scholarly journals TRENDS IN THE GRAIN MARKET OF UKRAINE

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Fomichova

This article explores the current state of the grain industry in Ukraine, the main problems and trendsof its development in the current economic conditions. The export potential of grain production has been investigated, economic feasibility and prospects of grain industry development in Ukraine have beengrounded, the amount of production and cereals consumption in the world have been analyzed and summarized.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ekaterina Gennadievna Rybinskaya

Food production and agriculture play a key role in providing the world’s population with food. A special place in the world food market is given to the grain complex, which occupies an important position in the system of world agri-food markets and is a strategic branch of the national economy of each individual country. This article assesses the current state and conjuncture of the world grain market based on the analysis of statistical data on the production, consumption, trade and prices of cereals, as well as on the basis of studying reviews and reports of leading analytical agencies, in particular FAO reports. In view of the relevance of recent events related to the experienced global economic shock, an assessment of the impact of the global pandemic on the world grain market is given. The forecasts of further growth of the world grain market and the subsequent position of its leading participants are presented. It is concluded that the markets for major cereals are well secured, the outlook for global production and consumption is generally positive, and that cereal trade is expected to grow, but at a slower pace. Large exporters and importers of cereals will maintain their leading positions with some possible changes in their participation shares. The main trends in the development of the world market for cereals are listed and disclosed, associated mainly with population growth, increased yields, changes in consumption patterns, expansion of the livestock sector, technological progress, the functioning of global value chains and the actions of large participants in relation to state and tariff regulation of the grain complex.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 (11-12) ◽  
pp. 60-76
Author(s):  
Inna KUZNETSOVA ◽  

The integration of Ukraine into the global economy actualizes the problem of food security at the national level. Its support in a certain way depends on the vector of development of the grain market, which provides the population with the most mass food products and livestock with feed. The analysis of factors affecting the global imbalance between supply and consumption of grain is carried out. The basic indicators include: the lag in the rate of grain production from the rate of the population growth in the world and an increase in grain consumption in animal husbandry. These factors determine sustained increased demand for crops and affect the growth of the FAO price index. Under such conditions, Ukraine, as a leading grain exporter, plays a key role in stabilizing the world food security. To determine the impact of the development of the national grain market on food security, a number of indicators are identified: (i) the percentage of consumption of animal products in the human daily energy diet; (ii) providing the human diet with the main types of products that are based on processed grain or the production of which is related to its consumption; (iii) differentiation of the cost of nutrition of the population by social groups for these products; (iv) average per capita grain production. Based on the analysis of the calculated values of the food security indicators, it was found that the status of the domestic grain market corresponds to the “hungry export” vector, which is characterized by an increase in grain exports due not only to an increase in its gross harvest, but also to a decrease in grain consumption both in the grain processing industry and in animal husbandry. Based on a comparative analysis of the foreign economic activity of the flour-milling industry of Ukraine and Turkey, it is concluded that the latter, as the leader in the world flour market, produces it from Ukrainian grain. With this in mind, measures are proposed for the government stimulation of the foreign economic activity of the flour-milling industry.


Ekonomika APK ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 316 (2) ◽  
pp. 48-58
Author(s):  
Svitlana Cheremisina

The purpose of the article is to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the grain market of Ukraine and justify priority measures for its further stabilization, increase competitiveness and increase efficiency. Research methods. In the process of research a number of methods were used: abstract-logical - to formulate conclusions; comparative analysis - to compare indicators and identify trends in their change; tabular - for a visual representation of the results of the study; statistical - in determining the variation in the volume of grain production; calculation and design - to develop balances of cereals and justify their forecast indicators; monographic - detailing the current state and problems of the grain market of Ukraine; graphic - to illustrate market trends in the studied grain market. Research results. The tendency of significant growth of production and export of grain crops in Ukraine is revealed. It is investigated that there is a steady increase in supply in the grain market, which is formed mainly due to production volumes. The result of a comprehensive analysis of export flows in the grain market of Ukraine is a developed forecast of grain exports. The forecast balance of grain and leguminous crops by main types has been developed. The price situation on the domestic grain market in terms of major crops is analyzed and the world grain market situation is studied. Priority measures have been systematized that will contribute to the further development of the domestic grain market and the strengthening of Ukraine's leading position in the world grain market. Scientific novelty. Methodological and practical aspects of studying the problems of the grain market and developing directions for sustainable development of the grain complex of Ukraine have been further developed. Practical significance. These approaches and research results can be used by public and sectoral authorities in the organization of monitoring and development of priority measures to increase the competitiveness of domestic grain potential in world markets. Tabl.: 4. Figs.: 5. Refs.: 13.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 47-52
Author(s):  
Kateryna Malinoshevska

The grain market is a sphere of grain circulation, strategic interests for multinational corporations, which includes its processing. The growth in demand for wheat is due to the growing population in the world and other factors that affect the country’s food security. Communication interaction between producer and consumer creates an organizational system in the form of various forms of markets: markets, fairs, auctions, exchanges and more. The trend of increasing the cost of grain is observed around the world because production volumes are insufficient to meet all the needs of the population. The grain market is the main lever in the Ukrainian market. The strategy for the development of grain crops affects the reproduction of the country’s economy as a whole and changes in macro and microeconomic indicators. The climatic conditions of the regions are important factors for the prosperity of the grain market and ensuring yields. A favorable political climate is impossible without the export of domestic products, namely grain. Many countries cannot produce enough grain and import it. A significant share of grain production is concentrated in developed countries, so ensuring it is an important issue around the world, the solution of which is to finance the import of grain crops, including wheat. Ukraine has a huge land potential (chernozems), as well as the prospects and opportunities to expand areas for sowing, thus increasing grain production and strengthening its position in the world market. Grain is an important type of product and has its own versatility, a number of countries around the world annually purchase significant volumes of sourdough products. Ukraine fully meets its domestic needs and is one of the exporters of grain to the EU and the world. Increasing grain yields will help increase production. Due to its uniqueness and long storage time, grain remains a necessary component of the population’s life. Not every country is able to increase production, for this it is necessary to apply strategic measures, in particular in agricultural policy. This is intervention in the grain market, agricultural subsidies and others. Grain resources consist of stocks of previous periods, production and imports. In Ukraine, grain production is increasing. Demand for quality products exists in both domestic and foreign markets. High commodity grades of wheat can be produced under favorable natural conditions, so additional investment in growing quality products is a significant economic lever that ensures the economic growth of the country. Methodology. The purpose of the article is to analyze the grain market and study the role of the state in building a strategy for the development of grain exports. Empirical research methods were used in the study. A comparison of the main indicators of the world grain market and Ukraine’s place in it was made. Due to the use of theoretical research methods, in particular analysis and synthesis, the main features of the grain market were identified and characterized. The main factors influencing the development of the world grain market were identified. High quality of grain production and processing increases the country’s competitiveness on the world market. Results. According to the results of the study, it can be concluded that over the past year, despite the trends of coronavirus in the country, Ukraine has strengthened its position and taken a leading position in the production and export of cereals. Factors that affect grain yields in the world also affect yields in Ukraine. Practical implications. During the strategic analysis in our case, we found that the world grain market is affected by many factors: reducing the area for planting in developing countries, increasing grain use, wheat is beginning to occupy a leading position as a food crop, increasing cereal consumption by traditional rice producers, especially in China. The volume of export resources and competitive products is an important advantage of Ukrainian products on the world market. Practical studies have shown that the volume of production and export of Ukrainian grain to international markets also depends on the world grain market. Value/originality. These studies make it possible to determine the country’s place in grain exports to international markets and factors influencing the development of international trade.


Author(s):  
M.N. Kabanenko ◽  

This article discusses and analyzes the current state of the Russian grain market in recent years, as well as problems and prospects for its development. Data on trends in grain production are presented. The main problems of the Russian grain market are considered, and, accordingly, the substantiation of proposals for the elimination of these problems, which will make it possible to realize the potential of grain production in the Russian Federation, is given.


1998 ◽  
Vol 155 ◽  
pp. 512-545 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas P. Lyons

Recent years have seen a flurry of debate about China's ability to feed itself. In his article “Who will feed China?” and his book of the same title, Lester Brown predicted that China would need grain imports of 200 million tonnes by the year 2030 – an amount that would severely tax the world grain market. Scholars and journalists, both in China and abroad, have weighed in with contradictory analyses and predictions.


2009 ◽  
pp. 4-25 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Zamaraev ◽  
A. Kiyutsevskaya ◽  
A. Nazarova ◽  
E. Sukhanov

The article analyzes the current economic conditions in Russia. Succession, distribution and the transmission mechanism of the world financial and economic crisis to the Russian economy are considered in this article as well as the changes in the banking system, share and housing markets. Production, consumption and investment on the boundary of 2008-2009 are described. The conclusion about the basic change of conditions of national economy development is presented.


Author(s):  
Larysa Nosach ◽  
◽  
Victoria Morgun ◽  

The author's research of the current state and features of the development of the world market for services in conditions of turbulence of world processes was carried; the world leaders of the service sector in the global dimension and leaders of the most dynamic articles of service categories were identified; the share of world exports of services by countries by the level of their economic development was justified; weaknesses in the assessment of indicators of international trade in services were identified; the research is based on UNCTAD statistics.


Author(s):  
Yu.I. Agirbov ◽  
◽  
R.R. Mukhametzyanov ◽  
D.V. Storozhev ◽  
◽  
...  

Author(s):  
В.Н. СУРОВЦЕВ ◽  
Е.Н. ПАЮРОВА

Проанализированы проблемы на рынке молока и молочных продуктов России в условиях глобального экономического кризиса: перепроизводство молока в основных странах-экспортерах, снижение закупочных цен на сырое молоко, снижение цен на биржевые товары в мире и России в 2020 году, тренд на уменьшение спроса на молочные продукты на мировом рынке в среднесрочном периоде, снижение общего спроса на молочные продукты на внутрироссийском рынке при падении реальных доходов населения, изменение структуры потребления. Проведена оценка новых возможностей и угроз для развития отрасли: со стороны потребителей — рост цен на продовольствие, снижение доходов; с позиции производителей молока — снижение закупочных цен, рост требований к сырью для производства продукции с увеличенными сроками годности, дефицит рабочей силы, вероятное сокращение господдержки в результате снижения цен на углеводороды, попытки регулирования цен; со стороны перерабатывающих предприятий — сокращение спроса, снижение цен на готовую продукцию вслед за мировыми ценами. Обоснованы приоритеты инвестирования в молочном скотоводстве и основные формы совершенствования государственной поддержки отрасли, обеспечивающие эффективную адаптацию производителей молока к новым экономическим условиям, повышение устойчивости отрасли при усилении макроэкономических рисков. The article analyzes the problems in the Russian milk and dairy products market in the context of the global economic crisis: overproduction of milk in the main exporting countries, lower purchase prices for raw milk, lower prices for commodities in the world and in Russia in 2020, trend to reduce demand for dairy products on the world market in medium term, a decrease in total demand for dairy products in the Russian market with a decrease in the purchasing power of the population, a change in the structure of consumption. An assessment of new opportunities and threats to the development of the industry was carried out: on the part of consumers — rising food prices, lower incomes; from the perspective of dairy producers — reduction in purchase prices, increased requirements for raw materials for the production of products with extended periods, labor shortages, the likely reduction in state support as a result of lower prices for hydrocarbons, attempts to regulate prices; on the part of processing enterprises — reduction of demand, reduction of prices for finished goods following world prices. The investment priorities in dairy cattle breeding and the main forms of improving state support for the industry, ensuring the effective adaptation of milk producers to new economic conditions, increasing the sustainability of the industry with increasing macroeconomic risks, are substantiated.


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