scholarly journals Forecasting the Amount of Cash in Circulation Based on a Regression Model with Lagged Variables

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
Model Development ◽  
Approximation Error ◽  
Monetary Aggregate ◽  
Formal Approach ◽  
Cash Payment ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Official Sources ◽  
Average Approximation

Despite the rather positive dynamics in developing the non-cash payment infrastructure, cash in Russia has been and remains the widespread instrument of payment. The purpose of this paper is the development of a model for forecasting the amount of cash in circulation in the country, namely the value of the monetary aggregate M0, by the example of the Russian Federation. At the same time, the objectives were set so that the resulting model should be suitable for a sufficiently accurate rapid estimation of М0 value, should be easy to use, and should not be overloaded with many variables. The author succeeded in achieving these purposes in the research using a formal approach based on a model with lagged variables, autoregression and time series analysis, also using numerical methods. The lagged variables used were the inflation rate and the value of the monetary aggregate for a previous period. The high quality, accuracy and forecasting power of the model are substantiated. The average approximation error of the model did not exceed 5%.Testing of the model using statistical data of the current year showed high accuracy of forecasting. Statistical data of official sources of the Russian Federation were used for the model development

SOME PROBLEMIC ISSUES ARISING DURING THE PERFORMANCE OF A PUNISHMENT IN THE FORM OF DEPRIVATION OF THE RIGHT TO TAKE A CERTAIN POSITION OR TO PERFORM CERTAIN ACTIVITIES

2020 ◽  
pp. 54-57
Author(s):  
Ирина Александровна Лакина ◽  
Анна Борисовна Назарова
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
Criminal Punishment ◽  
Initial Investigation ◽  
Scientific Analysis ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Right ◽  
Legal Character

В статье рассматриваются проблемные вопросы, возникающие при организации исполнения уголовного наказания в виде лишения права занимать определенную должность или заниматься определенной деятельностью. Анализируются статистические данные о количестве назначенных судами Российской Федерации наказаний и мер уголовно-правового характера, не связанных с лишением свободы, о количестве осужденных лиц, состоящих и прошедших по учетам уголовно-исполнительных инспекций Российской Федерации. Авторами статьи обосновывается необходимость осуществления первоначальных розыскных мероприятий в отношении изучаемой категории подучетных лиц и, как следствие, внесение соответствующих изменений в действующее законодательство Российской Федерации, в связи с тем что в настоящее время положения указанных нормативно-правовых актов не предполагают проведение первоначальных розыскных мероприятий и объявления в розыск осужденных к уголовному наказанию в виде лишения права занимать определенную должность или заниматься определенной деятельностью. В формате рекомендаций, направленных на повышение эффективности проведения первоначальных розыскных мероприятий, приводятся конкретные предложения, ориентированные на снижение показателя заведенных розыскных дел. Авторами статьи акцентируется внимание на необходимости дальнейшего научного анализа теоретических, практических и концептуальных аспектов, связанных с правоотношениями, возникающими при реализации уголовного наказания в виде лишения права занимать определенную должность или заниматься определенной деятельностью. The article deals with the problematic issues arising in the organization of execution of criminal punishment in the form of deprivation of the right to hold a certain position or engage in certain activities. Statistical data on the number ordered by the courts of the Russian Federation of punishments and measures criminally-legal character are not related to deprivation of freedom, the number of convicted persons which held the records of the penal inspections of the Russian Federation. The authors of the article substantiates the need to implement the initial investigation governmental activities in the study category of the registered individuals, and as a consequence, appropriate changes to the existing by-law of the Russian Federation, in connection with the, that now provisions of the specified normative legal acts do not assume carrying out initial search actions and announcements in search condemned to criminal punishment in the form of deprivation of the right to occupy a certain position or to be engaged in certain activity. In the format of recommendations aimed at improving the effectiveness of the initial search activities, specific proposals aimed at reducing the rate of opened search cases are presented. The authors of the article focus on the need for further scientific analysis of theoretical, practical and conceptual aspects related to legal relations arising in the execution of criminal punishment in the form of deprivation of the right to hold a certain position or engage in a certain activity.

Criminal-Legal Characteristics of Encroachment on the Health, Personal Integrity, Honor and Dignity of a Representative of the Authorities

2021 ◽  
pp. 96-103
Author(s):  
N. Yu. Borzunova ◽  
O. S. Matorina ◽  
E. P. Letunova
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
Criminal Code ◽  
Personal Integrity ◽  
Judicial Practice ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Government ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Criminal Legislation

The authors of the article consider the criminal- legal characteristics of crimes against representatives of the authorities, in particular, encroachment with the purpose of causing harm to the health, personal integrity, honor and dignity of a representative of the authorities. The definition of the term “representative of the authorities”is given. The main characteristics of a representative of the government are analyzed. Statistical data on the number of convictions and types of punishments in accordance with the provisions of articles of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation (Articles 318, 319) are summarized. Examples of judicial practice are considered. The ways of improving the criminal legislation are proposed.

Influence of ethical groups on regional policy (on the example of the Republic of Kalmykia)

2020 ◽  
pp. 81-92
Author(s):  
D. Naranova
Keyword(s):  
Ethnic Groups ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Regional Policy ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
Practical Significance ◽  
Political Processes ◽  
Theoretical Significance ◽  
The Subject ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic

To consider the main directions and extent of influence of ethical groups on political processes in the Republic of Kalmykia.The authors analyzed scientific research on the ethnic identity of the Kalmyk people, as well as media materials and statistical data on the cause and effect of the influence of ethnic groups on regional policy. Seven key areas of influence of the Kalmyks, as a titular nation, on political processes in the region, including through the formation of an ethnic majority among senior positions in the authorities of the subject of the Russian Federation, were identified. The theoretical significance of the study is due to the complex systematization of facts about the influence of the ethnodominating nation of the Republic of Kalmykia on political processes in the region. The practical significance is expressed in the proposal of specific recommendations for partial stabilization of the situation in the Republic.

Characteristics of convicts serving sentences in correctional institutions of russia

2019 ◽  
pp. 64-74
Author(s):  
Любовь Ильинична Разбирина
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
Criminal Policy ◽  
Penal System ◽  
Correctional Facilities ◽  
Correctional Institutions ◽  
Criminal Records ◽  
The Social ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Impact

В статье приведены данные уголовно-правовой характеристики осужденных, отбывающих наказание в виде лишения свободы в Российской Федерации. Цель исследования заключается в том, чтобы показать влияние изменений в уголовной политике государства на изменение численности осужденных, распределение их в зависимости от квалификации совершенных преступлений, по количеству судимостей, назначенному сроку наказания в виде лишения свободы и по другим показателям. Установлено, что произошли существенные изменения в распределении осужденных в зависимости от числа судимостей и по срокам назначенного судом наказания, в распределении по видам исправительных учреждений. Анализ статистических данных ФСИН России демонстрирует, что в исследуемый период значительно возросла доля женщин, осужденных к лишению свободы, а численность несовершеннолетних осужденных сократилась в несколько раз, существенно возросли доля осужденных за преступления, связанные с незаконным оборотом наркотиков, и численность осужденных на срок наказания свыше 10 лет лишения свободы, а также произошли другие изменения. Знание и учет особенностей уголовно-правовой характеристики осужденных в деятельности научных и практических работников будет способствовать повышению эффективности деятельности уголовно-исполнительной системы в решении задач по исправлению осужденных и предупреждению совершения новых преступлений как осужденными, так и иными лицами, - достижении основных целей уголовно-исполнительного законодательства Российской Федерации. The article presents the data of criminal-legal characteristics of convicts serving a sentence of imprisonment in the Russian Federation. The aim of the study is to show the impact of changes in the criminal policy of the state on changes in the number of convicts, their distribution depending on the qualification of the crimes committed, the number of convictions, the appointed term of imprisonment and other criteria. As a result of the conducted researches it is established that there were essential changes in distribution condemned depending on number of criminal records and on terms of the punishment appointed by court, in distribution by types of correctional facilities and other indicators. The analysis of statistical data of the Federal Penitentiary Service of Russia reflects the fact that during the study period the proportion of women sentenced to imprisonment increased significantly, and the number of juvenile convicts decreased several times, the proportion of those convicted of crimes related to drug trafficking and the number of those sentenced to more than 10 years of imprisonment, as well as other changes. Knowledge and consideration of the features of the social and legal characteristics of convicts in the activities of researchers and practitioners will contribute to improving the efficiency of the penal system in solving problems of correction of convicts and preventing the Commission of new crimes by both convicts and other persons, which is the main objectives of the Penal legislation of the Russian Federation.

SPECIFIC FEATURES OF PROPERTY INTERESTS PROTECTION OF THE PENAL SYSTEM OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION WITH THE PARTICIPATION OF CRIMINAL PROCEEDINGS AS REPRESENTATIVE OF A VICTIM

2021 ◽  
pp. 46-52
Author(s):  
Дмитрий Викторович Кияйкин
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Current Practice ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
Penal System ◽  
Court Decisions ◽  
Criminal Proceedings ◽  
Existing Problems ◽  
Legitimate Interests ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Moment

В статье проведен анализ существующей практики защиты имущественных интересов уголовно-исполнительной системы Российской Федерации при участии в уголовном процессе в качестве представителя потерпевшего, изложены рекомендации по улучшению данной работы с учетом особенностей сложившейся практики. Раскрываются особенности уголовно-процессуальной защиты на основе материалов территориальных органов и анализа дел указанной категории схарактеристикой эффективных решений иимеющихся проблем по защите имущественных интересов уголовно-исполнительной системы (далее - УИС), материалов практики защиты поуказанным вопросам, аналитических и статистических данных за 2018-2020 гг. Обращено внимание, чтона практике имеются сложности с определением размера возмещаемого ущерба и сроков исковой давности, а также с фактическим исполнением судебных решений овзыскании ущерба в связи с финансовой несостоятельностью должников. Важной проблемой по защите имущественных интересов остается отсутствие методики определения размера причиненного репутационного вреда органам иучреждениям уголовно-исполнительной системы Российской Федерации. Обеспечение своевременного допуска представителя органа илиучреждения УИС имеет существенное значение для защиты имущественных интересов, поскольку юридическое лицо получает фактическую возможность по отстаиванию своих законных интересов лишь смомента допуска представителя - физического лица. Автором определены направления работы должностных и иных заинтересованных лиц по реализации защиты имущественных интересов УИС при участии в уголовном процессе в качестве представителя потерпевшего. The article analyzes the existing practice of protecting the property interests of the Penal system of the Russian Federation when participating in criminal proceedings as a representative of the victim, and provides recommendations for improving this work, taking into account the features of the current practice. The article reveals the features of criminal procedure protection based on the materials of territorial bodies and the analysis of cases of this category with the characteristics of effective solutions and existing problems in protecting the property interests of the Penal system (hereinafter the FPS), materials of defense practice on these issues, analytical and statistical data for the period 2018-2020. Attention is drawn to the fact that in practice there are some peculiarities in determining the amount of damage to be compensated and the limitation period. Due to the financial insolvency of debtors in practice, there is a difficulty with the actual execution of court decisions on recovery of damages. An important problem in protecting property interests remains the lack of a methodology for determining the amount of reputational damage caused to the bodies and institutions of the Russian Federation's penal system. Ensuring the timely admission of a representative of a body or institution of a penal system is essential for the protection of property interests, since a legal entity gets the actual opportunity to defend its legitimate interests only from the moment of admission of a representative - an individual. The author defines the directions of work of officials and other interested persons to protect the property interests of the Penal system of the Russian Federation when participating in criminal proceedings as a representative of the victim.

scholarly journals AN INTELLIGENT INFORMATION SYSTEM DESIGN FOR ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION OF THE DYNAMICS OF RISKS OF THE COMPETITIVENESS OF REGIONS OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

2021 ◽  
Vol 56 ◽  
pp. 81-88
Author(s):  
Irina V. Veshneva1 ◽  
◽  
Galina Yu. . Chernyshova ◽  
Alexander A. Bolshakov ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Information System ◽  
System Design ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Quantitative Methods ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
Regional Competitiveness ◽  
Information System Design ◽  
System Module ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Intelligent Information

It was revealed that there are no generally accepted methods for assessing competitiveness; modern research is mainly a theoretical analysis of regional competitiveness. It was substantiated that the use of mathematical models and quantitative methods will improve the objectivity of the assessment. A methodology for an information system design for analysis and prediction of the dynamics of risks of competitiveness of regions of the Russian Federation was proposed. The prospects and directions of intellectualization of that system were shown. Based on the analysis of officially published statistical data and information from the regions and the proposed methodology, methods of systematization of socio-economic indicators were designed. An information system module was developed to implement the model based on the Kolmogorov-Chapman equations for assessing the risks of regional competitiveness and its validation was carried out

APPLICATION OF A SPECIAL TAX REGIME FOR SELFEMPLOYED CITIZENS ON THE TERRITORY OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION. PROFESSIONAL INCOME TAX

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 41-48
Author(s):  
V. B. DZOBELOVA ◽  
◽  
A. E. SALAMOVA ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Income Tax ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
The Self ◽  
Federal Law ◽  
Tax Base ◽  
Advantages And Disadvantages ◽  
Research Article ◽  
The Subject ◽  
The Russian Federation

The relevance of the topic is largely due to the development of the country's tax base and the expansion of the geography of the special tax regime of the NAP. The main aspects of the functioning described in the work help to assess the advantages and disadvantages of the tax for self-employed persons. The purpose of the study is to reflect the trend in the development of a special tax regime for self-employed citizens in the Russian Federation. In connection with the purpose of the study, the following tasks were solved: to reveal the essence of the “self-employed population”, to characterize the main provisions of the special tax regime of the NAP, to consider the statistics of the number of self-employed persons in the Russian Federation, to identify the specifics of the tax regime for the self-employed population. The subject of the research is the special tax regime "Tax on professional income". The object of the research is the regulatory framework, as well as statistical data submitted by individuals to the Federal Tax Service on the implementation of activities to provide services to other individuals for personal, household and (or) other needs.As part of this research article explores the concept of "self-employed" citizens and trends in the use of special tax regime for the self-employed population in Russia according to the Federal Law from 27.11.2018 No. 422 «On the experiment of establishing a special tax regime "Tax on professional income"». The positive and negative aspects of the functioning of the tax regime are identified and the dynamics of the implementation of the law is studied.

Statistical Analysis of Real Income of the Population of the Russian Federation

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 59-64
Author(s):  
I. Darymov ◽  
Aleksandr Kalyanov
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Analysis ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Real Income ◽  
Federal State ◽  
The World ◽  
Global Problems ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Difficult Times

The article raises such an acute problem as the disproportionate change in population growth with rising inflation. The relevance of this problem cannot raise any questions. Sometimes people ask the question: “Why is there not enough money for food, although, relatively speaking, it was enough before?” The economy of our country is going through difficult times. The fall in world oil prices has an impact on the Russian ruble, which is especially important in connection with the latest developments in the world. These and other questions are devoted to issues related to the growth of the population of the Russian Federation, and the opportunity to buy them. The research base is the website of the Federal State Statistics Service, which should use personal observations and knowledge. In preparing the articles, methods of correlation analysis using group statistical data were applied and the regression model was built on their basis. The authors proposed ideas for solving global problems in the entire economic system of the Russian Federation.

scholarly journals Positive practices of the catering industry of the Russian Federation in the COVID-19 pandemic

2021 ◽  
pp. 101-108
Author(s):  
E. V. Burdenko ◽  
G. V. Korolev
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
New Technologies ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
The Public ◽  
Vending Machines ◽  
Catering Industry ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Public Catering ◽  
Positive Practices ◽  
The Impact

The novelty of the study is the generalization and analysis of statistical data obtained as a result of various sociological and scientific studies on the impact of the COV-ID-19 pandemic on the activities of the public catering sector in the Russian Federation. The authors carried out a study of positive practices that allowed the industry enterprises to continue to operate in self-isolation and improve financial results with the easing of restrictions. Among them are simplified terms for renting premises; sale of finished products by delivery to the direct consumer or pickup; non-standard formats of catering enterprises; restoration of demand for catering; application of new technologies in the process of cooking; introduction of vending machines in the catering industry; cooperation of catering enterprises with the tourism business.

scholarly journals The Idea of the Ural Republic During the State Transformation of the Russian Federation

2021 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 217-226
Author(s):  
Igor Osipov ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Regional Policy ◽  
Model Development ◽  
The State ◽  
State Transformation ◽  
Regional Survey ◽  
Territorial Structure ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Regional Authorities ◽  
Federal Structure

Introduction. The phenomenon of the Ural Republic in the context of the Russian Federation federal model of state structure formation in 1993 is studied. The process of the Russian federalism model development at this stage was complicated by a whole complex of problems and contradictions. The movement of the regional authorities in the Sverdlovsk region to create the Ural Republic in the context of the Russian post-Soviet model of the Federal structure is considered. Methods and materials. The archival materials of the Presidential Executive Office of Russia and state authorities of the Sverdlovsk region are the key sources of the research. The main group of materials for the article preparation consists of analytical notes reflecting the views of the current authorities on the nature of the state-territorial structure and fixing the expert and analytical view of the higher state authorities on the developing processes dynamics and the risks associated with them. Analysis. The process of the Ural Republic creation consisting of several stages is analyzed: forming an idea and holding a regional survey on equalizing the powers of the region with the republics; an attempt to offer its views on the federal structure at the Constitutional Assembly and to implement its achievements into the draft Constitution of the Russian Federation; the announcement of the Ural Republic creation by the leadership of the Sverdlovsk region, the establishment and protection of its position; abolition of the Ural Republic. Results. The Ural Republic phenomenon had some influence on the constitutional project development, but its elimination prevented not only the risks of so-called regional separatism, but also a potentially large state transformation, which consisted in the emergence of more independent regions, the formation of a new regional policy.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document