scholarly journals Экспертное интервью: Предварительные итоги 2020 года для Центральной Азии

Author(s):  

В настоящее время мы являемся свидетелями трансформации мирового порядка. Соединённые Штаты и Китай развязывают новую холодную войну, Европейский союз находится в поиске своей самостоятельной роли в мире, на Россию продолжается давление со стороны Запада. Цифровые технологии становятся важнейшим инструментом реализации государствами своей воли. Пандемия, разразившаяся в мире, ускоряет эти процессы. Предложенную Москвой концепцию Большого Евразийского партнёрства можно оценивать как целесообразный проект, но он нуждается в развитии и уточнении. Ключевыми направлениями становятся отношения с Китаем, также претендующего на роль глобального игрока, и со странами Центральной Азии, составляющими сердцевину пространства проекта Большой Евразии, стабильность которого напрямую влияет на безопасность России. Появление горячих точек на границе и внутри Большой Евразии (конфликт в Нагорном Карабахе, волнения в Белоруссии и Киргизии) являются вызовами для России, на которые необходимо своевременно реагировать, чтобы не допустить их разрастания и превращения в угрозы. Об этом старший преподаватель кафедры международных отношений ВИ - ШРМИ ДВФУ Марина Дмитриева поговорила с доктором философских наук, экспертом ООН, председателем Ассоциации экспертов и аналитиков «Изыскания Срединной Азии» Сергеем Ивановичем Масауловым, который долгое время жил и работал в Бишкеке, являлся руководителем аналитических центров, директором Института стратегического анализа и оценки при Президенте КР. We are currently witnessing a transformation of the world order. The United States and China are unleashing a new Cold War, the European Union is in search of its own independent role in the world, and Russia continues to be under pressure from the West. This interview discusses the events that took place in Central Asia in 2020. S. Masaulov expresses the opinion that the coronavirus pandemic did not cause the coup in Kyrgyzstan, but there were internal prerequisites for it, which the authorities further aggravated on the eve of the elections. The interlocutor talks about the possibility of repeating these events in Kazakhstan. The article deals with the issues of China's policy in Central Asia and the possible strengthening of Turkey's influence in the light of recent events in Nagorny Karabakh. In addition, S. Masaulov gives his opinion on the development of the Eurasian Economic Union and the necessary changes in Russia's policy in the Eurasian space.

Author(s):  
Raluca Maria Popescu

AbstractWe are currently witnessing the emergence of new poles of power, practically from the bi-polar model of the post-World War 2 world, the Russian Federation has made in the last years made great efforts to introduce a multi-polar model, in other words it is seeking to affirm itself again on the world stage and gain leadership as a pole of power for the eastern Europe. There is a direct correlation between the status of „regional leader” and the economic power of the country who wants to achieve this status. Taking into account a set of indicators such as: share in the world GDP, trade and investment flows, the European Union, USA and China are at the moment the biggest poles of economic power in the world. Russia aspires to expand its influence and within the context of the Eurasian Economic Union seeks to reach the status of regional economic power. The main research questions of the article is if Russia can achieve through the Eurasian Economic Union and strategic partnership with China, the status of regional power and be a serios contender to the European Union. The article follows a qualitative methodology and examines the possible implications of the European Union- Eurasian economic Union competition at a regional level and Russia’s perspectives to achieve, as the leading force of the Union, a greater influence from an economic and geo-political perspective. The final section analyses the impact that the growth of the Chinese economy has had on the European Union as well as the Eurasian Economic Union. In this context, Russia has moved its attention towards Asia, particularly towards China, with whom all evidence points, is trying to form an alliance against the West, and is trying to capitalize on the ongoing trade war that is enfolding between the USA and China. The article concludes that Russia needs China, as the world’s second largest economy and important regional power more than China needs Russia and their current relationship is based more on their personal need to undermine other powers than any true common visions.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 0-0
Author(s):  
Светлана Грачева ◽  
Svetlana Gracheva

The article analyzes the problems of strengthening and deepening of interstate cooperation and collaboration, which is expressed in the development of integration associations in various regions of the world, evaluates approaches to the models of management associations (often considered as a separate level of public authority) and their interaction with national authorities. This article reviews current issues of relationship and collaboration of national and intergovernmental bodies considering to various types of integration associations, examines the grounds and forms of their interaction, both in cooperation and in connection with the conflict situations. Also the article is dedicated to the linkages between certain organs within the associations, with particular attention paid to the problems of interaction of the supreme national and inter-state courts. Moreover there are an assessment of trends in the development of integration associations and approaches to their functioning taking into account modern realities. Problems of interaction between national authorities and authorities of integration association in different forms are often studied to bringing the experience of the specific integration associations, differing by scale spread, solidarity linkages within the union, sustainable development, etc. In particular, the article analyzes the example of the functioning of the European Union, which is the most successful supra-national integration union type, which allows to show hierarchical relationships subordinate authorities within the integration association. The author also refers to the experience of the Eurasian Economic Union, which illustrates control and coordination of management type within the union.


2021 ◽  
Vol 100 (9) ◽  
pp. 897-902
Author(s):  
Khalidya Kh. Khamidulina ◽  
Dinara N. Rabikova

Introduction. Highly hazardous chemicals that can cause distant and specific effects in the human body and various representatives of natural biota are circulating on the market. To develop effective measures to minimize the risk of chemicals exposure and to inform the general public in the countries of the European Union, the United States and many other countries, national lists of substances that are potentially dangerous due to one or another type of effect on the body are being created. There are no lists of chemicals with reprotoxic and mutagenic effects in the Russian Federation and the Eurasian Economic Union. There is also a need to update the list of substances with carcinogenic properties. The aim of the study. Creation of lists of chemicals with reprotoxic, mutagenic and carcinogenic effects, based on a single international harmonized approach to the assessment, hazard classification and labelling of these highly hazardous substances. Materials and methods. To achieve this goal, an analysis of the information was carried out on about two thousand substances included in the regulatory legal acts of the Russian Federation and the European Union, as well as on a huge array of data from domestic and foreign sources of information, using the principles of evidence-based medicine. Results. Based on the obtained data, lists of chemicals with reprotoxic, mutagenic and carcinogenic were formed. The list of chemicals according to the danger of impact on reproductive function and development of offspring, which consists of substances classified into two classes, as well as compounds that affect through lactation. Seventy-five substances were assigned to class 1, 46 were included in the second class, and 16 substances were allocated to a separate class that influences the newborn through lactation. The list of mutagenic effects included 589 chemical substances, and due to the lack of epidemiological data, the analysis did not allow any of the substances to be attributed to hazard class 1A, 438 substances were classified to hazard class 1B, 151 substances were classified to hazard class 2. As a result of the analysis, a list of carcinogens was formed, among which 133 substances were assigned to the 1st class, and 244 were classified to the 2nd hazard class. Conclusion. These lists, to implement the Technical Regulations of the Eurasian Economic Union “On the Safety of Chemical Products” (TR EAEU 041/2017), were included in Annex No. 7 of the Procedure for Forming and Maintaining the Register of Chemicals and Mixtures of the Eurasian Economic Union, and also formed the basis for coding production and consumption waste according to these effects.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Emmanuel Goffi

The world of Artificial intelligence (AI) is struggling to set standards that would be globally applied. In this struggle, ethics is extensively summoned to regulate the development and use of AI systems, but also to promote vested interests. The potential benefits associated with AI are such that many actors, public and private, have entered a race for AI dominance led by the United States and China. In this context some actors, such as the European Union, are slowly taking over AI regulation and setting the limits regarding what is ethically acceptable and what is not. Aware of the power of norms, the West has slowly spread its normative influence all around the world, releasing hundreds of documents pertaining to ethical principles, and denying the reality of a world made of a diversity of ethical stances. To impose its own views on ethics applied to AI, the West has developed an ethical narrative transforming ethics into cosm-ethics, that is mere make up through communication. This paper aims at opening a debate on the reality of ethics applied to AI. It contextualizes the subject in a wider setting of race for AI dominance, stressing the Western ethical hegemony over AI established through a pseudo ethical narrative. To illustrate these points, it focuses on the case of the European Union, to eventually stress the urgent need for cultural pluralism in the field of ethics applied to AI.


Author(s):  
U.S. ALIYEV

In the context of the formation of a new world order, there is a need to make changes to the development strategy of the Eurasian Economic Union and, even more broadly, integration processes in the post-Soviet space. These changes should take into account the changes taking place in the world, the emergence of new properties of world politics, which are often generically called turbulence. The components of turbulence are conflictness and uncertainty, but this is not the whole list, there are other components. On the example of the Transnistrian conflict settlement, it is shown that success in this process is possible if we are not confined to the conflict itself, but we act on the basis of Russias and the European Unions mutual desire to reduce conflictness in the world and in the European region. Uncertainties can be contrasted with the emergence of military-political factor as the leading one of Eurasian integration in the form of rapprochement and the gradual merger of the Eurasian Economic Union and the Collective Security Treaty Organization.


2020 ◽  
Vol 152 ◽  
pp. 102-111
Author(s):  
Igor V. Pilipenko ◽  

This article considers how to enhance the institutional structure of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) in order to enable timely decision-making and implementation of governance decisions in the interests of Eurasian integration deepening. We compare the governance structures of the EAEU and the European Union (EU) using the author’s technique and through the lens of theories of neofunctionalism and intergovernmentalism elaborated with respect to the EU. We propose to determine a major driver of the integration process at this stage (the College of the Eurasian Economic Commission or the EAEU member states), to reduce the number of decision-making bodies within the current institutional structure of the EAEU, and to divide clearly authority and competence of remaining bodies to exclude legal controversies in the EAEU.


2021 ◽  
pp. 570-573
Author(s):  
M.A. Polozhishnikova ◽  
E.Yu. Raikova

The article defines the features of higher education in the Eurasian Economic Union and the prospects for cooperation with the European Union in the field of training personnel capable of solving the problems of eliminating technical barriers in the implementation of foreign economic activity and identifies the main integration processes in the higher education system.


2021 ◽  
pp. 932-950
Author(s):  
Vladislav Vyacheslavovich Emelyanov

Every few decades, the world order changes due to various geopolitical, economic and other circumstances. For example, as a result of globalization, the world order has undergone significant changes in the last forty years. Globalization has led to the destruction of the postwar world order, as well as to world leadership by the United States and the West. However, in recent decades, as a result of globalization, the U.S. and the West began to cede their leadership to developing countries, so there is now a change in the economic structure of relations in the world system. Today the center of economic growth is in the East, namely in Asia. There are no new superpowers in the world at the moment, but the unipolar world will cease to exist due to the weakening of the U. S. leadership, which will lead to a change in the world order. A new leader, which may replace the U. S., will not have as wide range of advantages as the USA has. Most likely, the essence of the new order will be to unite the largest countries and alliances into blocks, for example, the USA together with the Trans-Pacific Partnership, the EU, etc. The article outlines forecasts of GDP growth rates as well as the global energy outlook; analyzes the LNG market as well as the impact of the pandemic on the global oil and gas market; and lists the characteristics of U. S. geopolitics.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastian Biba

Abstract As the Sino-American Great Power competition continues to intensify, newly-elected US President Joe Biden's administration now seeks to enlist the support of its allies and partners around the world. As Europe's largest economy and a, if not the, leading voice within the European Union, Germany represents an important puzzle-piece for Biden. But Germany, at least under outgoing chancellor Angela Merkel, has been reluctant to take sides. It is against this backdrop that this article looks into Germany's past and present trilateral relationships with the US and China through the theoretical lens of the so-called strategic triangle approach. Applying this approach, the article seeks to trace and explain German behaviour, as well as to elucidate the opportunities and pitfalls that have come with it. The article demonstrates that Germany's recently gained position as a ‘pivot’ (two positive bilateral relationships) between the US and Chinese ‘wings’ (positive bilateral relations with Germany and negative bilateral relations with each other) is desirable from the perspective of the strategic triangle. At the same time, being pivot is also challenging and hard to maintain. Alternative options, such as entering a US–German ‘marriage’ directed against China, are also problematic. The article therefore concludes that Germany has tough decisions to take going forward.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 79-91
Author(s):  
L. S. Voronkov

The paper is dedicated to the differences between the classical instruments for regulating interstate political and trade-economic relations from those used in the development of regional integration processes. Traditionally, the Eurasian Economic Union is compared with the European Union, considering the EU as a close example to follow in the development of integration processes. At the same time, there exist the other models of integration. The author proposes to pay attention to the other models of integration and based on the analysis of documents, reveals the experience of Northern Europe, which demonstrates effective cooperation without infringing on the sovereignty of the participants. The author examines the features of the integration experience of the Nordic countries in relation to the possibility of using its elements in the modern integration practice of the Eurasian Economic Union.


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