scholarly journals Data of Sectoral Financial Flows as a High-Frequency Indicator of Economic Activity

2021 ◽  
pp. 28-49
Author(s):  
Natalia Turdyeva ◽  
◽  
Anna Tsvetkova ◽  
Levon Movsesyan ◽  
Alexey Alexey ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Activity ◽  
High Frequency ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Financial Flows ◽  
Transaction Data ◽  
Financial Transaction ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Crisis Events ◽  
Research Problems ◽  
Short Term Forecasting

In times of crisis, events are moving fast and standard macroeconomic statistics published with a lag cannot quite keep pace with the changing situation. During such periods, there is an increasing need to use high-frequency indicators that allow virtually real-time monitoring of economic activity. In many countries, this is achieved by using financial transaction data. In this paper, we present a methodology for the current analysis of sectoral financial flows in the Russian economy based on data from the Bank of Russia payment system. We use the information on the dynamics of average daily payments for each class of OKVED 2 (the Russian National Classifier of Economic Activities) to develop high- frequency indicators of economic activity, which have been published on the Bank of Russia website since April 2020. We also tentatively discuss the potential of financial transaction data in terms of improving the tools for short-term forecasting of business activity dynamics and solutions to other research problems.

The specifics of shadow economic activity in Russia

2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (10) ◽  
pp. 1896-1915
Author(s):  
E.R. Ermakova ◽  
O.M. Lizina
Keyword(s):  
Economic Activity ◽  
Shadow Economy ◽  
Integrated Approach ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Reproductive Process ◽  
Scientific Methods ◽  
Current Period ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Analysis And Synthesis ◽  
The Impact

Subject. The article addresses the specifics of shadow economic activities in reformed Russia in the context of systemic transformations. Objectives. We focus on determining the role of shadow economy in the reproductive process, identifying and understanding the specifics of underground economic activity of the Russian economy. Methods. The study rests on general scientific methods (scientific abstraction, unity of historical and logical, analysis and synthesis, induction and deduction, comparison and analogy) and special methods of cognition (monetary methods). We employ the systems and integrated approach. The official statistics, regulations, works of leading researchers on shadow economy expansion, resources of reference and legal systems like Garant and ConsultantPlus serve as the study's information base. Results. We present a retrospective rapid analysis of the extent of shadow economic activity in the domestic economy, establishing the relationships with the processes that take place at different stages of the country's development. We also reveal the specifics of shadow economy relations in Russia, factors that play a key role in expansion for a particular period, a shift to another form of shadow economy. The study characterizes the current period of development, assesses the impact of external shocks on shadow economy expansion. Conclusions. The current period is characterized by the digitization of shadow relations, the shift of corruption to the upper echelons of power, the continued outflow of capital abroad, and increased penalties for underground activities.

scholarly journals Social distancing laws cause only small losses of economic activity during the COVID-19 pandemic in Scandinavia

2020 ◽  
Vol 117 (34) ◽  
pp. 20468-20473 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adam Sheridan ◽  
Asger Lau Andersen ◽  
Emil Toft Hansen ◽  
Niels Johannesen
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Health Risk ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Natural Experiment ◽  
Large Bank ◽  
Consumer Spending ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Transaction Data ◽  
Social Distancing ◽  
Percentage Points

This paper uses real-time transaction data from a large bank in Scandinavia to estimate the effect of social distancing laws on consumer spending in the coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. The analysis exploits a natural experiment to disentangle the effects of the virus and the laws aiming to contain it: Denmark and Sweden were similarly exposed to the pandemic but only Denmark imposed significant restrictions on social and economic activities. We estimate that aggregate spending dropped by around 25% (95% CI: 24 to 26%) in Sweden and, as a result of the shutdown, by 4 additional percentage points (95% CI: 3 to 5 percentage points [p.p.]) in Denmark. This suggests that most of the economic contraction is caused by the virus itself and occurs regardless of social distancing laws. The age gradient in the estimates suggests that social distancing reinforces the virus-induced drop in spending for low-health-risk individuals but attenuates it for high-risk individuals by lowering the overall prevalence of the virus in the society.

Financial Restrictions Follow The Investment Pause

2014 ◽  
pp. 4-43 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Zamaraev ◽  
A. Nazarova ◽  
E. Sukhanov
Keyword(s):  
Economic Activity ◽  
Sharp Decrease ◽  
Financial Assets ◽  
Internal Factors ◽  
Financial Flows ◽  
Foreign Investors ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
The World ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
State Investment

The article considers the interrelationship between external and internal factors of economic growth and their influence on the Russian economy at the turn of 2012-2013. Slowing of basic macroeconomic indicators is connected with fast reduction of financing sources - the investment pause of the biggest Russian companies and a sharp decrease of state investment. Besides, foreign investors withdrew their money from financial assets of Russian companies. The article presents the quality assessment of changes in domestic economic activity and volumes of financial flows between Russia and the rest of the world, taking into account possible impact of geopolitical shock caused by the events around Ukraine.

Analyzing the dynamics of indicators of the Russian economy

2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 753-771
Author(s):  
Valerii V. SMIRNOV
Keyword(s):  
Economic Activity ◽  
Structural Integrity ◽  
Systems Approach ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Russian Government ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Military Security ◽  
And Cluster Analysis

Subject. The article addresses the dynamics of the Russian economy indicators. Objectives. The aim is to identify sources and opportunities for the Russian economy growth. Methods. The study rests on the systems approach, using methods of statistical, neural network, and cluster analysis. Results. The analysis of the currency, stock, and commodity market unveils the impulse effect on the MOEX index through the devaluation of the national currency and the issue of Russian Government Bonds. The analysis of the importance of GDP deflator by industry identifies the priority of economic activity ‘public administration and military security; social security’, which suppresses the economic activity ‘household activities as employers; undifferentiated activities of households to produce goods and provide services for their own consumption’. The structural integrity of economic activities is maintained through taxes on products. The dynamics of the share of GDP deflator growth and the index of output of goods and services revealed a low level of purchasing power and a rise in food inflation, as well as a significant upturn in inflation in the manufacturing sector after Q1 2020, which was caused by the increase in the cost of production and unit sales. Conclusions. The analyzed trends in the Russian economy indicators show a qualitative source of growth of the Russian economy, i.e. ‘people as an alternative oil’. This enables to move away from commodity dependence (RTSI) and actively use wide opportunities of growth (IMOEX).

scholarly journals Trends in the Development of the Balance of Payments and the International Investment Position of Russia

2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (10) ◽  
pp. 46-56
Author(s):  
E. M. Petrikova
Keyword(s):  
State Government ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
International Investment ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Financial Flows ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
External Sector ◽  
International Investment Position

The article deals with the economic and statistical analysis of trends in the development of statistical data on the balance of payments and the international investment position of Russia over the past 15 years, indicating the sustainable development of the foreign economic sector of the Russian economy.The article begins with addressing the scope and subject matter of the study of the balance of payments and the international investment position of the country. Then the author examines external economic activities for each of the three periods depicting the influence of the crisis phenomena in the global economy in 1998, 2008 and 2014. Within these periods the author considers the interaction of the world and Russian economies, serious reduction of the external sector of the Russian economy in these periods of crisis and generally the deterioration of the results of foreign economic activity of the country. Comparing the balance of payments and international investment position before and after crisis periods it is possible to note the good state government management of the external sector of the Russian economy, which helped to restore the balance of payments of the country and to increase its net international investment position after the crisis.On a final note, it is concluded that the most effective and efficient for external regulation in a crisis is the so called profitable method when the expense of centralized redistribution of income and cash management of financial flows, is formed in the margin in the markets, determines the scale and direction of cash flows, are governed by incorporated in the cost of exported products yield. The market method with the help of tariff pricing and regulation does not allow to fully control and predict the vector of cash flows in a crisis, redistribute profitability between sectors of the economy and even “save” borrowers in crisis situation.

scholarly journals FEATURES OF ECONOMIC (BUSINESS) ACTIVITY IN THE ENERGY SECTOR

2016 ◽  
Vol 1 (6) ◽  
pp. 0-0
Author(s):  
Роза Салиева ◽  
Roza Salieva
Keyword(s):  
Economic Activity ◽  
Alternative Energy ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Power Industry ◽  
Energy Sector ◽  
Business Organizations ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Energy Charter Treaty ◽  
Definition Of

The article highlights the features of economic activity in the energy sector. Economic activity associated with generation, transformation, transmission and use of different forms of energy, is carried out by business organizations of different branches of the energy sector of economy. In this article the author analyzes the structure of the energy sector, including oil and gas sector, coal sector, power generation and nuclear energy sector, as well as alternative energy sector. The author provides the definition of the economic activity in the energy sector taken from the Energy Charter Treaty. The author underlines that the energy sector is closely connected with the use of natural resources, as well as with the energy production, processing and marketing. It is advisable to consider such relations as business relations. They are ruled by the Energy law. The author provides examples of legislative establishment of economic activities in certain energy sectors of the Russian economy (in the sphere of Atomic Energy and in Chapter 8 of the Law of the Russian Federation “On Power Industry”). The author draws the conclusion about the need to improve the legislative system in the sphere of power industry.

TRADITIONAL OUTBUILDINGS OF THE MORDOVIANS

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 154-165 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elena N. Mokshina ◽  
Mihail I. Svyatkin
Keyword(s):  
Ethnic Group ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Building Materials ◽  
Animal Feed ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Important Place ◽  
Main Building ◽  
Genetic Problem ◽  
Materials Used ◽  
Functional Purpose

Introduction. The article deals with the main traditional outbuildings of the Mordvinians, reported on their functional purpose in economic activity. The forms and types of outbuildings, as well as the main building materials used by Mordvinians are described in details. Their significance in the religious and ceremonial life of the ethnic group is shown. Materials and Methods. The research is based on traditional methods of ethnographic science, such as field observation, survey and interviews, and a comprehensive approach. Among the methods of historical science comparative-historical, historical-genetic, problem-chronological, structural-system were used. Among the general scientific methods of research logical, descriptive, narrative, generalization, classification and systematization were involved. To achieve the results of the study, the materials collected by the authors in the course of field surveys conducted in the Mordovian villages were mainly used. Results and Discussion. Traditional outbuildings were of great importance in the economic activity of the Mordovian ethnic group. According to their functional purpose, they can be divided into the following groups: for livestock and poultry (stable, chicken coop, stable, kalda), sanitary and hygienic (bath), warehouse buildings for storage of food, utensils, firewood, animal feed (barn, cellar, woodshed, hayloft), for processing of grain (sheep, riga, mill). Depending on the welfare and financial capacity of the family, the number of outbuildings was different. As a rule, the wealthier families had more outbuildings than the less wealthier ones. The main building material for the construction of these buildings was wood. Conclusion. Thus, the traditional outbuildings of the Mordvinians occupied an important place in its economic activities. At the same time, each of them had its own purpose and performed certain functions. Some buildings, such as a bath and a barn, had not only economic purpose, but also were the venue for a number of prayers and ceremonies. It is now ordinarily they have banya (bath-house), outdoor courtyard with standing in different places sheds, barn and cellar.

Research on the Economic Organization Environmental Impact

2017 ◽  
Vol 68 (3) ◽  
pp. 599-601
Author(s):  
Dan Paul Stefanescu ◽  
Oana Roxana Chivu ◽  
Claudiu Babis ◽  
Augustin Semenescu ◽  
Alina Gligor
Keyword(s):  
Economic Activity ◽  
Economic Organization ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Environmental Implications ◽  
Minimal Impact ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Material Environment ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Harmful Effects

Any economic activity carried out by an organization, can generate a wide range of environmental implications. Particularly important, must be considered the activities that have a significant negative effect on the environment, meaning those which pollute. Being known the harmful effects of pollution on the human health, the paper presents two models of utmost importance, one of the material environment-economy interactions balance and the other of the material flows between environmental factors and socio-economic activities. The study of these models enable specific conditions that must be satisfied for the economic processes friendly coexist to the environment for long term, meaning to have a minimal impact in that the residues resulting from the economic activity of the organization to be as less harmful to the environment.

Protection of the Rights and Legitimate Interests of Entrepreneurs in Cases of Crimes in the Sphere of Economic Activity

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 92-98
Author(s):  
O. А. Zaytsev ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Activity ◽  
Criminal Policy ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Criminal Proceedings ◽  
Law Enforcement Agencies ◽  
Scientific Methods ◽  
The Supreme Court ◽  
Analysis And Synthesis ◽  
Legitimate Interests ◽  
General Scientific

The article examines the problematic issues of applying measures to protect the rights and legitimate interests of entrepreneurs in cases of crimes in the field of economic activity. The material-legal and criminal-procedural mechanisms used in the course of proceedings in this category of cases are examined. Special attention is paid to the analysis of the legal positions of the Supreme Court of the Russian Federation, reflected in the decisions of the Plenum of November 15, 2016 № 48 and October 3, 2017 № 33. The purpose of this study is to identify the most acceptable areas of activity of judicial and law enforcement agencies to protect the rights and legitimate interests of entrepreneurs involved in criminal proceedings. The objectives of the study are: a) to determine the specifics of criminal and criminal procedure legislation containing humane mechanisms for the category of cases under consideration; b) to highlight the positions of scientists who conduct research in this field of activity; с) substantiation of recommendations for the further development of criminal policy in the direction of liberalizing the current structure of crimes in conjunction with the improvement of criminal procedural forms of criminal proceedings. The methodological basis of the research was the dialectical method of cognition, General scientific methods of abstraction, analysis and synthesis, as well as special legal methods. Promising ways of development of criminal policy in the field of formation of legislation that allows the most effective protection of the rights and legitimate interests of entrepreneurs are proposed. The conclusion is made about the need for further scientific study of the system of material-legal and criminal-procedural mechanisms used in the proceedings on crimes committed in the sphere of business and other economic activities.

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