Banking Crises and Economic Growth

2007 ◽  
Vol 202 ◽  
pp. 34-41 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ray Barrell ◽  
Dawn Holland
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Historical Context ◽  
Significant Rise ◽  
High Yield ◽  
Consumer Lending ◽  
Income Ratio ◽  
Capital Rationing ◽  
The Uk

Over the summer of 2007 problems began to emerge in financial markets as a result of debt defaults, particularly on US housing lending to individuals with low credit ratings. The globalisation of financial markets has meant that such risks are shared across banks throughout the world and a number of European banks suffered major losses as a result of purchasing high yield high risk bundles of these assets. In this note we discuss the possibility of a systemic banking crisis as a result of debt defaults, putting this risk and its impact on the economy into recent historical context. We also look at the vulnerability of the personal and business sectors to increases in borrowing rates, and at the evidence for a risk related rise in borrowing rates. We then use our model, NiGEM, to investigate the impacts of a significant rise in the spread between lending and borrowing rates for both producers and consumers. Such an increase in spreads might arise when banks wish to rebuild their capital after a crisis or reflect significant capital rationing. In either case they represent the immediate impacts of a crisis in the banking sector. The spread between borrowing and lending rates for producers reflects a risk premium in the business sector, and was used in the September EFN report to the European Commission, whilst the spread between consumer lending and borrowing rates is in use for the first time on the model. The debt-to-income ratio has been rising in the personal sector in a number of countries, and especially in the UK, Ireland and Spain, as we can see from figure 1, and this might indicate where problems could arise.

scholarly journals Analysing the Return on Asset to Construct Foretelling Indicator for Bangladeshi Banking Sector

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 11-22
Author(s):  
Maria Afreen
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
Short Form ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
Reference Series ◽  
Economic Distress ◽  
Income Ratio ◽  
Economic Volatility

Financial institutions and banks are required to follow mechanisms to monitor the positions and create stimulas for sensible risk-taking by divisions a well as individuals. Risk measurement comprises of the quantification of risk exposures, whereas risk management demonstrates to the overall procedures by which managers fulfill these needs to identify the risks and recognise the category of the risks it faces. This research targerts on the economic instability faced by banks in financial arena in terms of the crises affairs in regard of economic distress. Here, the methodology followed is based on the CAMELS framework variables. CAMELS is a short form stands for: capital adequacy (C), asset (A), management (M), earnings (E), liquidity (L) and sensitivity to market risk (S). Based on these nomenclature, a couple of variables should be selected, such as capital asset ratio, cost income ratio, non-performing loan, non-interest income as component series and return on asset (ROA) as the reference series to identify turning points of economic volatility in banking sector of Bangladesh. Thus, by forecasting the directional deviations it could make financial policymakers aware of the changes at early stage in financial markets and banking industry and privilege them to undertake precautionary steps for preventive purposes. The constructed MPI should have a incredible lead time of about 5 to 7 months on an average in case of prediction against leading for the reference series. By renovating financial efficacy of venture banks, Bangladesh also should recover their subsequent banking system to execute these suggestions.

Volatility Transmission in Indian Banking Sector

2019 ◽  
Vol 118 (7) ◽  
pp. 161-165
Author(s):  
Cyano Prem ◽  
Dr M. Babu ◽  
C. Hariharan ◽  
R. Muneeswaran
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Bad News ◽  
Private Bank ◽  
Volatility Transmission ◽  
The People ◽  
New Information ◽  
High Volatility ◽  
The Government ◽  
Awareness Programme

Any new information about the economy is transmitted fast and it may influence the financial markets, positively or negatively. The present study used GARCH (1, 1) and EGARCH models, to investigate the volatility of Indian banking sectors indices, namely, Nifty PSU Index and Nifty Private Bank Index of NSE India Ltd. The result of the study confirmed that the high volatility was found in both the bank indices. At the same time, negative information about Indian economics did affect the PSU and Private Bank Sector indices during the study period. Finally, the study concluded that bad news travels fast and it increased volatility more than good. Hence the Government should give more information and awareness programme to the people before the implementation of any economic policy.

Archaeologists and the Dead

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Historical Context ◽  
Ethical Considerations ◽  
International Context ◽  
The Public ◽  
The Us ◽  
The Dead ◽  
The Many ◽  
The Uk ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Experience Effect

This volume addresses the relationship between archaeologists and the dead, through the many dimensions of their relationships: in the field (through practical and legal issues), in the lab (through their analysis and interpretation), and in their written, visual and exhibitionary practice--disseminated to a variety of academic and public audiences. Written from a variety of perspectives, its authors address the experience, effect, ethical considerations, and cultural politics of working with mortuary archaeology. Whilst some papers reflect institutional or organizational approaches, others are more personal in their view: creating exciting and frank insights into contemporary issues that have hitherto often remained "unspoken" among the discipline. Reframing funerary archaeologists as "death-workers" of a kind, the contributors reflect on their own experience to provide both guidance and inspiration to future practitioners, arguing strongly that we have a central role to play in engaging the public with themes of mortality and commemoration, through the lens of the past. Spurred by the recent debates in the UK, papers from Scandinavia, Austria, Italy, the US, and the mid-Atlantic, frame these issues within a much wider international context that highlights the importance of cultural and historical context in which this work takes place.

scholarly journals Can Economic Factors Improve Momentum Trading Strategies? The Case of Managed Futures during the COVID-19 Pandemic

Economies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 86
Author(s):  
Renata Guobužaitė ◽  
Deimantė Teresienė
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Trading Strategies ◽  
Economic Factors ◽  
Momentum Strategies ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Managed Futures ◽  
Asset Classes ◽  
Momentum Trading ◽  
Insight Into

Systematic momentum trading is a prevalent risk premium strategy in different portfolios. This paper focuses on the performance of the managed futures strategy based on the momentum signal across different economic regimes, focusing on the COVID-19 pandemic period. COVID-19 had a solid but short-lived impact on financial markets, and therefore gives a unique insight into momentum strategies’ performance during such critical moments of market stress. We offer a new approach to implementing momentum strategies by adding macroeconomic variables to the model. We test a managed futures strategy’s performance with a well-diversified futures portfolio across different asset classes. The research concludes that constructing a portfolio based on academically/economically sound momentum signals with its allocation timing based on broader economic factors significantly improves managed futures strategies and adds significant diversification benefits to the investors’ portfolios.

scholarly journals The Dynamics of Bank Spreads and Financial Structure

2014 ◽  
Vol 04 (04) ◽  
pp. 1450014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reint Gropp ◽  
Christoffer Kok ◽  
Jung-Duk Lichtenberger
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Interest Rate Derivatives ◽  
Developed Markets ◽  
Speed Up ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
Bank Spreads ◽  
Effectiveness Of Monetary Policy

This paper investigates the effect of within banking sector competition and competition from financial markets on the dynamics of the transmission from monetary policy rates to retail bank interest rates in the euro area. We use a new dataset that permits analysis for disaggregated bank products. Using a difference-in-difference approach, we test whether development of financial markets and financial innovation speed up the pass through. We find that more developed markets for equity and corporate bonds result in a faster pass-through for those retail bank products directly competing with these markets. More developed markets for securitized assets and for interest rate derivatives also speed up the transmission. Further, we find relatively strong effects of competition within the banking sector across two different measures of competition. Overall, the evidence supports the idea that developed financial markets and competitive banking systems increase the effectiveness of monetary policy.

COVID -19 and Indian Financial Markets: A Review

2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (02) ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Kamaldeep Kaur Sarna
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
The Impact

COVID-19 is aptly stated as a Black Swan event that has stifled the global economy. As coronavirus wreaked havoc, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) contracted globally, unemployment rate soared high, and economic recovery still seems a far-fetched dream. Most importantly, the pandemic has set up turbulence in the global financial markets and resulted in heightened risk elements (market risk, credit risk, bank runs etc.) across the globe. Such uncertainty and volatility has not been witnessed since the Global Financial Crisis of 2008. The spread of COVID-19 has largely eroded investors’ confidence as the stock markets neared lifetimes lows, bad loans spiked and investment values degraded. Due to this, many turned their backs on the risk-reward trade off and carted their money towards traditionally safer investments like gold. While the banking sector remains particularly vulnerable, central banks have provided extensive loan moratoriums and interest waivers. Overall, COVID-19 resulted in a short term negative impact on the financial markets in India, though it is making a way towards V-shaped recovery. In this context, the present paper attempts to identify and evaluate the impact of the pandemic on the financial markets in India. Relying on rich literature and live illustrations, the influence of COVID-19 is studied on the stock markets, banking and financial institutions, private equities, and debt funds. The paper covers several recommendations so as to bring stability in the financial markets. The suggestions include, but are not limited to, methods to regularly monitor results, establishing a robust mechanism for risk management, strategies to reduce Non-Performing Assets, continuous assessment of stress and crisis readiness of the financial institutions etc. The paper also emphasizes on enhancing the role of technology (Artificial Intelligence and Virtual/Augmented Reality) in the financial services sector to optimize the outcomes and set the path towards recovery.

Financial Markets and Exchanges Law

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
New Technology ◽  
Payment Systems ◽  
Regulation Of Financial Markets ◽  
Market Location ◽  
Clearing And Settlement ◽  
The Uk ◽  
Securities Trading ◽  
Market Infrastructure ◽  
Financial Technology

The book provides a comprehensive and authoritative analysis on the regulation of financial markets and market infrastructure. It focuses on stock markets and exchanges, associated trading, clearing, and settlement, and on payment systems, set in their historical and current contexts. This new edition addresses a number of major developments that have impacted the UK, wider European and international financial markets, such as within the UK, the PRA, the FCA and the Bank of England have become established financial regulators, each with its distinguishing responsibilities; MiFID has been substantially revised and strengthened through new directly applicable EU regulation; MiFID 2 also addresses the challenges posed by the use of fast-technology such as high frequency and algorithmic trading; and new technology is beginning to make an impact on the infrastructure of financial markets. This new edition includes updated content on the growing importance of financial technology with two new chapters on the emerging impact of financial technology on markets and on the regulation of markets. There is also a new chapter on MiFID 2 and MiFIR – the new securities trading architecture that will see the introduction of a new trading venue as well as significant changes to and the pre- and post-trade transparency and reporting regime. The introduction of mandatory trading of derivatives on trading venues is addressed together with the related post-EMIR regime for the mandatory clearing of certain classes of derivatives. Chapters on the role of the European Commission and ESMA have been updated, and consideration is given to the possible implications of Brexit for market location and access

scholarly journals Plan for the worst, hope for the best? Exploring major events related terrorism and future challenges for UK event professionals

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 513-526 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Baxter ◽  
Jenny Flinn ◽  
Lucrezia Flurina Picco
Keyword(s):  
Marketing Strategy ◽  
Significant Rise ◽  
Destination Marketing ◽  
Major Event ◽  
Structured Interviews ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Future Challenges ◽  
Research Findings ◽  
The Uk ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate major event related terrorism and the resulting challenges that event professionals may face when hosting major events in cities as part of a destination marketing strategy. Design/methodology/approach The research was based in the UK due to the significant rise in terrorist activities that have taken place in its urban cities in recent years. The exploratory nature of this study utilised semi-structured interviews with UK event professionals, enabling a preliminary, in-depth investigation of the challenges that events professionals face as a result of major event related terrorism. Findings The research findings identify three challenges faced by event professionals when organising major events: knowledge and understanding in relation to major event related terrorism; the impact of major event related terrorism in terms of responsibility and accountability; and managing for major event related terrorism in budgetary terms. Research limitations/implications The research is limited to the UK, other destinations will pose their own unique challenges when hosting and managing events. It is suggested that this research be evaluated against similar studies in other destinations. This is a preliminary study and each of the topics identified within the findings warrant further exploration in their own right. Originality/value The paper offers an insight into the challenges faced by event professionals in the UK when delivering major events as part of a destination marketing strategy. With the increase in major event related terrorism in cities the findings of this research are of relevance not only to event professionals but anyone with a role in destination and tourism development.

scholarly journals Banks, Financial Markets and International Consumption Risk Sharing

2012 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 331-351 ◽  
Author(s):  
Markus Leibrecht ◽  
Johann Scharler
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Risk Sharing ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Financial System ◽  
International Diversification ◽  
Oecd Countries ◽  
Idiosyncratic Risk ◽  
Per Se ◽  
Consumption Risk

Abstract In this article, we explore how characteristics of the domestic financial system influence the international allocation of consumption risk in a sample of OECD countries. Our results show that the extent of risk sharing achieved does not depend on the overall development of the domestic financial system per se. Rather, it depends on how the financial system is organized. Countries characterized by developed financial markets are less exposed to idiosyncratic risk, whereas the development of the banking sector contributes little to the international diversification of consumption risk.

scholarly journals The euro area's common default risk: Evidence on the Commission's impact on European fiscal affairs

2011 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 507-528 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roman Goldbach ◽  
Christian Fahrholz
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Default Risk ◽  
Decisive Role ◽  
Fiscal Institutions ◽  
Growth Pact ◽  
Daily Data ◽  
Political Events ◽  
The Stability

Sovereign creditworthiness within the euro area hinges upon the credibility of the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP). We analyse whether political events that worsen the SGP's credibility result in a shared default risk premium for all euro members, therefore leading to a joint deterioration of creditworthiness. We especially examine the decisions and statements of the Commission and the Council of Economic and Finance Ministers. Analysing daily data through the 1999–2005 period with an ARMA-GARCH model, we find the Commission plays a decisive role in affecting investor evaluations, where its credibility-strengthening decisions decrease volatility and statements signalling a weakening of fiscal credibility spark uncertainty on financial markets. Our results stress the importance of creating credible fiscal institutions that preserve sovereign creditworthiness within the euro area.

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