scholarly journals The COVID States Project #16: Partisan differences in intention to vote by mail

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Lazer ◽  
Jon Green ◽  
Matthew Baum ◽  
Alexi Quintana ◽  
Katherine Ognyanova ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
House Of Representatives ◽  
Political Party ◽  
Academic Research ◽  
Extended Period ◽  
General Election ◽  
Potential Shift ◽  
Expanded Access ◽  
Midterm Elections ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Vote By Mail

The COVID-19 pandemic has led many election administrators, as well as voters, to reconsider the manner in which votes will be cast during the 2020 general election. With many voters wary of waiting in line in person beside strangers on Election Day, registrars around the country are preparing for a far higher share of ballots to be cast by mail than ever before. The best available academic research suggests that holding elections entirely by mail slightly increases turnout, but does not advantage either major political party. Recent research on expanded access to voting by mail during the pandemic has found that, while many voters (and especially Democrats) who would otherwise vote in person take advantage of the opportunity to vote by mail, there is no evidence that the practice has changed any final election results.However, it is clear that more Democrats than Republicans will be voting by mail in 2020, which means that there may well be substantial shifts in the margin between Trump and Biden during an extended period of time after Election Day during which votes are still being counted in some states. How large these shifts are will depend on how different the rates of voting by mail are between Trump and Biden supporters, when people mail in their ballots, and the state’s rules for receiving and counting votes cast by mail. The 2018 midterm elections are illustrative of the potential shift after the election. Democrats’ net seat gain in the House of Representatives increased from 26 to 41 after Election Day because of (1) slow counting of votes that had arrived by mail, and (2) late arriving ballots.Here we evaluate three questions:• How many people report that they will vote by mail in each state?• What will be the difference in candidate choice between those who vote on the day of the election versus those who vote by mail?• What is the potential shift in the margin between Trump and Biden from the day of voting to a count that incorporates votes received by mail?

scholarly journals The Philippine Political Party System

1967 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 19-39 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carl H. Lande
Keyword(s):  
House Of Representatives ◽  
Political Party ◽  
Presidential Elections ◽  
Party System ◽  
Extended Period ◽  
Gubernatorial Elections ◽  
Minor Parties ◽  
Political Party System ◽  
Post War ◽  
Senatorial Elections

The main characteristics of the Philippine political party system since the achievement of Philippine independence in 1946 have been the following:1. It is a two party system. Two major parties, the Nacionalistas and the Liberals, dominate the scene. Their nation-wide combined vote at the six post-war presidential elections held since 1946 averaged 94 per cent of the votes cast. At both the eleven senatorial elections and the six elections for members of the House of Representatives held during the same period, the combined two-party vote was also 94 per cent. At the five gubernatorial elections held since 1947, the corresponding figure was 97 per cent.* In none of these election years did the combined two-party vote for any of these offices fall below 70 per cent.1 While minor parties have appeared from time to time, few have remained active for an extended period of years, and none has seriously threatened to replace either of the two existing major parties as the governing party or as the principal party of the opposition.

The New Japanese Electoral Law

1926 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 392-395
Author(s):  
Harold S. Quigley
Keyword(s):  
Primary School ◽  
House Of Representatives ◽  
General Election ◽  
School Teachers ◽  
Primary School Teachers ◽  
The Third ◽  
Government Contractors ◽  
The Law ◽  
Electoral Law

A new statute for the election of members of the House of Representatives was promulgated in Japan on May 5, 1925, and will be applicable in the next general election. It is Japan's fourth electoral law, the previous ones having been promulgated in 1889, 1900, and 1919, respectively. All three of the earlier laws based the suffrage upon a tax-paying qualification, the first requiring voters to pay fifteen yen in direct national taxes, the second reducing the required tax to a minimum of ten yen, the third decreasing it still further to three yen. The present law abolishes the tax-paying qualification and provides that all males twenty-five years of age and over, who are not otherwise disqualified, and who do not receive “public or private relief or help for a living, on account of poverty,” shall be entitled to exercise the suffrage. In addition to paupers and vagabonds, there continue to be excluded from the franchise active members of the army and navy, certain classes of civilian officials, women, and the heads of noble houses. Priests, religious teachers, primary school teachers, government contractors, and certain classes of students hitherto unenfranchised now gain the suffrage and may become candidates for election. Under the law of 1889 the franchise was exercisable by 450,000 men, and under that of 1900 by 983,000; the act of 1919 increased the electorate to 2,860,000; while the present law raises it to an estimated total of 12,000,000.

Position of Nepali Congress in the Electoral Politics of Nepal

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 32-42
Author(s):  
Amrit Kumar Shrestha
Keyword(s):  
Political Party ◽  
Electoral Politics ◽  
Vital Role ◽  
Representative Democracy ◽  
General Election ◽  
The Status ◽  
General Elections ◽  
Election Commission

Nepali Congress (NC) is one of the oldest political party of Nepal. It played a vital role to abolish the century long autocratic Rana rule in 1951. It fought against the party-less Panchayat system and the regressive step of the king. It opposes active kingship and communism. It believes in a representative democracy. It has participated in every election of Nepal that was conducted democratically. It won more than two-thirds majority seats in the first general election held in 1959. In every election, it stayed in the first or second position. This article tries to analyze the status of NC in the elections of Nepal. Data of seven general elections were examined in this article. Data were extracted basically from the reports of the Election Commission.

Open Access Publishing, academic research and scholarly communication

2015 ◽  
Vol 39 (5) ◽  
pp. 637-648 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robin Osborne
Keyword(s):  
Open Access ◽  
Best Practice ◽  
Academic Research ◽  
Open Access Publishing ◽  
Free Access ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Research Councils ◽  
Practical Implications ◽  
Wrong Place

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to explore the difference between Open Access and accessibility, to argue that accessibility is the most crucial feature, and to suggest some ways in which Open Access militates against accessibility. Design/methodology/approach – Analysis of best practice by journals and monograph publishers is used to highlight the degree to which accessibility is enhanced by input from readers and editors. The expense of this, both real and hidden, is shown to be compatible only with difficulty with publishing methods where keeping costs low is essential, and Open Access alternatives that make available manuscripts “as submitted” are shown to make available less accessible scholarship. Findings – Scholarship is markedly improved by referees and editors; the emphasis needs to be put on making available the most accessible scholarship, not on making more scholarship available. Practical implications – Journals and publishers should concentrate on, and research councils and similar bodies insist upon, ensuring high quality critical review and editing, not cost-free access. Originality/value – The debate on Open Access has put its emphasis in the wrong place. Rather than easier access to more scholarship, increased resource devoted to pre-publication review, revision and editing is the most important development to ensure the greatest advances in research and scholarship.

scholarly journals A Study on the Effects of Model Structure and Demand Allocation on Water Network Modeling

2020 ◽  
Vol 42 (3) ◽  
pp. 110-120
Author(s):  
Seonghan Kim ◽  
Kwansue Jung ◽  
Sukmin Yoon ◽  
No-Suk Park
Keyword(s):  
Steady State ◽  
Network Modeling ◽  
Extended Period ◽  
Model Structure ◽  
Water Network ◽  
Detailed Model ◽  
Water Head ◽  
Models Comparison ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Steady State Simulation

Objectives:In order to reduce the uncertainty of the pipe network modeling, the model structure was basically included all distribution pipes and several models were proposed according to the location of the water meters.Methods:For models verification, first, a steady state simulation of each model was made by constructing a model including all water supply pipes (All-meters Model), which are the bases of 3 simplified models, and considering the location of all water meters. The network analysis was performed by dividing into the steady state and the extended period simulation.Results and Discussion:From the results of models comparison, ‘All-meters Model’ and ‘All-connections Model’ were found to obtain more accurate results for constructing a water network model for simulation of water quality events in distribution network. When constructing an ‘All-meters Model’ in all networks, the model becomes complicated and data management does difficult. Therefore this study suggests a hybrid model construction.Conclusions:It would be reasonable to construct a detailed model (All-meters or All-connections Model) in looped network in which the water flow path can be changed according to the difference of water head, and a skeletonized model (Street-meters aggregation or Reduced-meters Model) for a branch network that does not have a significant impact on demand allocations.

scholarly journals Transferencias de recursos y partidos políticos. Estudio de los municipios mexicanos

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (19) ◽  
Author(s):  
Silverio Tamez Garza ◽  
Adriana Verónica Hinojosa Cruz ◽  
Carlos Augusto Jiménez Zárate
Keyword(s):  
Political Parties ◽  
House Of Representatives ◽  
Political Party ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
The Political ◽  
Allocation Of Resources ◽  
Partido Revolucionario Institucional ◽  
Chamber Of Deputies

Abstract. In this paper we analyze how much influence the political party with the largest nationwide (Partido Revolucionario Institucional: PRI) in the Congress, specifically the House of Representatives, in the distribution of the Funds of Branch 23: Paving Fund and Sports Spaces for Municipalities, for the year 2010 which is when this fund was created and for the year 2011. The results of our analysis were that there is a positive impact in the influence ofthe political party with the largest presence in the Chamber of Deputies in the allocation of resources to those municipalities that are governed by mayors from the PRI.Keywords: municipalities, paving and spaces fund goods, political parties, populationResumen. En el presente artículo se analiza la influencia que puede presentar laconfiguración de la Cámara de Diputados con una mayoría por partido en la asignación de recursos hacia las entidades federativas y municipios. Se tomó el caso del Fondo de Pavimentación y Espacios Deportivos para Municipios comparando la distribución en el año de su creación (2010) cuando no se emitieron reglas para su acceso con el siguiente año (2011) tomando en cuenta nuevos criterios. El resultado que nos arroja nuestro análisis es que existe una incidencia positiva en cuanto a la influencia política que se ejerce cuando unexiste mayoría en la representación partidista en la Cámara de Diputados.Palabras clave: fondo de pavimentación y espacios deportivos, municipios, partidos políticos, población

scholarly journals Introduction (Special Edition – The Presidential Nomination Process)

2008 ◽  
Vol 28 ◽  
pp. 289-291
Author(s):  
Wayne P. Steger
Keyword(s):  
Political Parties ◽  
Political Party ◽  
The United States ◽  
General Election ◽  
The Political ◽  
Election Campaign ◽  
Special Edition ◽  
Presidential Nomination ◽  
General Elections ◽  
Democratic Country

Understanding why certain candidates get nominated is an important aspect of political scientists. This topic is a narrow one and influences a wider variety of subjects such as the political parties, general elections, and even the extent to which the United States is a democratic country. Presidential nominees matter—they become the foremost spokesperson and the personified image of the party (Miller and Gronbeck 1994), the main selectors of issues and policies for their party’s general election campaign (Petrocik 1996; Tedesco 2001), a major force in defining the ideological direction of a political party (Herrera 1995), and candidates that voters select among in the general election. This volume is devoted to presidential nominations and the 2008 nomination specifically.

scholarly journals Understanding The Results of 14th Malaysian General Election Through Islamic Perspectives: A New Challenge in Islamizing Political Understanding

2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (3) ◽  
pp. 13-27
Author(s):  
Suhaimee Saahar @Saabar ◽  
Mat Nadzari Ahmad Dahlan ◽  
Syed Arabi Idid
Keyword(s):  
Perspective Taking ◽  
Political Party ◽  
General Election ◽  
Western Thought ◽  
Islamic Perspective ◽  
Political Studies ◽  
Malaysian Politics ◽  
Political Understanding ◽  
New Framework

The results of the 14th General Election shocked many parties, especially the Barisan Nasional, which has dominated Malaysian politics for more than 60 years. Various studies and discoveries have been made to understand the context of this defeat from various angles of thinking and understanding. However, in the study of Malaysian politics Islamic perspective is also taken into account to balance the understanding between Western and Islamic understanding. Scholars have long used Western thought to explain political phenomena and how power is used in maintaining a political party. The purpose of this paper is to explain in detail the results of elections from an Islamic perspective. This is to differentiate the views given by Western thinkers and to provide a new framework based on the Islamic perspective taking into account the values and teachings of Islam itself. Therefore, this paper seeks to provide a different perspective on how new explorations can be translated into the context of political studies in the country.

scholarly journals The Only (Other) Poll That Matters? Exit Polls and Election Night Forecasts in BBC General Election Results Broadcasts, 1955–2017

2020 ◽  
pp. 003232172090632
Author(s):  
Stuart Wilks-Heeg ◽  
Peter Andersen
Keyword(s):  
Academic Research ◽  
General Election ◽  
The Political ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Political Consequences ◽  
Academic Literature ◽  
Political Narratives ◽  
Election Results ◽  
Over Time

This article examines the role of results forecasts and exit polls in BBC general election night broadcasts from 1955 to 2017. Despite the substantial role played by academics in results programmes, in devising forecasts and analysing results as they emerge, academic literature on election night broadcasts is scant. This article charts the development of election night forecasting over time and its implications for the structure and content of election night broadcasts. It draws on a unique new data set of verbatim transcripts of the first hour of every BBC election night broadcast from 1955–2017 to quantify the attention paid to forecasts and exit polls and assess how they frame discussion of the likely outcome and its potential political consequences. The article concludes that the function of election night broadcasts as ‘the first draft of psephology’ merits closer attention for both the political narratives and the academic research agendas they generate.

scholarly journals Reduced-Reflection Multilayer PCB Microstrip with Discontinuity Characterization

Electronics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 1473
Author(s):  
Aleksandr Vasjanov ◽  
Vaidotas Barzdenas
Keyword(s):  
Printed Circuit Boards ◽  
Dielectric Material ◽  
Academic Research ◽  
System Level ◽  
Reference Plane ◽  
Impedance Change ◽  
Circuit Boards ◽  
Impedance Mismatch ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Technology And Communication

In the era of technology and communication, printed circuit boards (PCBs) can be found in a myriad of devices—from ordinary household items, to state of the art custom metrology equipment. Different types of component for wireless communications are available and come in various packages, supplied by multiple manufacturers. The signal landpads for some high-frequency connectors and components, encapsulated in larger packages, are usually wider than the controlled impedance trace, thereby introducing unwanted impedance mismatch and resulting in signal reflections. The component land pad and microstrip width a discrepancy issue can be found in both complex high-density industrial devices and system-level academic research papers. This paper addresses the topic of compensating discontinuities, introduced by signal pads, which are wider than the target impedance microstrip, characterizes the difference between the compensated and uncompensated microstrip with discontinuity, and proposes a generalized guideline on compensating for the introduced impedance change in multilayer PCBs. The compensation method is based upon carefully designing the stackup of the PCB allowing for a reference plane cutout under the discontinuity to even out the impedance mismatch. A 6-layer PCB with IT180A dielectric material containing three structures has been manufactured and characterized using an Agilent E8363B vector network analyzer (VNA). A 4–12 dB improvement in S11 response in the whole frequency range up to 10 GHz, compared to that when no compensation has been applied, was observed.

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