scholarly journals The main factors of premature mortality of the working-age population

2021 ◽  
Vol 100 (2) ◽  
pp. 166-171
Author(s):  
Bator S. Budaev ◽  
Larisa P. Banzarova ◽  
Olga G. Bogdanova ◽  
Inna Yu. Tarmaeva
Keyword(s):  
Mortality Rate ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
World Health ◽  
Critical Parameters ◽  
Suicide Mortality ◽  
Sources Of Information ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
The Republic ◽  
The Impact

The aim of our study was to investigate the regional characteristics of the external-cause mortality of the working-age population of the Republic of Buryatia during 2003-2017. Material and methods. The sources of information were the data of the Territorial Body of the Federal Service of State Statistics in the Republic of Buryatia (hereinafter - Buryatstat), medical certificates of death (f. No. 106/u-02), reports of forensic medical examinations for the specified period. The study was conducted using statistical, analytical, mathematical and comparative methods. The impact of human losses from accidents in working age on the demographic situation in the Republic was studied. The share of external-cause deaths of working-age people accounted for 38.1% of all deaths. In the structure of external causes of death, the predominant share of intentional self-injuries, including suicides (31.5%), murders (14.5%), was noted, with the contribution of all traffic accidents being 11.5%, accidental alcohol poisoning - 13.1%. According to 2016, the suicide mortality rate (66.8 per 100,000 population) was 3.3 times higher than the Russian average (20.4) and 1.9 times higher than the Siberian Federal District (SFD) (34.6). It should be noted that the suicide rate in Buryatia was almost 3.3 times higher than the critical parameters determined by World Health Organization experts (20 suicides per 100,000 population). The death rate from homicide in the Republic of Buryatia (30.0 per 100,000 people) was 3 times higher than the average in Russia (9.9) and 1.7 times higher than in the SFD (17.4). Conclusion. The high external-cause mortality rate related to the working-age population’s health is an objective reflection of the social and hygienic disadvantage of the Republic of Buryatia.

Prediction Mortality Rate Due to the Road-Traffic Accidents in Kazakhstan

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nurbek IGISSINOV ◽  
Alma AUBAKIROVA ◽  
Galiya ORAZOVA ◽  
Gulnur Akpolatova ◽  
Saltanat URAZOVA ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mortality Rate ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Age Group ◽  
Road Traffic Accidents ◽  
The Road ◽  
Age Related ◽  
Working Age ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Population Mortality

Background: As a result of the road traffic accidents 1.25 mln. of working-age people die each year on the roads. Frequency of the RTA is 11 times higher in our country than in Europe, that influence on demographic and economic situation in the republic. Creation of the math modeling and prediction of traffic mortality rate in Kazakhstan will allow to develop measure on its decrease. Methods: Short-term dotted prediction of population mortality level of Kazakhstan was used, in particular – methods of regressive analysis. General prognosis throughout the country up to 2021 was made on the basis of data for 1999-2018. The more relevant method for prediction is exponential function taking into account the features of mortality rate level trend. Results: Prediction of traffic fatalities without division into the age-related groups for 2019 is 2132±181 case with a probability 2/3. Expected levels for 2020-2027 cases, for 2021-1927 cases. Annual mortality decrease rate according to the 0-19 age-related at an average is 6.4% among men and 5.8% among women, according to age group as a whole – by 6.2%; from 20 up to 64 age related group – 5.1 % on all population category; older 65 age –group is by 2.2 %, 3.7 % among men, 2.9% among women as a whole. Conclusion: In the foreseeable future the number of traffic deaths in Kazakhstan will tend to decrease at a slower pace. Mortality rates due to road traffic accidents among working-age men will be 3 times higher than women in this age group.

scholarly journals Elaboration and implementation of the program for prevention of acute disorders of cerebral circulation as exemplified in Rybnaya Sloboda district of the Rebublic of Tatarstan

2016 ◽  
Vol 97 (5) ◽  
pp. 764-770 ◽  
Author(s):  
E A Kitaeva ◽  
M R Kitaev ◽  
L Ya Salyakhova ◽  
A Yu Vafin
Keyword(s):  
Mortality Rate ◽  
Cerebral Circulation ◽  
Recurrent Stroke ◽  
Circulatory System ◽  
Total Mortality ◽  
Reduce Mortality Rate ◽  
Circulatory System Diseases ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
The Republic

Aim. Improvement of activities aimed at reduction of morbidity of stroke and recurrent stroke, mortality and disability rates for stroke of the population of the Republic of Tatarstan, by means of implementation of primary and secondary prevention program.Methods. Activities that would reduce mortality rate and improve the quality of life of the population of Rybnaya Sloboda region for 2013-2015 were developed. Differentiated approach to stroke prevention for different groups of patients based on individual assessment of stroke risk was suggested. At Rybnaya Sloboda Central District Hospital the project of Stroke education Center was developed and implemented. It provides an opportunity for personified prevention of first-ever and recurrent stroke, massive preventive measures for the whole population aimed at maintaining awareness of present risk factors and methods of their reduction. Statistic analysis of mortality and morbidity rates for acute disorders of cerebral circulation for the population for the Republic of Tatarstan, Chistopolskiy, Tetushi and Rybnaya Sloboda districts for the period from 2013 to 2015 was performed.Results. In the Republic of Tatarstan, mortality rate in 2015 decreased by 1.6%, compared to the level of 2014, and the mortality rate of working age population reduced by 3.1%. During the last 10 years mortality rate of the population of the Republic of Tatarstan decreased by 13%. In Rybnaya Sloboda district, it was possible to reduce total mortality by 11% in 2015. In the last three years in the Republic of Tatarstan mortality from circulatory system diseases is decreasing, including mortality from stroke which reduced by 1.25 times (or by 25%). In Rybnaya Sloboda district mortality from circulatory system diseases decreased by 2.48 times, from myocardial infarction by 1.83 times, from stroke by 2.29 times. Mortality of working-age population from stroke was not registered in 2015.Conclusion. The implemented program has demonstrated its efficacy: due to undertaken activities in 2015 it was possible to reduce total mortality in Rybnaya Sloboda district, mortality of working-age population including that from stroke.

Pension Reform in Russia: Assessing the Susceptibility of GDP Production to a Shift in the Number of the Working-Age Population

2019 ◽  
pp. 80-86
Author(s):  
T. P. Skufina ◽  
S. V. Baranov
Keyword(s):  
Pension Reform ◽  
Fixed Capital ◽  
Economic Effects ◽  
Pension Scheme ◽  
Retirement Age ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
Long Term Forecasting ◽  
The Impact

The presented study considers the susceptibility of gross domestic product (GDP) production to a shift in the number of the working-age population due to an increase in retirement age starting with 2019.Aim. The study aims to examine the quantitative assessments of GDP production in Russia with allowance for the changes in the number of the working-age population due to an increase in the actual retirement age.Tasks. The authors forecast the number of the working-age population with allowance for an increase in the retirement age; develop a model to establish a correlation between the number of the workingage population, investment in fixed capital, and GDP production; quantify the impact of the shift in the number of the working-age population on GDP production in Russia. Methods. This study is based on the results of modeling and long-term forecasting.Results. An economic-mathematical model to establish a correlation between the number of the working-age population, investment in fixed capital, and GDP production is presented. To specify the economic effects of a shift in the number of the working-age population due to an increase in the retirement age, Russia’s GDP production is forecasted for the “old” and “new” (increased retirement age) pension scheme. The forecast is provided for three variants of the number of the working-age population.Conclusions. It is found that with the “old” pension scheme with a lower retirement age GDP production across all three variants will decrease by 2036 compared to 2017. With regard to the “new” scheme that increases the retirement age, it is concluded that an increase in the retirement age is a factor that facilitates GDP production. However, its effect on economic growth will be insignificant.

scholarly journals The labor potential reproduction in depopulation period of 2019–2035 and the compensating role of migration

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (5) ◽  
pp. 70-84
Author(s):  
A. V. Topilin ◽  
O. D. Vorob’eva ◽  
A. S. Maksimova
Keyword(s):  
Young People ◽  
Labor Force ◽  
Forecast Period ◽  
Age Cohorts ◽  
Time Migration ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Labor Potential

Purpose of the research. To examine the dynamics of reproduction of labor potential and labor supply in Russia for the period up to 2035, depending on the impact factors of its reproduction: generation change (changes in the proportion of cohort, entering and leaving at the age composition of the labor potential), fertility and mortality rates, migration balance in the individual age cohorts.  Materials and methods. The concept of “replacement of generations” is introduced. The coefficient of replacement of generations is developed and its value for labor potential of Russia for the period up to 2035 is calculated. The influence of factors of natural population movement on the dynamics of labor potential is analyzed. The compensating role of the migration factor in the conditions of labor potential reduction is calculated. Russian regions were grouped according to the following criteria: the direction and intensity of changes in the working-age population in 2020–2035 and the proportion of young people aged 0–15 years.  Results.  – There will be the reduction and aging of labor potential during the second stage of depopulation due to demographic factors.  – The decline in the working-age population in the second wave of depopulation is expected to be smaller than in the first wave.  – In Russia there will be a decrease in the replacement of generations in the contingent of people of the working age.  – The growth of Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in the forecast period should not be expected, because until 2030 a gradual decrease in the number of women of reproductive age is expected.  – The deepest failure in the population of the working age will be in 2020–2025 accounting for 1.7 million people according to the average variant of the forecast.  – In the forecast period, the labor force in the most productive age of 25–39 years will decrease by 10.5 million people, and the employment rate will decrease from 65.5% to 63.5%.  – Regional features of the formation of demand and supply of labor force in Russia cause the allocation of six homogeneous groups of regions.  – In order to compensate for the losses, it is necessary to increase the migration gain in the average version of ROSSTAT forecast by 2–2.5 times.  Conclusion. To meet the needs of the economy in the labor force in the forecast period, it is necessary to solve two interrelated tasks: compensation for the reduction of labor potential and ensuring the quality of labor potential necessary for the introduction of new technologies and digitalization of the economy. The unfavorable situation with the formation of labor resources is exacerbated by regional imbalances in the distribution of labor potential and differences in its quality across the country. In the future, migration is once again the only source of replenishment of labor potential and replacement of generations, despite the risks of quality losses due to the emigration of highly qualified persons and young people. It is necessary to take measures to increase the compensatory role of migration in the next five – six years. At the same time, migration policy measures should be considered in close conjunction with other measures to stimulate fertility and reduce mortality, ensuring a positive impact on the components of the population growth.  

scholarly journals The Impact of Ageing Population on Economic Growth in South Asia

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (7) ◽  
pp. 70
Author(s):  
D.K.Y. Abeywardhana
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Asia ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Ageing Population ◽  
The South ◽  
Healthcare Facilities ◽  
Main Challenge ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
The Impact

The share of working age population has declined all over the world. It is forecasted that this will continue for the coming years in all countries in South Asia. Low growth in working age population in South Asia will be effecting negatively for the economic growth. This paper studies whether the South Asia 2050 employment targets would be sufficient to compensate for the downward impact of demographic burden and whether the impact of demography on economic growth differs between South Asian countries. The results show that degreasing working age population is the main challenge the South Asian region faces. Further it shows that growth in GDP mainly depend on the demographic change. Population who contributed the economic development become maturing and dependents of their children. The consumption of the ageing population is very high as of higher spending on healthcare facilities. This effect badly on the economic growth in the region and cause lots of challenges to the nations.

scholarly journals The morbidity, disability, and mortality associated with respiratory diseases in the Russian Federation (2015 – 2019)

2021 ◽  
Vol 31 (5) ◽  
pp. 551-561
Author(s):  
Elena V. Bystritskaya ◽  
Tatiana N. Bilichenko
Keyword(s):  
Mortality Rate ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Respiratory Diseases ◽  
Maximum Level ◽  
Federal State ◽  
Female Population ◽  
Working Age ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
Far Eastern

Respiratory diseases (RD) represent one of the most urgent issues in Russian health care and have high socio-economic significance.The aim. To study the dynamics of total morbidity and mortality in the Russian Federation, as well as the mortality associated with RD in the working-age population in 2015 – 2019.Methods. The official statistical data of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation and the Federal State Statistics Service were analyzed.Results. In 2019, the total RD-associated morbidity increased by 5.4%, and the prevalence of pneumonia increased by 29.0% compared to 2015. In 5 federal districts (FD), the morbidity exceeded the average Russian morbidity in 2019 (40,694.7). The maximum level was observed in the North-Western FD (50,224.1). The prevalence of pneumonia (Russia – 524.4) in 4 FDs exceeded the average Russian prevalence. The maximum level was reported in the Far Eastern FD (749.2 cases per 100 thousand of the total population). The RD-associated mortality rate in Russia was 51.8 cases per 100 thousand in 2015 and 41.6 cases per 100 thousand in 2018 (–19.7%). In 2018, the highest RD-associated mortality was observed in the Siberian FD (68.0) and Far Eastern FD (57.8 per 100 thousand people). From January to December 2019, the highest mortality associated with pneumonia in the working-age population was observed in the Far Eastern FD (28.2 per 100 thousand people). The RD-associated mortality rate in the male population was 4.2 times higher than in the female population (26.7 and 6.3, respectively, per 100 thousand persons of matching age).Conclusion. The highest morbidity was found in 2018 and 2019 in the Northwestern FD and Far Eastern FD. The RD-associated mortality in the Siberian FD and Far Eastern FD exceeded the average Russian values. This last observation requires additional research to improve the quality of medical care.

scholarly journals The impact of migration processes on the labor market in the Republic of Moldova

2021 ◽  
pp. 125-139
Author(s):  
Valentina Cotelnic ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Labor Market ◽  
Labor Migration ◽  
Socioeconomic Development ◽  
Development Programs ◽  
Demographic Aging ◽  
The Social ◽  
Economic Transformations ◽  
Working Age ◽  
The Republic ◽  
The Impact

Economic transformations in recent years have produced changes in the social structure, as well as profound demographic changes, which have contributed to demographic aging and declining working age populations. Changes in the structure of the population, accompanied by migration have led to a reduction in the number of people employed, as well as to changes in the structure of employment. The study reveals that the socio-economic situation in the country, the imperfect evolution of the labor market, the diffifculty of securing a decent paying job, have put a signififi cant part of the population on the path of labor migration, which for many has become a necessity rather than a choice. At the same time, the remittances transferred in favor of individuals have become the only source of income for many households. All the above issues are current and, therefore, represent the topic of this research. The research was performed using comparative analysis methods, aided by graphs. Based on the results of this research, certain conclusions and recommendations were developed in order to promote a system of measures aimed at reducing labor migration, by applying sustainable socioeconomic development programs, which would contribute to the creation of new jobs.

scholarly journals COVID-19 Pandemic: A Challenge for Healthcare Professionals and Assessment of Anxiety Symptoms

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Maestro ◽  
Sabina Šegalo ◽  
Dinko Remić ◽  
Arzija Pašalić ◽  
Anes Jogunčić
Keyword(s):  
Mental Health ◽  
Anxiety Disorder ◽  
Health Centre ◽  
Anxiety Symptoms ◽  
Public Institution ◽  
World Health ◽  
Sources Of Information ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
The World ◽  
The Impact

Introduction: Worldwide, COVID-19 pandemic caused millions of infected people and thousands of deaths. Due to enormous pressure on health-care systems and its inadequate preparedness, utter collapse is expected. In the current epidemic response, healthcare workers’ (HCWs) knowledge and practice are crucial, while the impact on their mental health is still unknown.Methods: The cross-sectional study was conducted among HCWs redeployed to COVID points in the Public Institution Health Centre of Sarajevo Canton. According to guidelines and information provided by the World Health Organization and Ministries of Health, a questionnaire was developed. In addition, General Anxiety Disorder-7 as a screening tool for anxiety disorders was used.Results: Of 180 respondents, 26 (14.4%) were in direct contact with the sick patient. In total, 79 (43.9%) respondents consider their personal protective equipment is in accordance with the guidelines of the world health authorities. A total of 72 (39.7%) of respondents used the same mask for several days. In general, the danger from new coronavirus was considered minimal by 59 (32,6%) HCWs. Based on the achieved score for assessing the anxiety disorder, in 63 (35%) subjects, the presence of severe symptoms was detected.Conclusion: This study found that most HCWs do not have enough knowledge about the COVID-19 pandemic. We identified that there are differences in the sources of information and gap in perceptions of the native origin of the virus. Considering the frequency of anxiety symptoms among HCWs, interventions are necessary in order to preserve their mental health.

scholarly journals Anti-hepatitis C virus seroprevalence in the working age population in Poland, 2004 to 2014

2017 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Bożena Walewska-Zielecka ◽  
Urszula Religioni ◽  
Grzegorz Juszczyk ◽  
Zbigniew M Wawrzyniak ◽  
Aleksandra Czerw ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Hepatitis C Virus ◽  
Hepatitis C ◽  
World Health ◽  
Health Concern ◽  
Health Priorities ◽  
The World ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
Health Organization

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is considered by the World Health Organization (WHO) to be a serious public health concern and one of the major public health priorities. In 2005, it was estimated that there are 185 million anti-HCV positive people in the world, which constitutes 2.8% of the global population. Our study estimates the anti-HCV seroprevalence in the working age population (15–64 years-old), mostly urban and suburban residents, in Poland from 2004 to 2014. The studied group consisted of 61,805 working-age population representatives whose data were obtained from electronic medical records of an outpatient clinic network operating on a countrywide level. Positive anti-HCV test results were obtained in 957 patients, representing 1.5% of the whole population studied throughout the analysed period. The average age of all anti-HCV positive patients was 36.8 years. Analysis of the data suggests that the proportion of anti-HCV positive patients decreased over the study period (mean positive anti-HCV = -0.0017 × year + 3.3715; R2 = 0.7558). In 2004, positive results were noted among 3.2% of patients undergoing HCV antibody tests, but in 2014, the percentage of patients with a positive result stood at 1.1%. The apparent decrease affected men and women similarly. Our study also provides evidence that screening people born before 1965 could be beneficial.

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