scholarly journals A time-series ecological study protocol to analyze trends of incidence, mortality, lethality of COVID-19 in Brazil

2021 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 491-495
Author(s):  
Luiz Carlos de Abreu ◽  
Khalifa Elmusharaf ◽  
Carlos Eduardo Gomes Siqueira

Introduction: Since the first case of COVID-19 was confirmed in February 2020, Brazil has reported more than 20 million cases and more than 600,000 deaths on October 31, 2021. The behavior of the pandemic was also different in the various regions of the country, from those with less economic development to those with greater economic development, such as the state of São Paulo. Objective: to describe step-by-step time series for analyzing trends in mortality, lethality and incidence of COVID-19 in Brazil. Methods: a protocol for an ecological study of time series, covering the 26 states and the federal district (Brasilia). Results: The descriptions have the potential to provide information for the government and society in decision-making, about knowledge and conduct, clinical, epidemiological and research investments in health care for the Brazilian people. It is focused on fully understanding the spread of SARS-COV-2 infection in the Brazilian territory, and developing a database for public and universal access for comparative studies between countries and continents. Conclusion: database built from ecological studies are essential for a full understanding of the virus behavior, its transmissibility, lethality and mortality, and a repository for data that’s been collected and integrated from multiple sources. It is a relevant tool for the search of information and decision-making in global health.

Author(s):  
José Manuel Orozco Plascencia ◽  
José Manuel de la Mora Cuevas ◽  
Jonás Larios Deniz

Colima is a state that has excellent physical and economic resources that can contribute to its development and immediate growth, however, there was no diagnosis that gathered the main economic vocations of the municipalities. In this sense, the University of Colima, through the School of Economics, raised the possibility of conducting a thorough investigation to determine the current status of the spatial, natural, environmental and infrastructure resources of the 10 communes of the entity, with the object of being identified in a spatial system or electronic platform, in which they can be visualized, updated and interpreted, according to the needs of the Government of the State of Colima and in particular, of the user sector, coordinated by the Ministry of Economic Development of the Government of the State of Colima. The chapter shows the methodology used for the preparation of the economic vocational study, the indicators and data, the planned goals and the objectives, as well as the problems that were faced and solved and the methodological decisions and if justification.


2018 ◽  
Vol 46 (4) ◽  
pp. 225-238 ◽  
Author(s):  
Victor Chang ◽  
Yian Chen ◽  
Chang Xiong

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to gain a deeper insight on how education boosts economic progress in key emerging economies. This project is aimed at exploring the interactive dynamics between the tertiary education sector and economic development in BRICS countries. The author also aims to examine how the structure of higher education contributes to economic expansion.Design/methodology/approachThe author uses the time series data of BRICS countries across approximately two decades to determine the statistical causality between the size of tertiary enrollment and economic development. The linear regression model is then used to figure out the different impact levels of academic and vocational training programs at the tertiary level to economic development.FindingsData from all BRICS countries exhibited a unidirectional statistical causality relationship, except the Brazilian data. The national economic expansion Granger Caused increased tertiary enrollment in Russia and India, while in China and South Africa, higher education enrollment Granger Caused economic progress. The impact from tertiary academic training is found to be positive for all BRICS nations, while tertiary vocation training is shown to have impaired the Russian and South African economy.Research limitations/implicationsThis project is based on a rather small sample size, and the stationary feature of the time series could be different should a larger pool of data spanning a longer period of time is used. In addition, the author also neglects other control variables in the regression model. Therefore, the impact level could be distorted due to possible omitted variable bias.Practical implicationsTertiary academic study is found to have a larger impact level to all countries’ economic advancement, except for China, during the time frame studied. There is a statistical correlation between the education and economic progress. This is particularly true for BRICS countries, especially China. But the exception is Brazil.Social implicationsThe government should provide education up to the certain level, as there is a direct correlation to the job creation and economic progress. Furthermore, the government should also work closely with industry to ensure growth of industry and creation of new jobs.Originality/valueThe comparative analysis and evaluation of the dynamic interaction of tertiary enrollment and economic output across all five BRICS nations is unique, and it deepens the understanding of the socioeconomic development in these countries from a holistic management perspective.


2015 ◽  
Vol 35 (3) ◽  
pp. 421-457 ◽  
Author(s):  
Natascha S. Neudorfer

AbstractOn average, higher per capita income comes with lower corruption levels. Yet, countries like Mexico, Libya and Saudi Arabia are relatively wealthy but experience comparatively high corruption levels. Simultaneously, countries like Madagascar or Mozambique (in the 1990s) combine poor economic development with a low level of corruption. I propose that the two most common variables in corruption research – wealth and democracy – are mutually conditional: economic development brings about a larger (and stronger) middle class that demands public goods from the government. However, citizens’ ability to influence governmental decision-making varies by political regime type. In democracies, citizens are, on average, more successful in demanding goods from the government than in autocracies. Using a large-N approach (up to 139 countries, 1984–2006), the analysis finds robust empirical support for the proposed conditional effect.


2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (5) ◽  
pp. 840-846
Author(s):  
Marat Rashitovich Safiullin ◽  
Alexander Stanislavoich Grunichev ◽  
Leonid Alekseevich Elshin

Purpose: In the paper, the need to study models of economic growth in territories in terms of the reputational economy theory is substantiated. The issue is relevant due to the fact that in modern conditions when economic development institutions are being transformed, primarily as a result of globalization of economic processes, the regional reputational capital begins to play an increasingly prominent and significant role. Methodology: The authors build the time series of the studied indicator for the regions of the Volga Federal District for the period of 2010-2017 based on the developed methodology for the formalized assessment of a territory’s reputation. Econometric assessments of a territory’s reputational capital influence on the parameters of their investment activity are carried out on the basis of those time series. The developed and tested methodological tools for quantitative assessment of the region's reputational capital form a stable basis for conducting research activities aimed at a multifactorial analysis of the key components determining the territory’s reputation. Result: This, in turn, forms stable preconditions for determining and system analysis of the development prospects of a competitive interregional environment and also forms the basis for the implementation of economic and mathematical assessments aimed at determining the impact of a territory's reputation on key parameters of its socio-economic development. Applications: This research can be used for universities, teachers, and students. Novelty/Originality: In this research, the model of Methodical approaches to the assessment of the impact of the reputation capital on investment processes in the region is presented in a comprehensive and complete manner.


2021 ◽  
Vol 58 (1) ◽  
pp. 690-698
Author(s):  
Dr. Caterina De Lucia Et al.

In the age of globalization, remittances are an essential part of human life. This analysis's key objective is to examine the effect of remittances in developing economies like Turkey on economic development. The 1980 to 2020 time-series data used in this analysis which use numerous time series estimating techniques. Sending data is given by the Banks of Turkey and in a million dollars. Simultaneously, economic development or GDP data are provided by world economic indicator, the World Bank, and the new US dollar. The findings indicated that there are both short-term and long-term ties between transactions and economic development in Turkey. Therefore, results indicate that Turkey's transition flows positively affect Turkey's person and Turkey's macroeconomic scenario. The government should implement policies that allow Turkey in overseas countries to submit transmissions through official channels.


Author(s):  
Cora-Lynn Munroe-Lynds

It is crucial for the government to maintain the public’s trust during uncertain risk. The Canadian government had approximately three months to develop a risk management strategy before Canada saw its first case of coronavirus. This study aims to show how the Canadian Broadcasting Company (CBC) portrays government decision making during the initial outbreak of Coronavirus in January 2020 through March 2020 exclusive by examining 10 articles per month.  Over the course of the last three months, government officials were increasingly cited in the CBC news articles. Results from this study shows that as the condition in Canada worsened, more evidence-based decision making is present in the articles, especially during the month of March.


2022 ◽  
pp. 82-108
Author(s):  
Tulus Tambunan

Two developments are currently taking place in Indonesia, namely the process towards an inclusive economy and economic digitalisation. The main objective of this chapter is to review the extent to which Indonesia has achieved these two processes. To this end, this descriptive study analyzes secondary data from multiple sources, and the results show that Indonesia has made some progress in achieving both developments. But the results also give an important impression that in the short term, digitalisation of the economy can increase inequality because access to ICT or the internet is not evenly distributed. Therefore, this chapter emphasizes that extra efforts from the government are urgently needed so that the poor can get full access to ICT, including micro and small businesses, of which only a small number of them are implementing e-commerce, and the majority of them are located on the island of Java including Jakarta, which is the most developed region in Indonesia.


2007 ◽  
pp. 116-132 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Kimelman ◽  
S. Andyushin

The article basing upon estimation of the social and economic potential of Russian Federation subjects shows that the resource model of economic development is suitable for nearly half of them. The advantages of this model are described using the example of the Far Eastern Federal District subjects that could be the proof of the necessity of "resource correction" of regional economic policy in Russia.


Author(s):  
NATALIIA TOLSTYKH

The article sheds light on various approaches that seek to determine how widespread poverty and life on a low income are in Ukraine nowadays. As a social phenomenon, poverty has traditionally been associated with destitution and living below the subsistence level set by the government. However, the author holds the view that life on a low income not only means living near or below the poverty line. There is another part of Ukraine’s population that should also be considered needy — those whose income is less than twice as the subsistence level, and most of them are also subject to socio-economic deprivation. Drawing upon the findings of a social survey conducted by the Institute of Sociology of the NAS of Ukraine in 2019, the paper analyses the standard of living among different income groups. Particular attention is given to consumption patterns and social well-being of respondents in the lower income brackets. From the data, it can be inferred that living conditions of many Ukrainians are inadequate to sustain and develop human potential; furthermore, the low-income households have literally to struggle every day to make ends meet. The author brings into focus the main macroeconomic factors contributing to this situation and its adverse effect on the nation’s social potential. Some of the most common social consequences of living on a low income have been identified, such as limited consumption, a person’s dissatisfaction with life and his/her position in society. The above-mentioned survey also provides the estimates of how much the current subsistence level (with regard to Ukraine) should be. Having been made by different socio-demographic and occupational groups of Ukraine’s population, these estimates are a useful source of information — given that subsistence level is considered the basic social standard. According to the survey, all these figures are at variance with the official subsistence level, which is noticeably lower, and this indicates that the current subsistence level needs an upward revision. Today, the overall socio-economic situation in Ukraine is unfavourable for neoliberal economic reforms initiated by the government. Since these policies are primarily designed to reduce the role of state in managing the economy and implementing social welfare programmes, following this path will inevitably result in the entrenchment of mass poverty and in a major loss of Ukraine’s human potential, as well as labour force. The author argues that tackling the country’s chronic low income problem is only possible if a new strategy for socio-economic development is adopted, where social welfare is prioritised.


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