scholarly journals The forecasting potential of adaptive models in tourism

Turyzm ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 31 (2) ◽  
pp. 181-196
Author(s):  
Anna Aleksandrova ◽  
Ekaterina Aigina ◽  
Veronika Dombrovskaya
Keyword(s):  
Management Decision ◽  
Effective Management ◽  
Tourist Destination ◽  
Research Areas ◽  
Adaptive Models ◽  
Tourist Flows ◽  
Special Scientific ◽  
Key Indicators ◽  
Tourist Region ◽  
Development Prospects

The article discusses forecasting as one of the special scientific research areas which contribute to the assessment of tourist activity development prospects, the identification of key tourism development factors and effective management decision criteria. The study provides an overview of modern research methods used in Russia and other countries for making forecasts in the field of tourism. It aims at assessing the predictive capabilities of adaptive modeling, not frequently used currently in tourism research, for the quantitative analysis of tourist flows using the example of Barcelona, a major urban tourist destination in the pre-pandemic period. An example of a forecast for tourist numbers based on adaptive models is proposed, one of the key indicators showing tourist region success which have proven successful in the study of processes with a dynamic but unstable character.

scholarly journals Applying Social Networks in the Management of Sustainable Tourist Destinations: An Analysis of Spanish Tourist Destinations

Land ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 1142
Author(s):  
Adolfo Elizondo Saltos ◽  
David Flores-Ruiz ◽  
María de la O Barroso González
Keyword(s):  
Social Networks ◽  
Direct Relationship ◽  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
The Internet ◽  
Effective Management ◽  
Tourist Destination ◽  
Tourist Destinations ◽  
Technological Advantage ◽  
The Social ◽  
The Empirical Analysis

In this study, the presence and management of the social networks of 78 tourist destinations were analyzed for the development of sustainable tourism, with particular attention being paid to Spanish smart destinations. The variables for the empirical analysis were determined from a literature review, and it was concluded from a descriptive analysis, correlation analysis and an analysis of variance, that although the presence of tourist destinations on the internet and on social networks was notable, their management was inadequate for the development of sustainable tourist destinations. It was shown that there is a direct relationship between the number of visitors at a tourist destination and its presence on social networks. However, our analyses found that this correlation was not related to social network management; a greater number of visitors were not related to the effective management of social networks. It was concluded that smart destinations, despite having a technological advantage, did not stand out for their presence and management on social networks. The manuscript ends with some recommendations for the future

Development of performance indicators for Water-energy-food security and its application in Latin America and the Caribbean

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jürgen Mahlknecht ◽  
Ramon Gonzalez ◽  
Frank Loge
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
Food Security ◽  
Green Infrastructure ◽  
Renewable Energy Sources ◽  
Green Economy ◽  
Electricity Production ◽  
Country Level ◽  
Research Areas ◽  
The Caribbean ◽  
Key Indicators

<p>Understanding water-energy-food interrelatedness and interdependencies (WEF Nexus) over environmental resources can result in improved water, energy, and food security by integrating management and governance across sectors and scales, reducing tradeoffs, and building synergies, overall promoting sustainability and a transition to green economy. One of the most relevant research areas on the Nexus is the development of indexes to assess the performance of the three sectors and their interlinkages. These tools are essential to understanding the Nexus concept and to determine areas for improvement, especially in developing countries. To evaluate the WEF Nexus for a developing region, namely Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC), two approaches are proposed to evaluate water, energy and food security at intra-country level. First, a composite diagram was developed for LAC countries and subregions that considers three key indicators per sector: availability, access, and sustainability of the sector’s resources. Second, an analysis was performed for selected countries using internal factors that represent the most important interrelationships that exist within the WEF Nexus. The results show that access to food in LAC is relatively low in comparison to other developing regions. Regarding renewable energy sources, with the exception of some countries, the region’s share (including hydroelectricity) in electricity production is low. Water resources represent the most vulnerable sector for food and energy development of the countries (water for food, and water for energy), as well as the need to implement green infrastructure for sustainable water production (food for water).</p>

Prospects of the development of the Crimea as a tourist region

Servis plus ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 52-63 ◽  
Author(s):  
Александр Санин ◽  
Aleksandr Sanin ◽  
Ольга Краснова ◽  
Olga Krasnova
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Management ◽  
Human Impact ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Social System ◽  
Advertising Campaign ◽  
Tourist Flows ◽  
The Crimea ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Transport Passage ◽  
Tourist Region

The leading type of nature use in Crimea is recreation. In this article, the peninsula is considered as a tourist region, identified are its strengths and weaknesses, opportunities for its development and threats it is facing. Many of them are associated with joining the peninsula to Russia in March 2014 and a variety of consequences of this event. During the last year significantly decreased the number of tourists and accessibility of the peninsula, which dramatically increases the urgency of the construction of a transport crossing in Kerch. The article provides recommendations for the development of new types of tourism, which, along with the improvement of relations with Ukraine and the transport passage allow to increase the number of tourists. This is important both for the economy of the Crimea as a whole, and for the majority of its inhabitants. The paper also proposes to carry out a redistribution of tourist flows and to actively pursue the advertising campaign of the Crimea as a tourist region in the information space of the Russian Federation. It can be used by patriotic sentiments that have taken place in the country after joining the Crimea. The popularity of the peninsula could rise as a result of the depreciation of the Russian ruble, which significantly changes the situation on the market of tourist services. It is proposed to consider the coast of the Crimea as a set of natural and natural-social system that provides new opportunities for environmental management in the coastal zone. In particular, this approach allows identifying the most important tourist potential areas of the territory, as well as spatial boundaries of human impact. In recent years, the share of organized tourist sharply increased and the geography of tourism greatly changed. It should be remembered that for Crimean are important both organized and unorganized holiday makers.

A Fuzzy Comprehensive Assessment System for Agricultural Soil Pollution Based on GIS

2011 ◽  
Vol 356-360 ◽  
pp. 1618-1621
Author(s):  
Zhi Wen Zou ◽  
Li Qiang Zhang ◽  
Ji Ming Chen
Keyword(s):  
Soil Pollution ◽  
Agricultural Soil ◽  
Pollution Prevention ◽  
Comprehensive Assessment ◽  
Assessment System ◽  
Management Decision ◽  
Effective Management ◽  
Dynamic Changes ◽  
Fuzzy Comprehensive Assessment ◽  
Fully Integrated

Aiming at the necessary of the research about agricultural soil pollution, fully integrated real monitoring results of agricultural soil pollution, combined with the theory of fuzzy mathematical analysis and geographic information systems technology, the main purpose of the fuzzy comprehensive assessment system is to reveal the formation, dynamic changes of agricultural soil pollution and the movement of pollution, providing effective management decision for agricultural soil pollution prevention and planning management.

scholarly journals THE PROBLEMS OF SPATIAL ORDERING AND TAXATION OF AGRICULTURAL LANDS

2017 ◽  
Vol 43 (4) ◽  
pp. 166-172
Author(s):  
Mykola MALASHEVSKYI ◽  
Nataliia KUZIN ◽  
Alena PALAMAR ◽  
Mariia MALANCHUK
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Agricultural Land ◽  
Economic Effects ◽  
Agricultural Land Use ◽  
Ecological State ◽  
Effective Management ◽  
Monetary Valuation ◽  
Level Of Use ◽  
Spatial Ordering ◽  
Development Prospects

The problem of rationalizing the use of agricultural land is increasingly complicated in Ukraine. Today it has various aspects, the most important of which are technological, economic, organizational and environmental. That is why the level of use of land in Ukraine is now so critical that further land degradation potential in agriculture can have disastrous consequences. The objective of this paper is to study the economic effects of agricultural land use on example of Kyiv city. It is revealed that the problem of rational use and protection of agricultural land in Ukraine is deteriorating year by year. In today’s conditions, this manifests itself in various directions, among which, in our opinion, the deterioration of the ecological state as a result of irrational use. On examples of land plots of the Kyiv city, the procedure for calculating the normative monetary valuation of agricultural land as one of the main instruments for accompanying capital transactions has been considered. The information on the weak and strong sides of the objects of evaluation is shown, which allows to evaluate the effectiveness of its functioning, current, past and future costs and incomes, as well as development prospects, which as a result serves as the basis for making effective management decisions on the valuation object. According to the research results, which consists in changing the agricultural land purpose in Kyiv city, it was ascertained that the normative monetary valuation of these lands will increase over 6 billion UAH.

scholarly journals Students’ Enrolment Growth and Implications for Educational Planning: Takoradi Technical University in Review

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Secondary Data ◽  
Educational Planning ◽  
Primary Data ◽  
Management Decision ◽  
First Year ◽  
Committee Report ◽  
Percentage Increase ◽  
Technical University ◽  
Key Indicators ◽  
The University

This paper primarily seeks to assess students’ enrolment growth and the implications for educational planning at the Takoradi Technical University. Specifically, the paper seeks to determine the rate of growth in first year enrolment and to predict first year enrolment for Management decision making. Methodologically, secondary data served as the basic source of information comprising of data from the annual report of the planning office of the University, and the Strategic Plan Implementation and Oversight Committee Report (2016 -2020). Primary data was collected from the various faculties in the University. It was therefore revealed that the year under review witnessed marginal improvements over the previous year’s ratios and rates of the key indicators. It is worth mentioning, however that, despite the improvements in the key indicators, the institution still fall short to the norm. It is therefore recommended that considering the percentage increase in enrolment from the 2019/2020 to 2020/2021 academic year and the total number of classrooms and facilities with their respective capacities, Management should ensure the optimal usage of the classrooms and other facilities by the students.

scholarly journals АТРАКТИВНОСТ ЛОКАЦИЈЕ ЗА ИНВЕСТИЦИЈЕ КАО ФАКТОР КОНКУРЕНТНОСТИ У ТУРИЗМУ

TEME ◽  
2017 ◽  
pp. 655
Author(s):  
Gordana Dobrivojević ◽  
Danijel Pavlović ◽  
Jovan Popesku
Keyword(s):  
Performance Analysis ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Tourist Destination ◽  
The Public ◽  
Strategy Type ◽  
Private And Public ◽  
Eclectic Paradigm ◽  
Under Performing ◽  
And Performance ◽  
Key Indicators

In this paper IPA (importance–performance analysis) is used to assess location attractiveness for investments as a competitiveness factor in Serbian tourism. Based on the theory of Dunning’s eclectic paradigm, regarding locational advantages as a factor for investments, twelve key indicators were selected for assessment by stakeholders in the private and public sectors. The conclusion derived from the analysis implies that Serbia is under performing in relation to the importance of the selected indicators. The largest proportion of indicators is classified as the ‘concentrate here’ strategy type in the IPA matrix. The conclusions regarding the importance and performance of indicators allocated to other quadrants (especially ‘low priority’ and ‘possible overkill’) are also significant. This paper establishes the bases for analysis that can help both the public and the private sector to develop strategies for the development of tourism and the competitiveness of Serbia as a tourist destination, referring to investments (locational advantages) as a competitiveness factor.

scholarly journals THE INDIVIDUAL STYLE OF DECISION MAKING BY ADMINISTRATORS OF MEDICAL ORGANIZATIONS IN PERSPECTIVE OF EVALUATION OF MANAGEMENT POTENTIAL

2019 ◽  
Vol 62 (1) ◽  
pp. 37-44
Author(s):  
Оl'ga V. Kudelina ◽  
N. B. Filinov
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Personal Characteristics ◽  
Management Decision ◽  
Decision Style ◽  
Research Areas ◽  
Medical Institutions ◽  
Decision Making Styles ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Directive Style ◽  
Individual Style

In assessing management potential of a manager, it is necessary to consider one's personal characteristics, in particular, management decision-making style. A physician repeatedly makes clinical decisions on patients’ treatment and this experience shapes his/her individual decision-making style, which in turn defines personal features of physician as a leader. Purpose of study. To evaluate the management potential of leaders of medical institutions of the Tomsk oblast on the basis of investigation on their decision-making styles. The decision-making style was identified using A. Rowe's technique (Decision Style Inventory) widely applied in various research areas. The sampling of survey included 1097 physicians, including head physicians (4,8%), deputy head physicians (10,1%), heads of department (11,9%). Decision-making styles of leaders differ depending of the various levels of management. The analytical style dominates among head physicians, followed by conceptual style. For the largest cohort of deputy head physicians analytical style also dominates, but the second rank of dominating styles is for directive style. In general, moving down administrative staircase the percentage of managers with dominating conceptual style is decreasing and percentage of those who are oriented on individual (authoritarian) decision-making processes and also those who are focused more on human relationship than on tasks solution increases. The possibilities of transformation of individual style of decision making are limited and require conscious efforts, that tasks a complicated problem before leaders of medical institutions concerning assessment of management potential of development and training of long-term human resources reserve.

scholarly journals Digitalization of the Russian Federation’s economy in the context of global transformation: problems and development prospects

2021 ◽  
Vol 106 ◽  
pp. 01013
Author(s):  
Maryam Orzkhanova ◽  
Sakhadin Hubolov ◽  
Esma Polyakova
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Digital Technologies ◽  
World Community ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
The World ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Transformation Problems ◽  
Key Indicators ◽  
Further Development ◽  
Development Prospects

The article examines the problems and prospects for the development of the digital economy of the Russian Federation in the context of global transformation. It is obvious that the use of digital technologies in the economic sphere is one of the key indicators of the development of a modern state. The processes of introducing digital technologies are accompanied by technological, economic and legal problems, the solution of which requires government intervention. These circumstances determine the relevance of this study. The purpose of the study is to analyze the problems and assess the prospects for the development of digitalization of the Russian economy, as well as develop recommendations for increasing the efficiency of digitalization of the Russian economy and accelerating the pace of implementation of digital technologies, which will contribute to increasing the competitiveness of the Russian Federation in the world community. The process of digitalization of the economy depends on many factors, the analysis of which will determine the prospects for further development.

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