scholarly journals Study of Argumentative Causal Relationship between Poverty and Population Growth in Sudan within the period (1980–2019) by using Vector Auto Regressive Model (VAR): دراسة جدلية العلاقة السببية بين نمو السكان والفقر في السودان خلال الفترة (1980- 2019) باستخدام نموذج الانحدار الذاتي (VAR)

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (16) ◽  
pp. 91-109
Author(s):  
Hassan Ali Osman, Ezaldeen Abdel-Rahman Hassan, Fadul Alghal Hassan Ali Osman, Ezaldeen Abdel-Rahman Hassan, Fadul Alghal
Keyword(s):  
Standard Model ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Direct Relationship ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Poverty Rate ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Auto Regressive Model ◽  
Theoretical Side

  This study aimed to determine the form of the relationship and impact that the population growth in Sudan could have increased on poverty rate. To achieve this goal, a standard model for the relationship between the two previous variables was formulated and constructed during the period 1980-2019. Descriptive Analytical method was used in theoretical side of the study and tools of econometrics in analysis was used in practical side (VAR). The study assumed existence of direct relationship having a positive impact statistically between the population growth and poverty in Sudan. A standard model of non-significant impact have been obtained, whereby, the estimation results of Vector Auto Regressive showed that, there is no mutual significant impact between the poverty and population growth during term of the study. However, this result support results of mutual causality relationship both the variables. The study has recommended the necessity of controlling the population growth by legal ways in order to addressing the sources of defection which has been presented by the population growth.

scholarly journals Economic and Social Poverty Determinants in Sudan – Standard Analytical Study for the period (1980- 2019) by using Auto Regressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL): المحددات الاقتصادية والاجتماعية للفقر في السودان– دراسة تحليلية قياسية للمدة (1980- 2019) باستخدام نموذج الانحدار الذاتي للفجوات الزمنية الموزعة (ARDL)

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (15) ◽  
pp. 83-65
Author(s):  
Hassan Ali Osman Fatur, Fadul Algheli Elsued Musa, Ibrahim Y Hassan Ali Osman Fatur, Fadul Algheli Elsued Musa, Ibrahim Y
Keyword(s):  
Analytical Study ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Poverty Rate ◽  
Main Question ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Distributed Lag Model ◽  
Lag Model ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
The Relationship

The study aimed to measuring economic and social poverty determinants in Sudan, to achieve this goal a standard model for the relationship between the variables of the study was formulated and constructed during the period 1980 – 2019. The study problem lies in the main question: why poverty is increasing in Sudan although, many programs and tools for reducing poverty have been made by the State? The study assumed some hypotheses, the most important one is existence of inverse relationship having a positive impact statistically between unemployment and poverty in Sudan. The study has concluded that a positive relationship exists between unemployment and poverty, and a negative relationship exists between economic growth and poverty in Sudan. The study concluded of that there is an impact of the independent variables on poverty by a rate of 91%. The Researchers has recommended the necessity of a deflationary monetary policy to control inflation in order to reduce poverty rate.

scholarly journals Capital Flight and Economic Development: Evidence from Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Samson O Akinwale ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Adult Literacy ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Capital Flight ◽  
Literacy Rate ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
The Relationship

This study examined the nexus between capital flight and economic development in Nigeria. The null hypothesis was that capital flight has no significant relationship with economic development in Nigeria. The study used the auto regressive distributed lag (ARDL) method on data obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria and the World Bank, for the period 1986–2018, to examine the relationship between capital flight and economic development in Nigeria. The study examined the unit root problem and cointegrating properties of the data. The unit root problem was tested for by using the augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) and Phillips–Perron (PP) tests. Findings from ARDL showed an inverse relationship exists between capital flight, real exchange rate, and economic development. This implies that the variables contributed significantly to reduce economic development within the study period. However, a positive relationship existed between economic development and adult literacy rate in Nigeria. By implication, improvements made in providing quality and affordable education tend to have a positive impact on economic development in Nigeria. The study concluded that economic development is strongly influenced by capital flight, real exchange, and adult literacy rates in Nigeria. The study, therefore, recommends that government policies to curb capital flight should be introduced and monitored so as to lead to economic development in Nigeria.

scholarly journals MODELLING THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN POPULATION GROWTH AND INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT IN NIGERIA: AN AUTO-REGRESSIVE DISTRIBUTIVE LAG APPROACH (1980-2017)

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
K. G. Egbulonu ◽  
Erasmus E. Duru ◽  
Henry C. Dim
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Labour Force ◽  
Capacity Utilization ◽  
Industrial Output ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Total Labour

This research work focuses on the relationship between population growth and industrial output in Nigeria for the period 1980 to 2017. It is particularly interesting to study the relationship between population growth and industrialization in Nigeria because at present, Nigeria is making rapid effort to advance her economy while undergoing a demographic transition that has been projected to be geometric in nature. This research developed an Auto-regressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) model using Index of Industrial Output as the dependent variable and Population growth rate, Birth rate, Total Labour Force (as a percentage of total population that are employed), Capacity Utilization and Manpower Development Index as the independent variables. The data was obtained from the World Bank, the National Population Commission and the Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletins (various issues). The findings reveal that Population Growth Rate has an inverse relationship with Industrial Output both in the short run and in the long run while Total Labour Force and Capacity Utilization also decrease Industrial Output both in the short and long-run periods. Since the Bounds test reveals a long-run relationship between population and Industrial Output, we recommend a renewed determination and political will to implement the National Policy on Population for sustainable development that outlines a sectoral strategy to manage our rising population.

scholarly journals Is the globalization influencing the primary energy consumption? The case of Latin America and Caribbean countries

2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (33) ◽  
pp. 57-67
Author(s):  
Matheus Koengkan
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Primary Energy ◽  
Primary Energy Consumption ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
Latin America And Caribbean ◽  
The Relationship

This article investigates the relationship between globalization and primary energy consumption in twelve Latin America and Caribbean countries from 1991 to 2012 using the auto-regressive distributive lag (ARDL) methodology. The elasticities results showed that increase of 1% on index globalization exerts a positive impact of 0.4449 % above the primary energy consumption. The variables gross domestic product (GDP) and dioxide carbon emissions (CO2) exert a positive impact in short and long-run, as well as the variable capital account openness has a negative effect in long-run.

scholarly journals Population growth, income growth and savings in Ghana

2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 281-296
Author(s):  
John Gartchie Gatsi ◽  
Michael Owusu Appiah
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Policy Formulation ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Efficient Access ◽  
The Relationship

PurposeThe study explores the relationship among economic growth, population growth, gross savings and energy consumption over the period 1987– 2017.Design/methodology/approachThe autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds test approach by Pesaran et al. (2001) was employed to investigate variables for the study.FindingsIn the key findings, both gross savings and population growth negatively affect economic growth. However, energy consumption has positive impact on economic growth.Practical implicationsThese findings call for policy portfolios to address the impacts of gross savings and population growth on economic development. In particular, the financial sector needs to be revamped to be more efficient in channeling funds from the surplus units to the deficit units. It is recommended that investment be made in financial and technological innovation to provide efficient access to credits and other financial products even though individual savings may not move with economic growth.Originality/valueMany studies have explored the nexus between savings and economic growth without considering population growth and energy consumption. In this study, the relationship among savings, economic growth, population growth and energy consumption provide additional knowledge in policy formulation.

scholarly journals The Relationship between Government Size and Economic Growth in Iran; Bivariate and Trivariate Causality Testing

2012 ◽  
Vol 4 (5) ◽  
pp. 268-276
Author(s):  
Salma Keshtkaran ◽  
Farzane Bagheri .
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Government Size ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
The Third ◽  
Oil Revenue ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
The Relationship

The aim of this study is to demonstrate the relationship between government size and economic growth in Iran within bivariate and trivariate causality framework. For this purpose, Vector Auto Regressive Model, Johansen Test and Auto Regressive Distributed Lag Model were used for analyzing the long run relationship, whereas Error Correction Model was considered for the short run. Moreover Wald Coefficient was used for bivariate and trivariate causality test. The results show that the relationship between government size and economic growth in Iran is negative. Furthermore there is a one-way causality relationship for the long run and the short run-from government size to economic growth. Inclusion of unemployment and oil revenue (separately) as the third variable causes the relationship to remain negative. However the direction of causality depends on the choice of the third variable. If unemployment rate is considered as the third variable instead, there will be no causality between the two variables in the long run. Although in the short run government size is still the cause of economic growth. However, consideration of oil revenue as the third variable results in a two-way causality relationship between the government size and the economic growth in the long run and the short run.

scholarly journals KARAKTERISTIK KEPENDUDUKAN DI KABUPATEN PADANG PARIAMAN

JURNAL BUANA ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 869
Author(s):  
Hamdi - Nur ◽  
Gitti Sara Ramadhani
Keyword(s):  
Sex Ratio ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Agricultural Land ◽  
Poverty Rate ◽  
Population Characteristics ◽  
Poverty Level ◽  
Chi Square ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
High Median

Abstrak Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah menganalisis hubungan antara karakteristik kependudukan di Kabupaten Padang Pariaman dengan variabel seperti sex ratio, beban ketergantungan, umur median, penduduk petani, tingkat kemiskinan, kepadatan agraris, kepadatan netto dan laju pertumbuhan penduduk. Analisis keterkaitan tersebut dilakukan dengan menggunakan korelasi Pearson r dan Chi Square. Dari hasil analisis ini ditemukan bahwa tingkat kemiskinan di Kabupaten Padang Pariaman dipengaruhi oleh besarnya laju pertumbuhan penduduk, dan tingginya umur median. Sedangkan karakteristik kependudukan lainnya tidak terlalu menunjukkan pengaruh yang besar terhadap tingkat kemiskinan. Khususnya kepadatan lahan pertanian ternyata berpengaruh lemah terhadap tingkat kemiskinan di Kabupaten Padang Pariaman. Kesimpulan yang dapat ditarik yaitu hubungan antar karakteristik demografis ditentukan juga oleh aspek lain khususnya ekonomi. Kata kunci : karakteristik kependudukan, korelasi, wilayah Abstract The purpose of this study was to analysis of the relationship between population characteristics in Padang Pariaman Regency such as sex ratio, deployment ratio, median age, farmer population, poverty level, agrarian density, net density and population growth rate using Pearson r and Chi square. It was found that the poverty rate in Padang Pariaman Regency was influenced by the large rate of population growth, and the high median age. Whereas for other population characteristics it does not show a significant influence on the level of poverty. Especially agricultural land density affect the poverty level in Padang Pariaman Regency weakly. Conclusions that can be drawn is relationship among region demographic characteristics is also determined by other aspects particularly economy. Keywords: population characteristics, correlation, regional

Designing a business unit and creating the first ever responsive kitchen

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Paolo FESTA ◽  
Tommaso CORA ◽  
Lucilla FAZIO
Keyword(s):  
Value Creation ◽  
Product Innovation ◽  
Research Laboratory ◽  
Direct Relationship ◽  
Multidisciplinary Approach ◽  
Design Thinking ◽  
Business Unit ◽  
Qualitative And Quantitative Analysis ◽  
Qualitative And Quantitative ◽  
The Relationship

Is it possible to transform stone into a technological and innovative device? The meeting with one of the main stone transformers in Europe produced the intention of a disruptive operation that could affect the strategy of the whole company. A contagious singularity. By intertwining LEAN methodologies and the human-centric approach of design thinking, we mapped the value creation in the company activating a dialogue with the workers and the management, listening to people, asking for ambitions, discovering problems and the potential of production. This qualitative and quantitative analysis conducted with a multidisciplinary approach by designers, architects and marketing strategists allowed us to define a new method. We used it to design a platform that could let all the players express their potential to the maximum. This is how the group's research laboratory was born, with the aim of promoting the relationship between humans and stone through product innovation. With this goal, we coordinated the new team, developing technologies that would allow creating a more direct relationship between man and surface, making the stone reactive. The result was the first responsive kitchen ever.

A Meta Analytic Review of the Relationship between Emotional Intelligence and Leadership Effectiveness

2019 ◽  
Vol 118 (9) ◽  
pp. 118-126
Author(s):  
Augusty P. A ◽  
Jain Mathew
Keyword(s):  
Systematic Review ◽  
Emotional Intelligence ◽  
Direct Relationship ◽  
Effective Leadership ◽  
Leadership Effectiveness ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Review Of Literature ◽  
Analytic Review ◽  
The Relationship

The study evaluates the relationship between Emotional Intelligence and Leadership Effectiveness through a Systematic Review of Literature. The relationship has been evaluated in two steps. First, a Systematic review of literature was done to provide a theoretical framework to link the dimensions of Emotional Intelligence to the elements of effective leadership. Meta-analysis was then used to consolidate empirical evidence of the relationship. The studies for the meta-analysis were sourced from Pro Quest and EBSCO and the correlation coefficients of the studies were analysed. Only articles that presented the direct relationship between the variables were included in the study. The results of the analysis revealed a strong, statistically significant relationship between emotional intelligence and effective leadership. The findings of the study provide evidence for the proposition that Emotional Intelligence and Leadership Effectiveness are interrelated.

A FORECAST OF PRODUCTIVE LONGEVITY OF HOLSTEIN COWS BY INDIRECT SIGNS

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
З.С. САНОВА
Keyword(s):  
Correlation Coefficient ◽  
Aging Process ◽  
Direct Relationship ◽  
Stability Index ◽  
Age At First Calving ◽  
Group I ◽  
Predicted Values ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
The Relationship

В статье представлены материалы о взаимосвязи продолжительности продуктивного использования коров с характеристикой устойчивости к деградации, с возрастом отела и удоем. В исследованной, разнородной по происхождению, группе животных для прогноза продуктивного периода коров, обусловленного устойчивостью к деградации и возрастом первого отела, пригодно уравнение регрессии, аргументами в котором являются индекс устойчивости, возраст первого отела в первой и второй степенях. Коэффициент корреляции межу предсказанными значениями продуктивного периода и его фактическими величинами в I группе составляет 0,502, во II - 0,604. При этом крайние варианты прогнозируются со статистическими ошибками 5 мес при оценке индекса устойчивости по 2 лактациям и 4,1 мес по 3, а средние варианты, соответственно, 1,6 и 1,51 мес. Индекс устойчивости к процессу старения является важной характеристикой биологических особенностей коров, определяющий их продуктивное долголетие. Его оценка по первым 2 и 3 лактациям имеет прямолинейную связь с продуктивным периодом (r=0,4109 и r=0,5270), соответственно. Зависимость продуктивного периода от возраста первого отела криволинейная — с увеличением возраста первого отела сокращается срок продуктивного использования, при возрасте первого отела более 1400 дней срок продуктивного использования колеблется от 1,33 до 1,41 лактации. Коэффициент корреляции между этими характеристиками коров составляет - 0,2164 в I и - 0,2620 во II группах. The article presents materials about the relationship of the duration of productive use of cows with the characteristic of resistance to degradation, with the age of calving and milk yield. In the studied group of animals, which is heterogeneous in origin, the regression equation is suitable for predicting the productive period of cows due to resistance to degradation and the age of the first calving, the arguments of which are the stability index, the age of the first calving in the first and second degrees. The correlation coefficient between the predicted values of the productive period and its actual values in group I is 0.502, in group II - 0.604. At the same time, the extreme variants are predicted with statistical errors of 5 months when evaluating the stability index for 2 lactations and 4.1 months for 3, and the average variants, respectively, are 1.6 and 1.51 months. The index of resistance to the aging process is an important characteristic of the biological characteristics of cows, which determines their productive longevity. Its estimate for the first 2 and 3 lactations has a direct relationship with the productive period (r=0.4109 and r=0.5270), respectively. The dependence of the productive period age at first calving curvilinear with increasing age at first calving reduces the time to productive use, while age at first calving of more than 1400 days, the period of productive use ranges from 1.33 to 1.41 lactation. The correlation coefficient between these characteristics of cows is-0.2164 in I and-0.2620 in II groups.

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