scholarly journals Established Tumour Biomarkers Predict Cardiovascular Events and Mortality in the General Population

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Valentina Bracun ◽  
Navin Suthahar ◽  
Canxia Shi ◽  
Sanne de Wit ◽  
Wouter C. Meijers ◽  
...  

Introduction: Several lines of evidence reveal that cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer share similar common pathological milieus. The prevalence of the two diseases is growing as the population ages and the burden of shared risk factors increases. In this respect, we hypothesise that tumour biomarkers can be potential predictors of CVD outcomes in the general population.Methods: We measured six tumour biomarkers (AFP, CA125, CA15-3, CA19-9, CEA and CYFRA 21-1) and determined their predictive value for CVD in the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease (PREVEND) study. A total of 8,592 subjects were enrolled in the study.Results: The levels of CEA significantly predicted CV morbidity and mortality, with hazard ratios (HRs) of HR 1.28 (95% CI 1.08–1.53), respectively. Two biomarkers (CA15-3 and CEA) showed statistical significance in predicting all-cause mortality, with HRs 1.58 (95% CI 1.18–2.12) and HR 1.60 (95% CI 1.30–1.96), when adjusted for shared risk factors and prevalent CVD. Furthermore, biomarkers seem to be sex specific. CYFRA 21-1 presented as an independent predictor of CV morbidity and mortality in female, but not in male gender, with HR 1.82 (95% CI 1.40–2.35). When it comes to all-cause mortality, both CYFRA and CEA show statistical significance in male gender, with HR 1.64 (95% CI 1.28–3.12) and HR 1.55 (95% CI 1.18–2.02), while only CEA showed statistical significance in female gender, with HR 1.64 (95% CI 1.20–2.24). Lastly, CA15-3 and CEA strongly predicted CV mortality with HR 3.01 (95% CI 1.70–5.32) and HR 1.82 (95% CI 1.30–2.56). On another hand, CA 15-3 also presented as an independent predictor of heart failure (HF) with HR 1.67 (95% CI 1.15–2.42).Conclusion: Several tumour biomarkers demonstrated independent prognostic value for CV events and all-cause mortality in a large cohort from the general population. These findings support the notion that CVD and cancer are associated with similar pathological milieus.

2020 ◽  
Vol 66 (1) ◽  
pp. 19-22
Author(s):  
Melania Macarie ◽  
Simona Maria Bataga ◽  
Monica Pantea ◽  
Razvan Opaschi ◽  
Simona Mocan ◽  
...  

AbstractObjective: This study aims to determine the correlation between risk factors and erosive esophagitis development.Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational study on a consecutive series of 19.672 patients who underwent upper gastrointestinal endoscopy between 01.01.2011-31.12.2017. A total of 3005 patients, diagnosed with erosive esophagitis, were included in the present study and stratified according to Los Angeles classification.Results: During the studied period we found 3005 patients with erosive esophagitis, sex ratio male to female was 1.3/1, the most common forms of esophagitis being grade A and B: 74.54% patients with esophagitis grade A, 14.80% patients with grade B; 5.29% patients were with grade C and 5.35% patients with esophagitis grade D. In severe esophagitis the male predominance was more prevalent (249 males, 71 female), with a sex ratio 3.50/1. The correlation of male gender with severe esophagitis was highly statistically significant (p < 0.0001, OR 2.97; 95% CI 2.25-3.91). Hiatal hernia was diagnosed in 1171 patients, the presence of large hiatal hernias, being an important predictor, with statistical significance (p < 0.0001, OR 3.41; 95% CI 2.22-5.21), for severe esophagitis development. Incidence of Helicobacter pylori infection was 11.51%, in the entire study group, with no statistical significant difference between patients with mild or severe esophagitis (12.02% vs 7.18%).Conclusion: Erosive esophagitis is a frequent disease, the most common forms being grade A and B. Male gender and the presence of hiatal hernia are the most important risk factors for erosive esophagitis development, in our study group.


Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 132 (suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
William J Kostis ◽  
Javier Cabrera ◽  
Fei Wang ◽  
Sara J Guterl ◽  
Dhammika Amaratunga ◽  
...  

Introduction: J relationships of body mass index (BMI) with mortality have been described. However, little data are available on long-term follow-up in controlled clinical trials with respect to cardiovascular (CV) and all cause mortality. Hypothesis: We tested whether there is a J shape relationship between BMI with CV and all cause mortality at 22 years in the Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program (SHEP). Methods: SHEP was a placebo controlled, randomized clinical trial of antihypertensive therapy in patients with isolated systolic hypertension aged 60 and older. The relationship between CV and all cause mortality with baseline BMI was examined in 4,211 SHEP participants. Results: In unadjusted analyses, a J relationship was observed for all-cause mortality (linear term p=0.0318, quadratic term p=0.3217 and tricubic term p=0.0046) and for CV mortality (linear term p=0.0962, quadratic term p=0.6866 and tricubic term p=0.0908, left figure). The lowest risk was at a BMI of 25.9 for all-cause and 25.5 for CV mortality. The J shaped relationship between BMI and mortality was attenuated after adjustment for age, gender, comorbidities (e.g. diabetes, heart failure) and risk factors for CV disease (e.g. smoking and dyslipidemia, right figure). Age and gender were significant predictors of both all- cause and CV mortality: age p<0.0001, female gender p=0.0063 for all-cause mortality and p<0.0001 for age and p=0.0004 for female gender for CV mortality. <br/Conclusions: This study indicates that both very low and very high BMI are markers of high risk. The J relationship between BMI and mortality is mediated by age, female gender, comorbidities and risk factors for CV disease.


Circulation ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 133 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ridhima Kapoor ◽  
Colby Ayers ◽  
Jacquelyn Kulinski

Background: The ankle-brachial index (ABI) is a predictor of cardiovascular events, mortality and functional status. Gender differences in ABI have been reported in some population studies. Differences in height might account for these observed gender differences, but findings are conflicting. Objective: This study investigated the association between gender, height and ABI in the general population, independent of traditional cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors. Methods: Participants ≥ 40 years from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2003-2004 with ABI data, were included. A low ABI was defined as a value < 1.0 (including borderline values). Sample-weighted multivariable logistic regression modeling was performed with low ABI as the dependent variable and height and gender as primary predictor variables of interest. A backward elimination model selection technique was performed to identify significant covariates. Results: There were 3,052 participants with ABI data (mean age 57, 51% female (1570 of 3052). The sample-weighted mean (±SE) ABI was 1.09 (±0.006) and 1.13 (±0.005) for females and males, respectively. Women were more likely to have a low ABI compared to men, 42% (659 of 1570) versus 28% (415 of 1482), respectively (p<0.0001). Female gender was associated with a low ABI (OR 1.34, [95% CI, 1.04-1.72]; p=0.025), independent of traditional CVD risk factors (see Figure). Age, diabetes, tobacco use, known CVD, BMI and black race were also associated with a low ABI (all p<0.003). Self-reported hypertension and non-HDL cholesterol levels, however, were not associated with a low ABI. An interaction between height and body mass index (BMI) was identified. Conclusions: Female gender is associated with a low ABI in the general population. This association appears to be independent of height and other traditional CVD risk factors and warrants further investigation.


2020 ◽  
Vol 45 (5) ◽  
pp. 671-685
Author(s):  
Min Ye ◽  
Jianbo Li ◽  
Yanqiu Liu ◽  
Wei He ◽  
Hong Lin ◽  
...  

Aim: Protein-energy malnutrition and cardiovascular (CV) disease predisposes patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) on dialysis to a high risk of early death, but the prognostic value of prealbumin (PAB) and echocardiographic indices in ESRD patients treated with maintenance peritoneal dialysis (PD) remains unclear. Methods: A total of 211 PD patients (mean age 49.2 ± 15.4 years, 51.7% male) were prospectively studied. PAB and echocardiography parameters were recorded at baseline. Follow-up (mean ± SD: 33.7 ± 17.3 months) was conducted based on hospital records, clinic visits, and telephone reviews, to record death events and their causes. Results: In the Cox proportional hazards model, PAB and the echocardiographic parameters listed below were found to be optimal predictors of all-cause mortality: PAB (p = 0.003), aortic root diameter (ARD) (p = 0.004), interventricular septum end-diastolic thickness (IVSd) (p = 0.046), and left ventricular end-diastolic diameter index (LVEDDI) (p = 0.029). Of the above-mentioned factors, PAB (p = 0.018), ARD (p = 0.031), and IVSd (p = 0.037) were independent predictors of CV mortality in PD patients. Of note, malnutrition, degradation of the aorta, and myocardial hypertrophy are also known death risk factors in the general population. The all-cause mortality and CV death rate significantly increased as the number of risk factors increased, reaching values as high as 40 and 22% in patients who had all of the risk factors, i.e., abnormal PAB, ARD, and IVSd (p < 0.001 and p = 0.011). Conclusion: In PD patients, low serum PAB and abnormal echocardiographic parameters together were significantly associated with all-cause mortality and CV death, independently of other risk factors. These risk factors for death in PD are similar to those in the general population. Noticeably, the combination of echocardiographic parameters and PAB could provide additional predictive value for mortality in PD patients. In light of these findings, more studies in an optimal model containing PAB and echocardiographic parameters for the prediction of outcomes in ESRD are required.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
V Moosavi ◽  
M Paymard ◽  
R Ebrahimi ◽  
T Harvey ◽  
N Parkes ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is commonly encountered in the setting of systemic inflammation or infection. The optimal management of AF in this cohort and their long-term AF-related clinical outcome are unknown. Purpose The aims of our study were to evaluate the traditional and non-traditional AF risk factors and long-term AF-related clinical outcomes in patients who were diagnosed with new onset AF in the setting of sepsis. Methods In this retrospective cohort study, we used the medical records to identify patients who were diagnosed with the new onset AF during hospitalization for sepsis at our centre between 2013 and 2017. The primary clinical outcomes included 24-month risk of ischaemic stroke, major bleeding (gastrointestinal or intracranial bleeding), the recurrence of AF and the all-cause mortality. The patients with known AF or those who died during the index admission were excluded from the analysis. Results 5598 patients were admitted to our hospital between 2013 and 2017 with sepsis. Of this cohort, 126 patients (mean age 69.7 years, 62.7% male) developed new onset AF during the index hospital admission (72.2% required ICU admission). 38 patients (30.1%) died during the initial hospitalisation while 88 patients (69.9%) were discharged from hospital (32% anticoagulated). 14 patients (16%) died within 24 months. Hypertension (59%), CKD (30%), diabetes (21%), and CCF (17%) were the most common risk factors. Mean CHA2DS2VASC score was 2.56±1.4 and mean HAS BLED score was 2.5±1.3. Mean CRP and WCC were 228±119 and 12.3±9.1 respectively. Comparing risk factors, only HASBLED score showed statistical significance on 24 months mortality (p=0.036, 95% CI 0.43–1.52). The composite incidence of all-cause mortality and ischaemic stroke was three times lower in anticoagulated patients compared with those who did not receive anticoagulation even though this did not reach statistical significance (7.1% v 21.6% respectively, p=0.07; RR=0.32; 95% CI=0.79–1.36). There was no statistically significant difference between the two groups for major bleeding events (3.5% v 3.3% respectively, p=0.68; RR=1.07; 95% CI=0.10–11.3). Rhythm and rate control therapies showed no significant difference on the composite outcome of all-cause mortality, ischaemic stroke and recurrence of AF (28.0% v 28.9%, p=0.92; RR=0.96, 95% CI=0.49–1.88), however, there was a trend towards less recurrence of AF in patients who received rate or rhythm control therapies (12% vs 18% respectively p=0.44; RR=0.67; 95% CI=0.24–1.85). Conclusions Our study suggests that anticoagulation therapy in patients with sepsis associated new onset AF may decrease composite of all-cause mortality and ischaemic stroke without increasing major bleeding risk. Rhythm and rate control strategies did not decrease all-cause mortality, ischaemic stroke or risk of recurrence of AF. These findings can provide benchmarks for design of randomized control trials. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
S Borges ◽  
R Palma Dos Reis ◽  
A Pereira ◽  
F Mendonca ◽  
J Sousa ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction Previous research reported that LPA gene is a strong and independent predictor of CAD in non-diabetic patients but not in patients with type 2 diabetes. These results suggest that LPA gene might contribute less to CAD risk in patients with T2DM than in general population. Objective Investigate, in our population, the association between LPA gene CT variant and CAD risk among diabetic patients. Methods 3050 individuals (1619 coronary patients and 1431 controls) were genotyped for LPA rs3798220 TT/CT. Pearson's chi-squared test was applied to evaluate the association between LPA variants and CAD, firstly, in the general population and, secondly, in the group of patients with T2DM (n=735). Multivariate logistic regression was performed with LPA CT variant and 6 traditional risk factors (TRF) (smoking, dyslipidemia, diabetes, hypertension, family history of CAD and physical inactivity) in both general and diabetic population. Results In total population, LPA CT variant was found to be strongly and significantly associated with CAD with an OR of 2.32 (95% CI: 1.56–3.45; p<0.0001). However, this association was less pronounced in the diabetic population with a CAD risk of 1.38 (95% CI: 0.56–3.43) without statistical significance (p=0.485). In the presence of 6 major TRF, multivariate analysis showed that LPA CT remained a strong and independent predictor of CAD risk (OR= 2.34; 95% CI: 1.52–3.62; p<0.0001). In diabetic population, LPA was no longer an independent predictor for CAD by multivariate analysis. Conclusions Our results show that the effect of LPA gene on CAD risk among diabetic patients might be different from that in the general population. Diabetes status is such a strong risk factor that may attenuate the genetic effects of LPA on CAD risk. This may indicate a complex role of Lp (a) and diabetes interaction in cardiometabolic diseases.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
A Aro ◽  
A Holkeri ◽  
A Eranti ◽  
T Kerola ◽  
M J Junttila ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Sudden cardiac death (SCD) remains a major cause of premature mortality worldwide, so there has been an ongoing pursuit for tools for SCD risk stratification. Coronary artery disease is the major cause for SCD in adults, but the level of risk associated with multiple cardiovascular risk factors is not well established. Purpose To create a clinical risk score for estimating SCD risk in the general population. Methods Using data from a Finnish general population cohort of 7200 adults (mean age 51y, 46% male) with a mean follow-up of 24±11 years, we assessed the incremental SCD risk associated with the presence of several cardiovascular risk factors. SCD events were adjudicated based on death certificates according to the established criteria (autopsy was performed on 48% of SCD cases). Hazard ratios (HR) for SCD and all-cause mortality were calculated using the Cox proportional hazards model. Of the multiple parameters analysed, male sex, increasing age, diabetes, hypertension, smoking and previously diagnosed cardiac disease were independently associated with SCD in a multivariable model. Based on the magnitude of risk, a SCD risk score was created (2 points: age >70y; 1 point: male sex, age 60–70y, diabetes, hypertension, smoking, cardiac disease). Results 75.2% of the study subjects had 0–2 risk points, 12.8% 3 risk points, and 12.0% >3 risk points. During the follow-up, 400 SCDs occurred. Increasing risk score was associated with a progressively greater risk for SCD (Figure). Compared with subjects without risk factors, those with a risk score of 3 had a HR of 21.2 (95% CI 12.7–35.4, p<0.001) and those with a risk score of >3 had a HR of 52.6 (95% CI 31.3–88.3, p<0.001) for SCD. Clinical risk score predicted significantly also all-cause mortality (HR 31.5 with risk score >3 [95% CI 27.6–35.9, p<0.001]). Risk of SCD according to the risk score Conclusions Accumulation of multiple cardiovascular risk factors is associated with a markedly elevated risk for SCD in the general population. This highlights the need for SCD prevention efforts with lifestyle interventions and medical therapy in the high-risk subjects. Studies on focused SCD risk stratification may be warranted in the subjects at highest risk.


2009 ◽  
Vol 102 (07) ◽  
pp. 153-158 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos Escobar ◽  
David Martí ◽  
Gema Díaz ◽  
Jesús César ◽  
Ángel García-Avello ◽  
...  

SummaryThis study aimed to evaluate the relationship between anaemia and pulmonary embolism (PE) prognosis. We analysed a cohort of 764 patients with acute PE referred to a single center for diagnosis and management. Patients were divided into groups by quartiles of haemoglobin (Hb): Hb < 11.7 g/dl; Hb 11.7 to 12.9 g/dl; Hb 13.0 to 14.1 g/dl; Hb > 14.1 g/dl. Patients had a mean Hb of 12.9 g/dl, and values ranged from to 4.3 to 19.5 g/dl. Lower Hb was associated with recent bleeding, an impaired haemodynamic profile and higher creatinine. Patients in the lower Hb quartiles more commonly had female gender (p < 0.001), a diagnosis of cancer (p < 0.001), and an indication for an inferior vena cava (IVC) filter (p < 0.002), compared to patients in the higher Hb quartiles. Patients in higher Hb quartiles had higher survival at three months (75%, 86%, 90% and 91% for lowest to highest quartiles, respectively). On multivariate analysis, adjusting for known PE prognostic factors, low Hb proved to be an independent predictor of mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.16, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.05 to 1.28 for each decrease of 1 g/dl). Hb level remained an independent predictor of all-cause mortality when cancer patients were excluded from the analysis (adjusted HR 0.81; 95% CI, 0.66 to 0.99; p = 0.04). Moreover, patients with anaemia showed a higher risk of fatal PE (unadjusted HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.37). In conclusion, in patients with acute symptomatic PE, anaemia severity is associated with worsened survival.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document