scholarly journals An Overview of the World Current and Future Assessment of Novel COVID-19 Trajectory, Impact, and Potential Preventive Strategies at Healthcare Settings

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (19) ◽  
pp. 7016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bader S. Al-Anzi ◽  
Mohammad Alenizi ◽  
Jehad Al Dallal ◽  
Frage Lhadi Abookleesh ◽  
Aman Ullah
Keyword(s):  
Exponential Model ◽  
Logistic Function ◽  
Continuous Increase ◽  
Future Assessment ◽  
The World ◽  
The Usa ◽  
Group A ◽  
The State Of Kuwait ◽  
Group B ◽  
The Impact

This study is an overview of the current and future trajectory, as well as the impact of the novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) in the world and selected countries including the state of Kuwait. The selected countries were divided into two groups: Group A (China, Switzerland, and Ireland) and Group B (USA, Brazil, and India) based on their outbreak containment of this virus. Then, the actual data for each country were fitted to a regression model utilizing the excel solver software to assess the current and future trajectory of novel COVID-19 and its impact. In addition, the data were fitted using the Susceptible–Infected–Recovered (SIR) Model. The Group A trajectory showed an “S” shape trend that suited a logistic function with r2 > 0.97, which is an indication of the outbreak control. The SIR models for the countries in this group showed that they passed the expected 99% end of pandemic dates. Group B, however, exhibited a continuous increase of the total COVID-19 new cases, that best suited an exponential growth model with r2 > 0.97, which meant that the outbreak is still uncontrolled. The SIR models for the countries in this group showed that they are still relatively far away from reaching the expected 97% end of pandemic dates. The maximum death percentage varied from 3.3% (India) to 7.2% with USA recording the highest death percentage, which is virtually equal to the maximum death percentage of the world (7.3%). The power of the exponential model determines the severity of the country’s trajectory that ranged from 11 to 19 with the USA and Brazil having the highest values. The maximum impact of this COVID-19 pandemic occurred during the uncontrolled stage (2), which mainly depended on the deceptive stage (1). Further, some novel potential containment strategies are discussed. Results from both models showed that the Group A countries contained the outbreak, whereas the Group B countries still have not reached this stage yet. Early measures and containment strategies are imperative in suppressing the spread of COVID-19.

P205 THREE YEARS EXPERIENCE OF THE FIRST SPECIALIZED ESOPHAGEAL CENTER IN EGYPT

2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
R Ezz
Keyword(s):  
Mortality Rates ◽  
Esophageal Disease ◽  
Esophageal Reflux ◽  
Benign Diseases ◽  
The World ◽  
Group A ◽  
Specialized Department ◽  
Malignant Lesions ◽  
Group B ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Introduction Subspecialty policy is increasing all over the world aiming to improve the results of heavy esophageal surgeries. Aim To define the impact of having surgical specialized esophageal unit on the volume of patients and the results. Methodology We reviewed all esophageal cases managed in our esophageal specialized department (from May 2016 to May 2019 Group A) and we compared the results to previous 3 years (from May 2013 to May 2016 Group B) and to the international results. Results Esophageal surgeries performed during this period was 394 cases in group A compared to 104 cases in group B. One hundred eighty operations were performed for Gastro esophageal reflux disease (GERD) in group a (45.7%) compared to 61 cases in group B (68.7%). Forty two (10.7%) modified Heller’s cardiomyotomy (Open and laparoscopic) for achalasia were performed in group A compared to 17 cases (16.3%) in group B. Surgeries for malignant lesions were performed for 122 cases (30.9%) in group A compared to 13 cases (12.5%) in group B. Other Esophageal operations were also done for 50 cases (12.7%) in group A compared to 13 cases (12.5%) in group B. Mortalities in group A was 5 cases in benign diseases (1.8%) and 13 cases for malignant cases (10.7%) compared to 7 cases in benign diseases (7.7%) and 5 cases for malignant conditions (23%) in group B. Morbidities in group A was 46 cases in benign diseases (16.9%) and 31cases for malignant cases (25.4%) Compared to 23 cases in the benign diseases (25.2%) and 5 cases for malignant conditions (38.5%) in group B. Our results in group A are comparable to Hospital mortality rates for patients in medium-volume centers (7.5%)(1).Also we approach the International results for morbidities of benign esophageal disease (5.7 to- 12.7%) for fundoplication (2). Conclusion Having a specialized esophageal unit resulted in increase of the volume of patients and improvement of the results.

10 EFFECT OF SUBSPECIALTIES OF GASTRO-INTESTINAL SURGERIES ON PATIENT’S OUTCOMES

2021 ◽  
Vol 34 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Reda Ezz
Keyword(s):  
Hospital Mortality ◽  
Mortality Rates ◽  
Esophageal Disease ◽  
Esophageal Reflux ◽  
The World ◽  
Group A ◽  
Specialized Department ◽  
Malignant Lesions ◽  
Group B ◽  
The Impact

Abstract   Subspecialty policy is increasing all over the world aiming to improve the results of heavy esophageal surgeries. Our aim is to define the impact of having surgical specialized esophageal unit on the volume of patients and the results. Methods We reviewed all esophageal cases managed in our esophageal specialized department (from May 2016 to May 2019 Group A) and we compared the results to previous 3 years (from May 2013 to May 2016 Group B) and to the international results. There was 394 cases in group A compared to 104 cases in group B. Results For Gastro esophageal reflux disease (GERD),180 operations were performed in group a (45.7%) compared to 61 cases in group B (68.7%). Forty two (10.7%) modified Heller’s cardiomyotomy (Open and laparoscopic) for achalasia were performed in group A compared to 17 cases (16.3%) in group B. Surgeries for malignant lesions were performed for 122 cases (30.9%) in group A compared to 13 cases (12.5%) in group B. Other Esophageal operations were also done for 50 cases (12.7%) in group A compared to 13 cases (12.5%) in group B. Morbidities and mortalities are reported and compared to the international results. Conclusion Our results in group A are comparable to Hospital mortality rates for patients in medium-volume centers (7.5%). Also we approach the International results for morbidities of benign esophageal disease (5.7–12.7%) for fundoplication. Having a specialized esophageal unit resulted in increase of the volume of patients and improvement of the results.

scholarly journals The Impact of Left Atrial Size in Catheter Ablation of Atrial Fibrillation Using Remote Magnetic Navigation

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Xiao-yu Liu ◽  
Hai-feng Shi ◽  
Jie Zheng ◽  
Ku-lin Li ◽  
Xiao-xi Zhao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Catheter Ablation ◽  
Left Atrial ◽  
Magnetic Navigation ◽  
Remote Magnetic Navigation ◽  
X Ray ◽  
Group A ◽  
Group B ◽  
The Impact

Objective. The objective of this study was to investigate the impact of left atrial (LA) size for the ablation of atrial fibrillation (AF) using remote magnetic navigation (RMN). Methods. A total of 165 patients with AF who underwent catheter ablation using RMN were included. The patients were divided into two groups based on LA diameter. Eighty-three patients had small LA (diameter <40 mm; Group A), and 82 patients had a large LA (diameter ≥40 mm; Group B). Results. During mapping and ablation, X-ray time (37.0 (99.0) s vs. 12 (30.1) s, P<0.001) and X-ray dose (1.4 (2.7) gy·cm2 vs. 0.7 (2.1) gy·cm2, P=0.013) were significantly higher in Group A. No serious complications occurred in any of the patients. There was no statistical difference in the rate of first anatomical attempt of pulmonary vein isolation between the two groups (71.1% vs. 57.3%, P=0.065). However, compared with Group B, the rate of sinus rhythm was higher (77.1% vs. 58.5%, P<0.001) during the follow-up period. More patients in Group A required a sheath adjustment (47/83 vs. 21/82, P<0.001), presumably due to less magnets positioned outside of the sheath. In vitro experiments with the RMN catheter demonstrated that only one magnet exposed created the sheath affects which influenced the flexibility of the catheter. Conclusions. AF ablation using RMN is safe and effective in both small and large LA patients. Patients with small LA may pose a greater difficulty when using RMN which may be attributed to the fewer magnets beyond the sheath. As a result, the exposure of radiation was increased. This study found that having at least two magnets of the catheter positioned outside of the sheath can ensure an appropriate flexibility of the catheter.

scholarly journals The Influence of the Physiotherapeutic Program on Selected Static and Dynamic Foot Indicators and the Balance of Elderly Women Depending on the Ground Stability

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (9) ◽  
pp. 4660
Author(s):  
Joanna Matla ◽  
Katarzyna Filar-Mierzwa ◽  
Anna Ścisłowska-Czarnecka ◽  
Agnieszka Jankowicz-Szymańska ◽  
Aneta Bac
Keyword(s):  
Elderly Women ◽  
Statistical Significance ◽  
Exercise Program ◽  
Control Group ◽  
Balance Assessment ◽  
Motor Functions ◽  
Static Test ◽  
Group A ◽  
Group B ◽  
The Impact

Seniors are a constantly growing group of people in many societies. It is necessary to develop physiotherapeutic programs to improve their mobility. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of the physiotherapeutic program conducted unstable ground on selected indicators of motor functions of elderly women. Sixty women (60–80 years) participated in the research. Group A (N = 20) underwent a 12-week physiotherapeutic program on stable ground, group B (N = 20) followed an exercise program on unstable ground, and group C (N = 20) (control group) had no therapeutic intervention. The effects of the therapy were assessed by using a FreeMed platform (foot load analysis) and a Biosway balance system. The results were compared using ANOVA (the one-way analysis), the Kruskal–Wallis test and also the post hoc tests (Tukey’s test and the multiple comparison test). In group A, a statistically significant change was observed in the static test and balance assessment, in group B this was observed in the static and dynamic foot tests and balance assessment, in group C, no statistical significance was achieved. The authors’ physiotherapeutic program had a statistically significant effect on changes in the balance and selected indicators of the motor functions of the examined people. Comparing the results before and after the therapy more improvement changes were noted in women training on an unstable ground compared to women training on a stable ground.

THE ACTIVITIES OF THE USA AND CHINA IN THE REGIONS OF THE WORLD, AFFECTING THE REALIZATION OF RUSSIA'S INTERESTS. Part 1: country interests and activities

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (10) ◽  
pp. 149-166
Author(s):  
Dmitry V. Gordienko ◽  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
The United States ◽  
Asia Pacific ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
The World ◽  
The Usa ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Military ◽  
The Impact

The paper examines the interests of Russia, the United States and China in the regions of the world and identifies the priorities of Russia's activities in Europe, Central Asia and the Caucasus, the Asia-Pacific region, the Arctic, Africa, the Middle East and Latin America, their comparative assessment with the interests of the United States and China. An approach to assessing the impact of possible consequences of the activities of the United States and China on the realization of Russia's interests is proposed. This makes it possible to identify the priorities of the policy of the Russian Federation in various regions of the world. The results of the analysis can be used to substantiate recommendations to the military-political leadership of our country. It is concluded that the discrepancy between the interests of the United States and China is important for the implementation of the current economic and military policy of the Russian Federation.

A New World Economic order formation

2021 ◽  
pp. 932-950
Author(s):  
Vladislav Vyacheslavovich Emelyanov
Keyword(s):  
Oil And Gas ◽  
World Order ◽  
The United States ◽  
New Order ◽  
The West ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
The World ◽  
The Usa ◽  
World Economic Order ◽  
The Impact

Every few decades, the world order changes due to various geopolitical, economic and other circumstances. For example, as a result of globalization, the world order has undergone significant changes in the last forty years. Globalization has led to the destruction of the postwar world order, as well as to world leadership by the United States and the West. However, in recent decades, as a result of globalization, the U.S. and the West began to cede their leadership to developing countries, so there is now a change in the economic structure of relations in the world system. Today the center of economic growth is in the East, namely in Asia. There are no new superpowers in the world at the moment, but the unipolar world will cease to exist due to the weakening of the U. S. leadership, which will lead to a change in the world order. A new leader, which may replace the U. S., will not have as wide range of advantages as the USA has. Most likely, the essence of the new order will be to unite the largest countries and alliances into blocks, for example, the USA together with the Trans-Pacific Partnership, the EU, etc. The article outlines forecasts of GDP growth rates as well as the global energy outlook; analyzes the LNG market as well as the impact of the pandemic on the global oil and gas market; and lists the characteristics of U. S. geopolitics.

Pharmacist Impact on Physician Practices Related to Diabetes Management

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 560-575
Author(s):  
Amina Ammar ◽  
Lindsay M. Darghali ◽  
Wassim Tarraf ◽  
Helen D. Berlie ◽  
Linda A. Jaber
Keyword(s):  
Blood Pressure ◽  
Diabetes Management ◽  
Individual Treatment ◽  
Diabetic Patients ◽  
Composite Target ◽  
Physician Practices ◽  
Physical Presence ◽  
Group A ◽  
Group B ◽  
The Impact

To examine the impact of a pharmacist’s physical presence on (1) the achievement of individual and combined targets for hemoglobin A1c (A1C), blood pressure (BP), and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) (composite target), and (2) physician practices in relation to the American Diabetes Association (ADA) standards of medical care.   Methods A retrospective, comparative study of randomly selected diabetic patients seen within an underserved primary care setting at least twice annually between June 1, 2018- December 31, 2019. Patients were allocated by whether they had received care in one of the physician-pharmacist clinics (Group A) or the physician-only clinic (Group B). Study outcomes included the proportion of patients achieving the composite and individual treatment targets for A1C, BP, and LDL-C.   Results A total of 394 patients were included; Majority were underserved African Americans. The composite target was attained by 20% of participants in Group A and 13% in Group B (p=0.09). There were no statistically significant differences in achievement of individual targets between groups. A significantly higher proportion of participants in Group A achieved better control of diastolic blood pressure control (85% vs. 74%), had microalbuminuria tested (50% vs. 12%), were prescribed aspirin (43% vs. 32%), and had lower utilization of non-insulin glucose-lowering agents relative to those in Group B.   Conclusion The impact of a pharmacist’s physical presence on physician practice demonstrated a general trend towards improvement in clinical outcomes related to diabetes management. Future studies are needed to further characterize the impact provided by the physician-pharmacist relationship.

P1652IMPACT OF HEPATITIS C VIRUS AND DIRECT ACTING ANTIVIRALS ON JAPANESE RENAL ALLOGRAFT RECIPIENTS

2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kazuaki Okino ◽  
Keita Yamazaki ◽  
Keiichiro Okada ◽  
Keiji Fujimoto ◽  
HIROKI ADACHI ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Renal Transplantation ◽  
Renal Allograft ◽  
Patient Survival ◽  
Hcv Infection ◽  
Hcv Rna ◽  
Direct Acting Antivirals ◽  
Group A ◽  
Group B ◽  
Direct Acting ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Background and Aims The impact of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection on patient survival after renal transplantation was worse. Previously, we found that continuous HCV infection was a significant independent risk factor for actuarial survival (especially at ≥20 years after the transplant procedure) among Japanese renal allograft recipients. This study evaluates the impact of HCV and of the new direct acting antivirals (DAAs) on patient outcomes in renal allograft recipients. Method We studied 46 cases (28 males, 18 females; 37 living-donor cases, 9 deceased-donor cases; mean follow-up period 305 months ranging from 2 to 420 months) out of the 315 renal transplanted patients who underwent the first renal transplantation in Kanazawa Medical University since 1974. They had antibodies against HCV: 11 were positive for HCV RNA and received DAAs (Group A, all of them genotype 1b); 27 were HCV RNA positive and did not receive any treatment (Group B); 8 were negative for HCV RNA (Group C) (Fig.1). Results All Group A patients had HCV RNA negativity after 2-12 weeks of treatment started, and 11 (100%) achieved a sustained virological response (SVR) at 24 weeks. All of them had no adverse effects by the use of DAAs. In this cohort, no patients in Group A died. On the other hand, 15 (55.5％) of 27 in Group B and 3 (37.5%) of 8 in Group C died. Causes of death among Group B were liver cirrhosis (5 cases), hepatocellular carcinoma (2 case), infections complicated with chronic hepatitis (6 cases) in chronic phase, fibrosing cholestatic hepatitis due to HCV (1 case) after surgery, and cardiovascular disease (1 case). The patient survival rate was significantly higher in Group A patients who received DAAs by Kaplan- Meier life table method (Log Rank test, Kay-square 11.7, p=0.004) (Fig.2). Conclusion Our results support the notion that continuous HCV infection was a harmful and that new DAAs were efficient and safe to treat HCV infection after renal transplantation.

scholarly journals ТНЕ WORLD OIL MARKET: THE SEARCH FOR BALANCE IN THE NEW "OIL" REALITY

2016 ◽  
pp. 115-124
Author(s):  
T. A. Malova ◽  
V. I. Sisoeva
Keyword(s):  
Price Volatility ◽  
Future Market ◽  
Oil Market ◽  
The World ◽  
Competitive Relations ◽  
The Face ◽  
The Usa ◽  
Analysis Of Dynamics ◽  
State Of Research ◽  
The Impact

The article provides an analysis of change of the world oil market in the face of new "oil" reality. Factors of formation of new "oil" reality in the global world defined. Scientific background and current state of research of the problem are described. It is shownthat in the Russian and foreign literature the considerable attention is paid to the analysis of dynamics of the quantitative variables characterizing fluctuations and shocks in the oil market. At the same time the search for balance in the new "oil" reality are not considerably investigated yet. The proposed approach allows toreveal the substance of the transformation of the world oil market, to assess the changes in the oil market with the development of rhenium in terms of efficiency and functioning of the mechanism, the prospects of price volatility in the oil market. The main directions of transformation of the oil market are follows. Development of a subject basis of the oil market due to changes of a role of the main market players whose structure includes the USA, Saudi Arabia, Russia now. The impact of regulatory factors complex in the oil market towards equilibrium, which include activity of OPEC, supply of shale oil, future market,activity of the uniform regulator and national regulators. Transformation of the oil market in the direction of perfection of the competitive relations, achievement of optimum market balance as a result of coordination and interaction of interests of participants of the global oil market.

scholarly journals Premature mortality attributable to COVID-19: potential years of life lost in 17 countries around the world, January–August 2020

2022 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Maider Pagola Ugarte ◽  
Souzana Achilleos ◽  
Annalisa Quattrocchi ◽  
John Gabel ◽  
Ourania Kolokotroni ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Age Groups ◽  
Premature Mortality ◽  
The United States ◽  
Cape Verde ◽  
Years Of Life Lost ◽  
Demographic Groups ◽  
The World ◽  
The Usa ◽  
Research Consortium ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Background Understanding the impact of the burden of COVID-19 is key to successfully navigating the COVID-19 pandemic. As part of a larger investigation on COVID-19 mortality impact, this study aims to estimate the Potential Years of Life Lost (PYLL) in 17 countries and territories across the world (Australia, Brazil, Cape Verde, Colombia, Cyprus, France, Georgia, Israel, Kazakhstan, Peru, Norway, England & Wales, Scotland, Slovenia, Sweden, Ukraine, and the United States [USA]). Methods Age- and sex-specific COVID-19 death numbers from primary national sources were collected by an international research consortium. The study period was established based on the availability of data from the inception of the pandemic to the end of August 2020. The PYLL for each country were computed using 80 years as the maximum life expectancy. Results As of August 2020, 442,677 (range: 18–185,083) deaths attributed to COVID-19 were recorded in 17 countries which translated to 4,210,654 (range: 112–1,554,225) PYLL. The average PYLL per death was 8.7 years, with substantial variation ranging from 2.7 years in Australia to 19.3 PYLL in Ukraine. North and South American countries as well as England & Wales, Scotland and Sweden experienced the highest PYLL per 100,000 population; whereas Australia, Slovenia and Georgia experienced the lowest. Overall, males experienced higher PYLL rate and higher PYLL per death than females. In most countries, most of the PYLL were observed for people aged over 60 or 65 years, irrespective of sex. Yet, Brazil, Cape Verde, Colombia, Israel, Peru, Scotland, Ukraine, and the USA concentrated most PYLL in younger age groups. Conclusions Our results highlight the role of PYLL as a tool to understand the impact of COVID-19 on demographic groups within and across countries, guiding preventive measures to protect these groups under the ongoing pandemic. Continuous monitoring of PYLL is therefore needed to better understand the burden of COVID-19 in terms of premature mortality.

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