Prediction of migration processes in the study area

10.12737/6489 ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 22-24 ◽  
Author(s):  
Виценец ◽  
Tatyana Vitsenets

The Primorskiy Kray takes 1st place in the Far Eastern Federal District by number of population (the proportion of the total number in the Far Eastern Federal District is 31.1%, in the total population of Russia is 1.4%). The population decline was due to the influence of several factors: a decline in fertility, increased mortality and intense migratory movement of population of the region mainly into the central regions, which are more prosperous in social and economic relations. Issues on demographics, inherently, reflect the quality of life, the moral and ethical climate in society, the status of the most important sectors. The implementation of the priority activities of the demographic development in the field of health promotion and increased life expectancy; stimulate fertility and strengthen the family; migration development should affect the stabilization of the population of the Primorye Territory.

Author(s):  
K.P. Topalov ◽  
◽  
O.L. Karpenko ◽  
E.G. Kovalyova ◽  
◽  
...  

The article presents an overview of the data of statistical observation of the Khabarovsk Krai, the Russian Federation and the Far Eastern Federal District (Okrug) on tuberculosis; their significance for assessing the epidemic situation and the quality of anti-tuberculosis care in these territories in 2002–2019 is studied. The dynamics of statistical indicators for 18 years is given using the methodology for calculating rank values. The dependence of the incidence of tuberculosis on the population density in the constituent entities of the country, the Far Eastern Federal District and its regions has been determined


2016 ◽  
Vol 1 (60) ◽  
pp. 45-51
Author(s):  
Геращенко ◽  
Larisa Gerashchenko ◽  
Гордиенко ◽  
Viktor Gordienko ◽  
Колтыгина ◽  
...  

The article analyzes the main indicators of morbidity and mortality from cancer of the larynx in the period from 1998 to 2014 on the territory of the Amur region of Far Eastern Federal District. In the studied period of time, the incidence of malignant tumors of the larynx substantially decreased with the growth/loss in men of “rough indicators” by -11.89%, of standardized ones by -7.75%. In women, they were +98.31 and +77.77%, respectively. Mortality in contrast to the incidence throughout the years had a negative growth (loss) in absolute terms, “rude” and standardized indicators. The age and sex features of morbidity with larynx cancer were revealed; they show that the maximum number of cancer cases is in the age group of 50 years old and older. The multistage character of the process based on its prevalence was determined. The early stages (I-II) of laryngeal cancer were registered in 13.7% of patients. The quality of cancer services activity was studied by reliability index of accounting for this category of patients, which is usually lower than in other regions of the country (-0.45). The analysis of dynamics of mortality in the first year after diagnosis shows its reduction in cancer of the larynx by 11.0% over the period of 1998-2014. The number of patients who were registered five or more years ago decreased significantly. The estimation of primary care, which is not yet fully in line with current medicine, in the provision of specialized aid to cancer patients in the region was done.


Author(s):  
T.T. Тarasova ◽  

t. Based on statistical data, the article analyzes the transformation of the migration movement of the population of the Krasnodar Territory in the context of natural decline and a pandemic of coronavirus infection. It is shown that in the region, as well as in Russia as a whole, there is a deterioration in demographic development. Due to the excess of the death rate over the birth rate in the region, the natural population decline resumed in 2017, the volume of which increased 8.5 times by 2020. The demographic indicators worsened especially noticeably in 2020, primarily in relation to the mortality rate of the population, the level of which has sharply increased. Despite the deteriorating demographic situation, the number of residents of the Kuban continued to increase, while in the Russian Federation in recent years the absolute population began to decline. An analysis of the components of population change showed that the determining factor in the increase in the number of Kuban residents was migration gain, which not only compensated for the natural decline in the population, but also ensured an increase in the number of inhabitants of the region. It was revealed that significant changes took place in the migration movement of the Krasnodar Territory in the analyzed period: the intensity of migration processes has noticeably decreased, and in recent years, the volume of net migration has also decreased. The region’s contribution to the total migration gains of the Southern Federal District has significantly decreased - in 2020 the region’s share in the total migration growth of the district amounted to only 31.6% versus 78.9% in 2017. The decrease in the volume of net migration was mainly due to a decrease in the number of arrivals to the region, which is not least due to quarantine measures to combat the pandemic


2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 81-126
Author(s):  
Olga Prokapalo ◽  
◽  
Anna Bardal ◽  
Artyom Isaev ◽  
Marina Mazitova ◽  
...  

The article includes an analysis of the most significant trends in the socio-economic development of the Far Eastern Federal District in 2020 in the context of administrative units and main types of economic activity. The analysis is based on advanced statistical, analytical, and expert information. The article considers the most important factors and issues of the functioning of the real sector of the economy, the social sphere, and foreign economic activity in the conditions of uncertainty in the oil and foreign exchange markets, as well as the implementation of quarantine and restrictive measures due to the propagation of the coronavirus infection. There is a decrease in investment in Amur Oblast, Sakhalin Oblast, Primorsky Krai, and the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia), which are the main ‘investment-intensive’ regions of the Far Eastern Federal District. There is still a significant industry asymmetry when it comes to attracting foreign direct investment, most of which is concentrated in the exploration and production of fuel and energy resources. The negative impact of macroeconomic shocks has led to a decrease in the volume of production in the industrial complex of the macroregion, especially affecting mechanical engineering, oil refining, and production of construction materials in Primorsky Krai and Khabarovsk Krai. The failure to implement the plans for the development of the railway infrastructure in the context of the growth of cargo flows to the seaports of the Far Eastern basin led to restrictions on cargo transportation. The reduction in the real monetary income of people in most regions of the Far Eastern Federal District is becoming a factor in reducing the attractiveness of the Far East as the high income area. The population of the macroregion has continued to decline not only due to migration outflow, but also due to natural population decline as a result of both factors of objective decline in the birth rate and the social and economic consequences of the pandemic


2019 ◽  
Vol 95 (8) ◽  
pp. 724-729 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lilya A. Alikbayeva ◽  
A. V. Kim ◽  
I. Sh. Iakubova ◽  
I. E. Ok ◽  
B. B. Darizhapov

The aim of this study was to perform a comprehensive hygienic assessment of environmental conditions in the port cities of the Sakhalin region to identify priority risk factors affecting on population health and management decisions for the optimization of living conditions. As a result of the assessment of risk and damages for public health from the effects of air pollution on the dose-response, effects were found to excess of impact on the target organs by 10 times. The main ecotoxicant was determined to be manganese oxide, which is associated with a priority manganese content in soil samples ofport cities. The positive dynamics of the gain in the accumulation of soil heavy metals according to the total index indicates to the existence of problems for soil contamination. Analysis of demographic variables shows that the population of the Sakhalin region in general and the port cities in particular relates to a regressive type. The main causes of the population decline are mortality and migration outflow of able-bodied population in other regions of Russia. However, in the port cities there is an increase in the number of work places, contributing to an increase in the labor force. The primary and general morbidity of the population ofport cities is characterized by higher levels compared with the average for the Sakhalin Region and the Far Eastern Federal District. Among all the classes of diseases as priority ones there are marked “neoplasm”, “diseases of the nervous system”, “respiratory diseases”, “diseases of the skin and subcutaneous tissue”. Port cities occupy the top ranking places on the incidence of malignant tumors among the cities of the Sakhalin region.


2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 64-71
Author(s):  
Ekaterina Motrich ◽  

The paper analyzes the current demographic development of the Russian Far East. It shows the nature of the population change in the region (taking into account the Republic of Buryatia and the TRANS-Baikal territory that were included in the FEFD in 2018) in urban and rural areas. The article presents the population dynamics for the administrative centers of the Far Eastern regions and reveals their role in changing the urban population in the corresponding regions of the Far East. The data of three variants of the population forecast in the Far Eastern region are presented and the assumption is made about the possibility of the achievement of corresponding indicators


2021 ◽  
Vol 97 (4) ◽  
pp. 39-52
Author(s):  
N. E. Antonova ◽  
◽  
N. V. Lomakina ◽  

Some elements of modernization of the key mechanisms of the Russian-Chinese investment cooperation in 2014–2020 are investigated in the context of the prospects for the development of resource industries in the Far Eastern federal district (mineral and forest complexes). The priorities and directions of bilateral cooperation in the investment sphere, due to the institutional changes, have been identified. The structural drift of investment interests in the sectoral and spatial aspects, determined by the improvement of the mechanisms of the Russian-Chinese cooperation, is shown. The article examines the characteristics of bilateral investment cooperation in the resource sector of the Far-Eastern federal district in the context of combination of simultaneously implemented models of its stimulation at the state (new model of development of the Far East) and interstate (activation of the Russian-Chinese economic relations) levels. Different trends in the formation of sector structure of investment interests of the Russian-Chinese cooperation for the national (RF) and regional (the Far-Eastern federal district) levels are revealed. The predominance of priorities for implementation of the resource-transit scenario for the development of the East of Russia, including through the modernization of the Russian-Chinese cooperation, is shown.


2020 ◽  
Vol 93 (4) ◽  
pp. 119-126
Author(s):  
L. E. Pynko ◽  

Currently, the share of insurance (in all its forms) in the Far-Eastern federal district from the all-Russian one is less than one percent. The share of insurance in the production sector for the Far East is very small, despite the fact that the region's industry is represented by a number of enterprises whose activities are potentially dangerous to the environment, and the mechanism of insurance of hazardous industries is poorly studied, both in the Far-Eastern federal district and in the Khabarovsk territory. At the same time, modern programs for the development of the Far East and the Khabarovsk territory suggest the development of industry in the region, which is also associated with hazardous industries. One of the tools for monitoring and improving the safety of dangerous objects is timely insurance. The article considers the main challenges for the insurance of hazardous industries in the region, the issues of insurance development related to improving safety at hazardous facilities, and the indirect impact on improving the quality of life in the region.


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