scholarly journals The Original Measurement of the Unemployment Rate is Obsolete-Interpretation of the Unemployment and Inactivity is Cumbersome and Redundant

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. p136
Author(s):  
Tamas Banfi ◽  
Gabor Kurthy

In a society which can be described by the single-earner family model, unemployment and the unemployment rate could be relevant category of the economy in general, and that of macroeconomics in particular. In the 20th century, the share of employed women rose gradually, and as a result the traditional family model disintegrated by the second half of the century. The predominance of the dual-income family and the single-adult household model (cannot be regarded as insignificant), which crowded out the single-earner family model, does not allow the grouping of the population according to labour market criteria in the earlier manner even logically and it is also not supported by actual practice. If we want to measure the joint proportion of the unemployed and the inactive, we can only compare it to the number of working-age population, as the employment rate is the number of the employed compared to the working-age population.

Author(s):  
Ľubica Hurbánková ◽  

The paper deals with the analysis of unemployment in European Union countries on the basis of data of the unemployment rate and the number of unemployed. The data are obtained from the Eurostat website. The aim of the paper is to find out how the number of unemployed in individual EU countries changed in 2018 compared to 2009, in which country the number of unemployed increased the most, in which the least. Appropriate tools of economic statistics are used for the analysis. Based on a four-factor model of the analysis of the number of unemployed, we find out how this indicator has changed depending on the change in the unemployment rate, the economic activity rate, the share of the working age population in the total population, and the total population. The application of statistical method is implemented through the programme Microsoft Office Excel.


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 109
Author(s):  
Hisyam Ihsan ◽  
Wahidah Sanusi ◽  
Risna Ulfadwiyanti

Abstrak. Penelitian ini membahas tentang pembentukan model Generalized Poisson Regression (GPR) dan penerapannya pada angka pengangguran bagi penduduk usia kerja di Provinsi Sulawesi Selatan. Jenis penelitian ini adalah penelitian terapan yang menggunakan model regresi nonlinear, yaitu model regresi Poisson dan model GPR. Variabel respon yang digunakan adalah jumlah angka pengangguran pada usia kerja yang termasuk angkatan kerja di Provinsi Sulawesi Selatan pada tahun 2017. Adapun variabel-variabel prediktor yang digunakan yaitu persentase angkatan kerja terhadap penduduk usia kerja, Indeks Pembangunan Manusia, persentase bekerja terhadap angkatan kerja, kepadatan penduduk, dan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Penelitian menggunakan metode Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) untuk mengestimasikan parameter dan menghasilkan sebuah model GPR. Variabel prediktor yang memberikan pengaruh secara signifikan adalah Indeks Pembangunan Manusia dan  persentase bekerja terhadap angkatan kerja.Kata kunci: Angka Pengangguran, Regresi Poisson, Overdispersi, Generalized Poisson Regression, Maximum Likelihood Estimation  Abstract. This study discusses the formation of the Generalized Poisson Regression (GPR) model and its application to the unemployment rate for the working age population in South Sulawesi Province. This type of research is applied research that uses the Poisson regression model, namely Poisson regression and GPR models. The response variabel used is the total unemployment rate at working age which includes the workforce in South Sulawesi Province in 2017. The predictor variables used are the percentage of the workforce on the working age population, the Human Development Index, the percentage of work on the labor force, population density, and economic growth. This research uses the Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) method to estimate parameters and produce a GPR model. The predictor variables which have a significant influence are the Human Development Index and the percentage of work on the labor force.Keywords: Unemployment Rate, Poisson Regression, Overdispersion, Generalized Poisson Regression, Maximum Likelihood Estimation


2004 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 297-317 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marika Karanassou ◽  
Dennis J. Snower

Abstract This paper provides a critique of the ‘unemployment invariance hypothesis’, according to which the behavior of the labor market, by itself, ensures that the long-run unemployment rate is independent of the size of the capital stock, productivity and the labor force. In the context of an endogenous growth model, we show that the labor market alone need not contain all the equilibrating mechanisms to ensure unemployment invariance; in particular, other markets may perform part of the equilibrating process as well. By implication, policies that raise the growth path of capital or increase the effective working-age population may influence the long-run unemployment rate.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-30
Author(s):  
Ikang Murapi ◽  
Dewa Ayu Oki Astarini ◽  
I Nyoman Subudiartha

This study aims to determine the increase in the unemployment rate due to Covid 19 in West Nusa Tenggara Province. This type of research is a descriptive method using secondary data which is analyzed using growth analysis at the unemployment rate. The results showed that of the 3.82 million working age population, there were 455.56 thousand people (11.93 percent) who were affected by Covid-19. Most of the working age population affected by Covid-19 experienced a reduction in working hours, namely 378.85 thousand people (83.16 percent). Meanwhile, the number of unemployed due to the impact of Covid-19 was 28.39 thousand people or around 25.03 percent of the total unemployed (113.43 thousand people) in NTB. The results of these calculations are carried out qualitatively by referring to tables and graphs during the period 2018-2020


2019 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 49-57
Author(s):  
Marzena Kacprzak

Unemployment is an economic phenomenon where part of the working-age population are unable to find jobs despite seeking employment. The actual job search amongst the unemployed can be more or less intense. The Mazowieckie Voivodeship is characterized by high spatial diversity in the standard of living of the inhabitants and the conditions of economic development. On the one hand, the voivodeship boasts the highly economically developed capital of the country, on the other, there are medium or relatively underdeveloped areas. The aim of the article is to indicate the range of the phenomenon of unemployment in the Mazowieckie Voivodeship and to indicate the effects and methods of reducing it. The concept of unemployment is presented, the research methodology is outlined and the unemployment of Mazowieckie Voivodeship is analysed.


2020 ◽  
pp. 6-9
Author(s):  
Hanna SVYDLO

The article is devoted to the analysis of the number of unemployed in Ukraine. In the article it is determined that the socio-economic development of the country is characterized by the level and quality of life of the population, that the acquisition of goods and the satisfaction of material, intellectual and spiritual needs depends on the offer of appropriate life goods in the market of goods and services, as well as the possibility of earning a person of working age. The author analyzed literary sources and distinguished domestic and foreign researchers who were engaged in the analysis of employment and unemployment. The article also substantiates the relevance of studying the unemployment rate in the country. The main purpose of the paper is to identify trends in the number of unemployed in Ukraine and its Regions. The methodological basis of the article is scientific works, materials of periodicals, Internet resources, regulatory legal acts and data of the State Statistics Service of Ukraine, the State Employment Center of Ukraine and the Ministry of Finance of Ukraine. The article presents the categorical apparatus in accordance with the methodological provisions on the classification and analysis of the economic activity of the population. The author analyzes the unemployment rate, the number of unemployed, the number of registered unemployed in the country for 2000-2019 years and compared with indicators of population and the number of economically active population of the corresponding period. The article presents data on the number of unemployed in a monthly context, as well as by professional groups for the period March 2019 – March 2020. The author presents an analysis of the structure of the number of unemployed in the regions of Ukraine relative to the number of unemployed in the country.


2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 6
Author(s):  
Teguh Warsito

Indonesia is experiencing the demographic bonus when the proportion of a working-age population is higher than a non-working-age population. This bonus will achieve its peak in 2030, then the proportion will decrease gradually. After that, Indonesia will face the demographic burden. Demographic bonus is very important to be utilized since it gives an opportunity to boost economic growth. However, after this bonus happens, the problems will  arise in the demographic burden period. This paper will analyze demographic phenomena and offer several policies that can be taken by the government to attain the bonus and to lessen the bad impact of the burden using literature review analysis. According to the results of this paper, the government should focus on decreasing an unemployment rate, providing social infrastructure, and educating people.


Author(s):  
Semyonova V. G. ◽  
◽  
Ivanova A. E. ◽  
Sabgayda T. P. ◽  
Zubko A. V. ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Valentin N. Druzhinin ◽  
Vadim G. Suvorov ◽  
Nikolay V. Druzhinin ◽  
Aleksandr N. Cherniyi ◽  
Sergey N. Troynyakov

Currently, the problem of reducing the risk of developing fat liver hepatosis from exposure to household and industrial toxicants among the working-age population continues to be an important medical and social problem, since not timely diagnosis of the disease can lead to its progressive course with the development of inflammatory changes, necrosis and liver fibrosis up to cirrhosis and hepatocellular cancer. In this regard, the search for methods and techniques that optimize the diagnosis of fat hepatosis is relevant. Modern methods of radiation diagnostics of liver density characteristics can significantly reduce subjectivity in the assessment of changes due to the use of quantitative indicators. The aim of study - improving the quality of x-ray diagnostics of fat liver disease based on a precision assessment of the density of the liver parenchyma using computed tomography. A comparative retrospective analysis of the results of a comprehensive clinical and radiological examination of 115 men of working age in the range of 40-55 years was performed. The main group (48 people) - employees of machine-building plants: shapers, stumpers, fitters-assemblers who had industrial contact with such factors as local vibration, dust, noise, muscle strain, burdened with a long alcoholic history and the presence of signs of metabolic syndrome: hyperlipidemia, impaired tolerance to carbohydrates, diabetes, abdominal obesity. The comparison group included representatives of auxiliary professions without clinical signs of pathology (47 people), comparable in age and experience with the main group. X-ray examinations were performed using computer tomographs: "HI Spead CT/e Dual" by GE Medical Systems and "Aqulion 64" by Toshiba. To measure the liver density in Hounsfield units (HU), the ROI (zone of interest) tool was used, which allows determining the desired value over areas of different dimensions. Measurements were performed on computer screens in 4 zones of interest at 4 levels of scanning of the liver lobes (apex, level of the caval gate, level of the left lobe, level of the portal gate) with the calculation of the average values of the density index (IDH) and density gradients (IDG) relative to the aorta, spleen and kidney. Analysis of the results of a posteriori CT densitometry of various parts of the liver within the framework of the developed algorithm, including the use of absolute and relative (gradient) x-ray density indicators of hepatic, vascular (aorta),splenic and renal structures, allowed us to expand our understanding of the quantitative density characteristics both in normal and in patients with signs of diffuse fat hepatosis (FH). It was found that the liver parenchyma density indicators can be a kind of (conditional), sometimes the only indicators of the degree of severity of changes that objectively manifest positive or negative dynamics of pathophysiological processes and, in particular, at the initial stages of the development of the studied pathology. Density differences in the right and left liver parenchyma in the control group (conditional norm) in terms of absolute density and its gradient, regardless of the level of scanning, were insignificant (statistically unreliable). In patients with clinical signs of fatty liver infiltration at the stage of steatosis, in the absence of x-ray morphologically detectable structural changes, a decrease in IDH and the dynamics of its increase (recovery) at various stages of observation were revealed. Even with comparatively equal IDH of the evaluated departments, the IDG of different people differed, manifesting the individuality of metabolic processes occurring in the body, in particular in the liver, is a kind of indicator of their direction and severity. The significance of density indicators as predictors of the subsequent stages of the pathology under consideration was particularly evident in the analysis of the results of primary diagnostics and its development in the dynamics of observations. The application of the developed methodological approach allowed us to expand our understanding of the possibilities of KT-liver densitometry in patients with metabolic syndrome (hyperlipidemia, impaired carbohydrate tolerance, diabetes mellitus, abdominal obesity) in the diagnosis of fatty liver disease (FLD) at various stages of examination, including in the early subclinical phases of pathology development. The results obtained indicate the predominant role of ethyl alcohol as a hepatotoxicant in the development of FLD in the estimated cohort of the working-age population. The use of an original algorithm for evaluating tissue density makes it possible to significantly ensure the objectivity of the interpretation of research results.


Author(s):  
S. Voronkova

The article discusses ways to obtain information about risk factors and the health status of the population. The article describes a new information system «labor Medicine», which allows to organize the collection of a wide range of data for further analysis and application in the activities of various Executive authorities, public organizations, foundations, legal entities and citizens. It is proposed to improve this system by expanding the types of information collected, creating a passport for health promotion organizations, as well as integration with systems that are being implemented in the Russian Federation for managing the health of the working-age population in the context of state policy in the field of Informatization.


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