithmetic ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Population Demographic

The socio-economic development of the country and any region is influenced by many factors, among which the most important role belongs to the demographic, in a generalized form representing the demographic situation. The demographic situation is usually understood as the demographic situation, the state of demographic processes, the composition and placement of the population at a certain time in a country or a particular region. Thus, the analysis of the demographic situation is necessary for understanding the main parameters of the population, trends in their dynamics, forecasting the number, demographic structure, demographic behavior of the population. Objective: to conduct a comparative analysis of official statistical data on demographic processes (statics and population dynamics) in the Moscow region (MO) for 2000-2015. Materials and methods: at the first stage, the collection and analysis of information and statistical sources were carried out, requests were sent to the Federal and territorial state statistics services of the Russian Federation (Rosstat, Mosobstat, MIAC MO). At the second stage, the data on demographic processes in the Moscow region were copied from the responses of Rosstat, Mosobstat, MIAC MO and from the websites of relevant organizations. Statistical analysis included calculation of simple arithmetic mean, percentage values, economic and demographic burden on the working population, demographic factors and the efficiency of population growth. Results and conclusions. The population of the Moscow region at the beginning of the XXI century continues to increase, but mainly due to migrants arriving from neighboring regions of the country and abroad. Males constitute 46.2% of the population and females 53.8% (2015). Boys are born more than girls by 6% and this advantage is maintained until the age of 30. And starting from the age of 35, the number of women begins to prevail over the number of men by 3.5%. This trend continues to 75 years and older. Age groups of the region's population are formed according to the regressive type: children - 15.9%; working-age population - 59.8%, and persons older than working age - 24.3% (2015). The economic and demographic burden of children and the elderly on the working population is more than 40%. The birth rate in the region increased by 76.7% from 2000 to 2015 and was higher than in 1990. Analysis of the total fertility rate indicates that in the Moscow region remains mononuclear family type (1-2-child family), ie there is no expanded reproduction of the population. In children, and especially in working age, the mortality rate is higher in men than in women. In men, the mortality rate reaches 41% of the total mortality at the working age. The number of women who died in working age is 4 times less than men. The natural increase in the population of the Moscow region for 15 years of the XXI century has a small but negative value, since the population is decreasing, and the increase in the population is mainly due to high migration.

scholarly journals Modern demographic processes in urban areas of the Republic of Kazakhstan

2012 ◽  
Vol 18 (18) ◽  
pp. 99-108
Author(s):  
Gulnara Nyussupova ◽  
Indira Sarsenova
Keyword(s):  
Urban Areas ◽  
Population Movement ◽  
The Future ◽  
Natural Movement ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
The Republic ◽  
The Given ◽  
Mechanical Movement

AbstractThe result of the growth in cities’ population is the migratory and natural movement of the population. Special attention is given in this article to the research of natural movement of the population of cities of Kazakhstan; this indicator of natural movement of the population is defined by the demographic processes in the future. Therefore, the given information about the natural and mechanical movement of the population can be considered as the original generalizing indicators of the processes that happen in population movement.

What universities towns and cities gain from students’ retention? Evidence from Opole

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Diana Rokita-Poskart
Keyword(s):  
Young Women ◽  
Urban Areas ◽  
Younger Women ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
The University ◽  
Demographic Impact ◽  
Combined Data ◽  
Demographic Potential

The purpose of the study is to investigate the long run consequences of graduate’s retention by university towns and cities. It investigates hypothesis that the inflow of students to the university towns and cities among who dominate women, and their prosper to remain after graduation, cause surpluses of young women. The analysis presented in the article was conducted for Opole which is one of university towns in Opolskie Voivideship (region) in Poland. In the article, there were combined data applied – the results of the research was conducted in Opole among students and a range on statistic database from Opolskie Voivideship. The research has been conducted in 2016/2017 among more than 700 students of last academic years from all universities located in Opole. The data origins from Poland Statistics aggregated to the poviats of Opolskie region which are equivalent LAU-1. The most important findings proved that inflow of students to the towns and cities may create a huge demographic impact on the urban areas as some graduates remain in the university towns and cities after graduation. The most important is the fact that there are mostly younger women in working age population which affects the demographic potential of the urban area.

scholarly journals The influence of criminal deviation on the demographic processes in the Republic of Bashkortostan

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-101
Author(s):  
S. V. Egoryshev
Keyword(s):  
Social Economic ◽  
Population Decline ◽  
Economic Policies ◽  
Negative Consequences ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Social Economic Development

The current demographic situation in most regions of Russia is characterized by a number of negative trends associated with population decline, aging, low birth rate, high mortality, redistribution of migration flows and outflow of population, mainly of its young and working-age part, to the most economically developed regions, cities and abroad. Numerous factors influence the state and trends of demographic processes; this influence is studied and taken into account when the strategies of the demographic and social-economic policies of the country as a whole and its regions are considered. The social-economic development and its specific components including demographic processes are also determined by social deviations of a delinquent and criminal nature. The destructive consequences of criminal deviation for demographic processes are not obvious or critical, but they are manifested both directly (human losses) and indirectly (material and financial costs, increased mortality from alcohol, drugs, suicides, social exclusion of people who are sick or isolated due to deviations). Criminal deviation as a type of destructive social deviations is manifested mainly in crime and in those deviations that are its cause and corpus delicti. Based on the analysis of statistical and sociological data on the Republic of Bashkortostan, the author considers negative consequences of criminal deviation for the demographic situation and insists on the need to find effective measures to reduce them to a socially acceptable level (a criterion of such measures effectiveness).

scholarly journals ANALYSIS OF DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES IN IRKUTSK AREA AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF METHODS OF THEIR REGULATIONS FOR RESOLVING THE PROBLEMS OF DEPOPULATION

2020 ◽  
Vol 2018 (1) ◽  
pp. 267-272
Author(s):  
Yuliya Zarubina ◽  
Valeriy Marischuk
Keyword(s):  
Death Rate ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Irkutsk Region ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Population Demographic

The article is devoted to the study of the demographic situation in the Irkutsk region, the analysis of the dynamics of the birth- and death-rate, migration of the population, demographic trends which have developed in the period from the early 1990s and which are still taking place at present. Demographic processes in the Irkutsk region in the context of all-Russian trends were being studied. Approaches to regulation of regional demographic processes allowing overcoming the depopulation problem have been developed

Obtaining predicted values of the demographic process using machine learning methods

2021 ◽  
Vol 80 (2) ◽  
pp. 352-358
Author(s):  
S.Z. Sapakova ◽  
◽  
N. Madinesh ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Population Size ◽  
Key Factors ◽  
Forest Models ◽  
Random Forest Models ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Predicted Values ◽  
And Migration ◽  
Average Monthly Salary

Research and analysis of demographic processes play an important role in many areas. For this, the population size and key factors from 1994 to 2019 were selected on the statistical website of the Republic of Kazakhstan. Demographics were population size, fertility, mortality, divorce, and migration. The factors of the standard of living were the number of unemployed and the average monthly salary, while the medical factors were the hospital organizations, the number of hospital beds and the number of doctors of all specialties. In the course of regression analysis, a correlation was obtained and multicollinear factors were identified. We used four different machine learning models from the Scikit-Learn library to generate population estimates. Regression models were evaluated using the quality score. As a result, linear regression and random forest models performed well.

scholarly journals Demographic potential of the Republic of Karakalpakstan

POPULATION ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 145-154
Author(s):  
Shoira Kh. Djumabaeva
Keyword(s):  
Crude Birth Rate ◽  
Divorce Rate ◽  
Marriage Rate ◽  
Women's Participation ◽  
Unwanted Pregnancies ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Public Production ◽  
And Migration ◽  
The Impact

This article analyzes dynamics in the population size and composition, natural growth, fertility, mortality, marriage, divorce, and migration in one of the Uzbekistan regions — the Republic of Karakalpakstan. In recent years there has been observed a decrease in the natural population growth, although it remains relatively high. Analysis of the dynamics in fertility shows that in Karakalpakstan over the years of independence the crude birth rate has significantly decreased. The changing attitude of women to family size is closely related to the changes in their role in society and in family — expanding women's participation in public production, their raising awareness and wide use of various modern methods to prevent unwanted pregnancies. This is the main factor in the transition of young people from large families to small and medium-sized families. Mortality rate reflects the health status of population. Although the healthcare system was developing over the years of independence, the incidence of various diseases has increased. As a result, the infant, child and maternal mortality rates remain relatively high. In terms of infant mortality, Karakalpakstan takes one of the leading places in Uzbekistan. This can be partly explained by the poor environmental situation. The number of registered marriages and divorces also affects the demographic processes. Over the years of independence, the marriage rate has decreased, and the divorce rate has increased. The decline in the marriage rate is due to changes in the demographic structure of the country's population. The article also analyzes the dynamics of migration processes since independence. In particular, it shows high proportion of departures, negative migration balance, intensive external migration. The migration process is a result of the impact of various factors and causes. Among the reasons that encourage people to move from one place to another, there are emphasized socioeconomic factors.

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