scholarly journals Post-anticoagulant D-dimer is a highly prognostic biomarker of COVID-19 mortality

2021 ◽  
pp. 00018-2021
Author(s):  
Xiaoyu Song ◽  
Jiayi Ji ◽  
Boris Reva ◽  
Himanshu Joshi ◽  
Anna Pamela Calinawan ◽  
...  

Research QuestionClinical biomarkers that accurately predict mortality are needed for the effective management of patients with severe COVID-19 illness. In this study, we determine whether changes in D-dimer levels after anticoagulation are independently predictive of in-hospital mortality.Study DesignAdult patients hospitalised for severe COVID-19 who received therapeutic anticoagulation for thromboprophylaxis were identified from a large COVID-19 database of the Mount Sinai Health System in New York City. We studied the ability of post-anticoagulant D-dimer levels to predict in-hospital mortality, while taking into consideration 65 other clinically important covariates including patient demographics, comorbidities, vital signs and several laboratory tests.Results1835 adult patients with PCR-confirmed COVID-19 who received therapeutic anticoagulation during hospitalisation were included. Overall, 26% of patients died in the hospital. Significantly different in-hospital mortality rates were observed in patient groups based on mean D-dimer levels and trend following anticoagulation: 49% for the high mean-increase trend (HI) group; 27% for the high-decrease (HD) group; 21% for the low-increase (LI) group; and 9% for the low-decrease (LD) group (p<0.001). Using penalised logistic regression models to simultaneously analyze 67 clinical variables, the HI (adjusted odds ratios [ORadj]: 6.58, 95% CI 3.81–11.16), LI (ORadj: 4.06, 95% CI 2.23–7.38) and HD (ORadj: 2.37; 95% CI 1.37–4.09) D-dimer groups (reference: LD group) had the highest odds for in-hospital mortality among all clinical features.ConclusionChanges in D-dimer levels and trend following anticoagulation are highly predictive of in-hospital mortality and may help guide resource allocation and future studies of emerging treatments for severe COVID-19.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoyu Song ◽  
Jiayi Ji ◽  
Boris Reva ◽  
Himanshu Joshi ◽  
Anna Pamela Calinawan ◽  
...  

Importance: Clinical biomarkers that accurately predict mortality are needed for the effective management of patients with severe COVID-19 illness. Objective: To determine whether D-dimer levels after anticoagulation treatment is predictive of in-hospital mortality. Design: Retrospective study using electronic health record data. Setting: A large New York City hospital network serving a diverse, urban patient population. Participants: Adult patients hospitalized for severe COVID-19 infection who received therapeutic anticoagulation for thromboprophylaxis between February 25, 2020 and May 31, 2020. Exposures: Mean and trend of D-dimer levels in the 3 days following the first therapeutic dose of anticoagulation. Main Outcomes: In-hospital mortality versus discharge. Results: 1835 adult patients (median age, 67 years [interquartile range, 57-78]; 58% male) with PCR-confirmed COVID-19 who received therapeutic anticoagulation during hospitalization were included. 74% (1365) of patients were discharged and 26% (430) died in hospital. The study cohort was divided into four groups based on the mean D-dimer levels and its trend following anticoagulation initiation, with significantly different in-hospital mortality rates (p<0.001): 49% for the high mean-increase trend (HI) group; 27% for the high-decrease (HD) group; 21% for the low-increase (LI) group; and 9% for the low-decrease (LD) group. Using penalized logistic regression models to simultaneously analyze 67 variables (baseline demographics, comorbidities, vital signs, laboratory values, D-dimer levels), post-anticoagulant D-dimer groups had the highest adjusted odds ratios (ORadj) for predicting in-hospital mortality. The ORadj of in-hospital death among patients from the HI group was 6.58 folds (95% CI 3.81-11.16) higher compared to the LD group. The LI (ORadj: 4.06, 95% CI 2.23-7.38) and HD (ORadj: 2.37; 95% CI 1.37-4.09) groups were also associated with higher mortality compared to the LD group. Conclusions and Relevance: D-dimer levels and its trend following the initiation of anticoagulation have high and independent predictive value for in-hospital mortality. This novel prognostic biomarker should be incorporated into management protocols to guide resource allocation and prospective studies for emerging treatments in hospitalized COVID-19 patients.


BMJ Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. e050216
Author(s):  
Eyal Klang ◽  
Shelly Soffer ◽  
Eyal Zimlichman ◽  
Alexis Zebrowski ◽  
Benjamin S Glicksberg ◽  
...  

ObjectiveHypoalbuminaemia is an important prognostic factor. It may be associated with poor nutritional states, chronic heart and kidney disease, long-standing infection and cancer. Hypotension is a hallmark of circulatory failure. We evaluated hypoalbuminaemia and hypotension synergism as predictor of in-hospital mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) admission.DesignWe retrospectively analysed emergency department (ED) visits from January 2011 to December 2019.SettingData were retrieved from five Mount Sinai health system hospitals, New York.ParticipantsWe included consecutive ED patients ≥18 years with albumin measurements.Primary and secondary outcome measuresClinical outcomes were in-hospital mortality and ICU admission. The rates of these outcomes were stratified by systolic blood pressure (SBP) (<90 vs ≥90 mm Hg) and albumin levels. Variables included demographics, presenting vital signs, comorbidities (measured as ICD codes) and other common blood tests. Multivariable logistic regression models analysed the adjusted OR of different levels of albumin and SBP for predicting ICU admission and in-hospital mortality. The models were adjusted for demographics, vital signs, comorbidities and common laboratory results. Patients with albumin 3.5–4.5 g/dL and SBP ≥90 mm Hg were used as reference.ResultsThe cohort included 402 123 ED arrivals (27.9% of total adult ED visits). The rates of in-hospital mortality, ICU admission and overall admission were 1.7%, 8.4% and 47.1%, respectively. For SBP <90 mm Hg and albumin <2.5 g/dL, mortality and ICU admission rates were 34.0% and 40.6%, respectively; for SBP <90 mm Hg and albumin ≥2.5 g/dL 8.2% and 24.1%, respectively; for SBP ≥90 mm Hg and albumin <2.5 g/dL 11.4% and 18.6%, respectively; for SBP ≥90 mm Hg and albumin 3.5–4.5 g/dL 0.5% and 6.4%, respectively. Multivariable analysis showed that in patients with hypotension and albumin <2.5 g/dL the adjusted OR for in-hospital mortality was 37.1 (95% CI 32.3 to 42.6), and for ICU admission was 5.4 (95% CI 4.8 to 6.1).ConclusionCo-occurrence of hypotension and hypoalbuminaemia is associated with poor hospital outcomes.


Blood ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 138 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 2138-2138
Author(s):  
Phyu Thin Naing ◽  
Hadya Elshakh ◽  
Lauren Elreda ◽  
Joon Ha Woo ◽  
Michael Karass ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction Since March 2020, the New York City hospitals have experienced a tremendous surge of COVID-19 cases. Our hospital admitted 877 patients in a 2-week period, from March 15 to Apr 1, 2020. The exact mechanism of how COVID-19 causes vascular injury is unclear but some experts attribute it to widespread vascular inflammation[2,3]. The limited understanding of the hypercoagulable mechanism has limited our treatment techniques. To date, whether therapeutic anticoagulation is the right choice in regard to optimal management of patients with COVID-19 in suspected but not confirmed DVT (deep vein thrombosis) or PE (pulmonary embolism) is still a question[4]. Method We performed a retrospective observational cohort analysis of 145 adult ICU patients at an acute care teaching hospital located in Queens County, New York between March 15, 2020 to April 1, 2020. The study was approved by IRB. All patients &gt;18 years of age with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection and determined to require admission to intensive care units between March 15, 2020 and April 1, 2020, inclusive of those dates, were included in the investigation, with the exclusion of pregnant patients. All data was collected from the electronic health record (Allscripts) and was compiled in REDCap software for data encryption. During that study period, therapeutic anticoagulants were used in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 with high clinical risk or suspicion for venous thromboembolism (VTE). As per hospital protocol, heparin continuous infusion with a target activated partial thromboplastin time of 50 to 70 seconds or enoxaparin 1mg/kilogram(kg) twice a day for creatinine clearance (CrCl) above 30 ml/min or once a day for CrCl below 30 ml/min were used to achieve therapeutic anticoagulation. The primary outcome of the study was 28-day in-hospital mortality for critically ill patients affected by COVID-19 with or without the use of therapeutic anticoagulation. Covariates included in analysis were hypertension, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, cardiac history, and use of antiplatelet and anticoagulant medications prior to admission. Statistical analysis was done using R version 4.0.2. Results Out of 145 ICU patients, 61 received therapeutic anticoagulation. Kaplan-Meier survival curves show the survival probability with respect to days after admission for the two groups (those who used anticoagulant therapeutic drugs and those who didn't) using 28-day in-hospital mortality.(Fig 1) Median age for patients was 61 years for patients who didn't receive therapeutic anticoagulants compared to 60 years for patients who received therapeutic doses. The mean D-dimer among patients who received therapeutic anticoagulation was 20462 ng/ml (D-dimer units) compared to 7872 ng/ml for those who did not. The median number of days of survival for those who did not take anticoagulant therapeutic drugs is 10 days, while the median for those who did take anticoagulant therapeutic drugs is 25 days. After adjusting for hypertension, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, cardiac history, home antiplatelet medication use and continuous response for peak d-dimer levels, the results also show that there is a causal effect of 22.2 % decreased risk of 28-day in-hospital mortality if one received the therapeutic anticoagulant in the hospital. Conclusion Our findings suggest that there is a significantly higher median survival time in critically ill patients who received therapeutic anticoagulants in the hospital compared to those who didn't. However, our study is limited by observational nature, possible unobserved confounding, lack of metrics to classify illness severity as well as lack of evidence based decision guideline in initiation of therapeutic anticoagulation. There is an urgent need for further evidence-based studies like clinical trials which are necessary to provide specific guidelines for use of therapeutic anticoagulants in patients with COVID-19 infection. References 1. Becker RC. COVID-19 update: Covid-19-associated coagulopathy. J Thromb Thrombolysis. 2020;50(1):54-67. 2. Tay, M.Z., Poh, C.M., Rénia, L. et al. The trinity of COVID-19: immunity, inflammation and intervention. Nat Rev Immunol 20, 363-374 (2020). 3. Lisa K. Moores, Tobias Tritschler, et al. Prevention, Diagnosis, and Treatment of VTE in Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019: CHEST Guideline and Expert Panel Report, Chest, Volume 158, Issue 3, 2020, Pages 1143-1163, ISSN 0012-3692. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


Viruses ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 419
Author(s):  
Fares Qeadan ◽  
Benjamin Tingey ◽  
Lily Y. Gu ◽  
Ashley Hafen Packard ◽  
Esther Erdei ◽  
...  

Cytokine storm syndrome in patients with COVID-19 is mediated by pro-inflammatory cytokines resulting in acute lung injury and multiorgan failure. Elevation in serum ferritin and D-dimer is observed in COVID-19 patients. To determine prognostic values of optimal serum cutoff with trajectory plots for both serum ferritin and D-dimer in COVID-19 patients with invasive ventilator dependence and in-hospital mortality. We used retrospective longitudinal data from the Cerner COVID-19 de-identified cohort. COVID-19 infected patients with valid repeated values of serum ferritin and D-dimer during hospitalization were used in mixed-effects logistic-regression models. Among 52,411 patients, 28.5% (14,958) had valid serum ferritin and 28.6% (15,005) D-dimer laboratory results. Optimal cutoffs of ferritin (714 ng/mL) and D-dimer (2.1 mg/L) revealed AUCs ≥ 0.99 for in-hospital mortality. Optimal cutoffs for ferritin (502 ng/mL) and D-dimer (2.0 mg/L) revealed AUCs ≥ 0.99 for invasive ventilator dependence. Optimal cutoffs for in-house mortality, among females, were lower in serum ferritin (433 ng/mL) and D-dimer (1.9 mg/L) compared to males (740 ng/mL and 2.5 mg/L, respectively). Optimal cutoffs for invasive ventilator dependence, among females, were lower in ferritin (270 ng/mL) and D-dimer (1.3 mg/L) compared to males (860 ng/mL and 2.3 mg/L, respectively). Optimal prognostic cutoffs for serum ferritin and D-dimer require considering the entire trajectory of laboratory values during the disease course. Females have an overall lower optimal cutoff for both serum ferritin and D-dimer. The presented research allows health professionals to predict clinical outcomes and appropriate allocation of resources during the COVID-19 pandemic, especially early recognition of COVID-19 patients needing higher levels of care.


Author(s):  
Leora I Horwitz ◽  
Simon A Jones ◽  
Robert J Cerfolio ◽  
Fritz Francois ◽  
Joseph Greco ◽  
...  

Early reports showed high mortality from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Mortality rates have recently been lower, raising hope that treatments have improved. However, patients are also now younger, with fewer comorbidities. We explored whether hospital mortality was associated with changing demographics at a 3-hospital academic health system in New York. We examined in-hospital mortality or discharge to hospice from March through August 2020, adjusted for demographic and clinical factors, including comorbidities, admission vital signs, and laboratory results. Among 5,121 hospitalizations, adjusted mortality dropped from 25.6% (95% CI, 23.2-28.1) in March to 7.6% (95% CI, 2.5-17.8) in August. The standardized mortality ratio dropped from 1.26 (95% CI, 1.15-1.39) in March to 0.38 (95% CI, 0.12-0.88) in August, at which time the average probability of death (average marginal effect) was 18.2 percentage points lower than in March. Data from one health system suggest that mortality from COVID-19 is decreasing even after accounting for patient characteristics.


Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael S Miller ◽  
Gennaro Giustino ◽  
Annapoorna Kini ◽  
Giulio Stefanini ◽  
Renato Bragato ◽  
...  

Introduction: Myocardial injury is common amongst patients hospitalized with Covid-19 and is associated with a poor prognosis. It is unknown whether its incidence and its mechanisms differ by race and ethnicity. Methods: We conducted a multicenter, international cohort study at 7 hospitals in New York (United States) and Milan (Italy) between March and May 2020. All patients were hospitalized, had laboratory-confirmed Covid-19, and received a transthoracic echocardiogram (TTE) during their hospitalization. We evaluated the association between race/ethnicity and myocardial injury in multivariable logistic regression models. Myocardial injury was defined as any cardiac troponin elevation above the upper limit of normal at each enrolling site. Results: A total of 305 consecutive patients were included, of whom 280 had self-reported race/ethnicity. Key demographic, laboratory and echocardiographic characteristics are presented in the Table. All minority groups had higher incidence of a composite of major echocardiographic abnormalities compared to whites, and Asian and Hispanic patients had increased incidence of RV dysfunction. In multivariable models, compared with Whites, Black (adjOR 2.7 [1.1-6.4]), Asian (adjOR 3.3 [1.1-10.2]), and Hispanic (adjOR 2.8 [1.4-5.8]) patients had increased odds of myocardial injury. After adjusting for baseline demographic and clinical variables, both Asian (adjOR 9.9 [2.6-38.6]) and Hispanic (adjOR 5.7 [2.1-15.6]) patients had increased odds of in-hospital mortality compared with White, but not Black (adjOR 2.0 [0.6-7.0]) patients. Conclusions: Among hospitalized patients with Covid-19 who received a TTE, minority groups had higher incidence of echocardiographic abnormalities and increased risk of myocardial injury. After adjustment for baseline confounders, only Asian and Hispanic patients remained at increased risk for in-hospital mortality.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Chocron ◽  
Baptiste Duceau ◽  
Nicolas Gendron ◽  
Nacim Ezzouhairi ◽  
Lina Khider ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has been associated with coagulation disorders, in particular high levels of D-dimers, and increased frequency of venous thromboembolism (VTE). We explore the association between D-dimers at admission and in-hospital mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients with or without symptomatic VTE.Methods: From February 26 to April 20, 2020, D-dimer level at admission and outcomes of patients hospitalized for COVID-19 in medical wards (in-hospital mortality or VTE) were retrospectively analyzed in a multicenter study in 24 French hospitals.Results: Among 2878 patients enrolled in the study, 1154 (40.9%) patients had D-dimer measurement at admission. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis identified D-dimer level above 1128 ng/mL as the optimum cutoff value to predict in-hospital mortality (Area Under the Curve of 64.9% (95% CI 0.60–0.69) with a sensitivity of 71.1% (95% CI 0.62–0.78) and a specificity of 55.6% (95% CI 0.52–0.58) that not differ in the subgroup of patients with VTE during hospitalization. Among 609 (52.8%) patients with D-dimers level < 1128 ng/mL at admission, only 35 (5.7%) deaths occurred during hospitalization. After adjustment, in a cox proportional hazard and logistic regression models, D-dimers above 1128 ng/mL at admission were also associated to a worth prognosis with a OR of 3.07 (95% CI 2.05–4.69, p < 0.001) and an unadjusted hazard ratio of 2.11 (95%CI 1.31–3.4, p < 0.01).Conclusions: D-dimer level over 1128 ng/mL is a relevant predictive factor for in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 hospitalized patients in medical ward, regardless the occurrence of VTE during hospitalization.


2021 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. E048-E054
Author(s):  
Nan Xie ◽  
Wei Zhang ◽  
Hong Li ◽  
Jing Zhou ◽  
Xinyi Yang ◽  
...  

Background and aims: Acute aortic dissection (AAD) is an emergency disease with high misdiagnosis rate and mortality. The aim of the present study is to explore the impact of blood-related biomarkers, specifically D-dimer, on in-hospital outcomes of patients with AAD. Materials and methods: A total of 345 patients in our hospital from December 2013 to April 2017 were included. The cutoff value for D-dimer and LDL-C were set as 5.9mg/l and 1.45 mg/l, respectively. The univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to identify the independently prognostic predictors. Results: The results showed that patients with type A AAD had higher risk of in-hospital mortality compared with those with type B disease. Moreover, results revealed the type A AAD (OR 6.382, 95%CI: 2.423 to 16.812), D-dimer (OR 2.160, 95%CI: 1.072 to 4.350), and LDL-C (OR 0.373, 95%CI: 0.148 to 0.940) were independently associated with in-hospital mortality. Subgroup analysis suggested that D-dimer (OR 2.295, 95%CI: 1.140 to 4.622) was an independently prognostic factor in type A AAD. Conclusion: In summary, D-dimer ≥5.9 mg/L and type A AAD were independently associated with in-hospital mortality in AAD patients. Moreover, subgroup analysis proved that the elevated D-dimer was related to poor prognosis in type A AAD.


Author(s):  
Jishu K Motta ◽  
Rahila O Ogunnaike ◽  
Rutvik Shah ◽  
Stephanie Stroever ◽  
Harold V Cedeno ◽  
...  

Background: This study is the first of its kind to assess the impact of preemptive therapeutic dose anticoagulation on mortality compared to prophylactic anticoagulation among COVID-19 patients. Its findings provide insight to clinicians regarding the management of COVID-19, particularly with the known prothrombotic state. Research Question: To determine the impact of anticoagulation on in-hospital mortality among COVID-19 positive patients with the a priori hypothesis that there would be a lower risk of in-hospital mortality with use of preemptive therapeutic over prophylactic dose enoxaparin or heparin. Study Design and Methods: Study Design: Retrospective cohort study from April 1 - April 25, 2020. The date of final follow-up was June 12, 2020. Setting: Two large, acute care hospitals in Western Connecticut. Participants: Five hundred and one inpatients were identified after discharge as 18 years or older and positive for SARS-CoV-2. The final sample size included 374 patients after applying exclusion criteria. Demographic variables were collected via hospital billing inquiries, while the clinical variables were abstracted from patients medical records. Exposure: Preemptive enoxaparin or heparin at a therapeutic or prophylactic dose. Main Outcome: In-hospital mortality. Results: When comparing preemptive therapeutic to prophylactic anticoagulation through multi-variable analysis, risk of in-hospital mortality was 2.3 times greater in patients receiving preemptive therapeutic anticoagulation (95% CI = 1.0, 4.9; p = 0.04). Interpretation: An increase in in-hospital mortality was observed with preemptive therapeutic anticoagulation. Thus, in the management of COVID-19 and its complications, we recommend further research and cautious use of preemptive therapeutic over prophylactic anticoagulation.


Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mai Takahashi ◽  
Natalia Egorova ◽  
Toshiki Kuno

Background: The association of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and in-hospital outcomes of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) remains unknown. Our aim of this study was to investigate the independent predictors for mortality, especially cardiac history and serial assessment of cardiac markers (B-type natriuretic peptide [BNP] and troponin I). Methods: We obtained the medical records for hospitalized patients with laboratory confirmed COVID-19 from the Mount Sinai Health System. 929 patients with BNP data were divided into 3 groups, BNP ≤ 20 pg/mL, 20 pg/mL < BNP ≤ 100, and 100 pg/mL < BNP. The Cox proportional hazard model was constructed with the three BNP groups and troponin-I, d-dimer and C-reactive protein at admission and peak level. Results: Each BNP category was divided almost equally (BNP ≤ 20 pg/mL (29.9%, N=278), 20 < BNP ≤ 100 pg/mL (35.5%, N= 330), 100 < BNP pg/mL (34.6%, N=321). Patients with high BNP are older and have more co-morbidity including cardiac disease and chronic kidney disease. Patients with high BNP had higher d-dimer, troponin-I than control group. At 4 weeks, death rates were significantly different among the 3 groups (BNP ≤ 20 pg/mL versus 20 < BNP ≤ 100 pg/mL versus 100 < BNP pg/mL: 4.7% versus 13.6% versus 18.4%, P<0.0001). After the Cox model adjustments were done with the initial lab, troponin-I (>0.030 ng/mL) and d-dimer were found to be independent predictors for in-hospital mortality (troponin-I: HR [95%CI]: 1.72 [1.23-2.41], P=0.002), d-dimer: 1.03 [1.00-1.05], P=0.025), but not BNP. Notably, the Cox model with peak lab had better predictability of in-hospital mortality than those with lab at admission. Conclusions: Although higher BNP showed higher in-hospital mortality with unadjusted data with hospitalized COVID-19, BNP was not an independent predictor for in-hospital mortality after adjustment. Serial lab measurements could provide better predictability for in-hospital mortality.


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