Der soziale Arbeitsmarkt in Zeiten der Corona-Krise: Auslauf- oder Zukunftsmodell?

2021 ◽  
Vol 70 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-18
Author(s):  
Fabian Beckmann ◽  
Dominik Schad

Zusammenfassung Mit dem Teilhabechancengesetz hat der Gesetzgeber 2019 auf das Problem einer persistierenden Langzeitarbeitslosigkeit reagiert. Konstruiert in Zeiten der Prosperität, haben sich die strukturellen Rahmenbedingungen im Zuge der Corona-Pandemie auch für die Förderung arbeitsmarktferner Langleistungsbeziehender schlagartig verändert. Der Beitrag nimmt eine Zwischenbilanz des so­zialen Arbeitsmarktes in Zeiten der Corona-Krise vor. Auf Basis bundesweiter Daten zur Entwicklung der Förderfälle sowie einer vertiefenden Beleuchtung der regionalen Struktur des sozialen Arbeitsmarktes im Ruhrgebiet werden aktuelle Befunde präsentiert sowie Perspektiven dieses arbeitsmarkt- und sozialpolitischen Instruments umrissen. Neben der Exklusivität der Förderstruktur werden eine drohende Legitimationskrise, finanzielle Umschichtungen in Richtung pandemiebedingter Arbeitsmarktfolgen sowie eine abgeschwächte Aufstiegsmobilität in ungeförderte Beschäftigung als zentrale Herausforderungen diskutiert. Abstract: The Subsidised Labour Market in Times of the Corona-Crisis: An Outdated Instrument or Model for the Future? The commencement of the ‘Teilhabechancengesetz’ in 2019 was a reaction to the persistent long term unemployment on the German labour market. Constructed in times of prosperity, the structural conditions surrounding the promotion of the long term unemployed have changed abruptly in view of the coronavirus pandemic. This article reviews the subsidised labour market one and a half years after the commencement. Based on national data on the development of subsidised employment as well as regional data on the structure of the subsidised labour market in the German Ruhr area, current findings are being presented and future perspectives discussed, concentrating on an exclusive structure of promotion, problems of legitimation, possible financial shortages and decreasing mobility into non-subsidised employment as key challenges.

1996 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 157-172 ◽  
Author(s):  
J Doling ◽  
J Ford

During the postwar period as a whole homeownership in Britain has been generally considered to be a desirable form of tenure. For many observers the present, since 1989, downturn in the market—characterised by high levels of arrears, stagnant or falling prices, negative equity, and so on—is a temporary blip from which sooner or later the enthusiasm for owning will recover. In the first part of this paper we analyse the British Social Attitudes Surveys for 1989 and 1991 in order to identify which groups in the population have most reduced their support for owning. The main conclusions are that the largest reduction has been amongst those groups who were already most marginal to the tenure and can be related to experiences in and expectations of the future of the economy as well as to specific, rather than general, characteristics of the tenure. In the second part of the paper we suggest that the basis of these attitudinal changes is to be found in the changing nature of work in Britain with there being a contradiction between the long-term commitment of ownership as it is currently organised and the insecurities of the labour market.


2021 ◽  
pp. 77-112
Author(s):  
Shanthi Robertson

This chapter addresses how, for 'middling migrants' from Asia in Australia, hegemonic flexibility and the transification of migration create new forms of mobile labour and new career pathways; transform lived experiences of work time; and shape understandings of the self in relation to time and work. It argues primarily here that young and middling migrants become 'transified workers' whose careers are made up of contingent rather than teleological processes. Perceptions about young middling migrants' asynchronous temporalities and mobilities characterize them as undesirable transified workers, creating specific worker subjectivities and specific experiences of finding and retaining work. This characterization shapes their opportunities in the short and long term as well as their immediate and ongoing relationships to employers when they do find work. There is a fundamental tension between imaginaries of careers as teleological progressions and the realities of careers as temporally contingent under the conditions of hegemonic flexibility and the transification of migration. Contingency consists of unexpected detours, new dependencies and circumstances, and reimagined aspirations and desires, all framed within a sense of mobility as always unfinished and the future as ever uncertain. Transified work and contingent careers may intensify embodied time, daily schedules and the sense of the passage of time, creating dissonant, uncomfortable velocities that interlocutors felt they had little control over. Despite the significance of work to middling migrants' aspirations, it is important to understand their lives beyond their engagements with the labour market, as lifestyle, love and attachments to place, coloured their decisions and experiences just as much as their careers.


Ekonomika ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 90 (2) ◽  
pp. 62-77
Author(s):  
Agnė Laužadytė

In this paper, I estimate different time hazard models of the exit from different labour market states – unemployment, employment and inactivity – in Denmark. I find that women and individuals over fifty are more likely to experience long-term unemployment and inactivity. The less educated and unskilled workers are found to be another risk group to face marginalisation. Being previously employed reduces the risk of inactivity and increases the probability of re-entry to employment, while long-term unemployment or inactivity makes workers more likely to return to these labour market states in the future. Living in biggest Danish cities where job competition is high is a disadvantage, but it has a positive effect on labour market performance of persons over fifty. And finally, I find that those who have stayed in job for one year tend to remain employed, while persons inactive for longer than one year face a much higher risk of marginalisation.


2018 ◽  
Vol 72 (3) ◽  
pp. 634-642 ◽  
Author(s):  
Grace Bauckham ◽  
Rachel Lambert ◽  
Cristina M Atance ◽  
Patrick SR Davidson ◽  
Vanessa Taler ◽  
...  

People underestimate how much their preferences will change in the future, a phenomenon sometimes referred to as a “presentism bias.” Recently, we found that this presentism bias is attenuated when thinking about the preferences of other people. The aim of this study was to investigate whether predicting future preferences also differs depending on the level of social distance between self and other. A total of 67 participants completed a perspective-taking task in which they were required to think about their own preferences, those of a generic peer, and those of a close other both now and in the future. They were also asked to consider the preferences of an older adult now. Participants predicted less change between their current and future preferences than between the current and future preferences of a generic peer. Predicted change in preferences for a close other were similar, but not identical, to those made for the self. When considering relevant future preferences, participants predicted less change for themselves than for their close others and less change for close others than for generic peers. In other words, as social distance increases, the presentism bias decreases. Interestingly, participants estimated that both they and their peers would not change so much that they become similar to current older adults. Simulating the future perspectives of a generic peer or, even better, the current perspectives of an older adult may thus result in improved long-term decision-making, as it may enable a more realistic estimation of the magnitude of likely changes in the future.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 29-39
Author(s):  
Sulkhiya Gazieva ◽  

The future of labor market depends upon several factors, long-term innovation and the demographic developments. However, one of the main drivers of technological change in the future is digitalization and central to this development is the production and use of digital logic circuits and its derived technologies, including the computer,the smart phone and the Internet. Especially, smart automation will perhaps not cause e.g.regarding industries, occupations, skills, tasks and duties


2017 ◽  
Vol 168 (4) ◽  
pp. 181-185
Author(s):  
Marc Hanewinkel

The forest-game conflict – how can forest economics contribute to solve it? (Essay) Core parameters of forest economics such as land expectation value or highest revenue show that damage caused by wild ungulates can critically influence the economic success of forest enterprises. When assessing and evaluating the damage in order to calculate damage compensation, methods are applied in Germany that look either into the past (“cost value methods”) or into the future (“expected value methods”). The manifold uncertainties related to this evaluation over long-term production periods are taken into account within a framework of conventions through strongly simplifying assumptions. Only lately, the increased production risk due to game-induced loss of species diversity is also considered. Additional aspects that should be taken into account in the future are the loss of climate-adapted species, the change of the insurance values of forest ecosystems and the impossibility of specific management systems such as single-tree selection forestry due to the influence of game. Because of high transaction costs when assessing the damage, financial compensation should only be the “ultimate measure” and a meditation between stakeholder groups with the goal to find a cooperative solution before the damage occurs should be preferred.


2003 ◽  
Vol 20 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 46-82
Author(s):  
Fathi Malkawi

This paper addresses some of the Muslim community’s concerns regarding its children’s education and reflects upon how education has shaped the position of other communities in American history. It argues that the future of Muslim education will be influenced directly by the present realities and future trends within American education in general, and, more importantly, by the well-calculated and informed short-term and long-term decisions and future plans taken by the Muslim community. The paper identifies some areas in which a wellestablished knowledge base is critical to making decisions, and calls for serious research to be undertaken to furnish this base.


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