scholarly journals House stock forecasting based on population growth. A case of Nur-Sultan City, Kazakhstan

Technobius ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
pp. 0009
Author(s):  
Timur Zhussupov ◽  
Lazzat Yelubay

Since the beginning of 2020, the "Nurly Zher" housing and communal development program for 2020-2025 came into force in Kazakhstan. Within the framework of this program there are tasks of capital repair and renovation of the housing stock. The passportization of the housing stock was adopted as one of the measures to solve this problem. At the same time there are some discrepancies in the statistical data between the Committee of Statistics of the Ministry of National Economy of the RK and Local Executive Authorities with a simultaneous increase in the volume of housing construction. This article examines the volume of residential buildings commissioned in Nur-Sultan depending on changes in the population of the city. It is assumed that as the number of people in the city will increase the volume of housing stock. To understand the volume of housing in Nur-Sultan in the period of the program "Nurly Zher" in the article gives a forecast increase in commissioned housing by 62% by 2025, compared with the value at the end of 2020. Based on the data obtained it is concluded that for a more effective solution to the problem of capital repair and renovation of housing stock an alternative approach or tool is needed.

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Vitaly Chulkov ◽  
Ekaterina Shilina

Preserving the balance of historical heritage and the ability to move forward in its development is the most important socially and economically significant task in housing construction that the city government faces in the process of implementing the renovation program. One of the key principles of renovation is the disclosure of the potential of the reorganized territory while preserving the historical identity of the urban environment. Reasonableness of the space used ensures the interconnection of all elements of the structure of a residential area (quarter or microdistrict) and increases the efficiency of its use by streamlining the placement of elements of the residential environment. The article emphasizes the need for a scientific and technical study of the influence of the structure of residential buildings on the walking accessibility of social facilities. The significance of the results of such a study of the microdistrict layout for residents is provided by the organizational and technological indicators of the construction reorganization (labor and financial costs, the duration of construction and a number of others). The possibility of improving the values of these parameters in the process of renovation of the housing stock has been revealed.


2005 ◽  
Vol 21 (1_suppl) ◽  
pp. 487-511 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bijan Khazai ◽  
Elizabeth Hausler

The earthquake of 26 December 2003 destroyed about 85% of the housing stock and left up to 75,600 people in the city of Bam homeless. With the convergence of migrants from nearby villages, it is estimated that 155,000 people were in need of shelter in Bam and surrounding villages. A municipal governmental Master Plan for the reconstruction of Bam was completed in September 2004. Permanent housing construction in the city of Bam began in October 2004, and is scheduled to take three to five years. In the interim, intermediate shelter construction in Bam and reconstruction of permanent shelter in the surrounding villages is ongoing and work is being done to integrate relief operations into long-term recovery, rehabilitation, and reconstruction programs. At the time of the reconnaissance trip in late May 2004, 16,200 intermediate shelters were assembled in Bam, either on the sites of original dwellings or on campgrounds on the outskirts of the city, and over 2,500 permanent shelters were constructed in the surrounding villages.


Author(s):  
Ruslan V. Romanov ◽  
Gennady S. Varaksin

The analysis of the state cadastral assessment of land based on the data of zoning of lands according to their prestige in the city of Krasnoyarsk. The need for assessing the prestige of territories of settlements is stated. On the territory of Krasnoyarsk, 3 zones were conditionally allocated in different districts of the city, where plots intended for the construction of individual residential buildings are located. The main parameters of the cadastral assessment of the lands of such territories are considered. A list of parameters is outlined by which the prestige of individual housing construction lands is estimated. The prestige of each zone is determined. Four indicators are identified that form the prestige of the zones in the cadastral assessment of land. The parameters that determine the level of land value depending on their prestige are identified. A tendency has been established to determine the prestige of zones as a result of the classification of the population of these zones by income level and the desire to live on this territory of people of equal social status. The territory of urban space must be divided into zones, according to the criteria of prestige. A comparison is made between the market and cadastral value of land plots. The comparative analysis method revealed that in the most prestigious areas of urban space, the market value of individual housing construction sites exceeds the cadastral value several times. Conclusions are drawn about the dependence of the price of land for individual housing construction on the level of prestige of the territory of urban space and location.


Author(s):  
Victoriya Fedorova ◽  
Guzel Safina ◽  
Sabina Zaripova

An increase in the number of inhabitants in cities, urbanization processes and congestion in infrastructure lead to a shortage of territories in urban systems. One of the most common ways to search for internal urban reserves is the implementation of infill (compaction) development. The purpose of this work is to analyze the infill development of residential facilities as a way to solve territorial problems (using the example of the city of Kazan). In the article, infill development is understood as a deviation from the general urban planning plan, when the construction of objects occurs on sites adjacent to the existing development. The authors created a register of residential buildings in Kazan, built over the period 1860–2019, deciphered and compared satellite images of 2004 and 2020, determined the functional use of land plots that preceded modern development. Spot buildings are found throughout the entire city of Kazan. However, the process of compaction of the urban fabric is uneven—it is most intense in the central, historical part of the city, which is valuable from the point of view of investors, in which a significant number of various cultural, educational, scientific institutions and other socially significant objects are concentrated. The largest number of episodes of sealing development was recorded in the Vakhitovsky district. In the period 2001–2019. 33.9 % of the total number of residential buildings in the Vakhitovsky district were built, and a significant part of them is “included” in the existing planning structure and refers to the sealing building. Closer to the periphery and borders of the city, the need for sealing construction decreases—less intensive processes of housing construction are typical for the outskirts of Kazan—Aviastroitelny, Kirovsky, Sovetsky and Privolzhsky.


Author(s):  
P. I. Kotov ◽  
V. Z. Khilimonyuk

The Infrastructure stability on permafrost is currently an important topic as the Arctic countries are developing climate change adaptation and mitigation programs. Assessing the sustainability of infrastructure facilities (especially in urban environments) is a difficult task as it depends on many parameters. This article discusses the city of Vorkuta, which is located in the northwest of Russia. This city differs from many others built on permafrost because most of buildings were built according to Principle II (The Active Method) of construction on permafrost with thawing soil prior to construction. Assessments of the engineering and geocryological conditions, basic principles of construction in the city, and reasons for building failures, were carried out within this study. The research is based on publications, open data about buildings, and visual observations in Vorkuta. About 800 buildings are in use in Vorkuta in 2020 (43% of what it was 50 years ago). According to the analysis, about 800 houses have been demolished or disconnected from utility lines over the past 50 years (about 250 of these are still standing, pending demolition). Since 1994, the construction of new residential buildings has almost stopped. Therefore, buildings that have been in use for over 50 years will account for 90% of the total residential housing stock by 2040. The effects of climate change in the city will depend primarily on the principle of construction employed and on the geocryological conditions of the district. Buildings constructed according to Principle I (The Passive Method) were found to be more vulnerable due to a decrease in permafrost bearing capacity. The impact of increasing air temperature on some of the buildings built on bedrock (the central part of the city) and some built on thawing soil will be minimal, as other factors are more significant.


Vestnik MGSU ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 751-769
Author(s):  
Olga V. Bakhareva ◽  
Liliya I. Azhimova ◽  
Alberto Celani ◽  
Nicolai S. Bolshakov

Introduction. The transformation of the economic space of the regions based on digitalization and the use of intelligent technologies in the housing sector gives rise to aesthetic technical problems. When implementing spontaneous investment projects to improve the energy efficiency of the old housing stock of cities, including historical and cultural monuments, as well as buildings that form historical buildings, technical and aesthetic consequences arise. The aim of the article is to study the implemented investment projects to improve the energy efficiency of residential buildings on the adjacent territory of the border of the historical settlement of regional significance in the city of Kazan. Materials and methods. Full-scale inspection, photographic recording of the results of implemented investment projects to improve the energy efficiency of multi-apartment residential buildings of the housing stock on the adjacent territory of the border of the historical settlement of the city of Kazan. Results. As a result, a classification was drawn up of the types of interventions of the operating company, which significantly change the historical facades, change the single architectural and historical appearance of the street ensemble and generate negative externalities. Taking into account the prospects for growth in demand in the market for improving the energy efficiency of buildings of old housing stock, in order to maximize public welfare, it is proposed to consider the mechanism of state intervention to protect the architectural and historical environment of the city as a patronized good on the basis of state policy to create favorable conditions for the introduction of innovations in the housing sector in the form of institute of public guardianship. Conclusions. The institute of public guardianship will allow to preserve the artistic architectural ensembles of the city throughout the life cycle, to fight against parasitic architecture, to obtain an economic effect: to ensure low energy consumption in residential buildings of the old housing stock of cities, an increase in the value of real estate and the profitability of investment projects for the restoration, reconstruction and reconstruction of buildings in the historical part cities.


2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (158) ◽  
pp. 85-89
Author(s):  
T. Kolesnyk ◽  
O. Kolontaievskyi

The purpose of the article is to analyze the state of housing construction in the Kharkiv region and identify factors influencing the dynamics of its development. It is noted that the housing problem remains extremely relevant for the Kharkiv region where there is a large delayed demand for housing. Housing construction accelerates the growth of the gross domestic product of the region, employment of its population, growth of budget revenues. Factors influencing the amount of housing built are not constant and require periodic analysis. Statistical data of housing construction in Kharkiv region are investigated. It is noted that the area of housing commissioned has decreased in recent years. In 2012, half of the total area of residential buildings commissioned in the Kharkiv region fell on the city of Kharkiv. The last three years the area of residential buildings built in other cities and towns of the region is 17–30%. The leaders in housing construction among the cities of regional significance in different years were: Lyubotyn (2014), Izyum (2015, 2019), Kupyansk (2016-2017) and Chuguiv (2018). Among the districts, the most active housing construction is carried out in Kharkiv and Derhachiv districts. It is noted that the volume of construction work performed by enterprises of Kharkiv region in January-June 2020 amounted to 8.9% of the national volume, but the pace of construction of residential buildings decreased by 13%. The index of residential construction products for the first half of 2020 compared to the first half of 2019 amounted to 88%. It is determined that the number of commissioned housing primarily on the amount of capital investment in the region and other factors influencing the dynamics of housing development, such as the socio-political situation in the country, the state of the economy, the availability of mortgage lending and others. The housing programs operating in the Kharkiv region to provide the population with their own housing are considered. Keywords: housing, housing construction, housing provision, construction rates, housing loans, сapital іnvestments.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1203 (2) ◽  
pp. 022090
Author(s):  
Jasenka Čakarić ◽  
Slađana Miljanović ◽  
Aida Idrizbegović Zgonić

Abstract In the second half of the 20th century, the industrialisation and deagrarization of Bosnia and Herzegovina had a strong impact on the dynamics of urban development and economic growth of the post-war Sarajevo, which intensified immigration from its relatively underdeveloped regional environment. This was accompanied by accelerated housing construction, and it encouraged the spatial expansion of the city. Planning guidelines were set by the city administration and were based on the long-term development plans. They identified the disposition of urban functions necessary for housing, work, recreation and traffic, and the policy of building multi-residential buildings was aimed general social interest. At the same time, the planning activities neglected the actual socio-economic status of immigrants who had lesser opportunities for housing through the social distribution system of apartments, began the process of self-organized unregulated settlement construction with single-family houses on the city's slopes. This began an era of two parallel but controversial actions within town space: planned and unregulated housing construction. Spontaneous possession of the city's territory with unregulated construction today is characterised by: complex property-legal relations, high degree of construction, absence of public space, pedestrian communications and service functions, low quality of the infrastructure network, and that settlements are formed on unstable terrains and on active landslides. Since the consequences of the complexity of the situation cannot be addressed through radical urban transformation, we see an alternative in the idea of partial spatial interventions – transformation by method of sanation. Starting with the thesis that construction is always deeply connected to society's understanding of the function of space and the place of man in it, we have opened up a central question, and searching for answers is the basic goal of this paper: Is it possible to solve problems accumulated by decades within Sarajevo's unregulated residential settlements through means of transformation by method of sanation? Or: Can partial spatial interventions improve the overall quality of individual and social life? For the purpose of finding answers, we conducted an analysis of the causes of the formation and genesis of these settlements, as well as a series of problems produced by the accumulation of separate spatial interventions without elementary professional guidance. The results of this analysis showed that the answer to the questions asked can be positive, by establishing a critical relationship with the potential of the space of specific settlement sites, in terms of the degree of functional usability, correlation with utilities and user interactions with the environments they inhabit. We have concluded that it is precisely the potential of individual sites, by logically applying the transformation by method of sanation, will enable dual achievement – the merging the solution within the technical and structural aspect of potential landslides with the articulation of the public on new pedestrian communications. Also, it has been shown that the application of this method enables the typification of technical solutions, functions, contents, activities, urban design, and even the public itself. And this means that the conclusions on the characteristics of individual Sarajevo unregulated residential settlements, endangered by landslides, can offer general guidelines for design concepts, within them, an overall improvement of individual and social life.


Author(s):  
Yu. V. Fedyarova ◽  
A. M. Rakhmetova

The purpose of the study based on the analysis of current trends in the development of housing construction and the assessment of the role of the state in this process, to identify existing problems and propose promising ways to solve them in the Republic of Kazakhstan.Methodology. The article uses such research methods as comparison, generalization, analysis and synthesis, modeling (making a trend forecast).Originality / value of the research. The results of the assessment of the development of the housing market in the Republic of Kazakhstan over the past 18 years allowed us to identify current limitations and problems in its development, including on the basis of the forecast of the development of the housing market until 2025 in order to develop appropriate recommendations for their solution.Findings. According to the results of the study, the process of housing construction development from 2003 to 2020 in Kazakhstan was carried out mainly thanks to state financial support. The results of the trend analysis for the period from 2020 to 2025 showed that the peak of commissioning of residential buildings put into operation will be observed in 2023, and housing prices will increase. In this regard, the authors have proposed recommendations for solving such problems as reducing the level of corruption in the system of distribution of tender purchases, in the process of adoption and commissioning of the housing stock, as well as in the distribution of housing, the closedness of general plans of settlements to the population, insufficient quality of housing and others.


2019 ◽  
Vol 97 ◽  
pp. 06027 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oleg Korol ◽  
Anna Dudina

This scientific article researches features of preparations for the construction of renovation projects areas on the example of the city of Moscow. The purpose of the article is to examine and study features of preparations for the construction of renovation projects areas, these feature’s being one of the factors determining energy efficiency activities application at a construction site. Statistical data compilation method, regulatory documents examination method and method of review, comparison and consolidation of information are used in this paper. In the context of the research engineering equipment provision of housing stock renovation sites is analysed and renovation areas classification based on water, heat and power supply system’s provision is provided. As a result of the analysis of five renovation areas, a number of specific features of renovation areas engineering equipment provision are identified. For the most part Moscow renovation areas are divided into two forms: energy-deficient (EP) which lack reserve margins of fuel and power resources; energy-excessive (ER) which have an excess supply of fuel and power resources. Energy-balanced areas (EB) are considered to be of the highest possible level of renovation areas development.


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