scholarly journals SCIENTIFIC AND METHODOLOGICAL APPROACH TO ESTIMATING BUDGET IMBALANCES

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (40) ◽  
pp. 99-109
Author(s):  
О. Rozhko ◽  
Yu. Safonov ◽  
L. Yemelianenko ◽  
Ie. Bazhenkov ◽  
Ye. Brydun
Keyword(s):  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
The State ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Cauchy Inequality ◽  
Main Task ◽  
Budget Balance ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Deficit Financing ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. The article focuses on the ambiguity of the economists’ scientific position to the state budget imbalancing. The understanding of the balanced state budget in terms of revenues and expenditures in accordance with the concept of «healthy finances» is substantiated. The shortcomings of the concept of «healthy finances» are revealed, in particular, the fact that the annual balancing of budget revenues and expenditures excludes or significantly reduces the possibility of countercyclical, stabilizing influence of the state fiscal policy. Attention is paid to the peculiarities of the concept of chronic budget deficit and the specifics of deficit financing of public expenditures within the concept of countercyclical regulation. At the same time, it is proved that budget’s balancing is a secondary problem according to the concept of functional finance. It has been found that budget deficits can have both positive and negative socio-economic effects, depending on the circumstances in which they are formed. The types of state budget deficit are identified and characterized, namely: nominal, real, operating, primary, actual, hidden, quasi-fiscal, aggregative, active, passive, perceived, structural, cyclic deficits. It is proved that the main task of the state is to balance it in order to balance revenues and expenditures of the state. The article considers the approach to estimating budget imbalance using Cauchy inequality and an algorithm for estimating budget imbalance is formed. It is proved that ensuring budget balance is possible in the following areas: improving the quality of planning of key budget indicators; expansion of the income base; budget expenditure optimization / sequestration; targeted financing; improving the efficiency of state property management, budget control; introduction of result-oriented budgeting and audit of the efficiency of the use of budget funds; improvement of intergovernmental relations; public debt management. The article develops a scientific and methodological approach to imbalances estimating, in particular the Consolidated Budget in terms of substantiating the limit value of the imbalance measure based on the application of Cauchy inequality, as well as determining the impact of dynamic changes in budget imbalance based on the method of chain substitutions. The advantages of this scientific and methodological approach are the ability to compare estimates of budget imbalances, which differ significantly in the amount of financial resources redistributed through the budget, because such estimates are relative, which eliminates the effect of budget scale. Keywords: budget system, budget, budget deficit, deficit financing, budget balance, imbalance assessment, countercyclical regulation of the economy. JEL Classіfіcatіon G18, H6 Formulas: 3; fig.: 1; tabl.: 1; bibl.: 10.

scholarly journals State debt management in the context of Ukraine's economic development

2020 ◽  
pp. 21-25
Author(s):  
Artem HUSIEV
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
The State ◽  
Economic Consequences ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Optimal Decision ◽  
Main Task ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Debt Policy

The paper explores the theoretical and methodological basis of the concept of public debt management. The relationship between the problem of public debt and economic development of the country has been revealed. The dynamics of Ukraine's public debt for the period 2010-2019 have been analyzed. The default as a means of state debt policy has been investigated and its main economic consequences are presented. The international experience of managing public debt on the example of Argentina has been analyzed. The economic essence of technical default has been defined and the concept of technical default as a priority direction of Ukraine's state debt policy in the current conditions has been proposed. Public debt is a set of State commitments to internal and external creditors. State debt Management provides for state creation of the concept of debt policy. In economic terms, the main task of debt management is to maintain the level of public debt on a moderate level. In Ukraine, the problem of state indebtedness is particularly relevant after 2014. However, the most acute this problem was at the beginning of 2020 with the beginning of the recession economy and raising the deficit of the State budget. There are three main strategies to address public debt: investing in the country's economic development and timely repayment of liabilities, default and technical default. The strategy of investing in the country's economic development envisages emission of money or additional involvement in order to stimulate economic development, as well as timely payment of debts and interests. This strategy is appropriate in terms of relatively small amounts of public debt. Defaulted involves declaring the state insolvency payment obligations to creditors. Defaulted in the short run means a rapid deterioration in the economic situation in the country, but under certain conditions, there may be positive consequences in the long run. The technical default means the state's inability to pay debts on a certain date if there is a possibility of their payment in the future. In Ukraine today, the optimal decision of the state debt policy is the proclamation of technical default to restructure debts and prevent aggravation of socio-economic crisis in the country.

scholarly journals Improving the Efficiency of the State Budget Balance in Vietnam

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hoang Anh Dao
Keyword(s):  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Time Budget ◽  
The State ◽  
Scale Economy ◽  
Actual State ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Budget Balance ◽  
State Budget ◽  
To Come ◽  
Budget Revenue

The state budget balance is always an extremely important issue for each government. In 2020, Vietnam has a relatively small-scale economy. Its economic scale and GDP per capita reached 271.2 billion USD and 2,779 USD respectively. Budget revenue is still limited, but the need for recurrent spending and development investment is still very large now and in many years to come. In the past time, budget revenue and expenditure are in a situation of not having the necessary balance, the state budget deficit has been still around 4.5 percent of GDP. The actual state budget revenue and expenditure balance have been revealing several disadvantages. Faced to such a situation, the author would like to present some important issues about the state budget revenue and expenditure and propose key solutions to increase the efficiency of state budget revenue and expenditure in Vietnam.

IMPACT OF GOVERNMENT DEBT ON FINANCIAL SECURITY OF UKRAINE

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olena Pikaliuk ◽  
◽  
Dmitry Kovalenko ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
The State ◽  
Financial Security ◽  
State Budget ◽  
The Public ◽  
Debt Security ◽  
The Stability ◽  
The Impact

One of the main criteria for economic development is the size of the public debt and its dynamics. The article considers the impact of public debt on the financial security of Ukraine. The views of scientists on the essence of public debt and financial security of the state are substantiated. An analysis of the dynamics and structure of public debt of Ukraine for 2014-2019. It is proved that one of the main criteria for economic development is the size of public debt and its dynamics. State budget deficit, attracting and using loans to cover it have led to the formation and significant growth of public debt in Ukraine. The volume of public debt indicates an increase in the debt security of the state, which is a component of financial security. Therefore, the issue of the impact of public debt on the financial security of Ukraine is becoming increasingly relevant. The constant growth and large amounts of debt make it necessary to study it, which will have a positive impact on economic processes that will ensure the stability of the financial system and enhance its security.

DAMPAK VOLATILITAS HARGA MINYAK DI INDONESIA TERHADAP PENYESUAIAN KESEIMBANGAN FISKAL

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 37-52
Author(s):  
Mahpud Sujai
Keyword(s):  
Linear Trend ◽  
The State ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Output Gap ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Price Changes ◽  
Potential Output ◽  
Budget Cycle ◽  
Actual Output ◽  
The Impact

This paper is intended to analyze the effect of oil price changes on potential output and actual output in the state budget cycle and identifies the output gap which is the difference between potential output and actual output. The research methodology uses a quantitative approach to analyze problems that occur related to the impact of oil price changes to the state budget cycle. Data analysis was carried out through the approach cyclically adjusted fiscal balance with a simplified approach. This research identified that the potential output is likely to continue increasing in line with Indonesia's oil price trends which is continue to rise following the world oil price movements. In calculating the output gap using a linear trend and HP filter, the result is fuctuating depend on the percentage changes in both potential output and actual output. This paper concludes that Indonesian oil price (ICP) has a significant impact on changes in the state budget cycle. If oil prices rise, the output gap between potential output and actual output is greater, and vice versa. This will make the budget vulnerable to shock that occurs as an external infuence.

ISSUES OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE STATE BUDGET AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN UZBEKISTAN

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (7) ◽  
pp. 4-19
Author(s):  
Akmal Baltayevich Allakuliev ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
The State ◽  
Rate Of Return ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Macroeconomic Shocks ◽  
Dynamic Correlations ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

The article examines the interaction of the country's GDP with the state budget in the short and long term, the impact of the macro-fiscal mechanism on the country's economic growth on the example of Uzbekistan.The aim of the study is to identify dynamic correlations between the country's state budget expenditures and the economic growth of the macro-fiscal mechanism in the short and long term, as well as to analyze the approximation or rate of return of GDP and the state budget to equilibrium during various macroeconomic shocks. and hesitation.The scientific novelties of the research are:

scholarly journals PROBLEMS OF UNBALANCED STATE BUDGET OF UKRAINE: ANALYSIS OF OBJECTIVE AND SUBJECTIVE FACTORS OF BUDGET REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (87) ◽  
Author(s):  
Oksana Zahidna ◽  
◽  
Vasylyna Ignatyshyna ◽  
Uliana Skydan ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Trade ◽  
The State ◽  
Public Expenditures ◽  
Present Stage ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Economic Relations ◽  
Successful Solution ◽  
The Social ◽  
Social And Economic Development ◽  
The Impact

A significant place in the social and economic development of each country belongs to the problems of the budget, because the budget belongs to the sphere of public life that directly affects the interests of all members of society. The budget of any country reflects the important economic, social and political problems of the state and each person in particular. At the same time, the successful solution of budget problems is possible only if a proper understanding of its essence, role and place in the system of economic relations. For any country, the state budget is the main link in the financial system. As part of this system, it combines the main financial categories: income and expenditure of the country, the tax system, public credit, public debt in their closest coexistence. The budget as a financial plan of public expenditures and sources of their coverage plays an important role in the activities of the state. It determines its capabilities and development priorities, its role and forms of implementation of the functions assigned to it. It is an effective regulator of that economy reflects the amount of financial resources required by the state, determines specific areas of use of funds, directs the financial activities of the state. The article analyzes and defines the essence of revenues and expenditures of the state budget. The state and dynamics of state budget revenues and budget expenditures are studied. A comparison of state budget revenues and expenditures was made and it was investigated that expenditures significantly exceed revenues, and therefore the state budget is in deficit. The factors of formation of revenues and expenditures of the state budget at the present stage are determined. The dynamics of GDP growth rates and state revenues are analyzed budget, as well as the impact of GDP on the state budget. The peculiarities of the influence of the foreign trade factor on the revenues and expenditures of the state budget are determined. The influence and shares of exports and imports in the state budget revenues are studied. The current problems of imbalance of the state budget and the causes of the state budget deficit are identified. Ways to balance revenues and expenditures at the present stage are proposed. The dynamics of indicators of export and import of Ukraine is analyzed. The problems of Ukraine 's foreign trade at the present stage are investigated and perspective directions of improvement of the existing state of the export – import policy of the state are determined.

scholarly journals COMPONENTS OF THE BUDGET SYSTEM OF UKRAINE AS FACTORS OF FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC SECURITY

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 29-34
Author(s):  
Oleh Holovko ◽  
Lilia Solomonova
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
The State ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Decentralization Reform ◽  
State Pension ◽  
Practical Recommendations ◽  
Budget System

The purpose of this study is to analyze the components of the budget system of Ukraine as factors of financial and economic security to identify negative trends in the context of the implementation of decentralization reform. It is proved that the research of this direction should start with the analysis of the conceptual apparatus and structural relationships between categories. At the top level of the hierarchy there is the category of national security of Ukraine, which, according to current legislation, means the protection of state sovereignty, constitutional order and other national interests of the country from real and potential threats. The category of financial and economic security is also often used in the scientific literature. Given the above classification, in this case we are talking about the financial security of the country as a factor of economic security. Methodology. To stimulate economic development, the practice of modern budget regulation provides for the presence of a planned deficit, which is a source of local and public debt. Depending on the areas of its financing, there are domestic and foreign, local and national debts. The relationship between the above indicators determines the level of budget security of the country, which is one of the most important factors of financial stability was identified in the work. Results. It is proved that, according to the results of the analysis, practical recommendations on budget policy of Ukraine as a factor of financial and economic security should take into account the following steps: against the background of growing social burden on the budget, it is necessary to continue the redistribution of budget funds in favour of the regions, which will increase their level of financial autonomy and reduce the amount of transfer payments; pursue a strict restriction policy to prevent the growth of the state budget deficit and uncontrolled increase in debt; the problem of pension provision increases the burden on the state budget every year. It is necessary to take measures to create a cumulative system of state and non-state pension insurance. Practical implications. The practical consequences prove that in 2016 the public debt of the consolidated budget of Ukraine reached a record 81% of GDP. However, effective economic and budgetary policy allowed to reduce it in 2019 to 50.3%, which was positive. Moreover, the share of external debt was 29.2%. The high budget deficit in 2020 will lead to an increase in debt to 58.7% of GDP, which offsets the previous positive changes. It is determined that at the beginning and at the end of the study period the expenditures of the pension system of Ukraine have been equal to about 10% of GDP. At the same time, financing from own revenues has decreased from 8% to 6%, which is negative. The most critical situation became after 2013, when this indicator began to decline rapidly, increasing the burden on the state budget. Value/originality of the work is an analysis of the components of the budget system of Ukraine as factors of financial and economic security, which in contrast to the existing ones is based on the need for further implementation of decentralization reform and allows to develop practical recommendations for budget regulation.

scholarly journals State Administration of Retirement Age in the terms of Budget Crisis

Upravlenie ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 80-87
Author(s):  
Соловьев ◽  
A. Solovev
Keyword(s):  
Pension System ◽  
Demographic Factors ◽  
The State ◽  
Economic Consequences ◽  
Retirement Age ◽  
Pension Policy ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Methodological Approaches ◽  
State Pension ◽  
The Impact

The aim of the study is to analyze the effect of age on the appointment of the state pension fiscal system in our country. The problem of rising of the retirement age in Russia is given a value that is far away from the traditional context of direct influence of demographic processes on the level of pensions, on the one hand, and adaptation of the pension system to changing demographic factors, on the other. In the article the pension system for the first time is considered as a multifactorial model that corrects the degree of dependence on the mutually complex of macroeconomic and demographic factors in the different historical periods. This requires a fundamental change in the methodological approaches to the problem of rising the retirement age by using actuarial methods of forecasting. Actuarial analysis of the problem of retirement age in the work shows that the perception of the linear dependence of the age of the destination state of the demographic parameters cannot be considered as a tool for regulating the efficiency of the pension system. The results of the study are the specific parameters of actuarial assessments of the impact of demographic and macroeconomic conditions to increase the retirement age in Russia, conducted using data from the state statistics, formulated practical proposals to mitigate negative economic consequences. Conclusion: Rising the retirement age should be aimed at economic stimulation of formation of the pension rights of the insured in the long term, rather than the economy of the state budget. Methodological approaches, grounded in the work, and quantitative results of the actuarial calculations will be used in the formation of public pension policy in the preparation of the regulations to rise the retirement age, the pension formula of calculating the pension rights of insured persons, the mechanism of pension indexation.

Measures of financial control over the development of united territorial communities

2021 ◽  
pp. 81-90
Author(s):  
Taras H. Vasyltsiv ◽  
Olha P. Mulska ◽  
Yuliya K. Shopska
Keyword(s):  
Methodological Approach ◽  
The State ◽  
Practical Significance ◽  
Financial Resources ◽  
Financial Control ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Financial Capacity ◽  
Rational Distribution ◽  
Social And Economic Development ◽  
Further Development

The purpose of the article is to substantiate new measures of financial control over the development of united territorial communities. The article examines the relevance of the introduction of a system of financial control over the development of united territorial communities in Ukraine. The authors prove that the main goal of proper financial control of the further development of the united territorial communities in Ukraine was actualized for the three reasons: rational distribution and efficient use of financial resources; ensuring the upward dynamics and territories’ sustainable development. The features, goals, and objectives of financial control of the development of territorial communities are outlined. The essence of the concept of financial control of the development of territorial communities is specified. The results of the analysis of several indicators of financial development of the united territorial communities in Lviv region are given and the conclusion about the disproportions of financial support of community development is systematized. The author's methodological approach to the analysis of the integral coefficient of financial capacity of territorial communities of the region is developed. The analysis of the state of financial capacity of the united territorial communities in Lviv region is carried out. The scientific novelty of the research lies in substantiating the author's methodological approaches to grouping and comparative analysis of united territorial communities based on indicators of income and expenditure, grants and subventions from the state budget, which allowed to identify the level of financial capacity and assess the effectiveness of the use of financial resources in each united territorial community in Lviv region. The practical significance of the research is that the implementation of the results of the financial capacity analysis can be used as informative and analytical measures of financial control over the development of local communities. Other perspective guidelines concerning measures of improvement of financial control in the processes of social and economic development of communities are outlined.

Formation of the Economic Model and the Impact of Economic Factors on the Health of Russian Population

2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (8) ◽  
pp. 2557
Author(s):  
Tamara G. ROMANOVA ◽  
Valentina D. BATOMUNKUEVA ◽  
Tatiana K. GYRGENOVA ◽  
Nataliya V. MONGOLOVA ◽  
Roman Zh. TSYDYPOV
Keyword(s):  
Federal District ◽  
The State ◽  
Economic Losses ◽  
Economic Factors ◽  
Main Task ◽  
Public Benefit ◽  
Level Model ◽  
The Individual ◽  
The Impact

The article is about the influence of economic factors on the health quality of the population as a public benefit. Health of the individual has an important role in national economy, both in processes of formation of public health, and in reproduction of quality of a manpower. The review of the indicators of evaluation test of health of the population applied in the Russian practice is given in article. Health of the population and economy of the state have close interrelation and interdependence: not only the economy influences health of the population, but also health of the population affects the economy of the state. The technique allowing to assess economic damages from loss of health on the basis of which economic losses from mortality of the population at working-age in Siberian Federal District are estimated is presented. The economic three-level model of health upgrading of the population allows to reveal paths of health upgrading for improvement of economy in the country is developed. The three-level model reflects preventive character with obligatory selection of the measures accompanying achievement of the main task – to upgrade the population health as the public benefit and to increase the level of economy.

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