scholarly journals An Immune Risk Score Predicts Survival of Patients with Myelodysplastic Syndrome

Blood ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 136 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 33-34
Author(s):  
Yang Liang ◽  
Fang Hu ◽  
Yu-Jun Dai ◽  
Yun Wang ◽  
Huan Li

Background: Myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) was characterized as ineffective hematopoiesis, increased transformation to acute myeloid leukemia (AML), and accompanied by immune system dysfunction. However, the immune signature of MDS remains elusive. Methods: The clinical data (age, sex, international prognostic score system (IPSS), hemoglobin, blast, RBC transfusion dependence, and corresponding subject-level survival) as well as expression profiles of MDS (CD34+ cells) were obtained from Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO: GSE 58831; GSE 114922). A robust prognosis model of immune genes was constructed by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis. Survival analysis for prognostic model was carried out through the Kaplan-Meier curve and Log-rank test. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under the curve (AUC) were used to assess the accuracy of prognostic models. Immune score for different subtype were calculated further by single sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA). Result: A novel robust immune gene prognostic model indicate that subtype with lower risk score were longer overall survival (OS) than subtype with higher risk score in training cohort (Figure1 A, C). The model was further verified by the validation cohort (Figure1 B, D). The multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated the model was an independent prognostic factor for OS prediction with hazard ratios of 56.694 (95% CIs: 9.038−355.648), 3.009 (95% CIs: 1.042−8.692) both in train cohort and external validation cohort respectively (Figure1 G, H). The AUC of 5- year were 0.92 (95% CIs: 0.86 - 0.97) and 0.7 (95% CIs: 0.51 - 0.89) for OS respectively in training cohort and validation cohort (Figure1 E, F). Furthermore, ssGSEA showed higher risk score subtype was significantly associated with higher immune score of check point, human leukocyte antigen (HLA), T cell co-inhibition and type I interferon (IFN) response (Figure1 K-N), which indicating that the poor outcome might be caused by tumor-associated immune response dysfunction partly. Conclusion: We constructed a robust immune gene prognostic model, which have a potential prognostic value for MDS patients and may provide evidence for personalized immunotherapy. Figure Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xueping Ke ◽  
Zhen Fu ◽  
Jingjing Yang ◽  
Shijin Yu ◽  
Tingyuan Yan ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Increasing evidence has suggested that RNA binding protein (RBP) dysregulation plays an important part in tumorigenesis. Here, we sought to explore the potential molecular functions and clinical significance of RBP and develop diagnostic and prognostic signatures based on RBP in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). Methods: The Limma package was applied to identify the differently expressed RBPs between HNSCC and normal samples with |log2 fold change (FC)|≥1 and false discovery rate (FDR)<0.05. the immunohistochemistry images from the Human Protein Atlas database The diagnostic signature based on RBP was built by LASSO-logistic regression and random forest and the prognostic signature based on RBP was constructed by LASSO and stepwise Cox regression analysis in training cohort and validated in validation cohort. All these analyses were performed using the R software.Results: A total of 84 aberrantly expressed RBPs were obtained, comprising 41 up-regulated and 43 down-regulated RBPs. Seven RBP genes (CPEB3, PDCD4, ENDOU, PARP12, DNMT3B, IGF2BP1, EXO1) were identified as diagnostic related hub gene and were used to establish a diagnostic RBP signature risk score (DRBPS) model by the coefficients in LASSO-logistic regression analysis and shown high specificity and sensitivity in the training (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] = 0.998), and in all validation cohorts (AUC > 0.95 for all). Similarly, seven RBP genes (MKRN3, ZC3H12D, EIF5A2, AFF3, SIDT1, RBM24 and NR0B1) were identified as prognosis associated hub genes by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and stepwise multiple Cox regression analyses and were used to construct the prognostic model named as PRBPS. The area under the curve of the time-dependent receiver operator characteristic curve of the prognostic model were 0.664 at 3 years and 0.635 at 5 years in training cohort and 0.720, 0.777 in the validation cohort, showing a favorable predictive effificacy for prognosis in HNSCC.Conclusions: Our results demonstrate the values of consideration of RBP in the diagnosis and prognosis for HNSCC and provide a novel insights to understand potential role of dysregulated RBP in HNSCC.


2021 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongqu Lu ◽  
Wendong Wang ◽  
Zhenzhen Liu ◽  
Junren Ma ◽  
Xin Zhou ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Heterogeneity in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients provides novel strategies in clinical decision-making. Identifying distinctive subgroups in patients can improve the screening of CRC and reduce the cost of tests. Metabolism-related long non-coding RNA (lncRNA) can help detection of tumorigenesis and development for CRC patients. Methods RNA sequencing and clinical data of CRC patients which extracted and integrated from public databases including The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) were set as training cohort and validation cohort. Metabolism-related genes were acquired from Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) and the metabolism-related lncRNAs were filtered using correlation analysis. The risk score was calculated based on lncRNAs with prognostic value and verified through survival curve, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and risk curve. Prognostic factors of CRC patients were also analyzed. Nomogram was constructed based on the results of cox regression analyses. The different immune status was observed in the single sample Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (ssGSEA). Results The training cohort and the validation cohort enrolled 432 and 547 CRC patients respectively. A total of 23 metabolism-related lncRNAs with prognostic value were screened out and 10 of which were significantly differentially expressed between tumour and normal tissues. Finally, 8 lncRNAs were used to establish a risk score (DICER1-AS1, PCAT6, GAS5, PRR7-AS1, MCM3AP-AS1, GAS6-AS1, LINC01082 and ADIRF-AS1). Patients were divided into high-risk and low-risk groups according to the median of risk scores in training cohort and the survival curves indicated that the survival prognosis was significantly different. The area under curve (AUC) of the ROC curve in two cohorts were both greater than 0.6. The age, tumour stage and risk score were selected as independent factors and used to construct a nomogram to predict CRC patients' survival rate with the c-index of 0.806. The ssGSEA indicated that the risk score was associated with immune cells and functions. Conclusions Our systematic study established a metabolism-related lncRNA signature to predict outcomes of CRC patients which may contribute to individual prevention and treatment.


BMC Cancer ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lin Chen ◽  
Yuxiang Dong ◽  
Yitong Pan ◽  
Yuhan Zhang ◽  
Ping Liu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Breast cancer is one of the main malignant tumors that threaten the lives of women, which has received more and more clinical attention worldwide. There are increasing evidences showing that the immune micro-environment of breast cancer (BC) seriously affects the clinical outcome. This study aims to explore the role of tumor immune genes in the prognosis of BC patients and construct an immune-related genes prognostic index. Methods The list of 2498 immune genes was obtained from ImmPort database. In addition, gene expression data and clinical characteristics data of BC patients were also obtained from the TCGA database. The prognostic correlation of the differential genes was analyzed through Survival package. Cox regression analysis was performed to analyze the prognostic effect of immune genes. According to the regression coefficients of prognostic immune genes in regression analysis, an immune risk scores model was established. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was performed to probe the biological correlation of immune gene scores. P < 0.05 was considered to be statistically significant. Results In total, 556 immune genes were differentially expressed between normal tissues and BC tissues (p < 0. 05). According to the univariate cox regression analysis, a total of 66 immune genes were statistically significant for survival risk, of which 30 were associated with overall survival (P < 0.05). Finally, a 15 immune genes risk scores model was established. All patients were divided into high- and low-groups. KM survival analysis revealed that high immune risk scores represented worse survival (p < 0.001). ROC curve indicated that the immune genes risk scores model had a good reliability in predicting prognosis (5-year OS, AUC = 0.752). The established risk model showed splendid AUC value in the validation dataset (3-year over survival (OS) AUC = 0.685, 5-year OS AUC = 0.717, P = 0.00048). Moreover, the immune risk signature was proved to be an independent prognostic factor for BC patients. Finally, it was found that 15 immune genes and risk scores had significant clinical correlations, and were involved in a variety of carcinogenic pathways. Conclusion In conclusion, our study provides a new perspective for the expression of immune genes in BC. The constructed model has potential value for the prognostic prediction of BC patients and may provide some references for the clinical precision immunotherapy of patients.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoye Jiang ◽  
Zhongxiang Jiang ◽  
Lichun Xiang ◽  
Xuenuo Chen ◽  
Jiao Wu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Increasing evidence has shown that cytolytic activity (CYT) is a new immunotherapy biomarker that characterises the antitumour immune activity of cytotoxic T cells and macrophages. In this study, we established a prognostic model associated with CYT. Methods A prognostic model based on CYT-related genes was developed. Furthermore, aberrant expression of genes of the model in colon cancer (CC) was identified by reverse transcription-quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) and immunohistochemistry (IHC) assays. Next, the correlation between the model and T-cell infiltration in the CC microenvironment was analysed. The Tumour Immune Dysfunction and Exclusion (TIDE) algorithm and subclass mapping were used to predict clinical responses to immune checkpoint inhibitors. Results In total, 280 of the 1418 genes were differentially expressed based on CYT. A prognostic model (including HOXC8 and MS4A2) was developed based on CYT-related genes. The model was validated using the testing set, the whole set and a Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) cohort (GSE41258). Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) and other analyses showed that the levels of immune infiltration and antitumour immune activation in low-risk-score tumours were greater than those in high-risk-score tumours. CC patients with a low-risk-score showed more promise in the response to anti-immune checkpoint therapy. Conclusions Overall, our model may precisely predict the overall survival of CC and reflect the strength of antitumour immune activity in the CC microenvironment. Furthermore, the model may be a predictive factor for the response to immunotherapy.


Author(s):  
Yongmei Wang ◽  
Guimin Zhang ◽  
Ruixian Wang

Background: This study aims to explore the prognostic values of CT83 and CT83-related genes in lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD). Methods: We downloaded the mRNA profiles of 513 LUAD patients (RNA sequencing data) and 246 NSCLC patients (Affymetrix Human Genome U133 Plus 2.0 Array) from TCGA and GEO databases. According to the median expression of CT83, the TCGA samples were divided into high and low expression groups, and differential expression analysis between them was performed. Functional enrichment analysis of differential expression genes (DEGs) was conducted. Univariate Cox regression analysis and LASSO Cox regression analysis were performed to screen the optimal prognostic DEGs. Then we established the prognostic model. A Nomogram model was constructed to predict the overall survival (OS) probability of LUAD patients. Results: CT83 expression was significantly correlated to the prognosis of LUAD patients. A total of 59 DEGs were identified, and a predictive model was constructed based on six optimal CT83-related DEGs, including CPS1, RHOV, TNNT1, FAM83A, IGF2BP1, and GRIN2A, could effectively predict the prognosis of LUAD patients. The nomogram could reliably predict the OS of LUAD patients. Moreover, the six important immune checkpoints (CTLA4, PD1, IDO1, TDO2, LAG3, and TIGIT) were closely correlated with the Risk Score, which was also differentially expressed between the LUAD samples with high and low-Risk Scores, suggesting that the poor prognosis of LUAD patients with high-Risk Score might be due to the immunosuppressive microenvironments. Conclusion: A prognostic model based on six optimal CT83 related genes could effectively predict the prognosis of LUAD patients.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaohong - Liu ◽  
Qian - Xu ◽  
Zi-Jing - Li ◽  
Bin - Xiong

Abstract BackgroundMetabolic reprogramming is an important hallmark in the development of malignancies. Numerous metabolic genes have been demonstrated to participate in the progression of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the prognostic significance of the metabolic genes in HCC remains elusive. MethodsWe downloaded the gene expression profiles and clinical information from the GEO, TCGA and ICGC databases. The differently expressed metabolic genes were identified by using Limma R package. Univariate Cox regression analysis and LASSO (Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) Cox regression analysis were utilized to uncover the prognostic significance of metabolic genes. A metabolism-related prognostic model was constructed in TCGA cohort and validated in ICGC cohort. Furthermore, we constructed a nomogram to improve the accuracy of the prognostic model by using the multivariate Cox regression analysis.ResultsThe high-risk score predicted poor prognosis for HCC patients in the TCGA cohort, as confirmed in the ICGC cohort (P < 0.001). And in the multivariate Cox regression analysis, we observed that risk score could act as an independent prognostic factor for the TCGA cohort (HR (hazard ratio) 3.635, 95% CI (confidence interval)2.382-5.549) and the ICGC cohort (HR1.905, 95%CI 1.328-2.731). In addition, we constructed a nomogram for clinical use, which suggested a better prognostic model than risk score.ConclusionsOur study identified several metabolic genes with important prognostic value for HCC. These metabolic genes can influence the progression of HCC by regulating tumor biology and can also provide metabolic targets for the precise treatment of HCC.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mu-xing Li ◽  
Hang-yan Wang ◽  
Chun-hui Yuan ◽  
Zhao-lai Ma ◽  
Bin Jiang ◽  
...  

IntroductionMacrophage phenotype switch plays a vital role in the progression of malignancies. We aimed to build a prognostic signature by exploring the expression pattern of macrophage phenotypic switch related genes (MRGs) in the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA)—pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAAD), Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx)-Pancreas, and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) databases.MethodsWe identified the differentially expressed genes between the PAAD and normal tissues. We used single factor Cox proportional risk regression analysis, Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) analysis, and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis to establish the prognosis risk score by the MRGs. The relationships between the risk score and immune landscape, “key driver” mutations and clinicopathological factors were also analyzed. Gene-set enrichment analysis (GSEA) analysis was also performed.ResultsWe detected 198 differentially expressed MRGs. The risk score was constructed based on 9 genes (KIF23, BIN1, LAPTM4A, ERAP2, ATP8B2, FAM118A, RGS16, ELMO1, RAPGEFL1). The median overall survival time of patients in the low-risk group was significantly longer than that of patients in the high-risk group (P &lt; 0.001). The prognostic value of the risk score was validated in GSE62452 dataset. The prognostic performance of nomogram based on risk score was superior to that of TNM stage. And GSEA analysis also showed that the risk score was closely related with P53 signaling pathway, pancreatic cancer and T cell receptor signaling pathway. qRT-PCR assay showed that the expressions of the 9 MRGs in PDAC cell lines were higher than those in human pancreatic ductal epithelium cell line.ConclusionsThe nine gene risk score could be used as an independent prognostic index for PAAD patients. Further studies validating the prognostic value of the risk score are warranted.


2021 ◽  
Vol 16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dongqing Su ◽  
Qianzi Lu ◽  
Yi Pan ◽  
Yao Yu ◽  
Shiyuan Wang ◽  
...  

Background: Breast cancer has plagued women for many years and caused many deaths around the world. Method: In this study, based on the weighted correlation network analysis, univariate Cox regression analysis and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, 12 immune-related genes were selected to construct the risk score for breast cancer patients. The multivariable Cox regression analysis, gene set enrichment analysis and nomogram were also conducted in this study. Results: Good results were obtained in the survival analysis, enrichment analysis, multivariable Cox regression analysis and immune-related feature analysis. When the risk score model was applied in 22 breast cancer cohorts, the univariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that the risk score model was significantly associated with overall survival in most of the breast cancer cohorts. Conclusion: Based on these results, we could conclude that the proposed risk score model may be a promising method, and may improve the treatment stratification of breast cancer patients in the future work.


2020 ◽  
pp. 014556132095167
Author(s):  
Zhihuai Dong ◽  
Mingguang Zhou ◽  
Gaofei Ye ◽  
Jing Ye ◽  
Mang Xiao

Objective: To develop and validate a clinical score to predict the risk of tympanosclerosis before surgery. Methods: A sample of 404 patients who underwent middle ear microsurgery for otitis media was enrolled. These patients were randomly divided into 2 cohorts: the training cohort (n = 243, 60%) and the validation cohort (n = 161, 40%). The preoperative predictors of tympanosclerosis were determined by multivariate logistic regression analysis and implemented using a clinical score tool. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the clinical score were determined by the area under the curve (AUC) and the calibration curve. Results: The multivariate analysis in the training cohort (n = 243, 60%) identified independent factors for tympanosclerosis as the female sex (odds ratio [OR]: 3.83; 95% CI: 1.66-9.37), the frequency-specific air-bone gap at 250 Hz ≥ 45 dB HL (OR: 3.68; 95% CI: 1.68-8.57), aditus ad antrum blockage (OR: 3.29; 95% CI: 1.38-8.43), type I eardrum calcification (OR: 25.37; 95% CI: 8.41-88.91) or type II eardrum calcification (OR: 18.86; 95% CI: 6.89-58.77), and a history of otitis media ≥ 10 years (OR: 4.10; 95% CI: 1.58-11.83), which were all included in the clinical score tool. The AUC of the clinical score for predicting tympanosclerosis was 0.89 (95% CI: 0.85-0.93) in the training cohort and 0.89 (95% CI: 0.84-0.95) in the validation cohort. The calibration curve also showed good agreement between the predicted and observed probability. Conclusions: The clinical score achieved an optimal prediction of tympanosclerosis before surgery. The presence of calcification pearls on the promontorium tympani is a strong predictor of tympanosclerosis with stapes fixation.


2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 9080-9080 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yvonne M. Saenger ◽  
Jay Magidson ◽  
Bobby Chi-Hung Liaw ◽  
Karl Wassmann ◽  
William Barker ◽  
...  

9080 Background: Tremelimumab (Ticilimumumab, Pfizer), a monoclonal antibody targeting CTLA-4, a T cell inhibitory molecule, has shown activity in metastatic melanoma. Ipilimumab (Yervoy, BMS), another antibody targettingCTLA-4, improves survival relative to a peptide vaccine and is now FDA approved. A minority of patients will achieve durable tumor control with CTLA-4 blockade and biomarkers are urgently needed to identify those patients. Methods: 170 inflammatory, melanoma-specific and CTLA4-pathway related mRNA transcripts were measured using RT-PCR in pre-treatment peripheral blood samples from 218 patients with refractory melanoma receiving tremelimumab in a multi-center phase II study. A 2-class latent model yielded a risk score based on 4-genes that was highly predictive of survival (p<0.001), and was used to categorize patients into low, medium and high-risk groups. An independent cohort of 260 treatment naïve melanoma patients receiving tremelimumab as part of a multi-center phase III study was then used to validate the risk score as well as the 3 risk groups defined using the pre-specified cut-points. Results: There was no significant difference between the two cohorts in terms of age, gender, stage of disease or ECOG status. Median time of follow up was 297 days for the training cohort and 386 days for the validation cohort. 67% of patients in the training cohort and 70% of patients in the validation died during time of follow-up. Collectively, the ability of the 170 genes to predict survival exhibited a high degree of consistency across the cohorts (p < 0.001). A 4-gene model including cathepsin D (CTSD), Phopholipase A2 group VII (PLA2G7), Thioredoxin reductase 1 (TXNRD-1) and Interleukin 1 receptor associated kinase 3 (IRAK3) predicted survival in the validation cohort (p=0.001 by log rank test). Multivariable cox analysis showed that the 4-gene model added to the predictive value of clinical predictors (p<0.0001). Conclusions: Expression levels of CTSD, PLA2G7, TXNRD1, and IRAK3 in peripheral blood are predictive of survival in melanoma patients treated with ticilimumab (αCTLA-4). Blood mRNA signatures should be further explored to define patient subsets likely to benefit from immunotherapy.


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